Christodoulides: Diplomatic success depends on counterpart's post-meeting thoughts
“What is important is when you finish a meeting as a diplomat, what your colleague will think after you leave and not what he or she mentions during your discussion.”
High-level networking requires the meticulous preparation of a diplomat or spy
“Proper networking is like being a diplomat or if you want a spy, but is, is it requires planning. It requires knowledge. It requires studying what you want to pitch and what are your goals, but also who are the people that you are going to meet and identify th…”
Wolfe: Science and technology is a major vector for modern diplomacy
“And you think about the diplomatic vectors of military and economic and political, science and technology is another vector for diplomacy.”
Sikri: Demand for instant diplomatic responses forces high-pressure decisions
“Nowadays people expect a response instantly. And that is sometimes a problem because you can take decisions under pressure.”
Brown: Debugging game AI requires deep mastery to spot novel brilliance
“When you work on these games, you kind of have to understand the game well enough to like be able to debug your bot because If the bot does something that's, like, really radical and, like, that humans typically wouldn't do, you're not sure if that's, like, a …”
Brown: Game Theory Optimal fails in collaborative games like Diplomacy
“Basically, when you're playing, like, the zero-sum games, like, poker, Game Theory Optimal works really well. When you're playing a game like Diplomacy, where there's, like, you need to collaborate and compete, and you need, there's room for collaboration, the…”
Patel: Training AI on math will not yield diplomatic acumen
“I just don't think you're going to train the AI so much on math that is going to learn how to do Henry Kissinger level diplomacy. I do think skills are somewhat more self-contained.”
Kushner: Sustainable diplomacy requires economic opportunity alongside security, not just militarization
“And I think that that's the right formula for people to be using going forward for diplomacy, not how do we out militarize each other? I think military is an important component to it, but to have an end state that's sustainable, you need to figure out how can…”
Meta's Cicero played 40 Diplomacy games without detection as a bot
“But surprisingly, we managed to go, like, the full 40 games without being detected as a bot.”
Self-play negotiation bots trained without human data invent unintelligible languages
“If you train that bot from scratch with no human data it's going to, it could learn to negotiate, but it could learn to negotiate in a language that's not English. It could learn to negotiate in some like gibberish robot language. And then when you stick it in…”
Monte Carlo Tree Search fails in imperfect-information games like poker
“And that planning algorithm that's used in AlphaGo, Monte Carlo Tree Search, is very domain specific. I think people don't appreciate just how domain specific it is because it works in chess, it works in Go, and these have been like the classic domains that pe…”
Cicero is the first major game AI breakthrough involving cooperation
“What's really interesting about diplomacy, aside from just the natural language component, is that it really is the first major game AI breakthrough in a game that involves cooperation.”
AI will eventually make human partners marginal in centaur Diplomacy play
“Eventually I'd imagine that these systems become so strong that, like, it kind of goes the way of chess, where, like, the human's just kind of, like, adding a marginal difference at the end.”
Sacks: The Russia-Ukraine war was easily avoidable through diplomacy
“My point is this, that this war was easily avoidable through the use of diplomacy.”