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Diplomacy

5 statements across 1 episodes · 2 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Apr 25, 2023 by Noam Brown · said 24 times in 3 episodes since 2023 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Elad Gil (15), Sarah Guo (8), Emad Mostaque (1)

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2024 1 mention in 1 episode
2023 23 mentions in 2 episodes 12 per episode

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Everything said about Diplomacy, oldest first

Apr 25, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cicero is the first major game AI breakthrough involving cooperation
“What's really interesting about diplomacy, aside from just the natural language component, is that it really is the first major game AI breakthrough in a game that involves cooperation.”
Noam Brown Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 47:22 No Priors Ep. 1 | With Noam Brown, Research Scientist at Meta
Apr 25, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI will eventually make human partners marginal in centaur Diplomacy play
“Eventually I'd imagine that these systems become so strong that, like, it kind of goes the way of chess, where, like, the human's just kind of, like, adding a marginal difference at the end.”
Noam Brown Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 48:56 No Priors Ep. 1 | With Noam Brown, Research Scientist at Meta
Apr 25, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Monte Carlo Tree Search fails in imperfect-information games like poker
“And that planning algorithm that's used in AlphaGo, Monte Carlo Tree Search, is very domain specific. I think people don't appreciate just how domain specific it is because it works in chess, it works in Go, and these have been like the classic domains that pe…”
Noam Brown Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 34:52 No Priors Ep. 1 | With Noam Brown, Research Scientist at Meta
Apr 25, 2023 negative
Insight
Self-play negotiation bots trained without human data invent unintelligible languages
“If you train that bot from scratch with no human data it's going to, it could learn to negotiate, but it could learn to negotiate in a language that's not English. It could learn to negotiate in some like gibberish robot language. And then when you stick it in…”
Noam Brown Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 22:15 No Priors Ep. 1 | With Noam Brown, Research Scientist at Meta
Apr 25, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Meta's Cicero played 40 Diplomacy games without detection as a bot
“But surprisingly, we managed to go, like, the full 40 games without being detected as a bot.”
Noam Brown Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 10:07 No Priors Ep. 1 | With Noam Brown, Research Scientist at Meta
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