Nick Spiller

Venture Principal, Capital Factory · 1 appearance on the record.

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investorhost@nick_spiller ↗LinkedIn ↗capitalfactory.com ↗

Nick Spiller manages deal flow and investor relations at Capital Factory, Texas's most active early-stage venture fund and accelerator, where he also hosts the Austinpreneur podcast. Earlier in his career, he founded the Longhorn Entrepreneurship Agency while at UT Austin and created the Beta Business platform to mentor early-stage founders.

11statements → 6claims → 3claims resolved → 67%fully supported → 3.64/5average certainty → 1.91/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated →

2 supported 0 partly supported 1 contradicted 1 not yet assessed 2 not checkable as stated how the 6 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

2 predictions · 4 assertions · 1 opinion · 3 insights · 1 disclosure · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 6 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 3 are resolved, 1 is not yet assessed, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Nick argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported

Spiller: Capital Factory startups received $500M+ in DoD funding since 2019

“And our companies have received over half a billion dollars in non-dilutive funding from these DOD groups since two, 2019.”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 28:01 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Their most notable contradicted claim

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Spiller: There will be a recession by the end of 2023

“And that's kind of the expectation going into this year is by the time we're going out of this year, there will be a recession.”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 8:09 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1

none yet certainty 2

0% certainty 3

100% certainty 4

none yet certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Nick Spiller on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

What they said11 Episodes1

Everything Nick Spiller said on We Live to Build that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Spiller: There will be a recession by the end of 2023

“And that's kind of the expectation going into this year is by the time we're going out of this year, there will be a recession.”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 8:09 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Insight

Spiller: A VC's true customer is the LP, not the founder

“The investor's responsibility is to steward the investment. You know, the key word is like the investment, not the company, although they're very, you know, intertwined obviously in the success of the company is the success of the investment investor. Investor…”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 17:44 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Opinion

Spiller: India Has the Necessary Components to Match China's Manufacturing Scale

“And I think India has all of the, you know, necessary components to be a China, right? And, you know, all, you know, really just need to set up the infrastructure there and, you know, the trade relations.”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 34:45 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Insight

Spiller: VC fundraising cycles drive the startup push for valuation markups

“They need to generate high growth to justify a 10 X, 100 X return on their investment in these companies to go raise money for their next fund. Right. And it's like a lot of these investors, they're raising money too. And so, you know, they need to see you gro…”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 5:39 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Insight

Spiller evaluates startups based on cash flows, data, and technology

“I think there's three buckets in which investors value companies. They value your cash flows, your revenue, your profits. they value your data and, you know, your customer information and everything, the data surrounding that. And they value your technolog…”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 9:11 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Assertion Not checkable as stated

Spiller saw one same-day investor commitment across 10,000 interactions

“I think I've seen it once. Like at least, I mean, thousands, like, you know, probably 10,000 interactions I've, you know, have brokered.”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 21:09 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Assertion Supported

Spiller: Capital Factory startups received $500M+ in DoD funding since 2019

“And our companies have received over half a billion dollars in non-dilutive funding from these DOD groups since two, 2019.”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 28:01 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Spiller: American Manufacturing Will Return as Startups Build Domestic Factories

“I think there's, you know, you're going to see American manufacturing come back to some degree. You know, certainly a lot of the companies, especially the startups are, you know, they're building their own factories and, you know, doing, doing things themselve…”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 34:16 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Disclosure

Spiller: Capital Factory writes $100k-$200k checks into seed rounds

“We advise. Companies initially, we take a little piece of advisor equity. It's sort of like the evolution of our accelerator. And then separately, we invest directly a lot into those companies, but also separately. And we're usually writing a hundred to 200,00…”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 26:00 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Assertion Not publicly verifiable

Spiller: 98% of Capital Factory's portfolio companies are based in Texas

“We're very big on Texas. 98% of our companies are based in Texas. The ones who aren't have a very strong tie here.”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 26:29 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Assertion Supported

Spiller: US Ban on Chinese Drones Drives Domestic Tech Activity

“And now the U S has already outlined the use of government use of Chinese made drones. And that's actually driving a lot of activity here.”

Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 34:05 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment

Appearances (1)

Episode	Date	Speaking time
10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment	Mar 28, 2023	28m

Nick Spiller

The record, in short

Their most notable supported claim

Their most notable contradicted claim

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

How they sound: not measured why? →

Appearances (1)

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