Smith: Predictions that AI will replace 40-60% of jobs are 'hooey'
Noah Smith · Is AI Really Taking Our Jobs? — With Noah Smith · Jul 2, 2025 · at 13:02
Economics writer Noah Smith discusses why consulting firms like McKinsey miscalculate technological displacement by oversimplifying human job tasks.
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“This is complete hooey, and they all come up with really huge percentage, like, 40%, 60% of your jobs are gonna be replaced by AI, so, you know, every, there's a million groups doing this, and they'll come up with different things, and it's hooey for a number of reasons.”
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