why aren't all 487 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Zendesk Holds Over 20% Market Share in Help Desk Software
“I think if you take revenue, for example, like Zendesk and help desk space has 20 plus percent of the market share.”
Assertion Contradicted
Purwar: 2021 California wildfires affected 40x more homes than prior decade combined
“I mean, even like, for instance, home insurances in the year, 20, 21, the forest fires in California affected 40 times more houses than the last 10 years of fires combined.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
G2 aims to break $100 million in ARR during 2022
“Our goal is to break that next year.”
Assertion Contradicted
Arasolov: Welp is the only provider in its space offering on-premise software
“We offer on-premise, and we are the only one in the, in this space offering on-premise.”
Assertion Contradicted
De la Nuez estimates Hotjar's revenue was $10M to $20M
“Based on what I knew and the fact that a hot jar was much more focused on SMB, you know, I think they probably were somewhere in the 10 to twenty million is my guess.”
Assertion Contradicted
Neil Parak: Franchise cleaning companies typically trade at 6x to 8x EBITDA
“So franchise cleaning companies trade at anywhere between like typically in normal times, six to eight times EBITDA.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chen: Testimonial.to will reach multi-million dollar scale in 3-5 years
“I have confidence that I bring testimony to multimillion dollars in next, you know, I would say three to five years.”
Assertion Contradicted
Mathrubootham: No Indian software product company has completed an IPO
“There has been no product company from India that is actually IPO.”
Assertion Contradicted
Call center reps using predictive dialers call over 1,000 names daily
“An average call center rep on a predictive dialer is probably going to go through about a thousand plus names in a day.”
Assertion Contradicted
Bid: Koditas crossed $10 million in annual revenue last year
“Last year we did a quarter of 10.”
Assertion Contradicted
Renan de Villa: Manufacturing software is a $400B+ global market
“And it's a massive space. It's more than four hundred billion world, like just software from manufacturing companies.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sulekha predicts $40M to $50M revenue upon 2023 US events recovery
“So that market has come to a complete freeze. So we are expecting that in the year, 20, 23 was when we will get get that market back. And once we get that market back, we'll be able to hint the numbers that you're talking about.”
Assertion Contradicted
Crowley: Crowley Carbon offset CO2 equivalent to all of Dublin
“A couple of years ago, and I've stopped looking a couple of years ago, it was the same amount of CO two as all of Dublin, which is the capital of Ireland uses.”
Assertion Contradicted
Events.com has raised over $50M and is closing a $70M+ total round
“We've raised over fifty million and we're about to announce a round that takes us over seventy million and that includes the acquisitions.”
Assertion Contradicted
Thrower: COVID-19 caused a $3B drop in event management software
“You know, there's three billion dollar drop out of the event management software business.”
Assertion Contradicted
PostoPlan was first platform worldwide to launch WhatsApp scheduling
“So we are, like, first one in the world, service like that, that invented, like, launched WhatsApp. To schedule messages on WhatsApp.”
Assertion Contradicted
Armbrust: Mask manufacturing in China was not fully automated before pandemic
“None of this before the pandemic was fully automated.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sales Impact Academy predicts reaching $7M ARR by end of 2021
“I think we'll be at seven million.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
EssayJack expects its seed round to price at an $8M pre-money valuation
“Yeah, so it'll, to be honest, it'll probably be in the ballpark of around an eight million USD, you know, give or take.”
Assertion Contradicted
BugSense was the second most-used mobile analytics platform behind Google
“We had, we were the second most useful, second most used platform after Google analytics and Google reporting, but we saw that we're getting squeezed out and our goal was to go after the big customers, which were more difficult.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lewis: Mycroft Mark II Won't Ship Until Q2 or Q3 2021
“We're not due to really ship it, I think, until the second or third quarter next year. That's, I think, our realistic timeline.”
Assertion Contradicted
Schroeder: InChord sold to Washington Redskins owner Dan Snyder for 'ungodly' sum
“Well, it sold in 2001, 2002. It sold to a guy named Dan Snyder who owned the Washington Redskins and had made an ungodly amount of money which is why he owns the Redskins in in the, in a, I think a pharmaceutical sales outsource sales organization or something…”
Assertion Contradicted
GitLab is growing top-line revenue at 140% year-over-year
“I think last time we talked, we were closer to 200%. And I think we're at 1:40 today.”
Assertion Contradicted
German Finance Laws Prevent Pure SaaS Identity Solutions Due to Data Residency
“Because you might be in Germany and German finance laws require that customer data is housed in Germany. So a pure SaaS play just, it won't work.”
Assertion Contradicted
Walker: Previous 30 SaaS IPOs averaged 28-32% growth pre-IPO
“If you look at the last, you know, last 30 SaaS IPOs.
I think other than, you know, other than Zoom, which is the world's greatest IPO in the history of the Valley, I think anything like, you know, they're averaging around 30, 28, 30, 32% going into an IPO.”
Assertion Contradicted
Lynn: Masterworks is first to fractionalize fine art ownership
“So we, so we're really the first company to fractalize ownership in great works of art.”
Assertion Contradicted
80% of Festival Ticket Inventory Goes Unsold Across the Industry
“However, if you look at the collection of thousands of festivals, 80% of them go unsold.”
Assertion Contradicted
Zafar: TeleSense is First to Bring AI and Wireless Sensors to Grain
“So we decided to apply that to the grain industry and we are sort of the first one to get there.”
Assertion Contradicted
Latka: US government made $66B in profit from 2008 TARP bailouts
“Not only was that it was about four and forty billion distributed for, you know, around the tarp period. Not only was it paid back, but they made about, you know, sixty six billion in profits because they bought a lot of these bank stocks low, sold them high, …”
Assertion Contradicted
Yanowitz: One-third of US apartment renters did not pay March 2020 rent
“33% of US apartment renters didn't pay
Their April rent, or excuse me, didn't pay their March rent, right?”
Assertion Contradicted
Abbott: North American product fundraising is a $20B industry
“To completely automate this product fundraising business, which is about a two, a twenty billion dollar industry in North America.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Parsons: Palo Alto Software targets $50M ARR within five years
“So, 50 but that, it's not just live plan, that's adding this outpost product to it, and that's, you know, the five-year goal, my big stretch goal, that's where I would like us to be.”
Assertion Contradicted
Google's EMEA VP Ronan Harris joined Kumo's board
“The MD of Google for Europe. It's just joined our board as well. And VP of Mia, Ronan Harris.”
Assertion Contradicted
Hall: Top five travel management companies control over $100B in event spend
“As an example, the top five travel management companies of the world, Control over a hundred billion dollars worth of meetings and events spend because they already service the travel market for those big, large corporate customers.”
Assertion Contradicted
Darlison: Rise Vision launched the first digital signage SaaS product
“And we were in the, our industry, we were the first to offer a SaaS product in 2000 10 or earlier, I believe.”
Assertion Contradicted
Palmerino: Botkeeper guarantees 30% savings on bookkeeping costs
“So it's literally just anyone that needs bookkeeping, you could switch to Botkeeper and we guarantee save you 30% on what you're spending.”
Assertion Contradicted
Lu Zhang: Fusion Fund's GrubMarket investment is up over 100x
“That company, I think the valuation goes up more than a hundred times.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rosenshine: Mobile and tablet traffic surpasses desktop on B2B websites
“You'd actually be surprised at how much the mobile share of traffic has grown and it's nearly it's nearly equivalent to the desktop traffic on, and actually it's even surpassing it if we take tablets into account. Even on B to B websites that, you know, the tr…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Orbiter expects to receive at least $100k for its non-profit pivot
“We're going to be getting access to at least a hundred grand off the bat”
Assertion Contradicted
Paknad joined PSS Systems when it had raised $60M without a product
“I started in 2003. The company had raised sixty million bucks and had nothing to go to market with.”
Assertion Contradicted
Americans will receive over 40 billion customer surveys in 2019
“Like, you know, Americans this year will get over forty billion surveys and they all look like you're taking the SAT test.”
Assertion Contradicted
Typical Colorado Series A rounds are $3M on $8M pre-money valuations
“I think in Colorado, we typically, and I'm just saying this based on people I've known raises that they've done. We're typically seeing three on eight.”
Assertion Contradicted
Klein: Average CRM customer lifetime across the industry is roughly 28 months
“The average customer lifetime in the CRM business is about 28 months, believe it or not.”
Assertion Contradicted
Mathrubootham: No Indian tech product company has completed an IPO
“There has been no product company from India that is actually IPO.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Brewer predicts 2019 will be a hotbed for mortgage industry M&A
“This year is, is going to be a hotbed of merger and acquisition activity.”
Assertion Contradicted
Birdzell: 90% of upstream spend is within 60 days of drilling
“Right, and 90% of that five hundred billion is spent 30 days pre-drilled to 30 days post-drilled.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Cloudability plans to IPO by 2023 to become a consolidation platform
“So sometime in the next five years or mature, we will probably be an IPO. We can use our currency to combine or join a combined entity and go out there and just become something akin to a new version of Cisco or SAP.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kidron: Oramed will have 90-day oral insulin trial results by August 2019
“And in about 10 months from now, we're going to have the most important milestone in our history. We're going to have the result of a ninety-day trial when we administer oral insulin, and that's going to be a very, or the most clear-cut indication as to the va…”