Human Labor

“Well, I don't think if a kid is born now, by the time they are 20 years old, they will ever work. By then, I think AI will be at a point where humans don't work.”

“Human labor would have very little value left.”

“Digital is cheap. Physical is a premium product. Right? So AI, robots, digital will be cheap. Human is a premium product.”

“And if you look at certain buyers in the enterprise, and I would include the chief legal officer in this category. But there's many more, by the way, the chief procurement officer, the head of HR, even the CFO. Typically, 95 to 98% of their budget goes to huma…”

“Until we get super AGI. Humans are valuable, and they are going to become more and more valuable because they will be the long pole in the tent to progress, and that progress is going to accelerate and get faster and more, you know, more robust, except If you'…”

“You're gonna hire a lot of AI. You're not going to get rid of a lot of humans.”

“Now you're going to start hiring AI in all of these different areas that you just would never bother hiring a human for, because it's just like, you can't train the human, you can't find the human, and the human's too expensive.”

“I think it will turn out to be true that in less than 20 years, that maybe even as little as, I don't know, 10 or 15 years the advancements in AI and robotics will Bring us to the point where working is optional.”

“I do think at some point you get to LMs can, they can do Everything, every single thing a human can do for cheaper. Like, I don't see a reason why we don't eventually get there. That may take five, 1015 years.”

“Over time is going to be most of it. And when robotics comes, it'll be all of it.”

“Human labor is generally like an order of magnitude larger than software spend, like 10 X or more.”

“As soon as they have robots that can actually do functional work, they're gonna sell billions and billions. There's gonna be more robots than humans.”

“The reason humans are so valuable is not just their raw intellect. It's not mainly the raw intellect, although that's important. It's their ability to build up context. It's interrogate their own failures and pick up small efficiencies and improvements as they…”

“I think the problem has been that people underestimate how many things are truly needed to automate human labor, and so they think, like, we've got reasoning, and now that we've got reasoning, we've, like, this is what it takes to take over a job, and I think,…”

“Conceptually the idea of like, well, we made this thing to do all these tasks that humans do is not a, is not by itself a reason to think human labor is going to be masterplaced.”

“If you're able to price the service at roughly the equivalent cost that the human labor alternative would have cost, Because the cost of the robots is so low now, the payback periods on these things are like remarkably fast, assuming you get high enough utiliz…”

“I mean, AI really within the next few years will be able to do any cognitive task. Like, it obviously begs the question, what are we all gonna do? You know, I'd say max three or four years. Maximum.”

“It's going to sound like an exaggeration, but it is a fact that it's going to create trillions of dollars of value in a few years, right? It's going to, for the first time, we're actually having software directly replace human labor.”

“These AI agents will be way cheaper than humans while they're also better.”

“And I expect that the same thing will happen with this next evolution of technology and human progress. Humans will find ways to create new things, to push themselves forward, to drive things forward.”

“The AI and generic AI and other things are essentially substituting not the manual labor, but even the intellectual labor. That imposes, that creates a situation in which the demand for human labor itself could go down.”

“And when you look at the market for human human-like tasks, it's half of GDP. So like, you know, GDP is roughly 70, 80 trillion. Half of that is, goes to human labor to pay wages every single year in the world. And it's roughly half or so for, you know, for if…”

“Half of all GDP is labor. Human labor. So you think, like, the transportation market's big? Like, the market for, like, human labor is, it's the biggest economy in the world.”