| 65B | “sixty-five billion” | Kantrowitz: Meta raised AI CapEx guidance to $64B–$72B | Alex Kantrowitz | May 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 72B | “seventy two billion” | Kantrowitz: Meta raised AI CapEx guidance to $64B–$72B | Alex Kantrowitz | May 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 9B | “nine billion” | Amazon Delivered 9 Billion Items Same-Day or Next-Day Last Year | Jamil Ghani | Apr 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | Amazon Prime Reaches Over 200 Million Members Across 25 Countries | Jamil Ghani | Apr 30, 2025 | Supported |
| $409M | “four hundred nine million dollars” | Roy: Tesla would have operated at a Q1 loss without regulatory credits | Ranjan Roy | Apr 28, 2025 | Supported |
| $595M | “five hundred ninety five million dollars” | Roy: Tesla would have operated at a Q1 loss without regulatory credits | Ranjan Roy | Apr 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 90.2B | “90.2 billion” | Kantrowitz: Google AI Overviews reached 1.5 billion monthly users in Q1 | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 34.5B | “34.5 billion” | Kantrowitz: Google AI Overviews reached 1.5 billion monthly users in Q1 | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “1.5 billion” | Kantrowitz: Google AI Overviews reached 1.5 billion monthly users in Q1 | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 1B | “one billion” | Kantrowitz: Google AI Overviews reached 1.5 billion monthly users in Q1 | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 12% | “12%” | Kantrowitz: Google AI Overviews reached 1.5 billion monthly users in Q1 | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 46% | “46%” | Kantrowitz: Google AI Overviews reached 1.5 billion monthly users in Q1 | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 350M | “three hundred fifty million” | Kantrowitz: Google disclosed Gemini has 350 million monthly active users | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 1,200× | “1200 X” | Patel: AI inference costs for GPT-3-level performance have dropped 1,200x | Dylan Patel | Apr 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 600× | “600 X” | Patel: Model inference costs dropped 60x from GPT-4 to DeepSeek-V3 | Dylan Patel | Apr 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 1,200× | “1200 X” | Patel: Model inference costs dropped 60x from GPT-4 to DeepSeek-V3 | Dylan Patel | Apr 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 60× | “60 X” | Patel: Model inference costs dropped 60x from GPT-4 to DeepSeek-V3 | Dylan Patel | Apr 23, 2025 | Supported |
| $100M | “hundred million dollars” | Patel: Frontier AI cluster costs have scaled from $100M to $10B | Dylan Patel | Apr 23, 2025 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Patel: $10B AI data centers aim to automate software engineering, not chatbots | Dylan Patel | Apr 23, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Patel: $10B AI data centers aim to automate software engineering, not chatbots | Dylan Patel | Apr 23, 2025 | — |
| 23× | “23 times” | Roy: OpenAI o3 Repeated Walmart 23 Times in Top Retailers Query | Ranjan Roy | Apr 19, 2025 | — |
| 36× | “36 times” | Roy: OpenAI o3 Repeated Walmart 23 Times in Top Retailers Query | Ranjan Roy | Apr 19, 2025 | — |
| 17% | “17%” | Kantrowitz: Zuckerberg Testified Only 17% of Facebook Time Goes to Friends' Posts | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Kantrowitz: Zuckerberg Testified Only 17% of Facebook Time Goes to Friends' Posts | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Shao: US GDP is 60% knowledge-worker driven unlike China's labor-based economy | Grace Shao | Apr 16, 2025 | — |
| 600M | “Six hundred million” | Kantrowitz: Meta AI has 600M users compared to OpenAI's 400M | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Kantrowitz: Meta AI has 600M users compared to OpenAI's 400M | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Shao: Unitree controls 70% of global humanoid robot sales | Grace Shao | Apr 16, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Shao: Unitree controls 70% of global humanoid robot sales | Grace Shao | Apr 16, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2M | “two million” | Over two million developers build daily on Google Cloud's AI platform | Thomas Kurian | Apr 9, 2025 | — |
| 20× | “20 times” | Kurian: Google Cloud reduced AI inference costs 20x in 2024 | Thomas Kurian | Apr 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 96% | “96%” | Kurian: Google's AI Assistant for Verizon Call Centers Achieves 96% Accuracy | Thomas Kurian | Apr 9, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Kurian: Google Cloud grew from 1,000 partners in 2019 to 100,000 today | Thomas Kurian | Apr 9, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Kurian: Cloud adoption will definitely surpass 50% of IT workloads | Thomas Kurian | Apr 9, 2025 | Held up |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Parker: Tesla is impregnable to valuation analysis | Adam Parker | Apr 8, 2025 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Parker: Semiconductors will grow 5% to 8% above GDP over 10 years | Adam Parker | Apr 8, 2025 | Open |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Parker: Semiconductors will grow 5% to 8% above GDP over 10 years | Adam Parker | Apr 8, 2025 | Open |
| 15% | “15%” | Kantrowitz: Only 15% of AI proof-of-concepts reach production | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 8, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Parker: Nvidia has 15-20% downside and 80-100% upside over 2-3 years | Adam Parker | Apr 8, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Parker: Nvidia has 15-20% downside and 80-100% upside over 2-3 years | Adam Parker | Apr 8, 2025 | — |
| 20× | “20 times” | Parker: Semiconductor stocks will outperform when the market recovers | Adam Parker | Apr 8, 2025 | Held up |
| 50% | “50%” | Petersen: Factory plans paused as machine costs rise 20-50% under tariffs | Ryan Petersen | Apr 7, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Petersen: 70% chance trade deals get negotiated, China tariffs probably stick | Ryan Petersen | Apr 7, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 28% | “28%” | Petersen: 28% of Flexport customers paused all ocean freight in April | Ryan Petersen | Apr 7, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Petersen: Flexport e-commerce customers have already raised consumer prices 5-10% | Ryan Petersen | Apr 7, 2025 | — |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Suleyman: Newer models match GPT-3 performance at 100x inference efficiency | Mustafa Suleyman | Apr 4, 2025 | Supported |
| $40B | “forty billion dollars” | OpenAI Finalizes $40B Funding Round at $300B Valuation | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 301B | “a 300 Billion” | OpenAI Finalizes $40B Funding Round at $300B Valuation | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| $7B | “seven billion dollars” | Roy: OpenAI Forecasts Profitability in 2028 After $7B 2027 Burn | Ranjan Roy | Apr 2, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $3.7B | “3.7 billion dollars” | Roy: OpenAI Syndicate Investors Are Paying a 100x Revenue Multiple | Ranjan Roy | Apr 2, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $12.5B | “12.5 billion dollars” | Roy: OpenAI Syndicate Investors Are Paying a 100x Revenue Multiple | Ranjan Roy | Apr 2, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2.5B | “2.5 billion” | Roy: OpenAI Syndicate Investors Are Paying a 100x Revenue Multiple | Ranjan Roy | Apr 2, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Roy: OpenAI Syndicate Investors Are Paying a 100x Revenue Multiple | Ranjan Roy | Apr 2, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Roy: One-Third of OpenAI's Projected $28B Revenue Comes from SoftBank | Ranjan Roy | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| $28B | “twenty eight billion dollars” | Roy: One-Third of OpenAI's Projected $28B Revenue Comes from SoftBank | Ranjan Roy | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI could be profitable by halting model scaling for efficiency | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | — |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT Reached 500M Weekly Active Users, Adding 400M in One Year | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT Reached 500M Weekly Active Users, Adding 400M in One Year | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT Reached 500M Weekly Active Users, Adding 400M in One Year | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI Reached 20M Paid Subscribers, Up From 15.5M | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 15.5M | “15.5 million” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI Reached 20M Paid Subscribers, Up From 15.5M | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI Reached 20M Paid Subscribers, Up From 15.5M | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 10.9M | “10.9 million” | Kantrowitz: SimilarWeb Data Shows Gemini at 10.9M and DeepSeek at 16.5M Daily Visits | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.4M | “2.4 million” | Kantrowitz: SimilarWeb Data Shows Gemini at 10.9M and DeepSeek at 16.5M Daily Visits | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 3.3M | “3.3 million” | Kantrowitz: SimilarWeb Data Shows Gemini at 10.9M and DeepSeek at 16.5M Daily Visits | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 7.4% | “7.4%” | Kantrowitz: SimilarWeb Data Shows Gemini at 10.9M and DeepSeek at 16.5M Daily Visits | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.1% | “2.1%” | Kantrowitz: SimilarWeb Data Shows Gemini at 10.9M and DeepSeek at 16.5M Daily Visits | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 51% | “51%” | Dartmouth trial shows AI chatbot TheraBot matches traditional therapy outcomes | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 31% | “31%” | Dartmouth trial shows AI chatbot TheraBot matches traditional therapy outcomes | Alex Kantrowitz | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Tytunovich: Bots Make Up 30% to 50% of Internet Traffic | Guy Tytunovich | Mar 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Tytunovich: AI Agents Currently Account for Under 1% of Web Traffic | Guy Tytunovich | Mar 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Tytunovich: AI agent pricing will commoditize to free or modest tiers | Guy Tytunovich | Mar 31, 2025 | Held up |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT has 400M users and no competitor is close | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 29, 2025 | Supported |
| $200M | “two hundred million dollars” | Kantrowitz: Generative AI will disrupt animation studios by drastically lowering costs | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 29, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | McCullough: Roughly 80 percent of China's AI data centers sit unused | Brian McCullough | Mar 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | Kantrowitz: CoreWeave grew 2024 revenue 700 percent despite 863 million loss | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 63M | “sixty three million” | Kantrowitz: CoreWeave grew 2024 revenue 700 percent despite 863 million loss | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Kantrowitz: Big Tech will not pull back AI CapEx, spending over $300B | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 29, 2025 | Held up |
| $40B | “forty billion dollars” | Kantrowitz: Big Tech will not pull back AI CapEx, spending over $300B | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 29, 2025 | Held up |
| 26% | “26%” | Kantrowitz: Europe Represents Nearly a Quarter of Big Tech Revenue | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 23% | “23%” | Kantrowitz: Europe Represents Nearly a Quarter of Big Tech Revenue | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Kantrowitz: Apple's China revenue share dropped from 18 to 15 percent | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 18% | “18%” | Kantrowitz: Apple's China revenue share dropped from 18 to 15 percent | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Hendrycks: Top AI models score only 10% to 20% on Humanity's Last Exam | Dan Hendrycks | Mar 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Hendrycks: AI labs spend over 90% of intellectual energy on scaling compute | Dan Hendrycks | Mar 28, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Hendrycks: AI labs spend over 90% of intellectual energy on scaling compute | Dan Hendrycks | Mar 28, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Hendrycks: AI models lied 20% to 60% of the time under pressure | Dan Hendrycks | Mar 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Hendrycks: AI models lied 20% to 60% of the time under pressure | Dan Hendrycks | Mar 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Eggemeier: AI agents resolve 60-80% of B2C customer service requests | Tom Eggemeier | Mar 26, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Eggemeier: AI agents resolve 60-80% of B2C customer service requests | Tom Eggemeier | Mar 26, 2025 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Eggemeier: Customer service bots were 90-95% rules-based four years ago | Tom Eggemeier | Mar 26, 2025 | — |
| $5B | “five billion dollars” | Eggemeier: Zendesk processes nearly 5B annual interactions with 10K+ AI customers | Tom Eggemeier | Mar 26, 2025 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Eggemeier: Zendesk processes nearly 5B annual interactions with 10K+ AI customers | Tom Eggemeier | Mar 26, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Eggemeier: 80% of customer interactions will be automated within 3-5 years | Tom Eggemeier | Mar 26, 2025 | Open |
| 20% | “20%” | Eggemeier: 80% of customer interactions will be automated within 3-5 years | Tom Eggemeier | Mar 26, 2025 | Open |
| 100% | “100%” | Eggemeier: Customer service jobs see 50% to 100% annual turnover | Tom Eggemeier | Mar 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 5× | “five X” | Eggemeier: Customer service interactions will surge 3x to 5x within five years | Tom Eggemeier | Mar 26, 2025 | Open |
| 80% | “80%” | Eggemeier: Human support headcount will remain flat despite 80% AI automation | Tom Eggemeier | Mar 26, 2025 | Open |
| 30% | “30%” | Eggemeier: 20% to 30% of Zendesk quarterly bookings are AI-related | Tom Eggemeier | Mar 26, 2025 | — |
| 600M | “six hundred million” | LeCun: Meta AI has 600 million users | Yann LeCun | Mar 19, 2025 | — |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Kantrowitz: Apple's Q1 iPhone sales fell 3.5 percent compared to 2023 | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 14, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1.6T | “1.57 trillion” | Kantrowitz: Volatility wiped $1.57 trillion off Magnificent Seven stocks in early 2025 | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 39B | “thirty nine billion” | Kantrowitz: Volatility wiped $1.57 trillion off Magnificent Seven stocks in early 2025 | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 14, 2025 | Supported |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Albergotti: Amazon will spend $100 billion on AI infrastructure in 2025 | Reed Albergotti | Mar 14, 2025 | Supported |
| $3B | “three billion dollars” | Kantrowitz: SoftBank committed $3 billion to use OpenAI's agent products in 2025 | Alex Kantrowitz | Mar 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Baszucki says Roblox aims to capture 10% of the global gaming market | David Baszucki | Mar 12, 2025 | Open |
| 60% | “60%” | Chen: Users prefer GPT-4.5 over GPT-4o by 60% to 70% margins | Mark Chen | Feb 27, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Chen: Users prefer GPT-4.5 over GPT-4o by 60% to 70% margins | Mark Chen | Feb 27, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | No Traditional Broadcast TV Network Has Ever Reached One Billion Viewers | Chris Hayes | Feb 26, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 85% | “85%” | Hayes: Biden's age and inflation explain 85% of 2024 election outcome | Chris Hayes | Feb 26, 2025 | — |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Tank: Jotform has 25 million users | Aytekin Tank | Feb 25, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Tank: 90% of Jotform AI beta users used it for customer service | Aytekin Tank | Feb 25, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Tank: 90% of Jotform AI beta users used it for customer service | Aytekin Tank | Feb 25, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “one million” | Tank: Jotform aims to reach one million small businesses in year one | Aytekin Tank | Feb 25, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Kantrowitz: Voice capability helped ChatGPT grow from 100M to 300M users | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 25, 2025 | — |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Kantrowitz: Voice capability helped ChatGPT grow from 100M to 300M users | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 25, 2025 | — |
| $6M | “six million dollars” | Enjeti: DeepSeek Model Cost Over $1 Billion to Train | Saagar Enjeti | Feb 19, 2025 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Enjeti: DeepSeek Model Cost Over $1 Billion to Train | Saagar Enjeti | Feb 19, 2025 | — |
| 6M | “six million” | Enjeti: DeepSeek Model Cost Over $1 Billion to Train | Saagar Enjeti | Feb 19, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT Reached 300M Users Following Advanced Voice Announcement | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT Reached 300M Users Following Advanced Voice Announcement | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT Reached 300M Users Following Advanced Voice Announcement | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT Reached 300M Users Following Advanced Voice Announcement | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT web traffic flatlined for a year starting early 2023 | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT web traffic flatlined for a year starting early 2023 | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “1.5 billion” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT hit 3.7B monthly visits in late 2024, dusting Bing | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.9B | “1.85 billion” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT hit 3.7B monthly visits in late 2024, dusting Bing | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.6B | “1.6 billion” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT hit 3.7B monthly visits in late 2024, dusting Bing | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 3.7B | “3.7 billion” | Kantrowitz: ChatGPT hit 3.7B monthly visits in late 2024, dusting Bing | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 49M | “49 million” | Kantrowitz: DeepSeek overnight captured one-third of ChatGPT's daily traffic | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 400B | “a three hundred billion” | Roy: OpenAI cannot achieve a $300B valuation if it open-sources models | Ranjan Roy | Feb 7, 2025 | Open |
| 75B | “seventy five billion” | Kantrowitz: Google plans $75B in 2025 capex, up from $32.3B in 2023 | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 32.3B | “32.3 billion” | Kantrowitz: Google plans $75B in 2025 capex, up from $32.3B in 2023 | Alex Kantrowitz | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Lebaredian: NVIDIA achieved a million-fold AI compute gain over 10 years | Rev Lebaredian | Feb 5, 2025 | Supported |
| $5T | “five trillion dollars” | Lebaredian: Physical economy represents $100T annually compared to $2T-$5T for IT | Rev Lebaredian | Feb 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Lebaredian: Physical AI models only have 5% to 10% of needed understanding | Rev Lebaredian | Feb 5, 2025 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Lebaredian: Over 650 NVIDIA employees reached a 20-year tenure | Rev Lebaredian | Feb 5, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | An 80 percent failure rate for enterprise AI proofs-of-concept is common | Antoine Shagoury | Jan 31, 2025 | — |
| 7.6B | “a 6.6 billion” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI raised largest VC round in history at $6.6B | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Kantrowitz: Anthropic raised $4B and is targeting another $2B | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | Kantrowitz: Anthropic raised $4B and is targeting another $2B | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Hoffman: Late-stage AI rounds do not require 10x returns to succeed | Reid Hoffman | Jan 29, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Hoffman: Late-stage AI rounds do not require 10x returns to succeed | Reid Hoffman | Jan 29, 2025 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Hoffman: DST Won Big on Facebook by Offering $10B Post With No Caveats | Reid Hoffman | Jan 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Hoffman: DST Won Big on Facebook by Offering $10B Post With No Caveats | Reid Hoffman | Jan 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 600M | “a five hundred million” | Hoffman: Rival VCs Called Greylock Crazy for Backing Facebook at $500M Valuation | Reid Hoffman | Jan 29, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Hoffman: Voice will very soon become the main computing interface | Reid Hoffman | Jan 29, 2025 | — |
| 79.8% | “79.8%” | Kantrowitz: DeepSeek R1 tops OpenAI o1 on AIME math benchmark | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 79.2% | “79.2%” | Kantrowitz: DeepSeek R1 tops OpenAI o1 on AIME math benchmark | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 3.5% | “3.5%” | DeepSeek R1 API costs just 3.5% of OpenAI's o1 pricing | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Tech stocks plunged in pre-market trading after DeepSeek R1's release | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 4% | “four percent” | Tech stocks plunged in pre-market trading after DeepSeek R1's release | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 3% | “three percent” | Tech stocks plunged in pre-market trading after DeepSeek R1's release | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.6% | “2.6%” | Tech stocks plunged in pre-market trading after DeepSeek R1's release | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Tech stocks plunged in pre-market trading after DeepSeek R1's release | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI has 300M ChatGPT users but loses billions annually | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Demis Hassabis says minor error rates compound to ruin AI planning | Demis Hassabis | Jan 23, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Demis Hassabis sees 50 percent chance AGI requires new architectural breakthroughs | Demis Hassabis | Jan 23, 2025 | — |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Broderick predicts Bluesky will reach 100 million users by early 2026 | Ryan Broderick | Jan 9, 2025 | Didn’t hold up |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Broderick predicts Bluesky will reach 100 million users by early 2026 | Ryan Broderick | Jan 9, 2025 | Didn’t hold up |
| 1.4M | “1.4 million” | Newsweek estimates 1.4 million American women are creators on OnlyFans | Ryan Broderick | Jan 9, 2025 | Supported |
| $1.3B | “1.3 billion dollars” | OnlyFans generated $1.3 billion in revenue and $658 million in profit | Ranjan Roy | Jan 9, 2025 | Supported |
| $658M | “six hundred fifty eight million dollars” | OnlyFans generated $1.3 billion in revenue and $658 million in profit | Ranjan Roy | Jan 9, 2025 | Supported |
| $82.5M | “82.5 million dollars” | Ranjan Roy: BuzzFeed sold First We Feast for $82.5M | Ranjan Roy | Jan 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Newton: OpenAI reported ChatGPT reached 300 million weekly users | Casey Newton | Jan 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Kantrowitz: Temu and Shein took 50% of Gen Z Black Friday spend | Alex Kantrowitz | Jan 5, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 73% | “73%” | Kantrowitz: 73% of teens use YouTube daily, 15% constantly | Alex Kantrowitz | Dec 26, 2024 | Supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Kantrowitz: 73% of teens use YouTube daily, 15% constantly | Alex Kantrowitz | Dec 26, 2024 | Supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Arbaugh: Only 15% of Neuralink Electrodes Remain in Place in His Brain | Noland Arbaugh | Dec 18, 2024 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Arbaugh: Only 15% of Neuralink Electrodes Remain in Place in His Brain | Noland Arbaugh | Dec 18, 2024 | Supported |
| 99% | “99%” | Wang: Designing UX for imperfect outputs is 99% of the agent challenge | Alexandr Wang | Dec 11, 2024 | — |
| 5× | “five times” | Garman: AWS Project Rainier will deploy hundreds of thousands of Trainium2 chips in 2025 | Matt Garman | Dec 5, 2024 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Garman: Trainium 2 Delivers 30% to 40% Better Price-Performance Than GPUs | Matt Garman | Dec 5, 2024 | Supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI will lose $5B this year and more later | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 24, 2024 | Supported |
| $120M | “A hundred twenty million dollars” | Roy: The Browser Company raised ~$120M and is pivoting its roadmap | Ranjan Roy | Nov 24, 2024 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Kantrowitz: 40% of IT managers delayed Copilot due to security fears | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 24, 2024 | Supported |
| 1.8M | “1.8 million” | Kantrowitz: Microsoft plans over $100B in GPU and data center CapEx | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 24, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Kantrowitz: Microsoft plans over $100B in GPU and data center CapEx | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 24, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Scaringe: Rivian's zonal architecture eliminates up to 95% of vehicle microcomputers | RJ Scaringe | Nov 20, 2024 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Scaringe: Rivian cut its bill of materials costs over 20% in 2024 | RJ Scaringe | Nov 20, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Scaringe: Lithium-ion battery recycling rates will eventually reach nearly 100% | RJ Scaringe | Nov 20, 2024 | Open |
| 99.9% | “99.9%” | Scaringe: Lithium-ion battery recycling rates will eventually reach nearly 100% | RJ Scaringe | Nov 20, 2024 | Open |
| 99.99% | “99.99%” | Scaringe: Lithium-ion battery recycling rates will eventually reach nearly 100% | RJ Scaringe | Nov 20, 2024 | Open |
| $6B | “six billion dollars” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI's $6 billion funding is the largest VC round ever | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 15, 2024 | Supported |
| 14.5B | “14.5 billion” | Kantrowitz: Chegg stock is down 99 percent, erasing $14.5 billion in value | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 15, 2024 | Supported |
| 99% | “99%” | Kantrowitz: Chegg stock is down 99 percent, erasing $14.5 billion in value | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 15, 2024 | Supported |
| 15M | “fifteen million” | Kantrowitz: Bluesky user base soared to 15 million following the US election | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 15, 2024 | Supported |
| 15M | “fifteen million” | Kantrowitz: Meta's Threads added 15 million new users in November 2024 alone | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 15, 2024 | Supported |
| 15M | “fifteen million” | Kantrowitz: Meta's Threads feels empty and lacks engagement despite massive user growth | Alex Kantrowitz | Nov 15, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Söderström: It Will Become Very Difficult to Define an AI Song | Gustav Söderström | Nov 13, 2024 | — |
| 2% | “2%” | Söderström: Generative recommendation systems exhibit scaling laws unlike older deep learning | Gustav Söderström | Nov 13, 2024 | Supported |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Söderström: Apple held roughly 98% of podcast market without investing | Gustav Söderström | Nov 13, 2024 | Contradicted |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Ives: 300 million iPhones haven't been upgraded in four years | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| 240M | “two hundred forty million” | Ives: Current fiscal year will be Apple's strongest iPhone unit year ever | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | Held up |
| 20% | “20%” | Ives: 20% of consumers will access AI through Apple within 18 months | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| 15B | “fifteen billion” | Ives: Consumer AI will add $10B-$15B yearly to Apple's services revenue | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Ives: Apple's services business will reach a $2 trillion valuation | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Ives: Apple's services business will reach a $2 trillion valuation | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Ives: Apple's China sales will grow 15% to 20% next year | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | Didn’t hold up |
| 15% | “15%” | Ives: Apple's China sales will grow 15% to 20% next year | Dan Ives | Oct 23, 2024 | Didn’t hold up |
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