The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

16held up → 7didn’t hold up → 2partly held up →
70%of resolved predictions held up
Everyone Sean Weisbrot (3)Robert Indries (3)Travis McGregor (2)Mike Dragan (2)Ryan Niedel (1)Ricardo Michel Reyes (1)Renan de Villiers (1)Ray Meiring (1)Joe Rare (1)Jason Rosenstein (1)Frank Hepworth (1)E-Ling Lim (1)
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The record (25) every resolved claim →

Prediction Held up
Hurst: Digital Health Will Probably Face Regulatory Tightening Within 10 Years
“If anything, you know, it's sort of an open market right now, and probably the next 10 years we're going to see some tightening of it.”
Blair Hurst Mar 20, 2021 ▶ 28:30 Healthcare Is a Bucket Full of Holes — Here's What Falls Through
Prediction Held up
Weisbrot: AI agents will buy directly from other agents within five years
“My bet is that in five years, my agent will be buying from your agent. And you and I will never speak, but my money will change hands and your agent will teach my agent what it needs to know.”
Sean Weisbrot May 13, 2025 ▶ 25:22 Your Agent Buys From My Agent and We Never Speak
Prediction Held up
Bilkowski: AI tools will adopt baseline platform fees with token overages
“Something like, say, a cursor or a lovable is a, you know, intermediary between you and these models. Likely what will happen is some sort of baseline platform fee, and then what looks like a added, added value cost per token on top of that that's fluctuating.”
Dan Bilkowski Oct 21, 2025 ▶ 22:37 Value Lives in the Mind of the Customer, Not in Your Product
Prediction Held up
Rischitelli: AI Platforms Like ChatGPT Will Implement Advertising Models Soon
“Because there's gotta be a, you know there's gonna be an ad model here very, very soon. They're already testing it out.”
Zachary Rischitelli May 26, 2026 ▶ 25:34 Who Are We Marketing to When 90% of White Collar Jobs Are Gone?
Prediction Held up
Wong: Anthropic, Google, and Microsoft will clone OpenClaw in ten months
“My prediction is this within n number of months, less than 10 Entropic, now, now Open Claw become part of OpenAI, so that becomes the OpenAI part of this game. Entropic, Google, Microsoft, Everybody will have their equivalent of open, open call framework.”
Sze Wong Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 1:34 OpenClaw is the Most Dangerous AI Tool Ever Built
Prediction Held up
Smith: Synchronous audio and video for celebrity AI clones is coming soon
“Today it is Techspace Chat. But in the very near future, it'll be full video with full audio and synchronous and that fundamentally changes the psychological kind of interaction that starts happening there because you know you're interacting with a virtual bei…”
Keith Smith Jan 2, 2024 ▶ 17:11 What Founding 5 Companies Took From My Kids That I Can't Get Back
Prediction Held up
Hepworth: The next cryptocurrency bear market will likely begin in 2026
“While we go into the bear cycle, which will happen probably sometime in 20, 26.”
Frank Hepworth Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 16:05 More Millionaires Exist Than There Are Bitcoin to Own
Prediction Held up
Appel: Rite Aid Cannot Survive Against CVS and Walgreens
“I just don't see them, I don't see them survive, because they're like the third wheel, and you've got two strong, nationwide, well-run competitors.”
Michael Appel Nov 14, 2023 ▶ 34:00 Every PE Investor Says the Same Thing When Asked Their Biggest Regret
Prediction Held up
Weisbrot: Psychedelic Biotech Will Engineer Non-Hallucinogenic Compounds for Mental Health
“I believe very firmly that the industry is heading in this direction where we will synthesize or alter the DNA structure of these substances so that you can get the mental health benefits, but have no fear whatsoever of there being a hallucinogenic aspect.”
Sean Weisbrot Nov 11, 2021 ▶ 32:12 He Called It a State of Flow Multiplied by 100
Prediction Held up
Hepworth: Bitcoin will not deliver a 10x return from current levels
“Bitcoin isn't going to do a 10 X from here.”
Frank Hepworth Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 23:59 More Millionaires Exist Than There Are Bitcoin to Own
Prediction Held up
Benatar: Ads will inevitably populate VR and AR worlds
“In game ads are going to be in VR. Eventually they're going to be in AR. Eventually you're going to see ads. All around you physically.”
Shlomi Benatar Jul 13, 2021 ▶ 13:04 The $180B Industry Bigger Than Hollywood Nobody Talks About
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Corkadillo: Most business operators will use virtual AI agents within 12 months
“I will predict it within 12 months here. Most operators and entrepreneurs will have virtual agents all around them doing menial tasks.”
Brian Corkadillo Jul 1, 2025 ▶ 23:24 29,000 Zoning Codes - Brian's AI Agent Will Know All of Them
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Shepherd predicts impending tariffs will drive down digital advertising costs
“Basically we all know what's happening and we have history to say that people are going to pull out and advertising should get cheaper.”
Brooke Shepherd May 6, 2025 ▶ 10:01 80% Growth During COVID Came From the Brands Everyone Else Ignored
Prediction Held up
Tulla: AI health companion bots will soon communicate and support patients
“Today I think one fix at least will be AI. And the fact that, you know, we will be able to build these companion bots companion AIs that are able to communicate with people, talk to people, and be there when you need support. And that will happen, I think, in,…”
Ari Tulla Nov 28, 2023 ▶ 4:59 Doctors Said She'd Never Have Kids. Diet Changed That.
Prediction Held up
Siddar: Real-time AI translators will eliminate language barriers by 2025
“There will be like a real-time AI translator in five years that you can communicate with everybody without even knowing languages.”
Cenk Siddar Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 37:25 The Hidden Drought That Toppled Governments Across a Whole Region
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Renoui: US tariffs will go away within three to six months
“I think they will go away within the next, you know, three to six months.”
Saleem Renoui Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 20:16 Picking the Hardest Business Model on Earth Has a Backdoor Exit
Prediction Partly held up
Tobias: Meta will maintain a $300 Oculus alongside a $1,000–$1,200 device
“The Oculus will stay the 300 dollar consumer type thing and they'll have a thousand or 1200 dollar one.”
Martin Tobias Apr 6, 2022 ▶ 40:18 35% Calmer in 20 Minutes: Why VR Beat the Top Meditation App
Prediction Held up
Weisbrot: Apple's first-generation AR glasses will cost over $1,000
“Cause if you look at the way Apple charges for everything, I have a feeling that these glasses are going to be over a thousand dollars. In the first generation, because they probably spent 10 to twenty billion dollars developing it.”
Sean Weisbrot Apr 6, 2022 ▶ 12:43 35% Calmer in 20 Minutes: Why VR Beat the Top Meditation App
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Stephen Keery predicts the Biden administration will restrict 1031 real estate exchanges.
“One thing they are talking about changing, and I think this government will change it, Is a thing called a 10 31 exchange and a 10 31 exchange basically means that you can sell a property and you can defer the capital gain”
Stephen Keery Jul 20, 2021 ▶ 26:22 Why Property Investors Never Pay Tax — And Now I Don't Either
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Stephen Keery expects the Biden administration to eliminate the step-up in basis.
“So actually passing on was actually a good way to get a new basis. That is very likely to change as well under this administration.”
Stephen Keery Jul 20, 2021 ▶ 28:52 Why Property Investors Never Pay Tax — And Now I Don't Either
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bimani: A Recession Has Already Started and Will Hit Hard Soon
“Right now, we're getting ready for the recession. I know it started. People are not fully aware of it, but it's going to hit hard in the next couple of months.”
Glenn Bimani May 7, 2024 ▶ 12:31 He Gave Them the Dollar They Asked For, Then Walked Away
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Spiller: There will be a recession by the end of 2023
“And that's kind of the expectation going into this year is by the time we're going out of this year, there will be a recession.”
Nick Spiller Mar 28, 2023 ▶ 8:09 10,000 Investor Meetings Later, He Saw One Same-Day Commitment
Prediction Partly held up
Weisbrot: Butterfield will leave Slack within two years of Salesforce acquisition
“I imagine he may spend the next two years just staying on a CEO working on who's going to replace him so he can become chairman. Chances are that'll be someone from Salesforce walking in for like maybe some VP somewhere will end up running Slack in two or thre…”
Sean Weisbrot Dec 3, 2020 ▶ 47:22 The Secret Weapon That Quietly Beats Every Competitor
Prediction Held up
Siddar: US Election Results Will Take Days or Weeks to Determine
“Most likely we will need a few more days, if not weeks, to learn the result of the elections.”
Cenk Siddar Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 3:27 The Hidden Drought That Toppled Governments Across a Whole Region
Prediction Held up
Siddar: Trump Likely to Claim Premature Election Night Victory
“It's likely that Trump may announce a victory the night of the elections, looking at the existing vote count, and that may trigger some sort of unrest in certain cities that are already, you know, mobilized with BLM movement,”
Cenk Siddar Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 4:02 The Hidden Drought That Toppled Governments Across a Whole Region
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