The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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PRODUCT MARKET FIT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dheeraj Pandey claims no AI company currently has true multi-tenant architecture
“There is no AI company that's multi-tenant right now. There is no AI company that's multi-tenant.”
Dheeraj Pandey Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 37:56 He built a $20B public company, left—then raised a $100M Series A. | Dheeraj Pandey, Founder of N... · PMF Show
BG2 Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: An AI compute infrastructure glut is guaranteed to happen
“There will come a glut for sure. And whether that's like in two to three years or five to six, Satya and I can't tell you, but like it's gonna happen at some point, probably several points along the way.”
Sam Altman Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 19:29 All things AI w @altcap @sama & @satyanadella. A Halloween Special. 🎃🔥BG2 w/ Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
BG2 Disclosure
Nadella: Microsoft refused OpenAI requests for dedicated multi-gigawatt compute clusters
“Sometimes you may have to say no to some of the demand, including some of the open AI demand, right? Because sometimes, you know, Sam may say, hey, build me a dedicated, you know, big, you know, whatever, multi-gigawatt data center in one location for training…”
Satya Nadella Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 43:39 All things AI w @altcap @sama & @satyanadella. A Halloween Special. 🎃🔥BG2 w/ Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
BG2 Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nadella: Business apps will collapse as AI agents replace business logic
“That's probably where they'll all collapse, right, in the agent era, because if you think about it, right, they are essentially CRUD databases with a bunch of business logic. The business logic is all going to these agents.”
Satya Nadella Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 53:00 All things AI w @altcap @sama & @satyanadella. A Halloween Special. 🎃🔥BG2 w/ Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Musk: UK released violent offenders to imprison people over social media posts
“They have, in a lot of cases, released people who have committed violent crimes in order to imprison people who have simply made posts on social media.”
Elon Musk Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 42:19 Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing — Grokipedia
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Musk: Larry Page called him a 'speciesist' for favoring human over machine intelligence
“He called me a speciest like racist or something for being pro human intelligence instead of machine intelligence.”
Elon Musk Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 53:27 Elon Musk: OpenAI Betrayal, His Future at Tesla, and the Next Big Thing — Grokipedia
SAASTR Prediction Not checkable as stated
Queener: 75% of App Software Companies and 50% of Categories Will Disappear
“75% of all applications offer companies that you see today are going to disappear. And 50% of all applications, software categories are going to disappear.”
Brett Queener Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 17:34 Why Only “WTF” Products Can Survive Today with Brett Queener Partner at Bonfire Ventures
BIG TECHNOLOGY Disclosure
Medium Threatens to Poison AI Training Data If Companies Refuse to Pay
“I think that if we can't find some fair exchange of value, if we can't get something going, if they insist on continuing to train and work around our blocks and, you know, continuing to avoid even paying for what they're training on. I think we're just like …”
Tony Stubblebine Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 17:42 Medium CEO Tony Stubblebine: Here's How Writing Evolves In The AI Era
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Baker: Google surpassed OpenAI and Anthropic in total AI traffic
“I think they've taken 15 or 20 points of traffic share in the last two or three months, and that does not, that's just traffic to Gemini. It does not include search overviews. I suspect on a actual traffic basis, Google is bigger than OpenAI, Anthropic, anyone…”
Gavin Baker Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 8:48 "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Machado: Chávez and Maduro gave thousands of passports to Hezbollah and Hamas
“Even terrorist groups such as Hezbollah, Hamas to which Chavez and Maduro have given thousands of Venezuelan's identities and passports to travel around freely around the world.”
María Corina Machado Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 14:59 The Woman Who BEAT Maduro: Venezuela's Next Leader? Nobel Peace Prize Winner María Corina Machado
Y COMBINATOR Prediction Not checkable as stated
Heller: AI startups face mass extinction as enterprise pilots fail to convert
“A lot of those pilots are not converting to real revenue, and there's going to be a mass extinction event as a lot of pilot revenue, it's like, instead of ARR, it's like PRR, like Pilot Recurring Revenue, or something like that, or not even recurring, just Pil…”
Jake Heller Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 28:43 From Idea to $650M Exit: Lessons in Building AI Startups · Y Combinator
20VC Assertion Supported
Cahn: Chip makers finance AI buildouts to book revenue circularly
“The chip companies are now stepping up and saying, okay, we'll absorb some of the risk. We'll put in the capital to finance this build out where the demand on the other side is not so clear because of course the chip companies also get to book this as revenue.”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 24:05 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Opinion
Sacks claims Biden's AI mandates were designed for long-term ideological indoctrination
“By the way, in my opinion, That was the end game for the Biden approach of requiring DEI values in these models.”
David Sacks Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 1:22:10 NBA Gambling Scandal, Billionaire Tax, Tesla's Future, Amazon Robots, AWS Outage, Dangerous AI Bias
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Biden threatened to never speak to Manchin if he killed rescue plan
“That's when he got pretty vulgar and just told me, I'm gonna, you're gonna, you know, if you kill my effing bill, I'll never talk to you again.”
Joe Manchin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 17:10 Joe Manchin Exposes The Chaos Inside Biden’s White House
ALL-IN Disclosure
Manchin opposed Build Back Better for shifting American mindset toward entitlement
“If we pass this piece of legislation you're asking me to vote for, the BBB, you're changing the psychic to the nation of how much more can my country do for me. I wasn't born that way, I wasn't raised that way, I don't believe that way, and I can't do it. You …”
Joe Manchin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 30:01 Joe Manchin Exposes The Chaos Inside Biden’s White House
ALL-IN Disclosure
Manchin reveals he and Mitt Romney discussed running on a third-party ticket
“Mitt Romney and I were talking about running. I said, Mitt, he said, Joe, let's, we have to start a new party.”
Joe Manchin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:08:35 Joe Manchin Exposes The Chaos Inside Biden’s White House
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Masad: Laypersons will soon match senior Google software engineers via AI
“I think that the lay person will be as good as a what a senior software engineer that works at Google is today. So I think that's happening very soon.”
Amjad Masad Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 32:44 Marc Andreessen & Amjad Masad on “Good Enough” AI, AGI, and the End of Coding
MAD Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI will make Nobel Prize-level scientific discoveries by 2027 or 2028
“I think my guess for that level of capability might be maybe 2027. I think we're probably not going to find out for quite some time afterwards because of the delay in getting prices. But I think by 20, 27, 20, 28, I think extremely likely that the models will …”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 15:35 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
TBPN Opinion
Palmer Luckey argues people should biologically have children in their teens
“Kids should be having kids when they're in their teens. That's when they're supposed to have them. And you could argue that maybe there's a reason to stretch it out a little bit, but if we're just talking about Physical ability and depth of well of energy. You…”
Palmer Luckey Oct 21, 2025 ▶ 12:04 Palmer Luckey Live on TBPN
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Supported
Liemandt: Alpha 3rd and 4th Graders Outscore 50% of US High School Grads
“We have third and fourth graders who outscore 50% of the high school graduates in this country.”
Joe Liemandt Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 20:15 Secret Tech Billionaire Is Betting $1B on This · Joe Lonsdale
a16z Opinion
Andreessen: Paul Thomas Anderson's new film is 'Antifa the movie'
“Arguably, it is kind of salient to our times, because I think if you were to retitle the movie, you would just title it Antifa the movie. Like, it's, like, it's like a full-throated celebration of basically violent social change, violent social revolution, lik…”
Marc Andreessen Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 23:09 Marc Andreessen on the State of Film and Hollywood
a16z Opinion
Keith Rabois claims Jerome Powell lowered interest rates to help Kamala Harris
“I think he has Trump derangement syndrome. He just hates Trump. That's why he artificially lowered rates to try to get Kamala elected. It is indefensible cutting 50 basis points off in, you know, last fall.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 3:50 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Keith Rabois predicts ChatGPT will become a multi-trillion dollar monopoly
“I think ChatGBT becomes a monopoly. It's the fastest growing consumer product of all time. It is transforming how everybody, every normal person basically does their work, runs their life. And so that product alone is a several trillion dollar company.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 12:30 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
MAD Opinion
Tworek: GPT-5 can effectively be considered an iteration like 'o3.1'
“Like GPT-Five in some way I can be considered as like, oh, 3.1. It's a little bit of like, you know, iteration of like the same thing and the same concept”
Jerry Tworek Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 9:52 How GPT-5 Thinks — OpenAI VP of Research Jerry Tworek
a16z Assertion Supported
Labenz: Claude 4 system card documented AI blackmailing a human engineer
“In the cloud four system card, they reported blackmailing of the human. The setup was that the AI had access to the engineer's email and They told the AI that it was going to be like replaced with a, you know, a less ethical version or something like that. It …”
Nathan Labenz Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 1:04:23 Is AI Slowing Down? Nathan Labenz Says We're Asking the Wrong Question
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2035
Wood: Global real GDP growth will accelerate to 7% within a decade
“We believe that the productivity uplift here is going to be so strong during the next five to 10 years. And I think president Trump's tax package is going to turbocharge this, that real GDP growth will accelerate from that three percent where it has been for t…”
Cathie Wood Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 3:05 Cathie Wood on How AI Can Double GDP, Bull Case for Bitcoin $1M, Elon’s Trillion-Dollar Pay Package
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Wood: Tesla stock will reach $2,600 per share in five years
“And we put out there five years. Yeah. Yeah. So and I think if he delivers on humanoid robots the way he thinks he is, we don't have enough in there. So our price target is 2600.”
Cathie Wood Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 16:35 Cathie Wood on How AI Can Double GDP, Bull Case for Bitcoin $1M, Elon’s Trillion-Dollar Pay Package
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Left-wing NGOs laundered over $100M of public money for Antifa
“These NGOs have laundered over a hundred million dollars of our money to fund terrorist violence in our streets.”
David Sacks Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 34:56 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Energy providers will demand equity stakes in AI companies as power becomes the key constraint
“Energy will be the gating item beyond a shadow of a doubt. And so if you control electrons, any form of electrons, hydrocarbon to electron, electron to electron, photon to electron, doesn't matter. You will then be in a position to start asking for equity, ups…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 52:58 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
20VC Opinion
Salesforce salespeople are terrible hires because they are just order takers
“Salesforce. Terrible. Terrible. Because they have no idea how to sell. They, they're order takers. To your point earlier is they don't, if you go to a place that's just an order taker, they'd have no idea how to do it. They have no idea how to sell.”
Chris Degnan Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 56:54 20Sales: Scaling Snowflake from $0-$3BN in ARR | Snowflake vs Databricks: My Biggest Lessons | Why Customer Success is BS and What Replaces It with Chris Chris Degnan
Lonsdale: The Comanche were like a '10X Nazi death cult'
“I like doing a joke land acknowledgement that thank goodness that, you know, we took this place over from the Comanche Indians that were like a 10, 10 X Nazi death cult of murderers and rapists, and people don't realize that.”
Joe Lonsdale Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 6:32 This Idea is Destroying American Universities · Joe Lonsdale
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: Society will deem AI training fair use but create IP licensing models
“So like, you'll see this continue to move, but forced guests from the position we're in today, I would say that society decides training is fair use, but There's a new model for generating content in the style of or with the IPF or something else.”
Sam Altman Oct 8, 2025 ▶ 29:18 Sam Altman on Sora, Energy, and Building an AI Empire
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Joe Tsai predicts AGI is probably 20 years away
“I think AGI is probably 20 years from now.”
Joe Tsai Oct 8, 2025 ▶ 26:28 Alibaba's Joe Tsai on US-China Rivalry, AI Future, Owning the Nets/Liberty, Caitlin Clark's Impact
NEON SHOW Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kumar: India's actual post-demonetization GDP growth is only 1.5% to 2%
“So our rate of growth is not six, seven percent as the government would like us to believe, but since demonetization, the average may be two percent or one and a half percent or something thereabouts, huh?”
Prof. Arun Kumar Oct 7, 2025 ▶ 3:16 Does Higher GDP Mean Better Jobs, Housing & Income? w/ Economist Prof. Arun Kumar
Lütke: Prime Minister Trudeau's push toward socialism inevitably leads to poverty
“It's very much veered into socialism under, under Trudeau. He pushed that very, very hard I am very much hoping that, ah, Mark is helping all of Canada to figure out that that's a successful discovery of something that doesn't work, because obviously that kind…”
Tobi Lütke Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 1:32:21 Tobi Lütke is still captivated by internet commerce, 20 years later
ALL-IN Opinion
Palihapitiya advises retail investors to avoid investing in his new SPAC
“And what my honest advice is avoid Maybe not all SPACs, but definitely my SPAC, just avoid it.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 3, 2025 ▶ 26:34 Biggest LBO Ever, SPAC 2.0, Open Source AI Models, State AI Regulation Frenzy
a16z Prediction Held up
Kupor: Federal workforce will shrink by 300,000 employees due to DOGE
“We've done a lot of work over the course of this year, a lot of which was catalyzed by Elon and the Doge team. As a result, we expect probably that we'll end up with somewhere around 2.1 million employees at the end of the year, so roughly about a 300,000 redu…”
Scott Kupor Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 3:42 The Person Who Runs HR For 2 Million Federal Workers
MAD Prediction Not checkable as stated
Douglas: Anthropic believes AGI is reachable in a couple of years
“We think that, you know, AGI is within reach in the next couple of years.”
Sholto Douglas Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 27:33 Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — Sholto Douglas (Anthropic)
MAD Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2028
Douglas: AI industry will reach human-level computer capabilities in 2-3 years
“Which is that in the next two or three years, given the right feedback loops, given the right compute, given the right, you know, elbow grease and this kind of stuff, we think that we as the AI industry are all on track to create something that is at least as …”
Sholto Douglas Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 59:06 Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — Sholto Douglas (Anthropic)
ALL-IN Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2026
Caruso: LAFD ran short of water, equipment during Palisades wildfire
“We were actually on the seventh loaning equipment to LA Fire Department, who was running short of equipment, and we were actually loaning water because we were bringing in our water tanks when the water hydrants failed to work.”
Rick Caruso Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 4:03 Rick Caruso on California’s Collapse: Broken Leadership, LA Wildfire Failures & the Fix
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Caruso: LA spends $900,000 per homeless person moved off streets
“We are spending in the city of Los Angeles. 900,000 dollars per person that they're moving from the streets. 900,000 dollars.”
Rick Caruso Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 18:48 Rick Caruso on California’s Collapse: Broken Leadership, LA Wildfire Failures & the Fix
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Ross: Nvidia will be worth $10 trillion in five years
“I personally would be surprised if in five years NVIDIA wasn't worth 10 trillion, but I can't predict the outcome.”
Jonathan Ross Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 0:18 Groq Founder, Jonathan Ross: OpenAI & Anthropic Will Build Their Own Chips & Will NVIDIA Hit $10TRN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2025
Sacks: Data shows 3x more people on left endorse political violence
“Last week we showed you plenty of data showing that there was three times as many people on the left who are celebrating or endorsing political violence.”
David Sacks Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 56:07 H-1B Shakeup, Kimmel Apology, Autism Causes, California Hate Speech Law
BG2 Opinion
Huang: China is 'nanoseconds behind' the US in AI capability
“And three, they're years behind us. Is it two years, three years? Come on, they're nanoseconds behind us.”
Jensen Huang Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 1:11:23 NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schmidt: Most of the world will use Chinese open-weight AI models
“China is competing with open weights and open training data, and the U.S. Is largely and majority focused on closed weights, closed data. That means that the majority of the world, think of it as the Belt and Road Initiative, are going to use Chinese models an…”
Eric Schmidt Sep 24, 2025 ▶ 5:44 Eric Schmidt on AI, the Battle with China, and the Future of America
a16z Assertion Supported
Bhattacharya: NIH funded the Wuhan lab without the capability to audit it
“The NIH had sent money to the Wuhan lab but we couldn't audit it.”
Dr. Jay Bhattacharya Sep 23, 2025 ▶ 10:00 Taking Bold Bets: NIH and the Future of Biomedical Science
ALL-IN Opinion
Jimmy Kimmel says MAGA tried to distance themselves from Kirk's killer
“We had some new lows over the weekend with the MAGA gang desperately trying to characterize this kid who murdered Charlie Kirk as anything other than one of them, and doing everything they can to score political points from it.”
Jimmy Kimmel Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 31:08 Charlie Kirk Murder, Assassination Culture in America, Jimmy Kimmel Suspended, Ellison Media Empire
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Political violence and censorship will lead to civil war
“It's the antithesis, and it's not Western civilization. It's something different and destructive, and where it will lead to is a civil war that none of us should want on either side of the political spectrum.”
David Sacks Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 1:13:33 Charlie Kirk Murder, Assassination Culture in America, Jimmy Kimmel Suspended, Ellison Media Empire
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