| 39% | “39%” | Anthropic Report: Autonomous Tasks Delegated to Claude Jumped to 39% | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 3× | “three X” | Levie: Dropping AI into existing workflows without re-engineering fails to produce gains | Aaron Levie | Sep 18, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Kantrowitz: MIT study shows 90% personal AI use vs 40% corporate purchases | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Kantrowitz: MIT study shows 90% personal AI use vs 40% corporate purchases | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Kantrowitz: iPhone 17 Pro gets 39-hour battery and 20-minute 50% charge | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 16, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 44.5% | “44.5%” | Ramp data shows business AI adoption rose to 44.5% in August 2025 | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 43.3% | “43.3%” | Ramp data shows business AI adoption rose to 44.5% in August 2025 | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 16, 2025 | Supported |
| $300B | “300 Billion dollars” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI signed a $300 billion cloud contract with Oracle | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 15B | “fifteen billion” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI projected $115B in cumulative cash burn through 2029 | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 80B | “eighty billion” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI projected $115B in cumulative cash burn through 2029 | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 16, 2025 | Supported |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI and Microsoft Agreed on Restructuring Terms Valuing Entity at $500B | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 16, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 70B | “seventy billion” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI and Microsoft Agreed on Restructuring Terms Valuing Entity at $500B | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 16, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 500B | “500 Billion” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI and Microsoft Agreed on Restructuring Terms Valuing Entity at $500B | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 16, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI and Microsoft Agreed on Restructuring Terms Valuing Entity at $500B | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 16, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Ranjan Roy argues Microsoft and OpenAI's non-binding agreement enables future progress | Ranjan Roy | Sep 16, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Ranjan Roy argues Microsoft and OpenAI's non-binding agreement enables future progress | Ranjan Roy | Sep 16, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Kantrowitz: Ramp data shows 5% surge in Saturday corporate meal spending in SF | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 98% | “98%” | Amazon machine learning models achieved 98% accuracy identifying cancer from scans | Bill Vass | Sep 10, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Tesla Full Self-Driving cannot be fully trusted yet without risking trouble | Bill Vass | Sep 10, 2025 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Achieving 1,000 error-corrected logical qubits will require roughly 7 million physical qubits | Bill Vass | Sep 10, 2025 | Open |
| 7M | “seven million” | Achieving 1,000 error-corrected logical qubits will require roughly 7 million physical qubits | Bill Vass | Sep 10, 2025 | Open |
| 10M | “ten million” | Ten Million New Users Adopted Google Gemini for Image Capabilities | Ranjan Roy | Sep 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Google Announces $10 Billion AI Infrastructure Deal With Meta | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 8, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 39% | “39%” | Two Companies Account for Roughly 39% of Nvidia's Revenue | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 8, 2025 | Supported |
| $183B | “183 billion dollars” | Anthropic Raises $13 Billion Series F at $183 Billion Valuation | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 1B | “one billion” | Anthropic's Run-Rate Revenue Exceeded $5 Billion by August 2025 | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 8, 2025 | Supported |
| $5B | “five billion dollars” | Anthropic's Run-Rate Revenue Exceeded $5 Billion by August 2025 | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Anthropic's Run-Rate Revenue Exceeded $5 Billion by August 2025 | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Anthropic's Run-Rate Revenue Exceeded $5 Billion by August 2025 | Alex Kantrowitz | Sep 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Mager: Initial BCI market for severe paralysis is around $2.5B | Michael Mager | Sep 5, 2025 | — |
| 500B | “a four hundred billion” | Mager: Morgan Stanley estimated a $400B TAM for BCIs | Michael Mager | Sep 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Mager: Precision and other BCIs will reach market within five years | Michael Mager | Sep 5, 2025 | Open |
| 15× | “15 times” | Mager: Precision and other BCIs will reach market within five years | Michael Mager | Sep 5, 2025 | Open |
| 10% | “10%” | Fox: Users do 10% more queries for topics triggering AI overviews | Nick Fox | Aug 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 7M | “seven million” | Reid: Queries causing viral Google AI errors occurred one in 7 million | Liz Reid | Aug 27, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Prince: Getting a referral click from Google is 10x harder today | Matthew Prince | Aug 13, 2025 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Prince: 75% of Google search queries are answered without a click | Matthew Prince | Aug 13, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 750× | “750 times” | Prince: Earning traffic from OpenAI is 750x harder than Google historically | Matthew Prince | Aug 13, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Prince: 80% of AI companies are Cloudflare customers | Matthew Prince | Aug 13, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Prince: Global regulators will force Google to split its web crawler | Matthew Prince | Aug 13, 2025 | Open |
| 1.5B | “half a billion” | Masad: Startups built on Replit have hit $500M valuations | Amjad Masad | Aug 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Professional Programmers Represent Only 20% of Replit's Use Cases | Amjad Masad | Aug 11, 2025 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Masad: Venture-scale tech companies will still need to hire engineers | Amjad Masad | Aug 11, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | OpenAI's GPT-4.5 Was Built as a Trillion-Parameter Dense Model | Amjad Masad | Aug 11, 2025 | Open |
| 10% | “10%” | Masad: AI SWE-bench scores jumped from 10% to 80% in a year | Amjad Masad | Aug 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Masad: AI SWE-bench scores jumped from 10% to 80% in a year | Amjad Masad | Aug 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Masad: AI SWE-bench scores jumped from 10% to 80% in a year | Amjad Masad | Aug 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 5× | “five times” | Lightcap: GPT-5 is four to five times more accurate than predecessor models | Brad Lightcap | Aug 8, 2025 | — |
| 11B | “eleven billion” | Kantrowitz: Anthropic has raised over $11 billion from big tech | Alex Kantrowitz | Aug 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Kantrowitz: Anthropic hits $4B ARR and targets $9B by year-end | Alex Kantrowitz | Aug 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 9B | “nine billion” | Kantrowitz: Anthropic hits $4B ARR and targets $9B by year-end | Alex Kantrowitz | Aug 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 12B | “twelve billion” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI reaches $12B annualized revenue and 700M ChatGPT weekly users | Alex Kantrowitz | Aug 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI reaches $12B annualized revenue and 700M ChatGPT weekly users | Alex Kantrowitz | Aug 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Streaming grew 6 percent overall while Netflix market share remained completely flat | Alex Kantrowitz | Aug 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 330B | “three hundred thirty billion” | Kantrowitz: Big Tech will spend $330 billion this year on capex | Alex Kantrowitz | Aug 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 36% | “36%” | Siegler: Google and Amazon combined own just north of 36% of Anthropic | M.G. Siegler | Aug 4, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1B | “a billion” | Kantrowitz: Lightspeed invested a $1 billion check into Anthropic | Alex Kantrowitz | Aug 4, 2025 | Supported |
| $75B | “seventy five billion dollars” | Siegler: Nine-figure AI talent contracts are justified by $75 billion infrastructure budgets | M.G. Siegler | Aug 4, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “hundred million” | Siegler: Nine-figure AI talent contracts are justified by $75 billion infrastructure budgets | M.G. Siegler | Aug 4, 2025 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Amodei: 20-25% chance AI model progress halts within two years | Dario Amodei | Jul 30, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Amodei: AI context windows can reach 100 million words today | Dario Amodei | Jul 30, 2025 | — |
| $20B | “twenty billion dollars” | Amodei: Anthropic has raised just under $20 billion | Dario Amodei | Jul 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Amodei: Anthropic hit $4.5B revenue, history's fastest-growing software company | Dario Amodei | Jul 30, 2025 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Amodei: Anthropic hit $4.5B revenue, history's fastest-growing software company | Dario Amodei | Jul 30, 2025 | — |
| 4× | “four times” | Morris: Suleyman's Healthcare AI Diagnosed Rare Ailments 4x Better Than Doctors | Stephen Morris | Jul 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 10B | “Ten billion” | Microsoft's $13B AI revenue largely comes from OpenAI cloud spend | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 3B | “Three billion” | Microsoft's $13B AI revenue largely comes from OpenAI cloud spend | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| $5B | “five billion dollars” | Amazon is spending $105B in capex for $5B AI revenue | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| $40B | “forty billion dollars” | Total generative AI industry revenue is only $35B to $40B | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | The AI coding assistant total addressable market is $30B to $50B | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | You.com received a $1B valuation on under $20M in revenue | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| $10B | “ten billion dollars” | CoreWeave will raise another $10 billion in stock sales, Zitron predicts | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | Open |
| 35M | “thirty-five million” | Perplexity gave $30 million in discounts to reach 50 million users | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| $30M | “thirty million dollars” | Perplexity gave $30 million in discounts to reach 50 million users | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Perplexity gave $30 million in discounts to reach 50 million users | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | OpenAI reports weekly users to mask terrible subscriber conversion rates | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | OpenAI reports weekly users to mask terrible subscriber conversion rates | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| 15.5M | “15.5 million” | OpenAI reports weekly users to mask terrible subscriber conversion rates | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | — |
| $5.2B | “5.2 billion dollars” | Anthropic lost approximately $5.2 billion in 2024 despite strong API sales | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | OpenAI will not achieve $100 billion in annual revenue, Zitron predicts | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | Open |
| $20B | “twenty billion dollars” | OpenAI must convert to for-profit by year-end to keep SoftBank funding | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 6B | “six billion” | SoftBank required a $15B bridge loan from 21 banks for OpenAI | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 15B | “fifteen billion” | SoftBank required a $15B bridge loan from 21 banks for OpenAI | Ed Zitron | Jul 23, 2025 | Supported |
| $2.4B | “2.4 billion dollars” | Kantrowitz: Google paid $2.4B to acqui-hire Windsurf leadership | Alex Kantrowitz | Jul 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.2B | “2.2 billion” | Kantrowitz: Trump Administration Froze Billions in Grants to Harvard, Cornell, Northwestern | Alex Kantrowitz | Jul 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Kantrowitz: Trump Administration Froze Billions in Grants to Harvard, Cornell, Northwestern | Alex Kantrowitz | Jul 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 790M | “Seven hundred ninety million” | Kantrowitz: Trump Administration Froze Billions in Grants to Harvard, Cornell, Northwestern | Alex Kantrowitz | Jul 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 3.3B | “3.3 billion” | Kantrowitz: Trump Administration Froze Billions in Grants to Harvard, Cornell, Northwestern | Alex Kantrowitz | Jul 16, 2025 | Supported |
| 38B | “thirty eight billion” | Rice: University endowments are far less flexible than headline figures suggest | Condoleezza Rice | Jul 16, 2025 | — |
| $10T | “10 trillion dollars” | Levie: Nvidia hitting $400B in revenue and a $10T valuation is realistic | Aaron Levie | Jul 14, 2025 | — |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Levie: Nvidia hitting $400B in revenue and a $10T valuation is realistic | Aaron Levie | Jul 14, 2025 | — |
| 400B | “four hundred billion” | Levie: Nvidia hitting $400B in revenue and a $10T valuation is realistic | Aaron Levie | Jul 14, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Petersen: U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports stand at 30% plus historical duties | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Petersen: 145% tariffs caused a 60% drop in China-to-U.S. cargo volume | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Petersen: Lowering tariffs to 30% triggered an 80% surge in shipping volume | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 80% | “80%” | Petersen: Lowering tariffs to 30% triggered an 80% surge in shipping volume | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 30% | “30%” | Petersen: US tariffs on China will jump to 54% in August without a deal | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 54% | “54%” | Petersen: US tariffs on China will jump to 54% in August without a deal | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Petersen: Brands will mostly absorb 30% China tariffs without big price hikes | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Petersen: China produces 40% of global manufacturing output | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 47% | “47%” | Petersen: China produces 40% of global manufacturing output | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Petersen: Vietnam manufacturing grew 20-30% yearly while pegging currency to dollar | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Petersen: Importers Classify Products As Computers to Evade 30% Tariffs | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 4M | “four million” | Petersen: De minimis volume grew from 100k to 4M daily packages | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Petersen: De minimis volume grew from 100k to 4M daily packages | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Petersen: Ending de minimis benefits Amazon and Walmart against cross-border competitors | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Petersen: Temu reached 25% of Amazon's scale within five years | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Petersen: AI voice technology prices dropped about 90% in the past year | Ryan Petersen | Jul 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $3B | “three billion dollars” | Kantrowitz: Apple's largest corporate acquisition ever was only $3 billion | Alex Kantrowitz | Jul 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | Kantrowitz: Apple's largest corporate acquisition ever was only $3 billion | Alex Kantrowitz | Jul 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 1B | “one billion” | Kantrowitz: Anthropic's recurring revenue skyrocketed from $1B to $4B in months | Alex Kantrowitz | Jul 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 4B | “a three billion” | Kantrowitz: AI coding assistant market hits a $3B revenue run rate | Alex Kantrowitz | Jul 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Microsoft processes 50 million health-related queries daily across Copilot and Bing | Mustafa Suleyman | Jul 4, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Microsoft's multi-agent orchestrator boosts diagnostic accuracy by 10% over single models | Mustafa Suleyman | Jul 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 1,500× | “1500 times” | Microsoft's AI accurately diagnosed a rare condition documented only 1,500 times | Mustafa Suleyman | Jul 4, 2025 | Open |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Suleyman: Microsoft's AI achieves 4x diagnostic improvement over human doctors | Mustafa Suleyman | Jul 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 4× | “four X” | Suleyman: Microsoft's AI achieves 4x diagnostic improvement over human doctors | Mustafa Suleyman | Jul 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Smith: Under 10% of US companies use AI in production | Noah Smith | Jul 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Smith: Predictions that AI will replace 40-60% of jobs are 'hooey' | Noah Smith | Jul 2, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Smith: Predictions that AI will replace 40-60% of jobs are 'hooey' | Noah Smith | Jul 2, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Smith: Predictions that AI will replace 40-60% of jobs are 'hooey' | Noah Smith | Jul 2, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Anugas: 90% of Snowfire Customers Use Salesforce and Are Frustrated | Greg Anugas | Jul 1, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Albergotti: New software startups have codebases written almost entirely by AI | Reed Albergotti | Jun 30, 2025 | — |
| 7M | “seven million” | Anthropic trained on 7 million pirated books, risking massive copyright damages | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 2B | “two billion” | Former OpenAI CTO Mira Murati raises $2B at $10B valuation | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Former OpenAI CTO Mira Murati raises $2B at $10B valuation | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Tom Lee: Much of Tech CapEx Is Maintenance, Not AI | Tom Lee | Jun 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 30× | “30 times” | Lee: Nvidia's 30x Earnings Valuation Is Reasonable Compared to 1990s Toyota | Tom Lee | Jun 25, 2025 | — |
| 40× | “40 times” | Lee: Nvidia's 30x Earnings Valuation Is Reasonable Compared to 1990s Toyota | Tom Lee | Jun 25, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Tom Lee: Nearly 60% of stablecoin trading occurs in East Asia | Tom Lee | Jun 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Tom Lee: Nearly 60% of stablecoin trading occurs in East Asia | Tom Lee | Jun 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Kantrowitz: OpenAI is on track for $10B revenue in 2025 | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Roy: AI Will Scale Learning Democratization at 1,000x YouTube's Impact | Ranjan Roy | Jun 23, 2025 | — |
| 32B | “thirty two billion” | Kantrowitz: Zuckerberg Offered $32B for Safe Superintelligence and Was Rejected | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 23, 2025 | Supported |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Patel: AI labs will keep spending exponentially despite diminishing returns | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | — |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Patel: AI labs will keep spending exponentially despite diminishing returns | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | — |
| 4× | “four X” | Patel: Frontier AI training compute scales 4x annually | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 4× | “four X” | Patel: 4x annual compute scaling cannot continue beyond 2028 | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | Open |
| 160× | “160 X” | Patel: 4x annual compute scaling cannot continue beyond 2028 | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | Open |
| 10× | “10 X” | Patel: Reinforcement learning 10x compute scaling can only continue for a year | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | — |
| 1.5M | “half a million” | Patel: GPT-4-Level Training Costs Have Dropped 10x to 100x | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | Supported |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Patel: GPT-4-Level Training Costs Have Dropped 10x to 100x | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | Supported |
| $5M | “five million dollars” | Patel: GPT-4-Level Training Costs Have Dropped 10x to 100x | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Patel: GPT-4-Level Training Costs Have Dropped 10x to 100x | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Dwarkesh Patel: Roughly 30% chance of an AI intelligence explosion | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | — |
| 1,000× | “1000 X” | Patel: One-month lead in intelligence explosion yields winner-take-all dominance | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Dwarkesh: AI adoption is bottlenecked by model capabilities, not token cost | Dwarkesh Patel | Jun 18, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Kantrowitz: Study Shows 30% AI Code Adoption Increased Productivity Only 2.4% | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.4% | “2.4%” | Kantrowitz: Study Shows 30% AI Code Adoption Increased Productivity Only 2.4% | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 14.8B | “14.8 billion” | Kantrowitz: Meta agrees to $14.8B 49% stake in Scale AI | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 49% | “49%” | Kantrowitz: Meta agrees to $14.8B 49% stake in Scale AI | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 14, 2025 | Supported |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Kantrowitz: Meta is offering up to $100M to recruit top engineers | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 14, 2025 | — |
| 55% | “55%” | Kantrowitz: Organic Search Web Traffic Fell 55% From 2022 to 2025 | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 14, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Siegler: Apple cannot acquire Anthropic due to Amazon and Google stakes | M.G. Siegler | Jun 11, 2025 | — |
| 232M | “232 million” | Kantrowitz: Apple iPhone Shipments Fell from 234M to 232M in 2024 | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Kantrowitz: Apple iPhone Shipments Fell from 234M to 232M in 2024 | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 18.7% | “18.7%” | Kantrowitz: Apple iPhone Shipments Fell from 234M to 232M in 2024 | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 9, 2025 | Supported |
| $410B | “Four hundred ten billion dollars” | Roy: Apple Spent $410B on Buybacks Over Past Five Years | Ranjan Roy | Jun 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 90B | “ninety billion” | Roy: Apple Spent $410B on Buybacks Over Past Five Years | Ranjan Roy | Jun 9, 2025 | Supported |
| 4.5B | “4.5 billion” | Kantrowitz: SpaceX has $4.5B in federal contracts and eyes rural internet funds | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 9, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 42B | “forty two billion” | Kantrowitz: SpaceX has $4.5B in federal contracts and eyes rural internet funds | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 9, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $100M | “hundred million dollars” | Scaramucci: Trump will not turn Elon Musk into an adversary | Anthony Scaramucci | Jun 4, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Scaramucci: U.S. held 26% of global GDP despite continuous trade deficits | Anthony Scaramucci | Jun 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 26% | “26%” | Scaramucci: U.S. held 26% of global GDP despite continuous trade deficits | Anthony Scaramucci | Jun 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Scaramucci: U.S. held 26% of global GDP despite continuous trade deficits | Anthony Scaramucci | Jun 4, 2025 | Supported |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Scaramucci: Bitcoin will reach $1 million per coin | Anthony Scaramucci | Jun 4, 2025 | Open |
| 44B | “forty-four billion” | Kantrowitz: NVIDIA Q1 revenue hit $44B, up 69% despite China restrictions | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 69% | “69%” | Kantrowitz: NVIDIA Q1 revenue hit $44B, up 69% despite China restrictions | Alex Kantrowitz | Jun 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Roy: A single dominant AI model will not eliminate 20-50% of jobs | Ranjan Roy | Jun 3, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Roy: A single dominant AI model will not eliminate 20-50% of jobs | Ranjan Roy | Jun 3, 2025 | — |
| $1B | “one billion dollars” | Roy: Grammarly secured $1B non-dilutive capital from General Catalyst | Ranjan Roy | Jun 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 2B | “a one billion” | Roy: Grammarly secured $1B non-dilutive capital from General Catalyst | Ranjan Roy | Jun 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 600M | “six hundred million” | LeCun: Meta AI has reached 600 million users | Yann LeCun | May 30, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $6.5B | “6.5 billion dollars” | Roy: OpenAI Acquired Jony Ive's IO in $6.5B All-Equity Deal | Ranjan Roy | May 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 23% | “23%” | Roy: OpenAI Acquired Jony Ive's IO in $6.5B All-Equity Deal | Ranjan Roy | May 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 84% | “84%” | Anthropic: Claude Opus 4 Blackmails Engineers in 84%+ of Replacement Simulations | Alex Kantrowitz | May 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | DeepMind CTO: A 10% gain in mathematical reasoning vastly expands AI applicability | Koray Kavukcuoglu | May 24, 2025 | — |
| 5,000× | “5000 times” | Brin: Inference-time compute offsets 5,000x in training compute | Sergey Brin | May 21, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1M | “a million” | Hassabis: DeepMind trained AlphaFold using 300,000 to 400,000 synthetic predictions | Demis Hassabis | May 21, 2025 | — |
| 13% | “13%” | ChatGPT traffic grew 13% month-over-month while other top websites declined | Alex Kantrowitz | May 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 6M | “6006 thousand” | Anthropic crawls 6,000 web pages per visitor referred, Cloudflare data shows | Ranjan Roy | May 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Hidden system prompts in AI chatbots pose subtle ideological steering risks | Alex Kantrowitz | May 19, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Cohere hits $100M ARR, falling short of its $450M investor pitch | Ranjan Roy | May 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 450M | “four hundred fifty million” | Cohere hits $100M ARR, falling short of its $450M investor pitch | Ranjan Roy | May 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 70M | “seventy million” | Cohere hits $100M ARR, falling short of its $450M investor pitch | Ranjan Roy | May 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.3M | “1.3 million” | Klarna CEO: AI agent handles 1.3M monthly errands, replacing 800 workers | Sebastian Siemiatkowski | May 16, 2025 | — |
| 60× | “60 times” | Bender says AI search queries use 30 to 60 times more compute | Emily M. Bender | May 14, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 5× | “five times” | Bender says Microsoft abandoned net-zero carbon goals because of generative AI | Emily M. Bender | May 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Kantrowitz notes Nvidia CEO says AI inference needs 100x more compute | Alex Kantrowitz | May 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Marcus: Grok 3 delivers minimal gains despite 10x compute | Gary Marcus | May 7, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Marcus: Vals AI benchmark shows LLM accuracy under 10% on financial charts | Gary Marcus | May 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Marcus: Vals AI benchmark shows LLM accuracy under 10% on financial charts | Gary Marcus | May 7, 2025 | Supported |
| $300B | “three hundred billion dollars” | Marcus: OpenAI is not worth $300B and won't IPO at $3T | Gary Marcus | May 7, 2025 | — |
| $3T | “three trillion dollars” | Marcus: OpenAI is not worth $300B and won't IPO at $3T | Gary Marcus | May 7, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Marcus: OpenAI is not worth $300B and won't IPO at $3T | Gary Marcus | May 7, 2025 | — |
| $900M | “nine hundred million dollars” | Kantrowitz: Apple expects a $900 million tariff cost increase in June quarter | Alex Kantrowitz | May 5, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Roy: Apple remains the most vulnerable Big Tech firm to tariffs | Ranjan Roy | May 5, 2025 | — |
| 27% | “27%” | Roy: Cook backed CFO over Schiller on 27% App Store fee | Ranjan Roy | May 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 30B | “Thirty billion” | Roy: Apple generates an estimated $30B from App Store payment fees | Ranjan Roy | May 5, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Kantrowitz: 60% of Amazon sales come from third-party merchants | Alex Kantrowitz | May 5, 2025 | Supported |
BIG TECHNOLOGYLEDGER All shows Try the podcast clipper →