The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
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Altman: AI is automating creative jobs before blue-collar labor
“You know, the strong consensus Five, 10 years ago, was that first of all the AI was going to come for the blue-collar jobs. Second of all would be the less sophisticated white-collar jobs. Third of all would be the very high cognitive load white-collar jobs li…”
Blumenthal: AI ocular imaging will eventually diagnose primary health conditions
“And then we can use AIs to make diagnoses eventually and, you know, help better triage. Customers, not just within sort of eye care, but for primary health care and beyond.”
Ben-Shitrit: Redefine Meat will reach profitability in two years
“So it's not 10 years, it's two years from now.”
Neurable will launch a silent, thought-controlled device interface by 2025
“So, you know, it's not like a vision video of a hundred years from now. At least V-one is going to be available within the next two years.”
BETA plans to operate commercially in the United States by 2025
“And yes, by 20, 25, they're doing commercial operations here in the U S and then we just basically build them as fast as we can.”
Khan: Immersive AI 'holodeck' simulations are 3 to 5 years away
“You know, there's a world now where you can talk to historical characters, and we're probably three to five years away where you could share a room with Benjamin Franklin or Julius Caesar or Cleopatra and immerse yourself. It'll, it'll be literally the holodec…”
Aurora expects fully driverless freight operations by late 2024 starting in Texas
“And so, yes, our expectation is by the end of next year, there will be no human. Yeah. And, you know, the way we're going to launch this is initially it'll be on one lane, Which is what you call kind of a trucking route, and that'll be between Dallas and Houst…”
Scholl: Boom will produce first Overture by 2026, test in 2027
“We're breaking ground on the plant to build it, and we will be in production by the end of 24. We'll have the first airplane in 26, and we'll start flight testing it in 27.”
Vogt: Within 50 years, human driving will be seen as reckless
“The first is, is that I have very little doubt that self-driving cars will be Many, many, many, many times safer than human drivers to the point where it starts to look a little reckless to let humans drive cars in places where there might be pedestrians and c…”
Universal Hydrogen expects to retrofit half the target fleet by early 2030s
“We would expect to be able to get through at least half that fleet by the early 20 thirties.”
Vaynerchuk: 99% of current NFT projects will fail and collapse in price
“Yeah, I mean, I think 99% of the projects that are being launched right now are gold rushes, and they're gonna be projects that fail, and people are gonna buy tokens from celebrities, leagues, different things, and the price is gonna go down.”
Zimmer predicted in 2017 that AVs would soon handle half of rides
“What's real is that over the next couple years, it'll be able to do A few percent of our trips, 10% of our trips, 50% of our trips.”
Guy Raz predicts AI podcasts will be profitable within five years
“In, in, within five years, AI generated podcasts will be, they already are pretty good. They will be so good that people will make money out for them, and my value will probably be going, doing things live.”
Cuthbert Predicts Viator Will Surpass $4B in Gross Revenue in 2024
“They'll do, I think, over four billion dollars in gross revenue in 2024.”
Eremenko: Universal Hydrogen will fly first retrofit ATR by 2025
“Yes, we are. The long lead item for that is FAA certification, and we have been quite conscientious about bringing the FAA on the journey with us, right? Making sure that we don't just design it and throw it over the wall and say, please certify this, right?”
Quaise will start field drilling in 2024, repower plant by 2028
“So, twenty-twenty-four is what we say we're going to do, and after that, you start the journey towards repairing a power plant, and that takes us the better part of the rest of the decade. So, twenty-twenty-seven, 28 is when we intend to repair the first power…”
Baird: NYC will get most electricity from Quebec hydro by 2023
“What we do have in New York City is we get most of our electricity, or will next year, from a hydroelectric project in Quebec. Oh. And so there's this giant dam in Quebec that spins a bunch of turbines, and Produces clean electricity and sends that electricity…”
Marshall: Planet projects over 40% annual growth and profitability within two years
“So we have very clear line of sight now on a growth path, you know, going just over 40% a year for the next five years we project. And that gets us to profitability in the next couple of years.”
Abuzeid: US will be 1 million nurses short by 2024
“Like by 20, 24, we're going to be one million nurses short. And that shortage just keeps getting worse and worse.”
Hyman: Retail will not return to majority offline purchases
“I don't think that we're going back into a world where the majority of what we buy is done offline.”
Brown: State bans on plant-based meat labeling will fail constitutional tests
“The smart money is that they're not going to pass a constitutional test.”
Zimmer predicted autonomous cars would gradually handle a growing percentage of rides
“An autonomous car is not going to drop out of the sky and be able to do a hundred percent of our trips. That's not real. What's real is that over the next couple years, it'll be able to do A few percent of our trips, 10% of our trips, 50% of our trips.”
Hedrick: Tecovas Will Exceed $300 Million in Net Sales in 2025
“We'll, we'll definitely exceed three hundred million in net sales this year.”
Meeker Projects Bark Will Achieve Net Profitability This Fiscal Year
“This year, we should make four or five million dollars. And up from there.”
Maldonado: Chomps is approaching $500M in retail sales in 2024
“We'll do somewhere around the, we're approaching the half a billion dollar mark in retail sales this year.”
Proto will halve the price of its flagship ProtoEpic device within months.
“In the next several months, I will be able to cut that price in half.”
Twine: Briogeo approached $40 million in gross sales during 2020
“So we will, you know, finish this year close to forty million in gross sales”
Home Defense Is Becoming the Primary Driver of Firearm Purchases
“People are going to continue to buy firearms for home defense, right? And that is something that I is only increasing rapidly year over year. In fact, it is rapidly becoming the primary reason why people buy firearms.”
C16's Palmless Oil Will Enter Food Products Within Two Years
“By the end of this year, we'll be in a handful of other personal care products, so think skin care and body care products, and other brands featuring Palmless as the sort of innovator, and within two years or so, we will be able to be in food products.”
Liedtke: Adidas may eliminate virgin polyester ahead of 2024 target
“From what I hear and what I read from what Adidas is still doing is they're honoring that, that target, and they may even exceed that and hit, hit it in an earlier timeframe.”
Ku predicts ghost kitchens will capture larger restaurant industry market share
“I think ghost kitchens were already part of the industry before this happened, and I think will be a bigger part of the industry.”
Joel Clark projected Kodiak Cakes would surpass $200 million in 2020 revenue
“Yeah, we should go over that this year.”
Carter predicted in 2020 that live touring wouldn't normalize until 2022
“On the touring side, it's catastrophic, and the reality is we probably won't see this look normal until twenty-twenty-two, in my opinion.”
Zimmer: Lyft will likely offer monthly subscription miles plans for all transportation
“In fact, what you'll be able to do is buy, you know, likely a miles plan from us, a monthly subscription to handle all your transportation needs.”
Zimmer predicted Lyft would sell monthly subscriptions mixing human and autonomous rides
“In fact, what you'll be able to do is buy, you know, likely a miles plan from us, a monthly subscription to handle all your transportation needs. And over the next few years, some of those trips will be done by human drivers, and others will be done by autonom…”
Walker: Sweet Paws by Five Dot Post will launch in every Petco
“We won three golden tickets at Walmart's open call, and in a few weeks, we're gonna be launched at every Petco nationwide, so.”
Simon Cowell predicts his new boyband will launch by late 2025.
“I think round about maybe the end of the year, I'm thinking.”
Lore: Wonder expects to partner with 30 restaurant chains by July 2023
“So by next summer, by July, we'll have 30 restaurant chains, which we believe is, is around the right number.”
Cuban: Cost Plus Drugs will offer 2,000 medications by year-end
“And by the end of the year, we'll be up to 2000.”
Briogeo Projected Nearly $40 Million in 2020 Gross Sales
“Yeah, so we will, you know, finish this year close to forty million in gross sales, which is pretty awesome.”
Weiss: Global Beauty Market Will Reach $750B in Six Years
“Beauty is a huge industry. It's a four hundred and fifty billion dollar global market. It's going to be seven hundred and fifty billion in six years.”