why aren't all 32 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Lemkin: Implementing custom OAuth in vibe coding creates major security leaks
“All of these apps have their own OAuth built in. That is secure. That has been hardened. And everyone goes in and I know Replit the best because that's where I've spent time, but they all have the same ultimate. They're all more similar than they're different.…”
Opinion
Lemkin: LinkedIn panicked and sold cheaply to Microsoft for $26B
“LinkedIn panicked and sold to Microsoft really cheap. 20, I think, 25, twenty-six billion, but it was a profitable rocket ship with no need to sell.”
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Majority of surveyed sales professionals secretly work multiple jobs
“I did a survey on LinkedIn a couple of months ago and asked like over 2000 sales professionals. The majority said they're working more than one job. The majority.”
Disclosure
Demodesk used a fake LinkedIn SDR bot to acquire its first customers
“We basically set up a fake profile on LinkedIn. It was a fake SDR, a female SDR who was running on a bot, and that bot reached out to all our potential customers. So we built a bot that scrapes LinkedIn for potentially interesting profiles that fit our ICP per…”
Opinion
Cassidy: EchoSign's early team was much better than LinkedIn's
“The team we had at EchoSign was so much better, by the way, there are some great people on our team at LinkedIn, by the way, phenomenal people that have had great success, but overall the team we had at EchoSign was way better. It was a way better team general…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin predicts AI-generated LinkedIn comments will surpass human quality within 90 days
“I think in 90 days, the comments are gonna be so good on LinkedIn, like, you're almost like, should I just have my AI do the LinkedIn post and have the slop talk to the AI? Because it'll be better than a human could do.”
Opinion
Foster: Social media posts about autonomous AI agents are mostly hype
“If you go read X, if you go read LinkedIn, you would think that everybody is deploying agents Everywhere. Here, look at this crazy agent I've done that has solved all these magical problems for me. Mostly that is hype.”
Opinion
Lemkin: AI SaaS apps touted by influencers are mostly non-revenue prototypes
“All these folks on X and LinkedIn claiming they've already created 27 SAS apps themselves for 20 dollars a month. They're all prototypes, my friends. None of them are in production taking money. Now a handful are right. But none of them are.”
Insight
Lemkin: Reject Marketing Candidates With 'Strategist' In Their LinkedIn Headline
“If you like a marketer. If they're smart, if they're intelligent, look at their LinkedIn and see what their first line is. If it says strategist, thank them, send them a blue pen with your logo on and do not hire them. Trust me, not 99% of the time.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sam Blond: Rippling pays promoters $25 to post onboarding on LinkedIn
“Rippling does this really creative strategy where when you are onboarded by one of their customers, so part of their product is onboarding, and when a new hire goes through this onboarding process, Rippling sends them an NPS survey. Anybody that marks that sur…”
Opinion
Lemkin: LinkedIn Panicked and Sold to Microsoft in 2016 Flash Crash
“It was so crazy that LinkedIn, even though they were profitable in public, panicked and sold to Microsoft.”
Insight
Snow: Standard SEM spend on Google or LinkedIn won't yield outsized leverage
“You just have to find those opportunities, though, because it doesn't exist in just plugging in money in Google or LinkedIn SEM. Like it doesn't work like that if you're trying to be, if you're trying to find outsized leverage.”
Insight
Clayton: Addiction to employee referrals makes recruiters lazy and teams homogeneous
“They're also, like, crack. They get really addicting, and you don't want to get addicted to it because, What happens is then you start forgetting how to hunt and feed for yourself. Your recruiting team is more focused on the referral channel than scouring Link…”
Insight
Dorsey: Sales reps must build brands where buyers are, not just LinkedIn
“If you know how to actually build a brand as a skill, You will be incredibly successful in whatever career. If I had to start over from scratch in a new market, a new world, I know exactly how I would do it. And it may not be on LinkedIn, right? If you're sell…”
Insight
Siroker: Job candidates heavily focused on titles are a massive red flag
“We try to seek missionaries, not mercenaries. So people who are really focused on title as part of that process, ah, to me is a red flag. It means that they're about trying to make their LinkedIn profile look good, not how to make our customers wildly successf…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lovable Sees Double-Digit Paid Conversions From LinkedIn Premium Partnership
“We just announced a partnership with LinkedIn a couple of days ago, where every LinkedIn premium member now has free access to Lovable, and those conversion rates to paid are double digits.”
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: SaaStr LinkedIn Poll Found Only 2% Make AI SDRs Work
“Tomas Tungas came and said he did this survey and no one could get them to work. I didn't have an opinion, but I did it on our LinkedIn poll. We had 3000 folks. Only two percent folks said they get the AISD work.”
Insight
Moody-Byrd: Agentic AI learns user behaviors to act autonomously
“And so the difference between AI features and an agentic assistant is this agentic assistant actually starts to take Learn your behaviors, learn your priorities, and take actions on your behalf.”
Prediction Held up
Cabane: LinkedIn removed intent data ahead of a major AI product launch
“You've got to wonder what they're doing, especially because they've removed their intent data product three weeks ago, right? So you've got to wonder, is it because they don't care, or is it because they're going to announce something big? I think the latter.”
Insight
Lemkin: The Best Demand-Gen Marketers Display Quota Attainment On LinkedIn
“If you want a marketer to get you more leads, more opportunities, more pipeline, more customers, the best ones up until even 20, 30, forty million, all have one thing the same on their LinkedIn. Their first line is their commit.”
Insight
Lemkin: Redact Prestigious Employer Logos From Resumes To Avoid Bad Hires
“If you fall in love with someone in any part because of that logo, literally, if you want, this is just for fun, print it out. If you can find a printer, take a black marker and black out the LinkedIn and for fun, hand around and say, would you still hire them…”
Assertion Open · timeframe Jul 2024
Rippling gifts $25 to high-NPS users who post on LinkedIn
“And what they do is they give an NPS survey At the end of that onboarding. So when I joined Founder's Fund, I onboarded to Rippling. And the NPS survey, I mark it, whatever I mark it, based off of my experience onboarding, I probably marked it a 10. And then I…”
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Salesloft abandoned $7M in revenue after LinkedIn threatened litigation
“His first product, before Salesoft was the product that it stayed, a different product called Prospector that had seven million in revenue. LinkedIn threatened to sue them, and they had to abandon seven million revenue and start from scratch.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Harbaugh: VCs track startup turnover by analyzing LinkedIn departures
“So what VCs do is they'll have some poor associate look at your LinkedIn and look at people who have titles for companies who are going in and out.”
Disclosure
Why LinkedIn refused to hire sales reps from legacy job boards
“At LinkedIn, for example, we were changing the job board business with our talent solution, but we didn't really hire people from job boards because they were transactional salespeople, and we really needed solutions-based SaaS salespeople”
Assertion Supported
Moody-Byrd: LinkedIn Sales Solutions generates up to $2B in annual revenue
“So in the fail solutions business, we really are a startup within the business, even though we're a billion and a half dollars hitting upon two billion dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Grill: Received 900 LinkedIn messages in four hours after joining OpenAI
“I think I had 900 in-mails within four hours of posting that.”
Disclosure
Zima: Omni's content succeeded on LinkedIn but struggled on Twitter
“Like I'm not cool enough and quippy enough for Twitter. And our stuff hasn't done as well there. And on LinkedIn, it's done quite well with this sort of, you know, half of half a screen text that, you know, tells a story or a point of view and is a little bit …”
Disclosure
Tampling Tracks LinkedIn Contacts as a Visual Talent Pipeline
“All the people I meet in my journey over life, I put it into the same place and actually keep track of them on LinkedIn. I keep track of what they're doing and where they're moving, and I kind of move them around almost like a mind map of people that I may not…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: EchoSign's second VP of sales doubled revenue per lead in 60 days
“I hired my second VP of sales, who was one of my customers. He was the first head of sales from LinkedIn. Within 60 days, he had doubled the revenue per lead.”
Opinion
Headley: LinkedIn, LeanData, and Salesloft form the perfect pre-IPO sales stack
“Between LinkedIn, like a lean data and sales loft, I think that's, that was a really perfect marriage at a couple of prior pre IPO companies.”
Assertion Partly supported
Deeter: LinkedIn was the first private unicorn; early cloud lacked public comps
“When we, when you were starting EchoSign, I was doing Trigo, there wasn't a single public cloud company. In fact, in 2000, it took a couple of years before the first emerged and the first private unicorn was LinkedIn and like, Oh wait, so all new land.”