The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 91 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Tulla: An anti-inflammatory diet can put ALS in check
“Even ALS, I mean, can be put in check with the similar type of diet.”
Reyes: Meta's 7B parameter Llama 2 model achieves GPT-4 level behavior
“Facebook open-sourced their model this JAMA that is a competitor to chat GPT, and with seven billion parameters, it reaches very similar behavior than GPT-IV.”
McGregor: We were first in the world to use SMS for GSM delivery
“And we were the first company in the world to use SMS for delivery to mobile phones and GSM.”
Weisbrot: WhatsApp is not truly end-to-end encrypted
“They call themselves end to end encrypted, but the reality is if you have the private key, if you have the encryption key inside WhatsApp server, What's the point of calling it end-to-end encrypted? Because you need to send the message from your phone to them,…”
Versteeg: Extroverts and introverts differ by only 0.03% in sales success
“And by the way, the only difference between extroverts and introverts in sales success is 0.03%. So let's just debunk that myth. There's no difference in whether you have the gift of the gab or whether you're silent.”
Tulla: Past startup failure is the only measured factor increasing future success
“It is only thing that impacts people's likelihood of making it big is the fact that they have failed before. So there's a book called The Super Founders that goes deep into the topic and looks at the data for 2030 years back. All the companies found it, and th…”
Tulla: Morning glucose spikes cause you to eat 15-20% more daily calories
“If you eat even like an oatmeal and if you put stuff on it, like, you know, something like maple syrup and raisins, you're going to have a massive glucose spike in the morning. And that will end up you eating 15 to 20% more of calories throughout the day.”
ASX Study Found Female CEOs Returned 50% More Profit Over Five Years
“There was a study that I saw of done. I think it was done by the Australian stock exchange. Or it was done by someone and their focus was the ASX. I'm not quite sure. It was a while ago that I read it, but they studied the companies on the exchange over a five…”
Schurig: C-Suite Executives Have Five Years Shorter Life Expectancy
“Executive CEOs, people in the C-suite have a life expectancy five years less than the rest of us”
Stepanov: Direct foreign hires cannot be written off on US taxes
“If you're hiring somebody directly in another country, the money you pay them, you would not be able to write it off on taxes. So this person would have no status because there's no provision in the U.S. For you to write off foreign employees or foreign contra…”
Rischitelli: Meta Collects Smart Glasses Data Regardless of User Consent Settings
“Whether you are sending it to Meta or not, Meta's getting that information.”
Colbertson: Salaried in-house fundraisers provide a legal safe harbor for startups
“If you hire them and promise them a certain salary, like, because this is your job or something like that that's, One of the safe harbors that's being provided under the Securities Exchange Act. Although that's the only, the key and the pillar that not to, the…”
Rajendran: $400B annual AI CapEx is largest buildout since 19th-century railroads
“When I think about the scale of the CapEx right now, which is Probably about four hundred billion a year, according to I think an estimate from Bain. We're at no, no question at like the biggest investment in, in fixed capital that we've seen since the buildin…”
Lulo: Voice notes deliver roughly 7x the response rate of text DMs
“Statistically speaking, seven out of it's about a seven X response rate. If you did a text-based message versus a voice note”
Santos: Humans spend only five minutes per waking hour actively thinking
“From what I've heard, psychologists say for every waking hour, we only spend five minutes thinking. The other 55 minutes is spent having thoughts.”
Gonzalez: Anyone can see data entered into ChatGPT's free version
“If you're going to use ChatGBT, don't use the free version. Anybody can see whatever you put there, ok? Because it's beta mode.”
Stuart Cohen: Copyright Registration Is the Only Way to Ensure Content Ownership
“Well, in, in the case of say, if you're a photographer or videographer, or even a writer, you there's the U S copyright office. You could register your work. That's one way that that is the only way is the copyright laws.”
Shepherd predicts impending tariffs will drive down digital advertising costs
“Basically we all know what's happening and we have history to say that people are going to pull out and advertising should get cheaper.”
Renoui: US tariffs will go away within three to six months
“I think they will go away within the next, you know, three to six months.”
Brand: Founder Age and Team Size Under Eight Show No Success Rate Discrepancy
“There's no statistical difference in success rate between young founders and old founders and single founders and groups of up to seven.”
Sekinger: Borrowers Need 21 Accounts for Perfect US Credit Score
“So you actually need to have 21 accounts to have a perfect credit score in the United States.”
Sekinger: Almost all billionaires built their wealth through private equity in private companies
“Pretty much almost every billionaire has been built through private equity, which is through their private company.”
Bimani: A Recession Has Already Started and Will Hit Hard Soon
“Right now, we're getting ready for the recession. I know it started. People are not fully aware of it, but it's going to hit hard in the next couple of months.”
Weisbrot: California Basic Income Pilot Boosted Housing and Employment by 15-20%
“There was a program that was done with homeless people, I think in California recently, and they gave them like 500 dollars, no questions asked per month for like a year. And at the end of the study, if they made the assumption, some people made an assumption …”
Schurig: Seven Fortune 250 Executives Die Annually from Unexpected Heart Attacks
“Stanford School of Business did a did a study, and it's like seven Fortune, 500 or Fortune two 50 CEOs or C level executives die of unexpected heart attacks every single year.”
Cox: 50% to 52% of all US men go to jail in their lifetime
“50, 52% of all men in our country go to jail at some point in their lifetime.”
Weisbrot: Commercial DNA testing companies own and repeatedly re-sample submitted DNA
“So if you're thinking of doing a DNA test, think about that before you do it, because they will own your DNA and they can sample it over and over and over. And that's how you keep getting new updates of the reports that they're creating, because they test it o…”
Spiller: There will be a recession by the end of 2023
“And that's kind of the expectation going into this year is by the time we're going out of this year, there will be a recession.”
Weisbrot: Research proves microdosing psilocybin treats PTSD, anxiety, and depression
“Because there's very clear and known research that has shown, you know, microdosing mushrooms can significantly help with or get rid of PTSD, stress, anxiety, depression.”
Weisbrot: Research proves psychedelics cure depression
“There's tremendous amount of research that has proven without a shadow of a doubt that, that psychedelics have been amazing for curing depression. Curing depression. Curing treatment-resistant depression”
Ben Nun: Cooling systems are the biggest electricity consumers on the grid
“It was very obvious that the biggest consumer on the grid is cooling systems.”
Strauss: Challenging psychedelic trips often yield better outcomes than easy ones
“Oftentimes people who have a challenging experience might actually come out of it feeling better than they did an experience that was perhaps easier.”
Weisbrot: 80% of American adults take antidepressants
“Eight out of 10 adults in America are on some sort of antidepressant.”
Weisbrot: Early Vietnam War Military Research Found LSD Cured PTSD
“Even I believe during Vietnam, in the early days of Vietnam the military was doing research with PTSD and other trauma with LSD, and they found that it was basically curing soldiers' PTSD.”
Stephen Keery expects the Biden administration to eliminate the step-up in basis.
“So actually passing on was actually a good way to get a new basis. That is very likely to change as well under this administration.”
Weisbrot: 14% of Coinbase staff resigned over Brian Armstrong's non-political mandate
“And I think his name is Brian Armstrong, the CEO of Coinbase, said basically, we are a non-political organization. If you don't like that, you can quit. And I think five, 14% of the company quit”
Narasin's first institutional investment, LendingClub, was the decade's largest tech IPO
“The first institutional investment I ever made was a company called Lending Club, which when it went public was the largest tech IPO of the decade.”
Millar: Ancient Greeks sentenced lawbreakers to theater attendance instead of prison
“I think, you know, in Greek, in the history, in Greek times, if somebody was caught breaking the law, they didn't send them to prison. They sentenced them to so many nights at the theater.”
Simhi: Most of Apple's Sales Come from E-Commerce and Its Website
“And even Apple, which is innovation company, but it's still e-commerce company and most of their sales are coming from their e-commerce, from their website and from their e-commerce activities.”
Evan Marks: Raw emotions like joy and panic last only 9-10 seconds
“You know, the body knows that when we feel joy and we feel panic, it's literally nine or 10 seconds. You're in that, that emotion is how we attach behavior and experience to it because the body wants to wrote homostatically, right? So we always, the body wants…”
Weldon: Study found 80% of SDR tasks can be automated
“I think the last study was 80% of them of the tasks they do are something that could be automated.”
Fish: European-style security doors and windows were never made in the US
“These types of doors and windows that we make have never been made in the U.S.”
Corkadillo: Most business operators will use virtual AI agents within 12 months
“I will predict it within 12 months here. Most operators and entrepreneurs will have virtual agents all around them doing menial tasks.”
Davis: The majority of YouTube views now occur on smart TVs
“Like now the majority of YouTube views are happening on smart TVs, right?”
Renoui: Saudi Arabia Consumes More Perfume Than Any Other Country
“You know, Saudi consumes perfume more than any other country in the world.”
Todd: Company was first to sell residential and commercial HVAC online D2C
“We were the first to sell residential and light commercial heating and air conditioning equipment online direct to consumer, which broke open an industry and capitalized on the wave of e-commerce prior to many people even knowing that e-commerce was a thing.”