Opinion
Dragan: 95% of potential cross-border EU transactions remain untapped
“This whole types of transactions that are not happening at the moment, which I would say we're doing about five percent of what's possible in the European Union at the moment. So the other 95% in terms of transactions between countries is something that I woul…”
Opinion
Dragan: EIF Subsidies Will Connect Europe Better Than Past Infrastructure Projects
“The European Investment Fund, which is kind of like central investment institutional Fund has been pushing a lot of money in terms of collateral for VC firms with the goal to invest in small and mid-sized startup tech companies, which means that they're basica…”
Opinion
Dragan: The US is humanity's greatest social structure achievement
“I still think the U.S. Is the greatest achievement in terms of social structure humans have ever built, just because it is so individual-based.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dragan: Technology will shift to carbon-based molecular biology within a decade
“And I think a lot of the ways that we're thinking about the world right now in terms of technology is going to shift in the next 10 years or so through molecular biology. So it's going to be less silicon based technology and more carbon based technologies. We'…”
Insight
Dragan: Expanding from UK to US is easier than France to Germany
“It's a lot easier to start a company in the UK and then start doing business in the US or Australia or New Zealand, because there are very similar cultures. Whereas if you're starting a company in France, for example, you, you're basically looking to develop T…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2071
Dragan: Holographic communication will not exist within the next 50 years
“I would say we're not gonna have holograms within the next 50 years.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2031
Dragan: Direct brain-stimulated AR holograms will arrive within 10 years
“We're probably gonna have something in terms of augmented reality that would be probably directly brain-stimulated. So, instead of having holograms the way we're imagining them, Right now, like, you have a device in front of you, and Princess Leia appears, and…”
Opinion
Dragan: Google Glass failed from poor technology and aesthetics, not privacy
“I think Google Glasses failed not because of Privacy issues, but because the technology sucked and it made you look weird.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dragan: Raising Venture Capital in Europe Is Far Easier Than in 2016
“It's been quite easy To raise funds a lot easier than it was, let's say five years ago. There's many more funds that are active in, in Europe and are actively looking for cool investments.”
Insight
Dragan: Cross-border EU sales struggle because buyers favor local companies
“You can actually sell if you're in, in Spain to Germany. The whole problem is that probably people, people, People won't buy from you. So you can sell, but there are not many buyers. So people still tend to buy local and authorities tend to favor local compani…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dragan: European Cross-Border Business Will Vastly Improve Within 20 Years
“I would expect it to be somewhere between 10 to 20 years. Basically you have all the generations that were not used to the concept of the European Union and trading in between countries that are pretty much still managing the commercial routes and commercial d…”
Insight
Dragan: Inflation and Tech Are Unlocking Old European Family Wealth
“Most of the wealth in Europe, in terms of private wealth is still tied to pretty old families that have
Kept the wealth blocked and not really moving.
And they're tending to change this perspective as, you know, both inflation, given the outcome of COVID seems…”
Insight
Dragan: European VCs Focus on Profit While US VCs Target Future Scale
“The key difference is between the U.S. And European-based investment is that the U.S. Is looking at large volumes and potential outcome in the future, whereas the European investment strategy is more based towards profit.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dragan: GANs will enable virtual try-ons superior to physical shopping
“In the future, given this these new types of generative adversarial networks, you're gonna be able to see yourself wearing Anything, having any kind of hairstyle, and it's gonna look realistic and in real, real life. So you, you're actually gonna try on stuff …”