Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brown: Retail pharmacy chains CVS and Walgreens are going away
“All you have to do is look at a chart of CVS, which is in a 60% drawdown from a tie, or look at Walgreens Boots Alliance, which is in a 90% drawdown. These companies are going away.”
Insight
Brown: Capitalism collapses unless the middle class is forced to work
“The reason capitalism works is you have people at the top of the heap that have already made it, probably because they killed themselves to get there, and then you have people who want to be where they are and are willing to do the jobs that are necessary in o…”
Opinion
Brown: The Fed sought a recession to push people back to work
“They never said it, but that was the explicit policy aim. We need to crash this economy to get people back to their jobs. It's crazy. I mean, it didn't work. They weren't able to do it, thank God. We got inflation down anyway despite their efforts”
Insight
Brown: AI tools will hollow out entry-level financial advisor apprenticeships
“When I don't need that person, who's probably a 24 year old getting, I don't know, 85,000 in their first year, when I don't need that person, and none of the other firms need that person, and that goes on for five years, you've kind of hollowed out the way tha…”
Insight
Brown: Automated 401(k) flows and rebalancing drastically dampen stock market volatility
“The effect of these forces that I'm describing is a dampening of volatility, and it is a acceleration of the correction process. So it's not that we don't have corrections we do, all the time. They don't last long, because the wealth manager, with fifty billio…”
Insight
Brown: Investors now have a higher proclivity to panic buy than sell
“There's a higher proclivity to panic buy than panic sell.”
Opinion
Josh Brown: AI boom may be the first fear-based investment bubble
“We might be in the first fear-based
Investment bubble ever. Normally when you have an investment bubble, it's greed. In this case, there's an element of, I better invest in this.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brown: AI copilots will increase employer demands and eventually replace workers
“My point is the expectations on the part of our employers are just going to go up as we become more tech enabled. So we're doing more, not necessarily being paid more. And many of us are going to reach the point where the quote unquote co-pilot actually should…”
Insight
Brown: AI automation will disadvantage workers who prefer rote tasks
“The thing is, not everybody is a creative. Not everybody wants to do something other than rote tasks. There are a lot of people who find comfort in that type of work, and that's what they want to do, and they're not suited for a world where they get half their…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brown: Companies Will Become Fabulously Profitable by Automating Busywork
“Yes, companies are going to become fabulously profitable as they institute all this amazing technology that's coming down the pike, and it's already happening, and of course, we're gonna get rid of a lot of busy work that people should not be doing anymore if …”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Brown: 2024 election will likely yield divided government, boosting stocks
“It looks like actually the outcome's gonna be still up in the air, but probably lead to a divided government, which is positive for stocks, historically where no one party gets to do a lot of Weird shit in either direction.”
Assertion Supported
Josh Brown: Nvidia stated Blackwell chips are sold out for 12 months
“They just told us they sold out of Blackwell chips for 12 months.”
Insight
Josh Brown: Ability to ape humanity sets AI apart from prior tech waves
“I think in the case of AI, its ability to effectively ape humanity
Is what sets it apart from prior waves of technology.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brown: CVS's Aetna and Caremark acquisitions failed to deliver expected synergies
“CVS spent, like, huge amounts of money to buy Aetna, and to buy Caremark. So, buy an insurance company, buy a pharmacy pharmacy benefits manager, and basically, take, take a vertical approach to what was obviously going to be a consolidating industry. Those de…”
Assertion Supported
Brown: Amazon pushed out its touchless tech lead and is closing stores
“The guy that developed the touchless technology for Amazon's retail was just pushed out of the company, and they are closing A lot of those Amazon go stores because there just didn't seem to be anything magical that made people want to go to them.”
Insight
Brown: Services-driven economy is less vulnerable to high interest rates
“Services driven economy. It's going to be less susceptible to higher interest rates. It's not part of the manufacturing cycle of booms and busts and inventories and, okay, so there's that.”
Prediction Held up
Brown: Fed will probably cut interest rates again in weeks
“The Fed has done its first interest rate cut, and they started off with a double cut, and they'll probably do another one in a couple weeks”
Assertion Supported
Brown: 10 Startups Are Building AI Note-Taking for Financial Advisors
“There are now 10 different companies in, and then on top of which these are startups, but then on top of which you're getting offerings from zoom and Salesforce and big existing enterprise software companies, but there are 10 different companies specifically b…”
Assertion Partly supported
Brown: Sweetgreen automated machine makes 500 to 800 salads hourly
“They have a machine in there that makes between 508 hundred salads an hour.”
Assertion Partly supported
Brown: 401(k) Plans Hold $11 Trillion with Bi-Weekly Automated Inflows
“By the way four one K is 11 trillion dollars, ok? People are adding to that 11 trillion dollars every two weeks when they get paid.”
Assertion Supported
Brown: Warren Buffett Uses the Yen Carry Trade for Japanese Equities
“Warren Buffett is involved in the yen carry trade. He sold bonds, denominated in yen, and used that to fund the purchase of Japanese equities.”
