Encryption

topic on 9 shows · 16 statements across 15 episodes

the Y Combinator Startup Podcast More or Less Another Podcast We Live to Build the Knowledge Project WTF is with Nikhil Kamath the a16z Podcast All-In 20VC

16 statements about Encryption, every show

ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2033
Gelsinger: Quantum computing will likely break encryption by 2032 or 2033
“You know, 20, 2020, 32, 20, 33, when we solve, you know, things like encryption, right, you know, where, you know, he'll have the fundamental Q day, you know, kind of implications.”
Pat Gelsinger Jul 15, 2026 ▶ 23:16 Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding
ALL-IN Opinion
Chamath: Crypto is the most obvious honeypot if encryption fails
“I think crypto is the most obvious honeypot in a world where you can defeat encryption.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 1:06:07 SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity
WTF Prediction Didn’t hold up
Arora: Quantum computing will break every modern encryption key
“When quantum comes about, it'll break every key, which is true. It will break every key that is there today.”
Nikesh Arora Jun 28, 2025 ▶ 10:41 From Ghaziabad to Silicon Valley: Nikhil Kamath x Nikesh Arora | People by WTF | Ep. 11 · Nikhil Kamath
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Hoffman: Quantum computing will aid drug discovery long before breaking encryption
“Look, we'll have to figure that out because that'll be an issue once we get to what is, you know, somewhere maybe minimum 2000 or 5000 logical quantum bits, qubits. So that's at 2000 to 5000 or more is when you get into the encryption issues. I'd call it a 150…”
Reid Hoffman Dec 16, 2024 ▶ 31:18 Reid Hoffman, LinkedIn & Paypal Founder: Trump Administration, Elon Musk and DOGE | E1239 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
MORE OR LESS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: AI will not break modern encryption, but quantum computing will
“AI won't, but quantum will.”
Dave Morin Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 39:31 #62: Telegram, Free Speech and Its Limits · More or Less Podcast
a16z Insight
Balaji: Networks enforce behavior through cancellation and cryptographic prevention
“The network, you have a third thing you don't steal because the network won't let you. Either you'll get canceled by the social network, or you will not be able to take it because the encryption prevents you.”
Balaji Srinivasan Nov 16, 2022 ▶ 25:56 The Network State with Balaji Srinivasan
WE LIVE TO BUILD Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2032
Rocha: Quantum computing could break current encryption within a decade
“Probably a decade or less.”
Dr. Eduardo Rocha Jun 21, 2022 ▶ 26:47 Data You Encrypted Today Can Destroy Your Life Within 10 Years
Evans: Secure encryption cannot exist with law enforcement backdoors
“There is no theory of what that would be, like, a secure encryption means no one can read it, but the police can read it, ok so it's not secure.”
Benedict Evans May 30, 2022 ▶ 17:07 Three ways to say no
ANOTHER PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Tech companies historically fought encryption policy with ideology, not engineering
“Far too often, not so much recently, but particularly, you know, until a few years ago, the argument from technology would not, technology companies would not be, no, this is the only way we can stop China from reading your emails, or the only way that we can …”
Benedict Evans May 30, 2022 ▶ 24:16 Three ways to say no
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Society faces a resurgence of 1990s-style political battles over encryption
“Like, I wouldn't be surprised if we head into another era similar to the nineties where there's real battle. I mean, we see with Apple and the FBI and things like this, just like encryption in general.”
Chris Dixon Dec 19, 2019 ▶ 16:01 What's Next for the Internet?
a16z Insight
Wilcox: Economic necessity drove the shift from opposing to mandating encryption
“And the big reason for that transition is that it turns out in that two-point system between the web server and the web browser, that web server became the center of our economy, and encryption is, became necessary for business purposes.”
Zooko Wilcox Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 2:32 Security and Privacy for Crypto with Zero-Knowledge Proofs
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
A focused legal battle over device encryption is inevitable
“This is coming. There's no way to avoid it. But I find it really hard to believe it's not coming in a way that's a very focused legal issue, like the FBI San Bernardino case, or like the, you know, Alexa murder case, and that's going to happen.”
Karen Dunn Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:23 a16z Podcast | Tech Policy and the Courts
a16z Insight
Morell: Strong encryption makes human spies more essential to intelligence services
“Technology actually sometimes makes a human Spy more important. So take encryption, for example. Terrorists can now talk to each other without security services and intelligence services getting in the middle of that. So if that's the case, then technical coll…”
Michael Morell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:35 a16z Podcast | For Your Ears Only
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ullyot: Feinstein and Burr are the leading Congressional opponents of encryption
“You had, until now, the leading proponents of backdoors, let's say the leading opponents on the Hill, of encryption have been Dianne Feinstein, California Democrat, Richard Burr, a North Carolina Republican.”
Ted Ullyot Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:15 a16z Podcast | Of Presidents, Policies, and Tech
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2023
Adam Robinson: Quantum Computing Will Crack Any Encryption in Minutes
“Anything that's encrypted with quantum computing, you'll be able to crack that, whatever the encryption is, in, I don't know, seconds or minutes.”
Adam Robinson Dec 26, 2018 ▶ 16:29 #48 Adam Robinson: Winning at the Great Game (Part 2)
Y COMBINATOR Assertion Partly supported
Hwang: DeepMind demonstrated AI systems learning encryption without explicit programming
“There's a paper that came out from DeepMind, I think, earlier this year, that was kind of, like, if you get two machines to talk to one another, they will eventually, like, and you can set up another computer to basically say, like, oh, I can read what you're …”
Tim Hwang Jun 16, 2017 ▶ 22:18 At the Intersection of AI, Governments, and Google - Tim Hwang · Y Combinator

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