Nvidia

includes NVIDIA H100, NVIDIA Blackwell, NVIDIA A100, NVIDIA B200, NVIDIA Rubin, NVIDIA H200, NVIDIA B300, NVIDIA Vera Rubin, NVIDIA B100, NVIDIA DGX, NVIDIA GB200, NVIDIA GPUs and 17 more

180 statements across 89 episodes · 83 bullish · 55 bearish · 59 people on the record · first statement May 30, 2016 by Matt Turck · said 1,152 times in 173 episodes since 2016 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Harry Stebbings (522), Jason Lemkin (91), Rory O'Driscoll (79), Steeve Morin (44), Andrew Feldman (37), Jonathan Ross (28), Cliff Weitzman (26), Eiso Kant (12)

tap a year for its mentions
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0306020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
00530106020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 459 mentions in 59 episodes 8 per episode
2025 466 mentions in 58 episodes 8 per episode
2024 178 mentions in 39 episodes 5 per episode
2023 24 mentions in 11 episodes 2 per episode
2022 19 mentions in 2 episodes 10 per episode
2017 5 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode
2016 1 mention in 1 episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Nvidia, oldest first

May 30, 2016 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Turck: Deep learning's resurgence required big data and NVIDIA GPUs
“Deep learning for the most part was really developed by some, you know, particularly forward-thinking researchers like, you know, you have a con, Jeff Hinton, that, that, that group, and it's really only up until recently when those algorithms intersected with…”
Matt Turck May 30, 2016 ▶ 17:34 20VC: Is Big Data Still A Thing with Matt Turck, Managing Director at FirstMark Capital
Mar 22, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Alex Mittal expects APIs to unlock complex compute power and data for developers
“The other is actually fundamentally, we're seeing the exposing complex, like computing capabilities and data that is inaccessible to most people through APIs. And so like by analogy, if you're at CES, like NVIDIA announced this cloud gaming service, which is n…”
Alex Mittal Mar 22, 2017 ▶ 24:59 20VC: How Every VC Firm Is A Marketplace, Why A Large Amount of Promise in AI Today Is Impossible & Entrepreneurs 3 Main Pain Points of Fundraising with Alex Mittal, Founder & CEO @ Funders Club
Sep 2, 2022
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Haas: NVIDIA Never Used Org Charts Under Jensen Huang
“Anecdotally, for example, we never had organization charts. We didn't print them out. Jensen didn't like using words like divisions in terms of describing different operating groups, because for him, it was one NVIDIA.”
René Haas Sep 2, 2022 ▶ 6:12 20VC: Arm CEO Rene Haas on How The Best Leaders Make Decisions and The Trade-Off Between Speed and Quality | Leadership Lessons from 7 Years at Nvidia | How Companies Can Retain Speed, Innovation and Agility at Scale
Nov 14, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Wood: FAANGs, Microsoft, and Nvidia made up nearly 50% of Nasdaq 100 in 2021
“Last year the market reached all-time highs in twenty-twenty-one as we were selling off, and it was the Fangs, it was Microsoft, it was Nvidia, and those, if you look at the Nasdaq 100, account for, account ed at that time, for nearly 50% of that index”
Cathie Wood Nov 14, 2022 ▶ 18:21 Cathie Wood: Elon & Twitter; Why Facebook is a Value Stock Now; ARK's Performance | 20VC #949 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 14, 2022 neutral
Disclosure
Wood: ARK completely sold Nvidia before buying back after stock tumbled
“We ended up selling out of Nvidia and only recently since it has had a tumble. Have we re-initiated our position?”
Cathie Wood Nov 14, 2022 ▶ 16:45 Cathie Wood: Elon & Twitter; Why Facebook is a Value Stock Now; ARK's Performance | 20VC #949 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 17, 2023 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2028
Mostaque: Only five or six foundation model companies will survive
“I think that there's only going to be five or six foundation model companies in the world in three years, five years. ... I think it's going to be us, NVIDIA Google, Microsoft OpenAI, and Meta and Apple probably are the ones that train these models.”
Emad Mostaque May 17, 2023 ▶ 45:46 Emad Mostaque: These 5 Companies Will Win the AI War; Why We Need National Data Sets | E1015 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 12, 2023 bullish
Assertion Supported
Eisenberg: Mellanox technology is the backbone for NVIDIA's AI scaling
“Yael Waldman's company Mellanox was purchased by NVIDIA, and that's really the backbone that enables NVIDIA to scale for AI.”
Michael Eisenberg Oct 12, 2023 ▶ 17:21 Michael Eisenberg and Adi Levanon: Israeli Resilience in Crisis | E1072 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 27, 2023 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2026
Sim: Boldstart will never fund AI startups spending mostly on Nvidia
“You will never find both start, for example, finding companies where, you know, they're raising 20 or thirty million dollars, and two thirds of that money goes to NVIDIA.”
Ed Sim Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 21:20 Ed Sim: Why Seed Has Never Been More Competitive & Why Pricing Has Never Been Higher | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 15, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Stebbings: AI Upside Is Already Priced Into Microsoft and Nvidia
“And my hard thing is like, as a general capital allocator and capitalist who wants to make money, I think the upside is already priced into Microsoft or Nvidia, where I'm not looking at them like, oh, there's a buying opportunity now because they're so richly …”
Harry Stebbings Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 56:00 Des Traynor: How to Survive and Thrive in a World of OpenAI | E1082 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 15, 2023 bearish
Prediction Held up
Traynor: Nvidia won't be the sole GPU maker in five years
“I don't think NVIDIA in five years time will be sitting here proud as the only people who can do a GPU.”
Des Traynor Nov 15, 2023 ▶ 38:33 Des Traynor: How to Survive and Thrive in a World of OpenAI | E1082 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 24, 2023 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mostaque: Only 5 or 6 foundation model companies will exist in 3-5 years
“I think that there's only going to be five or six foundation model companies in the world in three years, five years. I think it's going to be us, Nvidia, Google, Microsoft OpenAI, and Meta and Apple probably are the ones that train these models.”
Emad Mostaque Nov 24, 2023 ▶ 0:55 The Ultimate AI Roundtable: What Happens Now in AI, Why Google are Vulnerable | E1085 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 8, 2023 positive
Insight
Biswas: VCs Should Not Filter Out First-Time Founders
“There are a lot of first time founders who are phenomenal. Like I think, you know, you think about Jensen from Nvidia, he's been, I think that's his first startup. It's turned out quite good, right? So that's the sort of thing where you'd also don't want to so…”
Sanjit Biswas Dec 8, 2023 ▶ 47:54 Sanjit Biswas: Samsara's $18BN Market Cap & $1BN in ARR in 8 Years | E1092 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 15, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Brian Halligan notes Nvidia's Jensen Huang publicly criticizes his 50 direct reports
“One of the things he does is he criticizes in public. Okay, so he's got his team, he's got 40 direct reports, which is pretty weird, or 50 direct reports, and if somebody says somebody disagrees with or does something that he didn't like, he will in front of e…”
Brian Halligan Jan 15, 2024 ▶ 27:48 Brian Halligan: Leadership Lessons Scaling Hubspot to $28BN | E1103 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 4, 2024 bearish
Disclosure
Harry Stebbings admits he wrongly thought Nvidia was overpriced last year
“I'm just forever, I'm forever stuck, because I've always looked at NVIDIA and gone, God, that's overpriced. And I've done that for the last year. And I've been proved thoroughly wrong, clearly, in my expectation that it's overpriced.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 4, 2024 ▶ 17:33 Nicolai Tangen: Managing the Largest Sovereign Wealth Fund in the World | E1122 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 4, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Microsoft is the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund's largest equity position
“Our biggest position is Microsoft. We have big, very big positions in you know, Nvidia, AMD. Alphabet. You name them, we have. Those are our biggest positions.”
Nicolai Tangen Mar 4, 2024 ▶ 23:05 Nicolai Tangen: Managing the Largest Sovereign Wealth Fund in the World | E1122 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 8, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
Lehmann: Screenless dedicated AI inference computers will be in every home
“I think when it comes to AI and personal AI, we may be at a moment in time where there is an opportunity for a new computer, a new type of computer that we may see in every home. A computer that runs your own personal AI on a chip that does not have to be as p…”
Bastian Lehmann Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 49:51 Bastian Lehmann: How the Uber Deal Went Down and How a $2.65BN Deal Turned into $5BN | E1137 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 29, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mensch: Nvidia captures top AI margins while LLM margins lag traditional software
“NVIDIA is, at that point. The cloud providers are pretty much at cost LLM providers, we're not at cost hopefully, but the margin that, Are known to be lower than the typical software margins.”
Arthur Mensch Apr 29, 2024 ▶ 19:45 Arthur Mensch: Open vs Closed - Who Wins and Mistral's Position | E1146 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 29, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Mensch: NVIDIA roadmap delivers 30% compute cost reduction every two years
“The cost of compute reduces over time, just based on hardware costs. It reduces around 30% every two years if you follow NVIDIA roadmap. For the same amount of flops.”
Arthur Mensch Apr 29, 2024 ▶ 22:23 Arthur Mensch: Open vs Closed - Who Wins and Mistral's Position | E1146 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 22, 2024 positive
Opinion
Aaron Levie: Jensen Huang's 5-to-10-Year Tech View Is Unparalleled
“His window into, you know, five or 10 years out in, in tech is, is unparalleled right now.”
Aaron Levie May 22, 2024 ▶ 51:43 Aaron Levie: How the Business Model of SaaS Changes Forever & Startups vs Incumbents:Who Wins?|E1155 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 17, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Danny Rimer: Not doubling down on Nvidia was a big mistake
“Clearly, I mean, I invested in NVIDIA. I should have doubled down a lot more when I did a couple of years ago. That, that was a big mistake.”
Danny Rimer Jun 17, 2024 ▶ 23:36 Danny Rimer: The Biggest Lessons from Missing Snap, Airbnb, Spotify and Facebook | E1166 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 19, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Eisenberg: US Nvidia chip bans have not meaningfully slowed China's AI
“The U.S. Put a banner on Nvidia chips going to China. I don't sense that it slowed China down in a meaningful way.”
Michael Eisenberg Jun 19, 2024 ▶ 26:13 Michael Eisenberg: How China Could Overtake the US in the AI Race | E1167 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 1, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Matt Clifford: Next US President Will Maintain Aggressive Nvidia Export Bans
“The one bipartisan issue in Washington Is screw China. And, you know, like, it's certainly true that I remember writing about in 20, you know, 1819, about, like, Trump export controls, and what's interesting is that the Biden White House has been as aggressive…”
Matt Clifford Jul 1, 2024 ▶ 23:38 Matt Clifford: The Bull & Bear Case for China's Ability to Challenge the US' AI Capabilities | E1172 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 22, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hartz: Nvidia's valuation is a precursor to the bubble of all bubbles
“NVIDIA becoming the most valuable company on the planet is just the precursor towards the bubble of all bubbles.”
Kevin Hartz Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Kevin Hartz: "How I Lost Airbnb at Seed Because of an Exploding Term Sheet" | E1180 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 5, 2024 neutral
Insight
Cahn: Nvidia's fat gross margins will inevitably draw heavy competition
“NVIDIA earns a big gross margin. And when you, when anyone sees a fat gross margin in a big market, people come chasing.”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2024 ▶ 31:49 David Cahn: Why Servers, Steel and Power Are the Pillars Powering the Future of AI | E1186 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 5, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cahn: Nvidia will continue to surprise positively on chip performance
“The price to performance ratio continues to improve. I don't see that stopping. NVIDIA is a fantastic company. They've, Have a track record of innovating. They have a track record of new products. You better believe Jensen's driving his team super hard on what…”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2024 ▶ 31:25 David Cahn: Why Servers, Steel and Power Are the Pillars Powering the Future of AI | E1186 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 5, 2024 positive
Opinion
David Cahn: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is the Steve Jobs of our era
“Jensen is the Steve Jobs of our era.”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2024 ▶ 22:26 David Cahn: Why Servers, Steel and Power Are the Pillars Powering the Future of AI | E1186 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 28, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Narayanan: Nvidia is trying aggressively to migrate from hardware to services
“I do find it interesting that NVIDIA itself Has been trying to migrate really, really hard out of hardware into becoming a services company.”
Arvind Narayanan Aug 28, 2024 ▶ 47:47 Arvind Narayanan: AI Scaling Myths, The Core Bottlenecks in AI Today & The Future of Models | E1195 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 25, 2024 bearish
Prediction Held up
Vishria: Nvidia will not remain the only major AI infrastructure player
“I don't believe NVIDIA is going to be the only game to have content infrastructure layer.”
Eric Vishria Sep 25, 2024 ▶ 0:04 Eric Vishria: Where is the Value in AI - Chips, Models or Apps? | E1206 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 7, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Eiso Kant: NVIDIA, Google, and Amazon Lead AI Hardware Volume
“The reason I mentioned those three specifically is that they are all building extremely large volume of chips. And constantly iterating on faster and better and better generations of chips for training and for inference. They're, for me, the three primary play…”
Eiso Kant Oct 7, 2024 ▶ 37:47 Eiso Kant, CTO @Poolside: Raising $600M To Compete in the Race for AGI | E1211 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 7, 2024 positive
Disclosure
NVIDIA participated in Poolside's funding round without taking an outsized stake
“There is one corporate that became part of our round, and that was very deliberate, was NVIDIA. Not in an outsized stake manner at all. And it's because we collaborate really closely with them On, you know, the next generation of their chips, on the software a…”
Eiso Kant Oct 7, 2024 ▶ 44:28 Eiso Kant, CTO @Poolside: Raising $600M To Compete in the Race for AGI | E1211 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 7, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Nvidia GPUs yield 2x AI training performance gain every two years
“Pretty much what we've seen consistently with every two-year generation of training from NVIDIA is about a two X, one and a half to two X, you know, performance increase. But training is about two X every two years.”
Eiso Kant Oct 7, 2024 ▶ 39:22 Eiso Kant, CTO @Poolside: Raising $600M To Compete in the Race for AGI | E1211 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Wang: SCGE goes long Nvidia and shorts moatless server hardware stocks
“We can go long NVIDIA and then we can short a bunch of the companies that I think don't have the depth of modes that NVIDIA has.”
Jeff Wang Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 54:21 Jeff Wang: Sequoia Capital's $9BN Global Equities Fund on The Future for NVIDIA, Google & Meta|E1212 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 28, 2024 negative
Opinion
Khachab: Europe should subsidize TSMC and NVIDIA instead of Intel
“First of all, Intel is the wrong company to fund. So the first step you ask me is like, put it to the right company. Put it to Taiwan Semiconductor. Put it to NVIDIA. People that can actually produce GPUs.”
Daniel Khachab Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 30:03 Daniel Khachab: "We Are in the Middle of a Cold War for AI Talent" | E1220 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 29, 2024 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Podjarny: Nvidia's revenue is largely secured by existing advance commitments
“They sold a lot of commitments already, and so I think a good amount of their revenue is pretty guaranteed”
Guy Podjarny Nov 29, 2024 ▶ 2:42 Guy Podjarny: The Future of AI Software Development - What is Real & What is BS | E1232 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 29, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Guy Podjarny: Nvidia is building a cloud to leverage chip lead
“They know that the clouds, for instance, have distribution advantages, and so they're building a cloud. They're using their semiconductor advantage.”
Guy Podjarny Nov 29, 2024 ▶ 1:42 Guy Podjarny: The Future of AI Software Development - What is Real & What is BS | E1232 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 9, 2024 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Benioff: Jensen Huang Was Sole Tech CEO to Pivot to Deep Learning
“He was the only large company, CEO in tech, who said, you know what? Deep learning is such a big idea, and this technology is pretty darn close, the GPU to what you need. I'm gonna pivot my whole company, and I'm just gonna be about deep learning. And he did t…”
Marc Benioff Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 31:33 Marc Benioff, Salesforce Founder: Why Salesforce Isn't Hiring Software Engineers | E1236 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 16, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hoffman: Nvidia will remain strong despite tech giants building rival chips
“So both, NVIDIA's business will continue to go very strongly because they have an amazing Lead, currently, in amazing chips, and there is you know, massive demand for their chips for doing compute, and many players, Google, Amazon, others, including AMD, are b…”
Reid Hoffman Dec 16, 2024 ▶ 48:04 Reid Hoffman, LinkedIn & Paypal Founder: Trump Administration, Elon Musk and DOGE | E1239 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dines: Nvidia will struggle to maintain current chip dominance against hyperscalers
“It's hard to see it at existing levels, and think about, I think half of NVIDIA revenue today is from these five hyperscalers, so, and if they are all in the business of building, it's kind of, I think it's hard, but obviously NVIDIA has such an important, you…”
Daniel Dines Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 40:27 Daniel Dines, UiPath CEO & Founder: Why Agents Do Not Mean RPA is F*** | E1240 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sivulka: AI model layer will commoditize as value accrues to applications and hardware
“I, you know, I think that ultimately the model layer, and I think this is not a hot take anymore. I've been saying it for a few years, but I think it will become commoditized. I think that a lot of value will accrue at the hardware layer especially And we coul…”
George Sivulka Jan 22, 2025 ▶ 43:08 George Sivulka, Co-Founder & CEO @Hebbia: The Future of Foundation Models | E1250 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 22, 2025 bearish
Prediction Held up
Sivulka: AI shift from training to inference will destabilize Nvidia's dominance
“The shift away from training to inference as a fundamental, like, almost macro shift in how people deploy AI. I actually think that will destabilize slightly the dominance of NVIDIA chips.”
George Sivulka Jan 22, 2025 ▶ 53:40 George Sivulka, Co-Founder & CEO @Hebbia: The Future of Foundation Models | E1250 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Ross: Specialized AI inference chip startups benefit NVIDIA's stock
“I don't know that Nvidia will ever see it this way, but I do think that those of us focusing on inference and building stuff specifically for that are probably the best thing that's ever happened for Nvidia stock because we'll take on the low margin, high volu…”
Jonathan Ross Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 41:56 Jonathan Ross: DeepSeek Special - How Should OpenAI and the US Government Respond | E1253 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Ross: Nvidia is more valuable because of DeepSeek, not less
“It's actually more valuable. Thanks to deep seek, not less valuable.”
Jonathan Ross Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 39:39 Jonathan Ross: DeepSeek Special - How Should OpenAI and the US Government Respond | E1253 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Harry Stebbings bought Nvidia stock following post-DeepSeek market drop
“I just bought a shitload of NVIDIA, because they dropped 16% on the thesis that the increasing efficiency means that obviously we wouldn't need as much NVIDIA chips.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 38:56 Jonathan Ross: DeepSeek Special - How Should OpenAI and the US Government Respond | E1253 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 17, 2025 positive
Opinion
Ross: Groq benefits NVIDIA by capturing lower-margin inference workload
“You can almost say we're one of the best things that's ever happened to NVIDIA because they can make every single GPU that they were going to make, and they can sell it for training, high margin, gets amortized across deployment. You know, we'll take the low m…”
Jonathan Ross Feb 17, 2025 ▶ 0:10 Jonathan Ross, Founder & CEO @ Groq: NVIDIA vs Groq - The Future of Training vs Inference | E1260 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 17, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Ross: NVIDIA holds a cornered resource as HBM monopsony buyer
“You don't normally think of tech companies as having a cornered resource, but Nvidia has a cornered resource. They're a monopsony, the opposite of a monopoly, a single buyer for HBM, and the Interposer, the COOS.”
Jonathan Ross Feb 17, 2025 ▶ 16:58 Jonathan Ross, Founder & CEO @ Groq: NVIDIA vs Groq - The Future of Training vs Inference | E1260 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 17, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Ross: NVIDIA used misleading benchmark curves to claim 30x GPU speedup
“Like, if you look at the last GTC, there was an announcement that the latest GPUs were 30 x faster than the previous generation. And when you look at how it was done, there was this curve that looked kind of like this, and then it Basically ended here, and the…”
Jonathan Ross Feb 17, 2025 ▶ 24:48 Jonathan Ross, Founder & CEO @ Groq: NVIDIA vs Groq - The Future of Training vs Inference | E1260 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 17, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Ross: Customers buy both Groq and NVIDIA GPUs rather than replacing Groq
“We don't really have people saying, you know, we're gonna buy GPUs instead of you. We do have people saying we're gonna buy both.”
Jonathan Ross Feb 17, 2025 ▶ 28:16 Jonathan Ross, Founder & CEO @ Groq: NVIDIA vs Groq - The Future of Training vs Inference | E1260 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 17, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Ross: Drop in NVIDIA stock was a misunderstanding of market fundamentals
“I don't agree that Nvidia stock should have gone down for that. I think that was a misunderstanding on most people's part, but it also shows, I think that shows more like everyone keeps saying Nvidia stock can't possibly go higher.”
Jonathan Ross Feb 17, 2025 ▶ 10:01 Jonathan Ross, Founder & CEO @ Groq: NVIDIA vs Groq - The Future of Training vs Inference | E1260 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 17, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Ross: Inference Accounts For Roughly 40% Of Nvidia's Market
“Right now, about 40% of their, you know, market is inference.”
Jonathan Ross Feb 17, 2025 ▶ 22:02 Jonathan Ross, Founder & CEO @ Groq: NVIDIA vs Groq - The Future of Training vs Inference | E1260 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 negative
Opinion
Morin: AI agents and reasoning will disrupt Nvidia's chip dominance
“Ultimately, the two things that could really, very much shake the industry, the chip industry, in my opinion, is our agents and reasoning.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 8:23 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 positive
Opinion
Morin: Google TPUs have more mature software and compute than Nvidia
“But AMD can do training, but it's also, but in terms of maturity, the, by far the most mature software and compute is TPUs, and then it's Nvidia.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 44:10 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Morin: AMD AI chips are 30% cheaper than Nvidia GPUs
“These chips are 30% cheaper than Nvidia's.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 47:07 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Morin: AMD GPUs achieve 4x inference throughput over Nvidia setups
“If you run on AMD, well, there's enough memory inside the GPU to run one model per card. So you get, you know, eight GPUs, eight times the throughput, while on the other hand, you get eight GPUs, two, you know, two, maybe two and a half times the throughput. S…”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 46:00 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Morin details profit margins across TSMC, Nvidia, and cloud providers
“Nvidia, like a TSMC sells you at 60% margin. Nvidia sells you at, you know, 90% margin. And on top of that, there's Amazon that takes, let's say a 30% margin.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 15:30 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 negative
Opinion
Morin: Nvidia is far from the most efficient AI hardware platform
“But it's by far not the most efficient platform. And arguably, even in terms of software, it's not the best software platform.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 6:08 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Nvidia may lose market dominance in AI inference and training
“I think that there's a shot that they don't.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 35:25 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Nvidia will remain dominant in AI inference due to availability
“The thing is these chips are on the market. They're here. I can, you know, out tab on Chrome and get one. That is something that, you know, I don't take lightly. Availability that is right. So I think Nvidia is used to stay at least if not for the H-one hundre…”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 25:33 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Nvidia intentionally smoothed H100 deliveries to prevent revenue spikes
“The supply of H 100 was actually a smooth out over the year so that they decided so that they didn't have like a big, you know, spike in deliveries and then a quarter less, right?”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 1:16:30 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 negative
Opinion
Morin: Nvidia forces developers to care about unnecessary details like CUDA
“The thing with Nvidia is that they spend a lot of energy making you care about stuff you shouldn't care about, and they were very successful.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 36:41 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 neutral
Insight
Morin: Nvidia won AI training via Mellanox interconnects, not raw compute
“The reason probably Nvidia won, at least in the training space, is because of Mellanox, right? Not because of the raw compute.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 13:17 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Morin: Switching from Nvidia to AMD offers 4x spend efficiency
“A simple example is if you know, switch from Nvidia to AMD on a seven TB model, you can get four times better efficiency, right? In terms of spend.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 3:44 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Nvidia gives zero discounts even on tens of thousands of GPUs
“I talked to a lot of people that build data centers and I tell them, you know, they're, mind you, these people like buy tens of thousands of GPUs. And I asked them, Hey, do you get at least a discount or something? And they're like, no. The only thing we get i…”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 51:56 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Morin: Nvidia stock remains a better buy than AMD due to supply
“Probably I would go today, at least I would go with Nvidia still.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 48:08 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Morin: Nvidia Blackwell chips suffered surface bending causing cooling issues
“For Blackwell, they assembled two chips. But the surface was so big that the chip started to, you know , wave, like, I don't know the English word, but like, you know, started to bend a bit, which further perpetuated the problem because it then didn't make con…”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 10:32 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 21, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2035
Torres: Nvidia is the best 10-year stock hold due to compute demand
“I'm scared of the giants, they're not gonna last, but Nvidia, I think Compute, it's gonna, we're thirsty for Compute.”
Elias Torres Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:07:52 Elias Torres, Co-Founder and CEO @ Agency: What No One Tells You About Selling Your Company · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 24, 2025 bullish
Insight
Feldman: Nvidia customer delivery delays create major opening for competitors
“And so I think there is a real opportunity in the potential for NVIDIA Customer Unhappiness, for sure. For those of us who are competing with them. I mean, if you can't get your gear, you may as well test somebody else's. And that, that's a huge opening.”
Andrew Feldman Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 55:11 Andrew Feldman, Cerebras Co-Founder and CEO: The AI Chip Wars & The Plan to Break Nvidia's Dominance · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 24, 2025 bullish
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2025
Feldman: Cerebras inference has been the fastest platform since August 2024 launch
“And every day since August 26th when we launched Inference, our way has been the fastest way across a whole set of models tested by artificial analysis and others.”
Andrew Feldman Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 10:05 Andrew Feldman, Cerebras Co-Founder and CEO: The AI Chip Wars & The Plan to Break Nvidia's Dominance · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 24, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Feldman: Nvidia's AI chip market share will fall to 50-60% in 5 years
“I think you know, in five years from now, NVIDIA is going to have 60. Somewhere between 50 and 60% of the market, right? I think right now they have approximately all of it. I think they will come down over time.”
Andrew Feldman Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 45:43 Andrew Feldman, Cerebras Co-Founder and CEO: The AI Chip Wars & The Plan to Break Nvidia's Dominance · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 24, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Feldman: Cerebras deployed more exaflops than anyone except Nvidia and AMD
“We, we've deployed tens of exaflops of compute vastly more than anybody else that, that, that isn't AMD or NVIDIA, right?”
Andrew Feldman Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 49:55 Andrew Feldman, Cerebras Co-Founder and CEO: The AI Chip Wars & The Plan to Break Nvidia's Dominance · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Boland: Jensen Huang publicly berates NVIDIA staff to force improvements
“So he will tear people apart in public on stuff that they've not got command of, or he thinks they're wrong about, and he will, like, rip them to shreds, and leave them whimpering in the corner to lick their wounds but I think he then sort of forgets it and ho…”
Stan Boland Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:17:15 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Boland: NVIDIA maintained a management buffer layer to deal with Jensen Huang
“It's just, you know, so, so within NVIDIA, we used to have a, Jensen at the top, we had a layer of people whose job was to buffer everybody else in the company, actually. And so this buffer layer would deal with Jensen, which is great.”
Stan Boland Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:16:20 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Boland: NVIDIA Is Re-Architecting GPUs to Optimize for Inference
“They are making a bunch of architectural changes to GPUs to make them better and better inference.”
Stan Boland Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:14:23 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 2, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Mohan: CUDA is not Nvidia's real competitive moat
“Even a company like NVIDIA, I think everyone outside looking in is like, CUDA is the real moat. Or something like that. I think that's just inaccurate, right?”
Varun Mohan Jun 2, 2025 ▶ 21:44 Windsurf CEO & Co-Founder, Varun Mohan: AI's Biggest Acquisition to Date! · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 14, 2025 neutral
Insight
Tenev: Retail investors lack sub-trillion AI stock investment opportunities
“You've got Tesla, where AI is maybe I don't know, 10, 20% of the story there. So you don't have too many opportunities at sub trillion valuations. So when CoreWeave comes along, that's like AI exposure at a lower level, and people are interested in that.”
Vlad Tenev Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 12:42 Robinhood Founder & CEO, Vlad Tenev: Robinhood’s $85BN Resurgence & Tokenizing SpaceX & OpenAI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 31, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Nvidia chip depreciation will trigger an AI CapEx slowdown
“Someone, at some point someone's going to depreciate all these Nvidia chips and someone's going to have to pay for them. Right? So I do. And I'm sorry to get, I do think there might be a slowdown at some point in time, but right now there's no evidence of it w…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 31, 2025 ▶ 47:45 Why Apple Needs a Management Overhaul & Why Google is Catching Up with Hyperscalers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 4, 2025 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
NVIDIA's Financials Show Negative Revenue Growth Every Three Years
“NVIDIA is a cyclical business at the end of the day. You look at their historical financials over the past 20 years, essentially like every three years, they've had extreme negative year over year revenue growth. Now it rebounds, right? But this is a hardware …”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 1:19:07 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 25, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Deeter: Amazon, Google, and AMD chipsets are challenging Nvidia's market dominance
“I do think that we're also getting many more hardware approaches and solutions out there. So that it's not as wonderful as NVIDIA is. It's not just an NVIDIA world anymore. And the chip sets from Amazon and Google and AMD and others are becoming quite capable.”
Byron Deeter Aug 25, 2025 ▶ 30:56 BVP Partner, Byron Deeter: The Future of Venture - Why Chanel vs Walmart is BS · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 4, 2025 bearish
Opinion
O'Driscoll: $4T AI infrastructure investment requires impossible $800B annual profit
“Four, let's do four billion dollars. You want a 20% return on equity. You gotta be generating eight hundred billion of profit a year. That's a lot of profit when, you know, Facebook met, all these guys make a couple hundred billion a year, right? So you've got…”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 49:12 Anthropic Raises $13BN & OpenAI Buys Statsig for $1.1BN All Stock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 15, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Mercor's customer concentration breakdown is similar to Nvidia's
“Our largest customer, I can't share the exact percentage, but the breakdown is relatively similar to Nvidia.”
Brendan Foody Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 17:38 Mercor CEO & Co-Founder, Brendan Foody: How They Grew from $1M to $500M in 17 Months · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 25, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Nvidia free cash flow surged from $3.8B in FY23 to $60B in FY25
“NVIDIA fiscal year, 2023, 3.8 billion dollars in free cash flow fiscal 2023. Pretty good, right? 3.8 billion. Fiscal 2024, twenty seven billion. Fiscal 2025, sixty billion”
Jason Lemkin Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 16:07 The Impact of H1B Visas on Startups in the US & NVIDIA Invests $100BN Into OpenAI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 25, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: AI capital loop will continue unchecked for 1-2 years
“No one's going to call time out along the way, at least for another year or two based on this, because everyone's getting, you know, the capital is being made available and everyone involved is getting kind of mentally marked up.”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 2:29 The Impact of H1B Visas on Startups in the US & NVIDIA Invests $100BN Into OpenAI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Open
O'Driscoll: Six customers generate 83% of Nvidia's quarterly revenue
“I think six customers I saw on the last quarterly accounted for something like 83% of the revenue”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 10:10 The Impact of H1B Visas on Startups in the US & NVIDIA Invests $100BN Into OpenAI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Nvidia repurchased $9B in stock last quarter with $60B authorized
“They bought nine billion of stock back last quarter. I would have, you know, which is just interesting at this period in the cycle, and they've authorized a sixty billion buyback program.”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 16:50 The Impact of H1B Visas on Startups in the US & NVIDIA Invests $100BN Into OpenAI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 29, 2025 negative
Opinion
Ross: NVIDIA's software moat applies to training, not inference
“That NVIDIA's software is a moat. Yeah it's true for training, but it's not true for inference.”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 1:22:01 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 29, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ross: Securing AI Memory Allocations Requires Paying Two Years in Advance
“The problem is you have to write that check more than two years in advance.”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 17:29 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 29, 2025
Assertion Supported
Ross: NVIDIA will produce ~5.5M GPUs this year despite 50M die capacity
“If Nvidia wanted to, they could build fifty million of those GPU die, Per year. But they're going to build about 5.5 million GPUs this year.”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 14:48 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 29, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Ross: NVIDIA effectively holds a monopsony on High Bandwidth Memory
“The thing is, Nvidia effectively has a monopsony on HBM.”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 14:26 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Ross: NVIDIA Will Sell Every Single GPU It Builds
“NVIDIA's gonna sell every single GPU that they build.”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 44:13 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Ross: Nvidia will be worth $10 trillion in five years
“I personally would be surprised if in five years NVIDIA wasn't worth 10 trillion, but I can't predict the outcome.”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 0:18 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Ross: NVIDIA will keep selling chips despite AI labs building custom silicon
“NVIDIA still keeps selling chips.”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 26:00 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 29, 2025 bearish
Insight
Ross: Building custom AI chips to rival NVIDIA is like replicating Google
“Going off and saying, I'm gonna build my own AI chip to compete with NVIDIA, It's a little bit like saying, you know, that Google search is pretty nice. Let's go replicate it. It's insane. Like the level of optimization, the level of design and engineering tha…”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 7:34 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Ross: NVIDIA will retain 50%+ revenue share with 10% chip volume
“My prediction is that in five years, NVIDIA will still have over 50% of the revenue. However, they will have a minority of the chips sold. They might have, you know, minority share. They might have 51% of the revenue, and they might have 10% of the chips sold.”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 1:13:52 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 6, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Nvidia Is the 21st Century's Greatest Company; Valuation May Be Too Low
“I think they've proven themselves to be the greatest company of the first quarter of the 21st century, right? 21st century. They've proven themselves to be the extraordinary company in the first quarter of the century, and I don't know if four trillion's right…”
Andrew Feldman Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 38:57 Cerebras CEO, Andrew Feldman on Why Raise $1BN and Delay the IPO & Why NVIDIA’s Worried About Growth · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 6, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Feldman: TSMC fab expansion speed bottlenecks global AI chip supply
“TSMC can't build fabs fast enough. I think the truth is, is that these are both for TSMC and Samsung. These fabs are the most amazing manufacturing plants on the planet. And, you know, these are 30,000,000,050 billion dollar factories. And the, their ability t…”
Andrew Feldman Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 43:23 Cerebras CEO, Andrew Feldman on Why Raise $1BN and Delay the IPO & Why NVIDIA’s Worried About Growth · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 6, 2025 negative
Opinion
In AI Inference, Nobody Cares About Nvidia's CUDA or PyTorch
“In inference, the truth is, nobody cares about CUDA. Nobody even cares about PyTorch. All right. What they want is an API.”
Andrew Feldman Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 24:59 Cerebras CEO, Andrew Feldman on Why Raise $1BN and Delay the IPO & Why NVIDIA’s Worried About Growth · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 6, 2025 negative
Opinion
Nvidia Invested in OpenAI Primarily to Lock Up Chip Demand
“Beyond the fact that, that Nvidia has chosen to try and lock up a portion of OpenAI's demand. By investing in them. That, that, that's about as much as you can say.”
Andrew Feldman Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 14:21 Cerebras CEO, Andrew Feldman on Why Raise $1BN and Delay the IPO & Why NVIDIA’s Worried About Growth · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 6, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Nvidia Charges Gross Margins Between 78% and 85% on High-End Chips
“Well, because they want to get rid of the 78% gross margin that NVIDIA is charging. That's why it makes sense. Just like that. It might be, on the high-end chips, 85%.”
Andrew Feldman Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 54:00 Cerebras CEO, Andrew Feldman on Why Raise $1BN and Delay the IPO & Why NVIDIA’s Worried About Growth · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 6, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Nvidia Conceals Massive Chip Field Failure Rates to Keep Customers Waiting
“You don't talk about the field failure rate of your products, which are massive. Rather you sort of keep talking about the future in an effort to convince people to wait, to make a good decision rather than go with technology that's, that that's better and pre…”
Andrew Feldman Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 12:47 Cerebras CEO, Andrew Feldman on Why Raise $1BN and Delay the IPO & Why NVIDIA’s Worried About Growth · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 6, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Feldman: Cerebras sales would default to NVIDIA without 10x superiority
“Every dollar we sell is a dollar that if we didn't work at it, if we didn't think, if we didn't invent, if we weren't 10 times better would default to NVIDIA.”
Andrew Feldman Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 1:16:41 Cerebras CEO, Andrew Feldman on Why Raise $1BN and Delay the IPO & Why NVIDIA’s Worried About Growth · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 6, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Feldman: Cerebras chips are faster than Nvidia at both training and inference
“No, we're faster on both, but the software challenges In training are real.”
Andrew Feldman Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 24:13 Cerebras CEO, Andrew Feldman on Why Raise $1BN and Delay the IPO & Why NVIDIA’s Worried About Growth · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Nvidia is the only company making money in AI
“The only person making any money in AI is NVIDIA. Even Oracle isn't making any money. OpenAI certainly isn't making any money.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 10:24 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Jensen Huang knows Nvidia will have to give up profits
“Nvidia is making so much money, it's almost incomprehensible. So I think Jensen knows he's got to give up some of it.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 0:15 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025 bullish
Insight
O'Driscoll: OpenAI and Nvidia are repeating Microsoft and Intel's 90s playbook
“Fast forward to today, the company that's dominating everything is OpenAI. They're the Microsoft of today. They have the consumers. They have the eyeballs, right? They're building this new monopoly, and the equivalent of Intel is now Nvidia.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 6:57 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025 bullish
Opinion
O'Driscoll: Nvidia built a monopoly because competitors ignored them for 30 years
“Everyone left them alone for 30 years, and they built a monopoly, and now he's, you know, picking up the checks on it.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 16:53 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 27, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cahn: AI infrastructure investment requires $840B in end-user revenue
“If you invest one hundred fifty billion in NVIDIA chips, that's about three hundred billion of data center investments. And to pay that back, the person using the compute needs to earn a 50% gross margin. So there's about six hundred billion of revenue that ne…”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 3:20 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2025 negative
Opinion
Andrew Ng: US chip export controls have backfired and accelerated Chinese innovation
“I think the export control on chips has largely backfired. The way that the US and I think that the way the US first put restrictions on Huawei and then later on, you know, exported NVIDIA and AMD and other semiconductors that really incentivized China. So bef…”
Andrew Ng Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 28:18 AI Fund’s GP, Andrew Ng: LLMs as the Next Geopolitical Weapon & Do Margins Still Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2025 negative
Opinion
Andrew Ng: AI application capital recycles through model providers to Nvidia
“In fact, if you look a lot of the application layer investments. Sometimes it feels like, you know, firms are putting in a hundred million dollars so that they can pay Open Ananthropic. So the Open Ananthropic can pay NVIDIA, which is where all the money is, i…”
Andrew Ng Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 31:44 AI Fund’s GP, Andrew Ng: LLMs as the Next Geopolitical Weapon & Do Margins Still Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2025 bearish
Assertion Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Tunguz: Nvidia revenue concentration is 10x worse than Lucent during dot-com bubble
“So Nvidia, two customers for Nvidia represent more than 40% of revenues. Four percent represent more than 50% of revenues. I went back and looked at the dot-com era, the networking companies. NVIDIA is 10 times more concentrated in terms of revenue than Lucent…”
Tomasz Tunguz Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 43:27 Peter Thiel and Softbank Sell NVIDIA - Why? & Why VC Will Hit $1TRN and The Opening of Retail · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Jason Lemkin: Investors ignore systemic AI risks due to Nvidia's strong numbers
“I actually think going to the opening of the show, I actually think we're just ignoring the risk because the NVIDIA's numbers are just too good. No, that's what we're all doing. We're ignoring it. This is systemic risk.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 12:38 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 positive
Opinion
Rory O'Driscoll: Microsoft-Anthropic-Nvidia compute deal has better fundamentals than peers
“Of all the round tripping deals, I would argue a Microsoft, Entropic, Nvidia deal probably has better principles and upside than most. I mean, some of the other round tripping deals look like they're already, you know, a bit shaky.”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 4:13 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 bearish
Assertion Open · timeframe Nov 2025
Rory O'Driscoll: Four to five customers generate 70-80% of Nvidia's revenue
“The odd thing about the Nvidia business, unlike most other businesses, is four or five of their customers account for 80% of the revenue, something like that, 70, 80%.”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 6:48 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Jason Lemkin: Seamless switching between TPUs and GPUs undercuts Nvidia's moat
“The idea that NVIDIA is unstoppable because of the software and hardware connection, because we have to have GPUs. I know there's a lot of truth to that, but literally as an end user, I went right back and forth to them today. No, no issue. TPUs, GPUs, LLMs, a…”
Jason Lemkin Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 5:46 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Rory O'Driscoll: Nvidia's P/E ratio is lower than Costco's
“The P.E. On NVIDIA, to give that sound bite that I love, it's lower than the P.E. On Costco, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 0:00 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rory O'Driscoll: Nvidia customers will not abandon CUDA due to switching costs
“For most users, because they have such dominance, such validation of the CUDA software layer, for most customers, it's going to be too much brain debt to switch from the cheap, you know, the GPU you know and love to something new, right? Because there's probab…”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 10:55 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2025 positive
Insight
Rory O'Driscoll: Nvidia backs neoclouds because they cannot build custom silicon
“First of all, there's a reason why they sponsor the Core Weaves and the next generation of NeoClouds, because they're like, those guys ain't going to build their own chip.”
Rory O'Driscoll Nov 27, 2025 ▶ 10:16 Anthropic Raises $30B from Microsoft & NVIDIA & NVIDIA’s Core Business Faces TPU Threat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 1, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Siddharth: 39% of Nvidia's revenue comes from just two clients
“Nvidia, for Nvidia 39% of their revenue comes from two clients, right? And roughly 50% was like four clients.”
Jonathan Siddharth Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 41:20 Turing CEO Jonathan Siddharth: Who Wins in Data Labelling & Why 99% of Knowledge Work Will Disappear · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 15, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
The original SoftBank Vision Fund correctly identified the massive AI opportunity
“They were early to figuring out that there would be a huge opportunity in AI. So, you know, they famously were in NVIDIA in, in that fund you know, and they did some really good investments, like Slack, like Garnet.”
David George Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 36:26 a16z's David George on the Most Controversial Bet at a16z & Do Margins and Revenue Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Anthropic buys Broadcom chips to bypass Nvidia's 75% margins
“Why is Entropic buying chips from Broadcom? Answer. They don't want to pay 75% gross margins to Nvidia.”
Rory O'Driscoll Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 28:36 Will Cursor Kill Figma? Lightspeed Raises $9B & OpenAI’s $1B from Disney & #1 App in App Store · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 22, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Lemkin: Custom chip competition will not threaten Nvidia's dominance in 2026
“You're a fool to invest against Nvidia for 2026. And I think you are arguably a fool to invest into Amazon in 20, 26 for a simple reason. Just a simple, I didn't say 20, 27 or 20, 28. It is not enough time for all this competition to come online. It is not eno…”
Jason Lemkin Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 57:00 Predictions for 2026: Top Buy & Biggest Short | Why Salesforce Could Win & NVIDIA’s Challenges · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: Nvidia acquired Groq for $20B cash at 3x valuation markup
“Grok being acquired for twenty billion in cash. It happened just before Christmas. Chamath obviously coming out as one of the big winners. Price is three X more than the last round price.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 1:08 Groq’s $20BN NVIDIA Deal | Why Sam Altman Doesn’t Care About Dilution & Invisible Unemployment 2026 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2026 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Lemkin: Nvidia will likely deprecate Groq's product line post-acquisition
“One, they could do, they could just deprecate the entire product line and do something brand new. They probably will.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 11:52 Groq’s $20BN NVIDIA Deal | Why Sam Altman Doesn’t Care About Dilution & Invisible Unemployment 2026 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2026
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: Jensen Huang closed NVIDIA's $20B Groq deal in two weeks
“He reached out to Jonathan Ross literally just weeks ago, and the deal closed for twenty billion within two weeks. And he told his whole team, I want it done before Christmas, and it was done ahead of time.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 8:00 Groq’s $20BN NVIDIA Deal | Why Sam Altman Doesn’t Care About Dilution & Invisible Unemployment 2026 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2027
Lemkin: Nvidia will crush earnings in 2026 despite surging competitor attacks
“Nvidia's numbers are gonna crush this year, but we're gonna see all the daggers really coming out.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 2:32 Groq’s $20BN NVIDIA Deal | Why Sam Altman Doesn’t Care About Dilution & Invisible Unemployment 2026 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2026 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: Nvidia bought Groq to eliminate one of six margin threats
“There's only five or six people that can exert margin pressure at all on Nvidia. This was potentially one of them, and let's get it off the table.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 4:41 Groq’s $20BN NVIDIA Deal | Why Sam Altman Doesn’t Care About Dilution & Invisible Unemployment 2026 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: NVIDIA operates at 75% gross margins and $100B cash flow
“They have a small number of customers Whom they charge 75% gross margins to and kick off a hundred billion a year in cash, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 4:08 Groq’s $20BN NVIDIA Deal | Why Sam Altman Doesn’t Care About Dilution & Invisible Unemployment 2026 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Bankers Will Use Groq's $20B Deal as Cerebras Valuation Comp
“So from the banker process of, you know, you use comps to justify value, now you've got the world's best comp. Right? And believe me, they'll be using it, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 10:11 Groq’s $20BN NVIDIA Deal | Why Sam Altman Doesn’t Care About Dilution & Invisible Unemployment 2026 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 8, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Nvidia-Groq Deal Is Marginally Net Positive for Cerebras
“My guess is marginally net positive, but kind of, it's like the real, it's one of those weird things where you ask, is it a positive or negative? The truth is there's a big embedded positive, the comp, and there's a big embedded negative, the musical chair pro…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 11:05 Groq’s $20BN NVIDIA Deal | Why Sam Altman Doesn’t Care About Dilution & Invisible Unemployment 2026 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 15, 2026 positive
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Lemkin: One in three Nvidia employees is worth $20M or more
“One in three employees in NVIDIA is now worth twenty million or more. One in three. Okay. 18,000 folks in NVIDIA are worth twenty-five million or more.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 15, 2026 ▶ 1:28:26 Anthropic’s $10B Raise | a16z’s $15B Fund: Is the Middle Dead in VC? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2026 bearish
Prediction Held up
O'Driscoll: Nvidia puts will eventually be a great buy due to cycles
“At some point, NVIDIA ports will be a great buy, because every semiconductor cycle for the last 40 years has ended up in a massive downswing. I ain't buying them today.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 0:16 Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket |TikTok Deal Closes |The IPO Market:Wealthfront & EquipmentShare · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2026
Opinion
Lemkin: NVIDIA would be forced to bail out OpenAI if needed
“If open AI needs a bailout, it has to bail them out. It has no choice”
Jason Lemkin Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 58:07 The SaaS Massacre: Public Market Collapse |Microsoft Lost $360B & NVIDIA’s $100B Dispute with OpenAI
Feb 5, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: NVIDIA issued a document committing up to $100B to OpenAI
“There's a piece of paper. With the NVIDIA logo on it that said we'll do up to a hundred billion, and they put it out there, and now they're like, where's my hundred billion?”
Rory O'Driscoll Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 1:07:49 The SaaS Massacre: Public Market Collapse |Microsoft Lost $360B & NVIDIA’s $100B Dispute with OpenAI
Feb 16, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siemiatkowski: AI enterprise compression could significantly reduce demand for NVIDIA chips
“Well, that would mean that you would leave mean significant, you would need significantly less.”
Sebastian Siemiatkowski Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 1:05:11 Klarna CEO: SaaS is Dead: Why Systems of Record Will Die in an Agentic World · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 26, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Nvidia currently has 20,000 decamillionaire employees
“Nvidia already has 20,000.”
Jason Lemkin Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 22:16 Citrini Research Breakdown: Agents, "Ghost GDP", Consumer Spend | Figma Earnings Beat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 19, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: 30% chance tech CapEx growth slows within five years
“There is at least some probability, pick a number, 30%, that it doesn't happen this way.”
Rory O'Driscoll Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 8:10 NVIDIA Predicts $1TRN in Revenue: Everything You Need to Know From GTC & Anduril Lands $20B Contract · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 19, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2033
Lemkin: Nvidia will reach $10 trillion cumulative bookings in 5-7 years
“I think there's a high degree of confidence that most of the roads lead back to Nvidia reaching 10 trillion of cumulative, cumulative bookings over the next five to seven years.”
Jason Lemkin Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 9:14 NVIDIA Predicts $1TRN in Revenue: Everything You Need to Know From GTC & Anduril Lands $20B Contract · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 19, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Nvidia's $1T soundbite merely matches analyst forecasts
“So it turns out if you add 504 hundred and then you apply a salesman's roundup, you get to a trillion dollars. Another way of translating that wonderful, amazing number of a trillion dollars is the analyst forecasts for the next two or three years look roughly…”
Rory O'Driscoll Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 3:54 NVIDIA Predicts $1TRN in Revenue: Everything You Need to Know From GTC & Anduril Lands $20B Contract · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 14, 2026
Assertion Partly supported
Midha: AI Compute Is Non-Fungible Across Nvidia Chip Generations
“Computer is not fungible today. So forget fungibility of compute across different manufacturers, like NVIDIA and AMD. Within a manufacturer, NVIDIA chips, for example. The H 100, the GB 200, the GB 300, these are all completely different chip types. So if you …”
Anjney Midha Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 36:06 The Early Days of Anthropic & How 21 of 22 VCs Rejected It | The Four Bottlenecks in AI | Anj Midha · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 16, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027
O'Driscoll: Tech giants won't cut AI spending in 2026, keeping Nvidia sold out
“No one's going to blink on their investments for twenty-twenty-six. You actually know the next four quarters of NVIDIA announcement. You know the next four quarters of every one of the infrastructure, which is every single thing we can make. If you can count t…”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 53:38 SpaceX's Financials Leaked: Is it Worth $2TN | Meta Debuts Muse Spark: Are They Back in the AI Race? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 16, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Amazon's $20B Trainium business diverts nearly 10% of Nvidia's revenue
“But all that said, it's still twenty billion of dollars that didn't go to Nvidia that went to Amazon. So it is at the margin meaningful. It's 10% of kind of Nvidia's revenue, a little less than 10%. So it's, and so it's not a mega competitor. It's just an in-h…”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 16, 2026 ▶ 20:03 SpaceX's Financials Leaked: Is it Worth $2TN | Meta Debuts Muse Spark: Are They Back in the AI Race? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 23, 2026
Assertion Partly supported
O'Driscoll: China represents 30% of market and $40B chip revenue for Nvidia
“30% of the entire market is in China. He wants to sell those guys Nvidia chips, and there's simply no argument on God's green earth that's going to convince him that he shouldn't get that forty billion dollars of revenue from shipping chips to China.”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 23, 2026 ▶ 1:43:14 Cursor Acquired for $60BN | Anthropic Hits $1TRN in Secondary Markets & Figma, Adobe, Canva Dead? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 25, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Masad: Anthropic operates at 40% gross margins due to Nvidia chip costs
“Even, like, Anthropic, every hundred dollars they make, 60 goes to NVIDIA, like, you know, their margins are public, it's 40%, right?”
Amjad Masad Apr 25, 2026 ▶ 11:45 Replit CEO: Why the SaaS Apocalypse is Justified & Why Coding Models are Plateauing | Amjad Masad · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 30, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Nvidia makes $14B in raw profit per gigawatt of datacenter compute
“And NVIDIA's gross margins are 70%, which means fourteen billion of that per gig is raw profit to NVIDIA.”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 30:23 Anthropic Raises $45B but Falls Short on Compute & Thoma Bravo Hand Back Medallia Keys to Creditors · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weitzman: Nvidia's 35x multiple is reasonable and stock has more upside
“35 is reasonable given how much they're growing. So yeah, I think they have a lot more juice.”
Cliff Weitzman May 9, 2026 ▶ 1:27:50 Cliff Weitzman: What I Learned from 100 of the World’s Top CEOs & Why Tokens Will Outspend Salaries · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Cliff Weitzman: Brother Tyler made 36x return on levered Nvidia options in 2022
“I just bought a bunch of NVIDIA stock directly. Tyler bought a three X levered option. It's now like 36 X up.”
Cliff Weitzman May 9, 2026 ▶ 1:26:18 Cliff Weitzman: What I Learned from 100 of the World’s Top CEOs & Why Tokens Will Outspend Salaries · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 16, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang maintains extremely fast response times to founders
“And so, and Jensen, NVIDIA is one of our investors, and Jensen told me this, he once called me at midnight, and I was like, on his way home, cold call, and I knew it was him and I picked it up, and it was awesome... He was calling me back Because of an email I…”
Shiv Rao May 16, 2026 ▶ 46:17 The Five Year Desert to Product Market Fit & a $5.3BN Valuation with Shiv Rao, Founder @ Abridge · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 21, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: AI capex splits 50% to Nvidia, 20% to power and networking
“All these companies are on fire because the hyperscalers and the model companies have decided to spend, you know, roughly three quarters to a trillion dollars a year building shit, and 50% of that goes to Nvidia, 10% of that goes to power, 10% of that goes to …”
Rory O'Driscoll May 21, 2026 ▶ 42:34 Anthropic Raises $30BN at $900BN Price | SpaceX Files S1: How Does it Trade | Cerebras Smashes Day 1 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 26, 2026 negative
Opinion
Feldman claims Nvidia funds neoclouds to create competitors for traditional hyperscalers
“I think it has been NVIDIA's strategy to try and create competitors for the traditional hyperscalers. They have funded and backstopped and over allocated to the neoclouds. They have created a dependence, which is probably not healthy.”
Andrew Feldman May 26, 2026 ▶ 0:37 Cerebras CEO on the Future of Data Centres, Token Costs & Memory | Should US Companies Sell to China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 26, 2026 positive
Insight
Feldman claims NeoClouds face massive cost disadvantages buying Nvidia hardware
“When Google or when Cerebris puts our equipment in our own data center, right, we have a significant advantage Over a NeoCloud, because NeoClouds are buying hardware with gross margins of 70, 80% for NVIDIA.”
Andrew Feldman May 26, 2026 ▶ 18:13 Cerebras CEO on the Future of Data Centres, Token Costs & Memory | Should US Companies Sell to China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 26, 2026
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Feldman says Jensen Huang overrode Nvidia lawyers to adopt AI tool Cursor
“I think what's happening is the leaders are tipping. I think even Jensen told a story that, that he was battling with his own internal lawyers around the use of, I think it was cursor, and finally he just decreed. We're gonna do it. And I think I got that righ…”
Andrew Feldman May 26, 2026 ▶ 41:08 Cerebras CEO on the Future of Data Centres, Token Costs & Memory | Should US Companies Sell to China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 28, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: 7% of All Americans' Life Savings Are Concentrated in Nvidia
“Seven percent of all Americans life savings are essentially in Nvidia this morning with concentration.”
Jason Lemkin May 28, 2026 ▶ 4:39 OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | Layoffs at Cloudflare & ClickUp | OpenRouter & Polsia Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 28, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
O'Driscoll: Nvidia's $50B Quarterly Profit Makes It World's Most Profitable
“It's the 50 something billion in profits, which makes it the most profitable company on the planet, because typically Google clocks in around a hundred to a hundred and twenty billion now a year. Right? These guys, in a quarter, made fifty billion plus, fifty-…”
Rory O'Driscoll May 28, 2026 ▶ 2:07 OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | Layoffs at Cloudflare & ClickUp | OpenRouter & Polsia Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 1, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Foody: NVIDIA will lose its monopoly in five years but remain most valuable
“And so I would guess that in five years, it doesn't feel like Nvidia has quite the same monopoly, but that's okay, because even if they only have 30 or 40% market share in the largest market in the world by far, that is the world's most valuable company.”
Brendan Foody Jun 1, 2026 ▶ 52:19 Mercor CEO: Why Application Layer Companies Have No Moat & The Cost of Hiring AI Researchers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 8, 2026 positive
Opinion
Chernin: Earning NVIDIA's respect requires engineering-level alignment
“NVIDIA is still for big extent is an engineers driven company. And I think the best thing you can do To get respect from Nvidia. It's my read. They may have a different point of view, but if engineers in Nvidia respect your engineers, you will have the right f…”
Roman Chernin Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 54:35 Nebius Co-Founder on AI Infrastructure Bubbles | How Price Elastic is Demand for Compute · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 15, 2026
Assertion Partly supported
US government owns 10% of Intel, Nvidia and SoftBank 5% each
“American government owns 10% of Intel. Nvidia and SoftBank own five percent each.”
Aravind Srinivas Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 55:54 Perplexity CEO: Micron Will Be More Valuable Than Meta & How Export Controls Helped Not Hurt China · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 25, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Only Nvidia and Google outperformed the S&P in last 18 months
“Over the last 18 months since 2025, only two of the Mag seven have outperformed the S&P. It's NVIDIA and Google”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 25, 2026 ▶ 12:32 DeepSeek Raises at $50B | The Rise of Open Source vs OpenAI & Anthropic | OpenAI Builds Own Chip · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 9, 2026 bearish
Opinion
O'Driscoll: Nvidia Has Tapped Out Cash-Rich Buyers And Must Subsidize Growth
“We've reached a point where the number of good customers who can pay cash and have a big balance sheet is tapping out. So you got to find more customers to keep the growth going. And to do that, you got to subsidize them.”
Rory O’Driscoll Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 46:53 Enterprises Fear Frontier Models | Sam Altman Offers Trump 5% of OpenAI | DeepSeek Builds Own Chips · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 9, 2026 negative
Opinion
Lemkin: Custom AI chip push is about margin capture, not customization
“This is just responding to believing that the margins are so high in video to survive. We have to recapture that margin. I just think the idea that it's customized for us is just soft language because everyone's kind of dancing around being, being Zuck-esque a…”
Jason Lemkin Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 49:51 Enterprises Fear Frontier Models | Sam Altman Offers Trump 5% of OpenAI | DeepSeek Builds Own Chips · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 9, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Nvidia Recognizes Hardware Revenue Upfront Under ASC 606 With Put-Back Rights
“They're basically, quote, selling you the chips up front, so they are going to recognize that hardware revenue up front, and then they're giving you, as the buyer, the NeoCloud, a backstop that if you can't use that compute, you get kind of put back rights on …”
Rory O’Driscoll Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 44:02 Enterprises Fear Frontier Models | Sam Altman Offers Trump 5% of OpenAI | DeepSeek Builds Own Chips · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 9, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Nvidia would build custom chips for OpenAI if requested
“The only thing that makes zero sense to me is the argument that, hey, at OpenAI, we need to build our own our own chips because we have very specialized needs that NVIDIA can't meet. I have a little bit of experience in the semiconductor industry. If you're dr…”
Jason Lemkin Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 49:08 Enterprises Fear Frontier Models | Sam Altman Offers Trump 5% of OpenAI | DeepSeek Builds Own Chips · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 9, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2029
O'Driscoll: Slowing Compute Demand Will Force Nvidia To Debook Prior Revenue
“And if that slows down and there's excess capacity, these deals will look horrible because you'll not just not be, if you're Nvidia, you'll not just be not growing quickly. You'll be debooking prior revenue. You'll be kind of taking, you know, you'll be taking…”
Rory O’Driscoll Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 45:29 Enterprises Fear Frontier Models | Sam Altman Offers Trump 5% of OpenAI | DeepSeek Builds Own Chips · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 11, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Jain: Nvidia is heavily investing in US open-source AI model development
“There's a lot of motivated parties that actually want to promote, like, including NVIDIA, for example, You know, they're putting a lot of investment in promoting, like, you know, development of great open source models in the US.”
Arvind Jain Jul 11, 2026 ▶ 54:13 ⁠Why OpenAI and Anthropic Won't Win the App Layer | Glean Founder · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 23, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
O'Driscoll: Nvidia and TSMC Have No Written Contract Despite 30-Year Partnership
“You have the NVIDIA relationship with TSMC, which famously, they don't even have a written contract. They've dealt with each other for 30 years.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 1:21:46 Should the US Ban Chinese Open-Source Models | OpenRouter's Chance To Sell | Stripe Buying PayPal
Jul 29, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Open-source AI models will bypass Nvidia's CUDA platform
“He's got to go frontier and open and open is dangerous. Open doesn't need CUDA. Open is cheaper and it's lower margins. Open will bypass him, but he's got it.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 3:13 Jensen's Open-Weights Letter | Google Cloud Grows 82% But The Market Tanks
Aug 2, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Angelopoulos: Enterprise AI adoption will 10X Nvidia reliably
“But I think the enterprise adoption of AI is going to be another 10 Xer for the industry. I think it'll 10 X NVIDIA very reliably.”
Anastasios Angelopoulos Aug 2, 2026 ▶ 1:03:09 Arena CEO: There Will be a $100BN US Open-Source Model & Data is a Trillion Dollar Market
Aug 2, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Angelopoulos: Nvidia is probably leading the race to a $10T valuation
“I think it's hard to say not NVIDIA. I think NVIDIA is probably in the lead there.”
Anastasios Angelopoulos Aug 2, 2026 ▶ 1:02:53 Arena CEO: There Will be a $100BN US Open-Source Model & Data is a Trillion Dollar Market
Aug 2, 2026 positive
Insight
Angelopoulos: Open-source AI growth reduces Nvidia's revenue concentration
“Of course, Jensen is in some sense self-serving with this letter, because the more open source models are developed, the more companies are going to be training on GPUs. They're going to be fine tuning on their own data. And it's just more and more spend. It d…”
Anastasios Angelopoulos Aug 2, 2026 ▶ 21:17 Arena CEO: There Will be a $100BN US Open-Source Model & Data is a Trillion Dollar Market
Aug 7, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2036
Frankel: Photonic Computing Will Disrupt or Be Acquired by Nvidia Within a Decade
“In my view, if you say in 10 years time, and I am not a thematic investor, but I am such a deep believer in The status quo being changed always, and not, and like nothing stays the same. I think photonic computing is coming down the line, and I think that's go…”
David Frankel Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 1:16:31 The AI Boom Will Create Enormous Roadkill: Who Wins & Loses? | David Frankel
Aug 9, 2026 positive
Opinion
Atallah: Nvidia prioritizes avoiding customer concentration in GPU allocations
“Like one of NVIDIA's top priorities is not having customer concentration. They want lots of customers to all have like separate, like allocations of GPUs.”
Alex Atallah Aug 9, 2026 ▶ 6:33 OpenRouter CEO: Why Chinese Open Models Are Beating the US | Why Enterprises Fear OpenAI & Anthropic
Aug 22, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Murdock: Nvidia valuation will surpass $10 trillion in five years
“Over.”
Jerry Murdock Aug 22, 2026 ▶ 59:40 The AI Bubble WILL Burst | Should we be fearful of Chinese Open-Source | Jerry Murdock
Aug 27, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Nvidia licenses Poolside factory for $6B, invests $1B at $12B
“NVIDIA is paying six billion dollars to license Poolside's model factory and investing a billion dollars more at a twelve billion dollar pre-money valuation, moving a 109 engineers over to NemoTron to help build it.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 1:04 Anthropic's $30T Assumption & OpenAI Confirms IPO | Why Customer Service & Robotics are Overinflated
Aug 29, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Reyes: Nvidia will likely hit a $10 trillion market cap within three years
“I think that there's a real serious chance that if we let SpaceX Be worth two or three trillion, then NVIDIA probably is worth 10. And so I think that the answer's likely yes.”
Eno Reyes Aug 29, 2026 ▶ 1:20:03 Should American Enterprises Work With Open-Source Chinese Models? | Only 10% of Neo-labs survive
Sep 3, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Nvidia Reported $96.2B Quarter and Acquired Hugging Face for $12.9B
“Jensen standing on stage with 96.2 billion dollar quarter and immediately went shopping nearing the thirteen billion dollar price tag with the 12.9 billion that they paid for hugging face, which was confirmed just after we did last week's recording.”
Harry Stebbings Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 1:14 NVIDIA Crushes Quarter | OpenAI Cuts Off Cursor | Instinct Hits $2.5B Valuation
Sep 3, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Intense AI compute demand will continue for at least 12 months
“Intense demand for compute is going to continue for at least another 12 months, and it's coming from the person who probably knows best.”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 2:31 NVIDIA Crushes Quarter | OpenAI Cuts Off Cursor | Instinct Hits $2.5B Valuation
Sep 3, 2026 positive
Opinion
Lemkin: Nvidia Paying $12.9B for Hugging Face Is Defensible to Control Market
“All, whatever LLM, whatever inference is, he's committed to winning a majority stake, 70%, 80% of every dollar here, and so 12.9 is, you know, no way I think it's worth it in isolation, but if it helps reinforce that, it's utterly defensible.”
Jason Lemkin Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 9:36 NVIDIA Crushes Quarter | OpenAI Cuts Off Cursor | Instinct Hits $2.5B Valuation
Sep 3, 2026 positive
Insight
O'Driscoll: Open-Source AI Benefits GPU Vendors by Compressing Software Margins
“Open source is good for compute salespeople. If you're selling GPUs, you want everyone else's margin to be lower, so yours can be higher.”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 8:51 NVIDIA Crushes Quarter | OpenAI Cuts Off Cursor | Instinct Hits $2.5B Valuation
Sep 3, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2027
O'Driscoll: Probability of Nvidia Missing Near-Term Earnings Is Zero
“The demand for their product is such that they're entirely supply constrained, so the probability of a near-end miss is plus or minus zero, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 2:02 NVIDIA Crushes Quarter | OpenAI Cuts Off Cursor | Instinct Hits $2.5B Valuation
Sep 3, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Nvidia Projected 70% Revenue Growth for Fiscal Year Ending Jan 2028
“And also, they took the rare step of projecting 70% revenue growth for next fiscal year, ending Jan 20 28, way above the 44% street expected.”
Harry Stebbings Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 5:52 NVIDIA Crushes Quarter | OpenAI Cuts Off Cursor | Instinct Hits $2.5B Valuation
Sep 5, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Weitzman: NVIDIA guarantees 25% GPU buybacks with Wall Street lenders
“So I believe earlier this month, NVIDIA did a huge deal with Blackstone, BlackRock, Apollo, and Goldman Sachs. And they said, listen, we want more people to buy more GPUs. We're going to underwrite for you up to 25% the value of a GPU. That if you lend money t…”
Cliff Weitzman Sep 5, 2026 ▶ 11:19 How to Build Your Own Data Center & Why Every Startup Should Do It
Sep 5, 2026 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Weitzman: Renting an H100 GPU costs 1.5 times more than buying it
“If I was to buy an H 100 for, let's say, 30,000 dollars, that's how much the, kind of, a single card would cost. If I wanted to rent an H 100 for one hour spot instance from GCP, it could cost me five dollars. If I rented it from, like, You know, Azure or AWS,…”
Cliff Weitzman Sep 5, 2026 ▶ 2:50 How to Build Your Own Data Center & Why Every Startup Should Do It
Sep 10, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Sep 2027
O'Driscoll alleges Poolside effectively cashed out via Nvidia product license
“A few weeks ago, Poolside effectively didn't, they would deny that they sold, but they sold a license for their product to NVIDIA, which was an open weight enterprise US focused model, and they, you know, the company still exists, but they cashed out quite a l…”
Rory O'Driscoll Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 1:18:13 Jensen Huang Declares AGI Has Arrived | Tesla Launches Cybercabs | Index Pulls Out of Town
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