| 26× | “26 times” | Link: Apple's forward P/E multiple expanded from 26x to 35x | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Supported |
| 35× | “35 times” | Link: Apple's forward P/E multiple expanded from 26x to 35x | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Ives: 100 million iPhones in China are in an upgrade window | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| 4T | “four trillion” | Ives: NVIDIA will reach $4 trillion market cap in 3-6 months | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | Didn’t hold up |
| $41B | “forty one billion dollars” | Link: Big hyperscalers will invest $241B in 2024 and $278B in 2025 | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| 78B | “seventy eight billion” | Link: Big hyperscalers will invest $241B in 2024 and $278B in 2025 | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| 41% | “41%” | Link: Big hyperscalers will invest $241B in 2024 and $278B in 2025 | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| 17% | “17%” | Link: Big hyperscalers will invest $241B in 2024 and $278B in 2025 | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| $4T | “four trillion dollars” | Link: $4 trillion will be spent on energy grid by 2050 | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| $48B | “forty eight billion dollars” | Link: Amazon will generate $48B in free cash flow in 2024 | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Didn’t hold up |
| 20% | “20%” | Link: AWS and advertising will reach 31% of Amazon's revenue by 2030 | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Open |
| 33% | “33%” | Link: AWS and advertising will reach 31% of Amazon's revenue by 2030 | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Open |
| 50% | “50%” | Link: AWS and advertising will reach 31% of Amazon's revenue by 2030 | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Open |
| 24% | “24%” | Link: AWS and advertising will reach 31% of Amazon's revenue by 2030 | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Open |
| 31% | “31%” | Link: AWS and advertising will reach 31% of Amazon's revenue by 2030 | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Open |
| 20% | “20%” | Link: Amazon will deliver ~20% 5-year CAGR, beating Meta and Google | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Open |
| 13% | “13%” | Link: Amazon will deliver ~20% 5-year CAGR, beating Meta and Google | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Open |
| 12.8% | “12.8%” | Link: Amazon will deliver ~20% 5-year CAGR, beating Meta and Google | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Open |
| 30% | “30%” | Ives: Amazon risk/reward is a table pounder with 25-30% upside | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Ives: Amazon risk/reward is a table pounder with 25-30% upside | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| 35× | “35 times” | Link: Amazon trades cheaper than Apple at 32x forward earnings vs 35x | Stephanie Link | Oct 23, 2024 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Brown: Retail pharmacy chains CVS and Walgreens are going away | Josh Brown | Oct 16, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Brown: Retail pharmacy chains CVS and Walgreens are going away | Josh Brown | Oct 16, 2024 | — |
| $11T | “11 trillion dollars” | Brown: 401(k) Plans Hold $11 Trillion with Bi-Weekly Automated Inflows | Josh Brown | Oct 16, 2024 | Partly supported |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | Brown: Automated 401(k) flows and rebalancing drastically dampen stock market volatility | Josh Brown | Oct 16, 2024 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Kantrowitz: Microsoft Takes 20% Revenue Share Off Top of OpenAI's Earnings | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | Kantrowitz: Microsoft Takes 20% Revenue Share Off Top of OpenAI's Earnings | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Kantrowitz: Microsoft Takes 20% Revenue Share Off Top of OpenAI's Earnings | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Kantrowitz: Leaked Financials Show OpenAI Projects $5B Loss on $4B Revenue | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 6B | “a five billion” | Kantrowitz: Leaked Financials Show OpenAI Projects $5B Loss on $4B Revenue | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI Spends Only 7% of Revenue on Sales and Marketing | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI Spends Only 7% of Revenue on Sales and Marketing | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI Spends Only 7% of Revenue on Sales and Marketing | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 41% | “41%” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI's 41% Gross Margin Trails Far Behind 70% Software Baseline | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI's 41% Gross Margin Trails Far Behind 70% Software Baseline | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 11, 2024 | Supported |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Weinberg: OpenAI CFO Tells Staff Compute Sourcing Will Expand Beyond Microsoft | Cory Weinberg | Oct 11, 2024 | — |
| 9.5B | “9.5 billion” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI Projects Massive $9.5B Model Training Spend in 2026 | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 11, 2024 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Weinberg: OpenAI Was Down to $1B Cash Before Recent $6.6B Fundraise | Cory Weinberg | Oct 11, 2024 | — |
| $6.6B | “6.6 billion dollars” | Weinberg: OpenAI Was Down to $1B Cash Before Recent $6.6B Fundraise | Cory Weinberg | Oct 11, 2024 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Bosworth Uses Meta AI 10x More On Ray-Ban Glasses Than Phone | Andrew Bosworth | Oct 4, 2024 | — |
| $6M | “six million dollars” | Senior AI Executives Command Compensation Packages of $1.5 Million Annually | Parmy Olson | Sep 13, 2024 | — |
| $3M | “three million dollars” | Senior AI Executives Command Compensation Packages of $1.5 Million Annually | Parmy Olson | Sep 13, 2024 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Kantrowitz: iPhone drives 52% of Apple's total sales and 68% of products | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 52% | “52%” | Kantrowitz: iPhone drives 52% of Apple's total sales and 68% of products | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 68% | “68%” | Kantrowitz: iPhone drives 52% of Apple's total sales and 68% of products | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 11, 2024 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Roy: System-level AI integration threatens Apple's 30% App Store revenue cut | Ranjan Roy | Sep 11, 2024 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Invisible Tech cut a 100-person, 10-year e-commerce catalog backlog to months | Ben Plummer | Sep 5, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Plummer: Every business process will eventually transition to fully autonomous AI execution | Ben Plummer | Sep 5, 2024 | — |
| 47% | “47%” | Hari: 47% of Americans want to take new weight loss drugs | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | Supported |
| 67% | “67%” | Hari: 67% of US children's calories come from ultra-processed food | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | Supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Hari: Ozempic and Wegovy users average 15% weight loss in a year | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | Supported |
| 21% | “21%” | Hari: Mounjaro users average 21% weight loss in one year | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | Supported |
| 24% | “24%” | Hari: Triple G agonists yield 24% weight loss, near bariatric surgery | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | Supported |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Hari: Ozempic costs $250 monthly in Britain versus $1,000 in America | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | — |
| 85% | “85%” | Hari: Diet and exercise fail sustained weight loss for 85% of people | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | Supported |
| 56% | “56%” | Hari: Bariatric surgery cuts all-cause mortality by 40% | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Hari: Bariatric surgery cuts all-cause mortality by 40% | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | Supported |
| 92% | “92%” | Hari: Bariatric surgery cuts all-cause mortality by 40% | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Hari: Bariatric surgery cuts all-cause mortality by 40% | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Hari: Obesity at age 18 carries a 70% lifetime diabetes risk | Johann Hari | Sep 4, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | ChatGPT Reaches 200 Million Weekly Active Users | Alex Kantrowitz | Aug 30, 2024 | Supported |
| 3.4B | “3.4 billion” | OpenAI Generates $3.4 Billion In Annualized Revenue | Alex Kantrowitz | Aug 30, 2024 | Supported |
| 9× | “nine times” | Markowitz: Brain Abscess Treatment Required IV Antibiotics Nine Times Daily | Eric Markowitz | Aug 28, 2024 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Markowitz: Multi-decade investing should prioritize 50-year survival over 30% growth | Eric Markowitz | Aug 28, 2024 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Markowitz: Multi-decade investing should prioritize 50-year survival over 30% growth | Eric Markowitz | Aug 28, 2024 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Diamandis: AI will become up to a billion times more powerful than humans | Peter Diamandis | Jul 29, 2024 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Diamandis: AI will become up to a billion times more powerful than humans | Peter Diamandis | Jul 29, 2024 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Diamandis: AI will become up to a billion times more powerful than humans | Peter Diamandis | Jul 29, 2024 | — |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Diamandis: AI will become up to a billion times more powerful than humans | Peter Diamandis | Jul 29, 2024 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Diamandis: Elon Musk's ambitious ventures make him extraordinarily net-positive for humanity | Peter Diamandis | Jul 29, 2024 | — |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Diamandis: Global population will peak around 9 to 9.5 billion before dropping rapidly | Peter Diamandis | Jul 29, 2024 | Open |
| 10M | “ten million” | Large-scale software development with AI still requires expert human architects | Thomas Domke | Jul 24, 2024 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | GitHub's support Copilot resolves 50% of customer questions without human escalation | Thomas Domke | Jul 24, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | AI will write 80% of all code by 2027 | Thomas Domke | Jul 24, 2024 | — |
| 46% | “46%” | Copilot currently writes an average of 46% of code in enabled files | Thomas Domke | Jul 24, 2024 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Copilot currently writes an average of 46% of code in enabled files | Thomas Domke | Jul 24, 2024 | Supported |
| 1B | “one billion” | Global software developers will reach one billion by 2030 | Thomas Domke | Jul 24, 2024 | Open |
| 10% | “10%” | Global software developers will reach one billion by 2030 | Thomas Domke | Jul 24, 2024 | Open |
| $40M | “forty million dollars” | Klarna cut outsourced customer service spend by $40 million using AI | Sebastian Siemiatkowski | Jul 17, 2024 | Not publicly verifiable |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | BPO vendor lost over $1B market cap after Klarna's AI tweet | Sebastian Siemiatkowski | Jul 17, 2024 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Siemiatkowski estimates 50% to 70% of Klarna's efficiency gains come from AI | Sebastian Siemiatkowski | Jul 17, 2024 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Siemiatkowski estimates 50% to 70% of Klarna's efficiency gains come from AI | Sebastian Siemiatkowski | Jul 17, 2024 | — |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Klarna processes $100 billion in volume, $30 billion via bank scripting | Sebastian Siemiatkowski | Jul 17, 2024 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 30B | “thirty billion” | Klarna processes $100 billion in volume, $30 billion via bank scripting | Sebastian Siemiatkowski | Jul 17, 2024 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 20% | “20%” | Klarna analysis finds about 20% of its press coverage contains factual errors | Sebastian Siemiatkowski | Jul 17, 2024 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Klarna shrank headcount from 4,500 to 3,700 via attrition and a hiring freeze | Sebastian Siemiatkowski | Jul 17, 2024 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | AWS's Wood: AI Success Requires 50% Cultural and 50% Technical Investment | Matt Wood | Jul 10, 2024 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | AWS's Wood: 25% to 35% of Enterprise Workforce AI-Ready Today, 100% Long-Term | Matt Wood | Jul 10, 2024 | — |
| 35% | “35%” | AWS's Wood: 25% to 35% of Enterprise Workforce AI-Ready Today, 100% Long-Term | Matt Wood | Jul 10, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | AWS's Wood: 25% to 35% of Enterprise Workforce AI-Ready Today, 100% Long-Term | Matt Wood | Jul 10, 2024 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Wood: Amazon Q Code Acceptance Rate Is 35% to 50% | Matt Wood | Jul 10, 2024 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Saunders gives 10% probability of human-level remote AI within three years | William Saunders | Jul 3, 2024 | — |
| 4.5% | “4.5%” | Kantrowitz: Erasing Nvidia's 2024 gains would drop S&P 500 by 4.5% | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 26, 2024 | Supported |
| 13% | “13%” | Kantrowitz: Nvidia has beaten internal revenue guidance midpoints by 13% average | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 26, 2024 | Supported |
| 40× | “40 times” | Batnick: Nvidia trades at 40x forward earnings compared to Cisco's dot-com 130x | Michael Batnick | Jun 26, 2024 | Supported |
| 20× | “20 times” | Batnick: Nvidia has earned a valuation premium above market multiple | Michael Batnick | Jun 26, 2024 | — |
| $30B | “thirty billion dollars” | Batnick: Only 14 S&P 500 companies exceed Nvidia's $430B three-day loss | Michael Batnick | Jun 26, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 13% | “13%” | Batnick: A 13% three-day drop is normal for high-growth stocks | Michael Batnick | Jun 26, 2024 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Batnick: Cisco stock collapsed post-bubble despite 15% earnings growth | Michael Batnick | Jun 26, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Batnick: Cisco stock collapsed post-bubble despite 15% earnings growth | Michael Batnick | Jun 26, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Batnick: Cisco stock collapsed post-bubble despite 15% earnings growth | Michael Batnick | Jun 26, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 45% | “45%” | Kantrowitz: Big cloud providers drive about 45% of Nvidia's data center revenue | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 26, 2024 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Levie: Box will reinvest AI productivity gains into growth over profit margins | Aaron Levie | May 23, 2024 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Levie: AI context windows improved 500x in 18 months | Aaron Levie | May 22, 2024 | Supported |
| 500× | “500 X” | Levie: AI context windows improved 500x in 18 months | Aaron Levie | May 22, 2024 | Supported |
| 5× | “five times” | Levie: OpenAI cut high-quality token costs tenfold in 18 months | Aaron Levie | May 22, 2024 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Levie: 10x cheaper AI models will drive 100x more usage | Aaron Levie | May 22, 2024 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Levie: 10x cheaper AI models will drive 100x more usage | Aaron Levie | May 22, 2024 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Levie: Companies will scale by adding compute instead of human headcount | Aaron Levie | May 22, 2024 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Levie: Companies will scale by adding compute instead of human headcount | Aaron Levie | May 22, 2024 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Levie: Companies will scale by adding compute instead of human headcount | Aaron Levie | May 22, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Levie: Companies will scale by adding compute instead of human headcount | Aaron Levie | May 22, 2024 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | NBC built 20 million unique viewing sessions for Peacock NFL stream | Keith Zubchevich | May 20, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Conviva Operates Seven Billion Sensors Measuring Global Broadcast Quality | Keith Zubchevich | May 20, 2024 | — |
| 7× | “seven times” | Transient incidents impact streaming consumers seven times more than full outages | Keith Zubchevich | May 20, 2024 | — |
| 4T | “four trillion” | Conviva ingests four trillion telemetry events every single day | Keith Zubchevich | May 20, 2024 | — |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Tech giants should concentrate capital into a single frontier lab | Dwarkesh Patel | May 15, 2024 | — |
| 5× | “five X” | Generating synthetic data could impose a 5x compute tax on model training | Dwarkesh Patel | May 15, 2024 | — |
| 4× | “four X” | Sivasubramanian: Trainium2 offers 4x faster training and 2x energy efficiency | Swami Sivasubramanian | May 1, 2024 | Supported |
| 2× | “two times” | Sivasubramanian: Trainium2 offers 4x faster training and 2x energy efficiency | Swami Sivasubramanian | May 1, 2024 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | AWS AI Chief: Inferentia chips can cut AI computing costs by 40% | Swami Sivasubramanian | May 1, 2024 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | AWS AI Chief: Inferentia chips can cut AI computing costs by 40% | Swami Sivasubramanian | May 1, 2024 | Supported |
| 99% | “99%” | Lazimi: Yubo reached 10M signups in year one with 99% teens | Sasha Lazimi | Apr 29, 2024 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Lazimi: 95% of Yubo Rooms Average Four to Five People Speaking | Sasha Lazimi | Apr 29, 2024 | — |
| 4× | “four times” | Lazimi: French engineers cost four times less than US engineers | Sasha Lazimi | Apr 29, 2024 | Contradicted |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Meta releases 8-billion and 70-billion parameter Llama 3 models | Meta's Generative AI Head | Apr 22, 2024 | — |
| 71B | “a seventy billion” | Meta releases 8-billion and 70-billion parameter Llama 3 models | Meta's Generative AI Head | Apr 22, 2024 | — |
| 70B | “seventy billion” | Ahmad Al-Dahle: 70B parameters is the magical number for billion-user scale | Meta's Generative AI Head | Apr 22, 2024 | — |
| 9B | “an eight billion” | Ahmad Al-Dahle: 8-billion parameter models can run locally on phones | Meta's Generative AI Head | Apr 22, 2024 | Supported |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Meta trained Llama 3 8B and 70B models on 15 trillion tokens | Meta's Generative AI Head | Apr 22, 2024 | Supported |
| 70B | “seventy billion” | Meta trained Llama 3 8B and 70B models on 15 trillion tokens | Meta's Generative AI Head | Apr 22, 2024 | Supported |
| 15T | “15 trillion” | Meta trained Llama 3 8B and 70B models on 15 trillion tokens | Meta's Generative AI Head | Apr 22, 2024 | Supported |
| 400B | “four hundred billion” | Ahmad Al-Dahle: Meta is currently training a 400-billion parameter Llama 3 model | Meta's Generative AI Head | Apr 22, 2024 | — |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Meta used 100x more compute to train Llama 3 than Llama 2 | Meta's Generative AI Head | Apr 22, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Swisher: Apple's stock is 10x higher under Tim Cook than Steve Jobs | Kara Swisher | Apr 20, 2024 | Supported |
| $5B | “five billion dollars” | Lanzone: Yahoo was spun out of Verizon for around $5 billion | Jim Lanzone | Apr 4, 2024 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Lanzone: Yahoo owns 25% of Taboola after shifting native ad supply | Jim Lanzone | Apr 4, 2024 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Lanzone: Yahoo cut 20% of staff during ad tech restructuring | Jim Lanzone | Apr 4, 2024 | — |
| 86% | “86%” | Lanzone: 86% of US internet users visit Yahoo each month | Jim Lanzone | Apr 4, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 36.5B | “36.5 billion” | Lanzone: Yahoo logs 36.5B minutes per month in the US | Jim Lanzone | Apr 4, 2024 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 50× | “50 X” | Lanzone: Ask Jeeves 50x'd its stock after adopting Google AdWords in 2002 | Jim Lanzone | Apr 4, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 2× | “two X” | Doshi: NVIDIA H100 is 1.9x faster but 2x costlier | Suhail Doshi | Mar 20, 2024 | Supported |
| 5× | “five times” | Doshi: AWS Quoted 5x Market Price for GPUs in 2023 | Suhail Doshi | Mar 20, 2024 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Petersen: Almost 10% of Flexport Deliveries Go to Amazon | Ryan Petersen | Mar 6, 2024 | — |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | Petersen: Largest freight forwarder holds only 3% to 4% market share | Ryan Petersen | Mar 6, 2024 | Supported |
| 4% | “four percent” | Petersen: Largest freight forwarder holds only 3% to 4% market share | Ryan Petersen | Mar 6, 2024 | Supported |
| 4M | “four million” | Petersen: Flexport operates 4 million square feet of fulfillment facilities | Ryan Petersen | Mar 6, 2024 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Petersen: Over 90% of Container Ships Are Bypassing the Red Sea | Ryan Petersen | Mar 6, 2024 | Supported |
| 5× | “five times” | Petersen: Asia-to-Europe Shipping Rates Jumped Fivefold Following Red Sea Crisis | Ryan Petersen | Mar 6, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Petersen: Flexport could automate 20% of human freight tasks per year | Ryan Petersen | Mar 6, 2024 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Catanzaro: About 40% of NVIDIA data center GPUs go to inference | Bryan Catanzaro | Feb 28, 2024 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Srinivas: 50% to 60% of Character.AI Users Are Under 20 | Aravind Srinivas | Feb 15, 2024 | Contradicted |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Srinivas: Perplexity will not extract all search value like Google did | Aravind Srinivas | Feb 15, 2024 | — |
| $30B | “thirty billion dollars” | Gelsinger: Leading-edge chip fab costs $30B and takes five years | Pat Gelsinger | Dec 14, 2023 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Priceline Rolls Out Generative AI Checkout Bot to 100% of Users | Marty Brodbeck | Dec 12, 2023 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT Reached 100 Million Users Faster Than Any Consumer Product | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 23, 2023 | Supported |
| 29% | “29%” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT sessions fell 29% during three summer months in 2023 | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 23, 2023 | Supported |
| $750M | “seven hundred fifty million dollars” | Ray Dalio personally made roughly $750 million during the 2008 financial crisis | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 7, 2023 | Supported |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Bridgewater spent over $100 million developing Dalio's employee rating software | Rob Copeland | Nov 7, 2023 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 1% | “one percent” | Nemade: Bing gained only about 1% market share post-ChatGPT | Gaurav Nemade | Oct 30, 2023 | Supported |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Kantrowitz: Apple's Anti-Tracking Changes Cost Meta $10 Billion in Revenue | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 25, 2023 | Supported |
| 1.3B | “1.25 billion” | Kantrowitz: Amazon Invested $1.25B in Anthropic With Options Up to $4B | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 25, 2023 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Kantrowitz: Amazon Invested $1.25B in Anthropic With Options Up to $4B | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 25, 2023 | Supported |
| $65B | “sixty five billion dollars” | Alameda Was Allowed Massively Negative Account Balance on FTX | Molly White | Oct 19, 2023 | Supported |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Alameda's Debt to FTX Hit $13B While Exchange NAV Was $6B-$8B | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 19, 2023 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Alameda's Debt to FTX Hit $13B While Exchange NAV Was $6B-$8B | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 19, 2023 | Supported |
| $55M | “fifty-five million dollars” | Tom Brady Was Paid $55 Million For 20 Hours of FTX Work | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 19, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Vogt: Cruise will sustain 10X annual fleet growth for the foreseeable future | Kyle Vogt | Oct 6, 2023 | Didn’t hold up |
| 50% | “50%” | Vogt: Cruise AVs cut total crashes by 50% compared to human drivers | Kyle Vogt | Oct 6, 2023 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Vogt: Cruise AVs cut total crashes by 50% compared to human drivers | Kyle Vogt | Oct 6, 2023 | Supported |
| 6× | “six times” | Coulter: Amazon lost its scrappiness to bureaucratic bloat | Kristi Coulter | Sep 21, 2023 | — |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | Murdock: DeepMind mapped all 200M known proteins using AlphaFold | Colin Murdock | Sep 14, 2023 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Ramaswamy: Snowflake bets generative AI will 10x users and 100x queries | Sridhar Ramaswamy | Sep 6, 2023 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Ramaswamy: Snowflake bets generative AI will 10x users and 100x queries | Sridhar Ramaswamy | Sep 6, 2023 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Shah: EZ Newswire is 90% cheaper than legacy wires on average | Neil Shah | Jul 24, 2023 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Shah: 75% to 80% of EZ Newswire clients give AI output top ratings | Neil Shah | Jul 24, 2023 | — |
| 25× | “25 times” | Shah: EZ Newswire makes 20 to 25 LLM calls per press release | Neil Shah | Jul 24, 2023 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | McDermott: 80% of enterprise digital transformation investments fail to deliver positive ROI | Bill McDermott | Jul 4, 2023 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | McDermott: ServiceNow customers will build 1 billion apps within two years | Bill McDermott | Jul 4, 2023 | Didn’t hold up |
| 8T | “a seven trillion” | McDermott: Modernizing legacy data centers is a $7 trillion market opportunity | Bill McDermott | Jul 4, 2023 | — |
| $3T | “three trillion dollars” | Teller: Humanity derives up to $3 trillion annually from oceans | Astro Teller | Jun 29, 2023 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Teller: Alphabet's X is not structured to scale products to billions | Astro Teller | Jun 29, 2023 | — |
| $10T | “10 trillion dollars” | Teller: Global manufacturing spending is approaching $10 trillion annually | Astro Teller | Jun 29, 2023 | Contradicted |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Teller: Seriously automating a factory currently costs $1 billion | Astro Teller | Jun 29, 2023 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Lemoine: Tech companies need Institutional Review Boards before deploying AI chatbots | Blake Lemoine | Feb 23, 2023 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Friedberg: Forecasts Project 90% of Global Population in Africa and South Asia by 2100 | David Friedberg | Feb 15, 2023 | Contradicted |
| 90% | “90%” | Friedberg: Forecasts Project 90% of Global Population in Africa and South Asia by 2100 | David Friedberg | Feb 15, 2023 | Contradicted |
| 10% | “10%” | Friedberg: Forecasts Project 90% of Global Population in Africa and South Asia by 2100 | David Friedberg | Feb 15, 2023 | Contradicted |
| 10× | “10 times” | Friedberg: Latin American farmers make nearly 10x US farmer operating margins | David Friedberg | Feb 15, 2023 | Contradicted |
| 65% | “65%” | Friedberg: Roughly 65% of post-2020 IPO/SPAC companies trade below private capital raised | David Friedberg | Feb 15, 2023 | Supported |
| 4× | “four times” | Friedberg: Beyond Meat and Impossible cost 2x to 4x conventional beef | David Friedberg | Feb 15, 2023 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Friedberg: 90% to 95% chance scalable fusion exists within two decades | David Friedberg | Feb 15, 2023 | Open |
| 1B | “A billion” | Twitter owes over $1 billion in annual interest, exceeding its historical revenue | Simon Balmain | Nov 9, 2022 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “100%” | Enjeti predicts McCarthy will cave to establishment and pass Ukraine aid | Saagar Enjeti | Nov 6, 2022 | Held up |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Meta projected a $10 billion revenue hit from Apple's privacy changes | Alex Kantrowitz | Oct 31, 2022 | Supported |
| 59% | “59%” | Kantrowitz: Meta stock is down 59% since the Facebook Files | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 29, 2022 | Supported |
| 3× | “three times” | Haugen: Meta increased safety spending two to three times post-leak | Frances Haugen | Sep 29, 2022 | Contradicted |
| 90% | “90%” | Haugen: 80% to 90% of Global Content in Most Languages Exists Only on Facebook | Frances Haugen | Sep 29, 2022 | — |
| 35% | “35%” | Haugen: In Some Countries, 35% of All Facebook News Feed Impressions Are Reshares | Frances Haugen | Sep 29, 2022 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 65% | “65%” | Haugen: Facebook's algorithm drove 65% of joins to German neo-Nazi groups | Frances Haugen | Sep 29, 2022 | Supported |
BIG TECHNOLOGYLEDGER All shows Try the podcast clipper →