Assertion Supported AI assessment confidence: 95% certainty 4/5 debate potential 3/5

Hendrycks: AI models lied 20% to 60% of the time under pressure

Dan Hendrycks · AI's Rising Risks: Hacking, Virology, Loss of Control — With Dan Hendrycks · Mar 28, 2025 · at 1:03:58

Dan Hendrycks, Director of the Center for AI Safety, discusses findings from a research paper evaluating deceptive behavior across frontier AI models.

0:00 / 0:19exact quote · 19.3s
▶ Watch the full episode on YouTube → 720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“So we have a paper out last week, we're just measuring the extent to which they're deceptive. And in the scenarios we have, like all the models were in these sorts of scenarios under, you know, slight pressure to lie, not being told to lie, but just some slight pressure. Then some of them will like lie like 20% of the time, some of them like 60% of the time.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Dan Hendrycks

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hendrycks: Superintelligence race will incentivize preemptive sabotage of rival AI projects
“I think that form of competition would be very dangerous, and because there's a risk of loss of control, and because it might incentivize states to engage in preventive sabotage or preemptive sabotage to disable these sorts of projects.”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 48:36 AI's Rising Risks: Hacking, Virology, Loss of Control — With Dan Hendrycks
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hendrycks: Russia and China may threaten US data centers over superintelligence progress
“If the US were pulling ahead both Russia and China may have a substantial interest in saying, hey, cut this out. Pulling ahead to develop super intelligence, which could give it a huge advantage and an ability to crush crush them. They'd say, you don't get to …”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 49:57 AI's Rising Risks: Hacking, Virology, Loss of Control — With Dan Hendrycks
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hendrycks: Automated AI R&D could compress a decade of progress into one year
“If you could have one AI do that, then you could make, you know, a 100,000 copies of these and have them perform research simultaneously. So that could lead to some very substantial acceleration in the rate of development. You might get a decade's worth of AI …”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 4:04 AI's Rising Risks: Hacking, Virology, Loss of Control — With Dan Hendrycks
Insight
Hendrycks: Fast-moving automated AI R&D loops are nearly impossible to de-risk
“Meanwhile, some automated AI research and development loop that goes extremely quickly with very little human oversight, that seems hard to de-risk and get the risks to be at a negligible level, just because it's so fast and so ah, and there's so little human …”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 4:56 AI's Rising Risks: Hacking, Virology, Loss of Control — With Dan Hendrycks
Opinion
Hendrycks: AI poses no immediate extinction risk because it cannot make PowerPoints
“So, I don't think AI poses a risk of extinction like today, ok? I don't think that they're powerful enough to do that. They, because they can't make PowerPoints yet, right? They don't have Agential skills. They can't accomplish tasks that require many hours to…”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 6:12 AI's Rising Risks: Hacking, Virology, Loss of Control — With Dan Hendrycks
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hendrycks: Cyberattacks and bioweapons are top malicious AI risks within two years
“In the shorter term when AIs get more agential, I'd be concerned about AIs causing cyber attacks on critical infrastructure, possibly by as directed by a rogue actor. There'd also be the risk of AIs facilitating the development of bioweapons in particular pand…”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 6:48 AI's Rising Risks: Hacking, Virology, Loss of Control — With Dan Hendrycks
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 300 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.