The Calls
Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.
Everyone Sean Weisbrot (3)Robert Indries (3)Travis McGregor (2)Mike Dragan (2)Ryan Niedel (1)Ricardo Michel Reyes (1)Renan de Villiers (1)Ray Meiring (1)Joe Rare (1)Jason Rosenstein (1)Frank Hepworth (1)E-Ling Lim (1)
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Next up (12)
495 days left 2028-01-21
642 days left 2028-06-16
1000 days left 2029-06-09
McGregor: AI infrastructure management will accelerate 6G rollout to three years
“You know, I think that six G is going to happen quickly because a lot of the foundational things is going to be run by AI. Meaning that a lot of the more of the basic setups and all that kind of stuff, the infrastructure stuff will be all AI, so we'll have eff…”
1618 days left 2031-02-17
Dragan: Direct brain-stimulated AR holograms will arrive within 10 years
“We're probably gonna have something in terms of augmented reality that would be probably directly brain-stimulated. So, instead of having holograms the way we're imagining them, Right now, like, you have a device in front of you, and Princess Leia appears, and…”
1633 days left 2031-03-04
2108 days left 2032-06-21
2178 days left 2032-08-30
Rosenstein: Bitcoin and Ethereum will adopt quantum-resistant cryptography within a decade
“Bitcoin and Ethereum. I'm betting on it as things that are here to stay, you know, that's not investment advice, but you know, these blockchains are going to get to be quantum resistant. There might have to be some changes in the next decade of the algorithms …”
7216 days left 2046-06-16
7216 days left 2046-06-16
Indries: AI will autonomously negotiate contracts and resolve lawsuits within 20 years
“You'll have, you know, AI just building the most amazing contract And the AI negotiating with other AI, you know, making compromises on each side, you know, just so that they can, you know, reach settlement or whatever. Right. When you will sue someone, 20 yea…”
14171 days left 2065-07-01
16228 days left 2071-02-17
71441 days left 2222-04-20
Weisbrot: Humans have maybe 200 years left before Earth becomes unlivable
“I think we've got 200 years left, maybe, before the Earth is unlivable for humans, and once all the humans are gone, the planet will rebound, the animals will come back, everything will be fine, and a new species will take over.”
Closed calls (25) the full record →
Hurst: Digital Health Will Probably Face Regulatory Tightening Within 10 Years
“If anything, you know, it's sort of an open market right now, and probably the next 10 years we're going to see some tightening of it.”
Weisbrot: AI agents will buy directly from other agents within five years
“My bet is that in five years, my agent will be buying from your agent. And you and I will never speak, but my money will change hands and your agent will teach my agent what it needs to know.”
Bilkowski: AI tools will adopt baseline platform fees with token overages
“Something like, say, a cursor or a lovable is a, you know, intermediary between you and these models. Likely what will happen is some sort of baseline platform fee, and then what looks like a added, added value cost per token on top of that that's fluctuating.”
Rischitelli: AI Platforms Like ChatGPT Will Implement Advertising Models Soon
“Because there's gotta be a, you know there's gonna be an ad model here very, very soon. They're already testing it out.”
Wong: Anthropic, Google, and Microsoft will clone OpenClaw in ten months
“My prediction is this within n number of months, less than 10 Entropic, now, now Open Claw become part of OpenAI, so that becomes the OpenAI part of this game. Entropic, Google, Microsoft, Everybody will have their equivalent of open, open call framework.”
Smith: Synchronous audio and video for celebrity AI clones is coming soon
“Today it is Techspace Chat. But in the very near future, it'll be full video with full audio and synchronous and that fundamentally changes the psychological kind of interaction that starts happening there because you know you're interacting with a virtual bei…”
Hepworth: The next cryptocurrency bear market will likely begin in 2026
“While we go into the bear cycle, which will happen probably sometime in 20, 26.”
Appel: Rite Aid Cannot Survive Against CVS and Walgreens
“I just don't see them, I don't see them survive, because they're like the third wheel, and you've got two strong, nationwide, well-run competitors.”
Weisbrot: Psychedelic Biotech Will Engineer Non-Hallucinogenic Compounds for Mental Health
“I believe very firmly that the industry is heading in this direction where we will synthesize or alter the DNA structure of these substances so that you can get the mental health benefits, but have no fear whatsoever of there being a hallucinogenic aspect.”
Hepworth: Bitcoin will not deliver a 10x return from current levels
“Bitcoin isn't going to do a 10 X from here.”
Benatar: Ads will inevitably populate VR and AR worlds
“In game ads are going to be in VR. Eventually they're going to be in AR. Eventually you're going to see ads. All around you physically.”
Corkadillo: Most business operators will use virtual AI agents within 12 months
“I will predict it within 12 months here. Most operators and entrepreneurs will have virtual agents all around them doing menial tasks.”
Shepherd predicts impending tariffs will drive down digital advertising costs
“Basically we all know what's happening and we have history to say that people are going to pull out and advertising should get cheaper.”
Tulla: AI health companion bots will soon communicate and support patients
“Today I think one fix at least will be AI. And the fact that, you know, we will be able to build these companion bots companion AIs that are able to communicate with people, talk to people, and be there when you need support. And that will happen, I think, in,…”
Siddar: Real-time AI translators will eliminate language barriers by 2025
“There will be like a real-time AI translator in five years that you can communicate with everybody without even knowing languages.”
Renoui: US tariffs will go away within three to six months
“I think they will go away within the next, you know, three to six months.”
Tobias: Meta will maintain a $300 Oculus alongside a $1,000–$1,200 device
“The Oculus will stay the 300 dollar consumer type thing and they'll have a thousand or 1200 dollar one.”
Weisbrot: Apple's first-generation AR glasses will cost over $1,000
“Cause if you look at the way Apple charges for everything, I have a feeling that these glasses are going to be over a thousand dollars. In the first generation, because they probably spent 10 to twenty billion dollars developing it.”
Stephen Keery predicts the Biden administration will restrict 1031 real estate exchanges.
“One thing they are talking about changing, and I think this government will change it, Is a thing called a 10 31 exchange and a 10 31 exchange basically means that you can sell a property and you can defer the capital gain”
Stephen Keery expects the Biden administration to eliminate the step-up in basis.
“So actually passing on was actually a good way to get a new basis. That is very likely to change as well under this administration.”
Bimani: A Recession Has Already Started and Will Hit Hard Soon
“Right now, we're getting ready for the recession. I know it started. People are not fully aware of it, but it's going to hit hard in the next couple of months.”
Spiller: There will be a recession by the end of 2023
“And that's kind of the expectation going into this year is by the time we're going out of this year, there will be a recession.”
Weisbrot: Butterfield will leave Slack within two years of Salesforce acquisition
“I imagine he may spend the next two years just staying on a CEO working on who's going to replace him so he can become chairman. Chances are that'll be someone from Salesforce walking in for like maybe some VP somewhere will end up running Slack in two or thre…”