The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 487 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Zendesk Holds Over 20% Market Share in Help Desk Software
“I think if you take revenue, for example, like Zendesk and help desk space has 20 plus percent of the market share.”
Sam Senior Nov 10, 2021 ▶ 2:41 Testbox Lets You Try Software Without Sales Calls, Landed 1st Customer, $2.7m Raised at $12m Post Money Cap
Assertion Contradicted
Purwar: 2021 California wildfires affected 40x more homes than prior decade combined
“I mean, even like, for instance, home insurances in the year, 20, 21, the forest fires in California affected 40 times more houses than the last 10 years of fires combined.”
Abhilasha Purwar Nov 6, 2021 ▶ 2:27 Electric Companies Pay Them $250k To Track Forest Fires, $1.2m raised at $7m Valuation
Prediction Didn’t hold up
G2 aims to break $100 million in ARR during 2022
“Our goal is to break that next year.”
Godard Abel Oct 25, 2021 ▶ 11:20 G2 on Track to Break $100m ARR 2022, $60m+ Today at $1.1b Valuation
Assertion Contradicted
Arasolov: Welp is the only provider in its space offering on-premise software
“We offer on-premise, and we are the only one in the, in this space offering on-premise.”
Seymour Arasolov Oct 5, 2021 ▶ 2:30 Customer Support SaaS Hits $60k MRR Using On Prem Installations, Raising $1m at $10m Valuation
Assertion Contradicted
De la Nuez estimates Hotjar's revenue was $10M to $20M
“Based on what I knew and the fact that a hot jar was much more focused on SMB, you know, I think they probably were somewhere in the 10 to twenty million is my guess.”
Alfonso de la Nuez Sep 28, 2021 ▶ 8:01 UserZoom Eye's 2022 IPO, $100m Run Rate in User Experience Management Space
Assertion Contradicted
Neil Parak: Franchise cleaning companies typically trade at 6x to 8x EBITDA
“So franchise cleaning companies trade at anywhere between like typically in normal times, six to eight times EBITDA.”
Neil Parak Jul 28, 2021 ▶ 8:29 Cleaning Marketplace Hits $1.2m ARR, Now Scaling with $35k Franchises
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chen: Testimonial.to will reach multi-million dollar scale in 3-5 years
“I have confidence that I bring testimony to multimillion dollars in next, you know, I would say three to five years.”
Daman Chen Jun 10, 2021 ▶ 11:39 Quit $200k Job for $4k MRR Side Project, Can he Hit $100k by December?
Assertion Contradicted
Mathrubootham: No Indian software product company has completed an IPO
“There has been no product company from India that is actually IPO.”
Girish Mathrubootham Jun 9, 2021 ▶ 9:48 Prediction: Freshbworks IPO Coming Next Month? Founders Thinking in 2018
Assertion Contradicted
Call center reps using predictive dialers call over 1,000 names daily
“An average call center rep on a predictive dialer is probably going to go through about a thousand plus names in a day.”
Jim Almea May 24, 2021 ▶ 13:10 1,000 Companies Pay List Buying Site $150/mo For New Leads, $1.8m in Revenue
Assertion Contradicted
Bid: Koditas crossed $10 million in annual revenue last year
“Last year we did a quarter of 10.”
Mitul Bid Apr 26, 2021 ▶ 4:23 Secret Dev Shop Top SaaS Founders Use Breaks $10m in Revenue
Assertion Contradicted
Renan de Villa: Manufacturing software is a $400B+ global market
“And it's a massive space. It's more than four hundred billion world, like just software from manufacturing companies.”
Renan de Villa Apr 10, 2021 ▶ 7:44 Factory SaaS Hits $2.2m Revenue, Raises $6m on $24m Valuation
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sulekha predicts $40M to $50M revenue upon 2023 US events recovery
“So that market has come to a complete freeze. So we are expecting that in the year, 20, 23 was when we will get get that market back. And once we get that market back, we'll be able to hint the numbers that you're talking about.”
Satya Prabhakar Apr 1, 2021 ▶ 16:11 The $30 Million Marketplace Out of India
Assertion Contradicted
Crowley: Crowley Carbon offset CO2 equivalent to all of Dublin
“A couple of years ago, and I've stopped looking a couple of years ago, it was the same amount of CO two as all of Dublin, which is the capital of Ireland uses.”
Norman Crowley Mar 29, 2021 ▶ 25:16 Manufacturing Plant Software Breaks $100m Revenue, Just $38m Raised
Assertion Contradicted
Events.com has raised over $50M and is closing a $70M+ total round
“We've raised over fifty million and we're about to announce a round that takes us over seventy million and that includes the acquisitions.”
Mitch Thrower Mar 11, 2021 ▶ 8:41 Events.com Should Have Been Hopin, Can They Acquire Their Way Back To Top?
Assertion Contradicted
Thrower: COVID-19 caused a $3B drop in event management software
“You know, there's three billion dollar drop out of the event management software business.”
Mitch Thrower Mar 11, 2021 ▶ 11:24 Events.com Should Have Been Hopin, Can They Acquire Their Way Back To Top?
Assertion Contradicted
PostoPlan was first platform worldwide to launch WhatsApp scheduling
“So we are, like, first one in the world, service like that, that invented, like, launched WhatsApp. To schedule messages on WhatsApp.”
Kate Sukenko Feb 8, 2021 ▶ 2:21 PostoPlan Hits $30k MRR, Raises $500k For Social Scheduling Tool in Spain, Mexico, and Argentina
Assertion Contradicted
Armbrust: Mask manufacturing in China was not fully automated before pandemic
“None of this before the pandemic was fully automated.”
Lloyd Armbrust Jan 30, 2021 ▶ 9:11 SaaS CEO Launches PPE Factory, $10m Sales of Surgical Masks, American Made
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sales Impact Academy predicts reaching $7M ARR by end of 2021
“I think we'll be at seven million.”
Paul Fifield Jan 18, 2021 ▶ 14:17 SalesImpact Hits $1.5m ARR Training SaaS Sales Leaders
Prediction Didn’t hold up
EssayJack expects its seed round to price at an $8M pre-money valuation
“Yeah, so it'll, to be honest, it'll probably be in the ballpark of around an eight million USD, you know, give or take.”
Dr. Lindy Ledohowski Dec 21, 2020 ▶ 16:17 EssayJack Raising $2m on $8m Valuation, $250k in ARR
Assertion Contradicted
BugSense was the second most-used mobile analytics platform behind Google
“We had, we were the second most useful, second most used platform after Google analytics and Google reporting, but we saw that we're getting squeezed out and our goal was to go after the big customers, which were more difficult.”
John Vlachogiannis Dec 15, 2020 ▶ 12:34 AgentRisk Has $27m in AUM, Better Version of Family Office?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lewis: Mycroft Mark II Won't Ship Until Q2 or Q3 2021
“We're not due to really ship it, I think, until the second or third quarter next year. That's, I think, our realistic timeline.”
Michael Lewis Sep 26, 2020 ▶ 5:59 MyCroft Raises $5m to Ship Home Speaker Echo Competitor That Doesnt' Suck In Data
Assertion Contradicted
Schroeder: InChord sold to Washington Redskins owner Dan Snyder for 'ungodly' sum
“Well, it sold in 2001, 2002. It sold to a guy named Dan Snyder who owned the Washington Redskins and had made an ungodly amount of money which is why he owns the Redskins in in the, in a, I think a pharmaceutical sales outsource sales organization or something…”
Will Schroeder Aug 19, 2020 ▶ 33:32 How Wil Schroter Made Money at 22 years Old to Eventually Launch Startups.com
Assertion Contradicted
GitLab is growing top-line revenue at 140% year-over-year
“I think last time we talked, we were closer to 200%. And I think we're at 1:40 today.”
Sid Sijbrandij Jul 24, 2020 ▶ 20:07 GitLab Hits $2.7b Valuation is 20x+ Revenue Multiple, 160%+ in Net Revenue Retention, 10,000 Customers
Assertion Contradicted
German Finance Laws Prevent Pure SaaS Identity Solutions Due to Data Residency
“Because you might be in Germany and German finance laws require that customer data is housed in Germany. So a pure SaaS play just, it won't work.”
Brian Pontarelli Jul 7, 2020 ▶ 4:47 FusionAuth is Burning $50k/mo on $25k Revenue in Identity Management Space
Assertion Contradicted
Walker: Previous 30 SaaS IPOs averaged 28-32% growth pre-IPO
“If you look at the last, you know, last 30 SaaS IPOs. I think other than, you know, other than Zoom, which is the world's greatest IPO in the history of the Valley, I think anything like, you know, they're averaging around 30, 28, 30, 32% going into an IPO.”
Craig Walker Jul 5, 2020 ▶ 20:57 Dialpad CEO "We'll break $100m in 2020, comfortable burning $1m/mo, $45m in bank"
Assertion Contradicted
Lynn: Masterworks is first to fractionalize fine art ownership
“So we, so we're really the first company to fractalize ownership in great works of art.”
Scott Lynn Jun 17, 2020 ▶ 2:32 Masterworks: SaaS Wealth Going Into Picasso Paintings, 20x Returns?
Assertion Contradicted
80% of Festival Ticket Inventory Goes Unsold Across the Industry
“However, if you look at the collection of thousands of festivals, 80% of them go unsold.”
Ed Vincent Jun 11, 2020 ▶ 9:40 Festival Version of ClassPass Targeting $500k Seed, 1000's of Consumers, 100's of Events
Assertion Contradicted
Zafar: TeleSense is First to Bring AI and Wireless Sensors to Grain
“So we decided to apply that to the grain industry and we are sort of the first one to get there.”
Naeem Zafar May 12, 2020 ▶ 1:45 1753 "IoT AgTech Device Hits $1m Software Run Rate and $1.2m in Hardware Sales. Can He Get $60m Valuation? "
Assertion Contradicted
Latka: US government made $66B in profit from 2008 TARP bailouts
“Not only was that it was about four and forty billion distributed for, you know, around the tarp period. Not only was it paid back, but they made about, you know, sixty six billion in profits because they bought a lot of these bank stocks low, sold them high, …”
Nathan Latka Apr 22, 2020 ▶ 29:41 Preston Pysh on Bitcoin $200,000, QE at the top, UBI at bottom, $10t+ Fed Balance Sheet?
Assertion Contradicted
Yanowitz: One-third of US apartment renters did not pay March 2020 rent
“33% of US apartment renters didn't pay Their April rent, or excuse me, didn't pay their March rent, right?”
Jason Yanowitz Apr 15, 2020 ▶ 13:26 New podcast: Jason Yanowitz on Consequences of Fed Stimulus, Socialism Next, Bitcoin Halving
Assertion Contradicted
Abbott: North American product fundraising is a $20B industry
“To completely automate this product fundraising business, which is about a two, a twenty billion dollar industry in North America.”
Mark Abbott Apr 2, 2020 ▶ 8:38 1713 Is this a better way for schools to fundraise?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Parsons: Palo Alto Software targets $50M ARR within five years
“So, 50 but that, it's not just live plan, that's adding this outpost product to it, and that's, you know, the five-year goal, my big stretch goal, that's where I would like us to be.”
Sabrina Parsons Feb 10, 2020 ▶ 18:52 1661 How Palo Alto Software Broke $14m in ARR Serving SMB's
Assertion Contradicted
Google's EMEA VP Ronan Harris joined Kumo's board
“The MD of Google for Europe. It's just joined our board as well. And VP of Mia, Ronan Harris.”
Kieran Bollard Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 4:22 1626 How He's Making $5m in ARR off $35M in GMV From B2C ECommerce Brands
Assertion Contradicted
Hall: Top five travel management companies control over $100B in event spend
“As an example, the top five travel management companies of the world, Control over a hundred billion dollars worth of meetings and events spend because they already service the travel market for those big, large corporate customers.”
Lauren Hall Dec 18, 2019 ▶ 3:06 1607 Why She Said No To Vista Equity Despite $10m in ARR
Assertion Contradicted
Darlison: Rise Vision launched the first digital signage SaaS product
“And we were in the, our industry, we were the first to offer a SaaS product in 2000 10 or earlier, I believe.”
Byron Darlison Aug 19, 2019 ▶ 4:47 1486 Digital Signage Management Passes $4.2M in ARR, Bootstrapped
Assertion Contradicted
Palmerino: Botkeeper guarantees 30% savings on bookkeeping costs
“So it's literally just anyone that needs bookkeeping, you could switch to Botkeeper and we guarantee save you 30% on what you're spending.”
Enrico Palmerino Aug 9, 2019 ▶ 13:22 1476 He wants to replace your CFO, 500 Customers $4.5m Funding, $2m ARR
Assertion Contradicted
Lu Zhang: Fusion Fund's GrubMarket investment is up over 100x
“That company, I think the valuation goes up more than a hundred times.”
Lu Zhang Aug 5, 2019 ▶ 12:25 1472 How She Raised Her Own $90m Fund at 29 Years Old
Assertion Contradicted
Rosenshine: Mobile and tablet traffic surpasses desktop on B2B websites
“You'd actually be surprised at how much the mobile share of traffic has grown and it's nearly it's nearly equivalent to the desktop traffic on, and actually it's even surpassing it if we take tablets into account. Even on B to B websites that, you know, the tr…”
Doran Rosenshine Jul 8, 2019 ▶ 5:57 1444 Retarget Based Off Who Called Your Company, $1.5m in ARR, 45 Customers
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Orbiter expects to receive at least $100k for its non-profit pivot
“We're going to be getting access to at least a hundred grand off the bat”
Eric Wolf Jul 4, 2019 ▶ 12:04 1440 He's Flat at $25k/mo So He's Making This 1 Big Change
Assertion Contradicted
Paknad joined PSS Systems when it had raised $60M without a product
“I started in 2003. The company had raised sixty million bucks and had nothing to go to market with.”
Deidre Paknad Jun 28, 2019 ▶ 5:47 1434 She Saved a Pre Revenue $60m Raised Company, Then Launched Own Passing $6m in ARR for Team Alignment Tool
Assertion Contradicted
Americans will receive over 40 billion customer surveys in 2019
“Like, you know, Americans this year will get over forty billion surveys and they all look like you're taking the SAT test.”
Max Israel Jun 22, 2019 ▶ 3:28 1428 Bootstrapped and $12m in ARR. My kinda CEO!
Assertion Contradicted
Typical Colorado Series A rounds are $3M on $8M pre-money valuations
“I think in Colorado, we typically, and I'm just saying this based on people I've known raises that they've done. We're typically seeing three on eight.”
Alex Raymond Jun 21, 2019 ▶ 14:58 1427 Tool Helps You Drive Expansion Revenue, Passes 30 Customers $700k in ARR
Assertion Contradicted
Klein: Average CRM customer lifetime across the industry is roughly 28 months
“The average customer lifetime in the CRM business is about 28 months, believe it or not.”
Craig Klein Jun 18, 2019 ▶ 8:33 1424 He Launched CRM in 2003, Bootstrapped, now $3.5m in ARR
Assertion Contradicted
Mathrubootham: No Indian tech product company has completed an IPO
“There has been no product company from India that is actually IPO.”
Girish Mathrubootham Jun 3, 2019 ▶ 11:10 1409 $1.5B Freshworks To IPO: Growing 40% YoY, Passes $100M in ARR, $250M Raised, 150,000 Companies Using
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Brewer predicts 2019 will be a hotbed for mortgage industry M&A
“This year is, is going to be a hotbed of merger and acquisition activity.”
Lori Brewer Apr 9, 2019 ▶ 14:31 1354 Mortgage Lending Software Passes $2m in ARR, Bootstrapped
Assertion Contradicted
Birdzell: 90% of upstream spend is within 60 days of drilling
“Right, and 90% of that five hundred billion is spent 30 days pre-drilled to 30 days post-drilled.”
Luther Birdzell Mar 20, 2019 ▶ 3:11 1334 This $600k+ ARR SaaS Helps Oil and Gas Companies Predict Oil Well Production
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Cloudability plans to IPO by 2023 to become a consolidation platform
“So sometime in the next five years or mature, we will probably be an IPO. We can use our currency to combine or join a combined entity and go out there and just become something akin to a new version of Cisco or SAP.”
Matt Ellis Nov 21, 2018 ▶ 15:48 1215 Cloudability CEO: We're Past $20m in ARR, 11% of Total AWS Spend
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kidron: Oramed will have 90-day oral insulin trial results by August 2019
“And in about 10 months from now, we're going to have the most important milestone in our history. We're going to have the result of a ninety-day trial when we administer oral insulin, and that's going to be a very, or the most clear-cut indication as to the va…”
Nadav Kidron Oct 24, 2018 ▶ 7:31 1187 The Chinese Gave Him $50M For Orally Delivered Insulin Capsul Idea, Will It Take Off?
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