Everything Kyle Harrison said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.
Harrison: Andreessen Horowitz's executive Slack channels fail as genuine communities
“Some examples of this, even like Andreessen has some of these where they have like, you know, Slack channels where they'll take the CROs of all their companies and dump them into Slack channel. It's not a good community. It's an attempt at trying to like coale…”
Harrison: Venture capitalists are avoiding self-criticism following the market crash
“I thought that it would be more humbling for more people I think that there's been this sort of, like, suspension of criticism. Like, people are desperately trying to avoid having to come to grips with what they did, basically, like, with what a lot of people …”
Harrison: Conflict with China would invalidate a huge swath of US naval assets
“The problem with that is that if we get into any conflict with China, there's suddenly a huge swath of our naval assets that we don't want to put anywhere near China, Because they could just demolish it. And so it invalidate even a lot of the exquisite assets …”
Harrison: $1M in Ukrainian Drones Destroyed a Third of Russia's Bomber Fleet
“So in Ukraine, there was this, I think it was called Operation Spiderweb, where, ah, Ukraine snuck basically like under false floorboards of a truck. They snuck a million dollars of worth of drones into Russian territory. And then the drones basically took fli…”
Harrison: Modern Warfare Demands Mass Low-Cost Assets, Which the US Lacks
“That is modern conflict. It's like, you have to be capable of spitting out a high volume of these low cost assets to be able to engage, and we are not, we, like, we as a nation are not good at that.”
Harrison: In practical terms, the US is not top dog militarily
“In practical terms, we are not the biggest dog at the party, and so we have to acknowledge that there's some strategic changes we have to make to stay relevant.”
US would run out of munitions in 11 days in China conflict
“If we were to engage in a large scale conflict, I think it's something like 11 days. Like, we would run out of munitions in 11 days.”
Harrison: U.S. Has Consistently Lost Wargames Against China Since 2015
“We have been effectively losing war games when they model the scenario of US versus China since, I think like, 2015. We have been, the US loses those war games.”
Harrison: Rebuilding Fleet Lost in China Conflict Would Take 25 Years
“Half of our naval fleet could be destroyed within the first couple months of a large-scale conflict with China, and it would take us 25 years to rebuild just to get back to where we were. So our shipbuilding capacity doesn't exist.”
Harrison: Pacifism Is a Privilege of the Protected
“Pacifism really is a privilege of the protected. Like, there is somebody else who is willing to do those things and build those capabilities to protect our right to say, I don't want to be involved in that, and that's fine.”
Harrison: Conflict over Taiwan could cause a $10T global economic hit
“You look at a conflict over Taiwan, I think people say could be a 10 trillion dollar hit to the global economy. Like bigger than the financial crisis, COVID, anything. I think in some cases combined.”
Harrison: Index Ventures bars weapons investments and militarizing portfolio drones
“Index, as far as I know, still to this day, has a clause where they can't invest in anything that is a weapon or could be used as a weapon, and I remember they had investments in, in companies like a drone company, where they uniquely could have contracted a p…”
The vast majority of important tech companies will be built in SF
“Statistically, there are more people in the Bay Area building companies in a specific, within a specific playbook that have specific expectations and shorthands and heuristics that are more likely to lead to success for a company. And so I can simultaneously b…”
Harrison: Over 80% of venture capital funds are substandard
“Probably 80% plus of venture funds are not great.”
Harrison: Venture fund economic models will crumble under market pressures
“Like there are economic models that are going to crumble under the pressure of the market that we're going into now.”
Harrison: The failure rate of venture capital funds will accelerate
“So maybe it took multiple decades for a firm to die in the sixties and seventies and whatever eighties, maybe it took it, maybe it's taking a decade, you know, nowadays or last few years, I think that that pace is going to increase. Like information gets disse…”
Harrison: Andreessen Horowitz actively recruits individuals with large Twitter followings
“I think it's one of the reasons why you know, anybody with a Reasonably sized Twitter following probably gets a at least job interest, if not a job offer from Andreessen, right? Like they recognize that sort of micro celebrity appeal of being able to hire anyb…”
Harrison: Andreessen Horowitz most closely resembles Blackstone in venture capital
“And I think that the firm that closely, most closely resembles that in venture is Andreessen. You know, the way that they have approached things like you know, gaming and crypto and biotech and so like that, but that's sort of them saying, hey, we have this fu…”
Harrison: Abstracting venture capital into pure portfolio construction causes startup breaking points
“At some point, if that abstraction gets so far removed from this sort of fundamental company building aspect, I think that you start to get into some dangerous territory. Cause I mean, when those companies fail, when they get tons of capital and all this thing…”
Harrison: Excess capital will remain in venture capital despite market correction
“I don't think that people are just going to say, oh, nevermind. Venture is actually not that great of an asset class, you know, back to bonds and real estate. Like, I think that people recognize that there are still large outcomes to be had here. And so there'…”
Harrison: Outlier startups grow via steady 30-40% compounding, not perpetual hypergrowth
“When you look at those companies that have sort of defied gravity, they almost never do it in these explosive nonlinear paths. They're just compounders. Like very quickly, they get to that sort of, you know, maybe 30, 40% growth, and then they just crush it fo…”
Harrison: McNamara's Bureaucracy Strangled America's Industrial Capacity
“Basically McNamara has strangled the golden goose that we had of industrial capacity, where he's made it so high friction to build anything, that now every single individual project Is dramatically delayed, significantly over budget.”
Harrison: China developed $15M to $20M missiles capable of destroying US carriers
“The Chinese have developed missiles that they affectionately refer to as carrier killers, that literally it's, I mean, these still might be fairly expensive missiles, right, these are 15, twenty million dollar missiles, But they can destroy a multi-billion dol…”
Harrison: The DoD represents sub-1% of global R&D spending today
“Today it is sub one percent of global R&D.”