People, every show

Dave Kellogg

Executive in Residence, Balderton Capital. On 3 shows, 7 appearances, plus 2 compilation re-airs not counted. The Shows tab opens the full record on each.

executiveoperatorauthorinvestorhost@kellblog ↗LinkedIn ↗kellblog.com ↗

Dave Kellogg is an enterprise software executive who previously served as CEO of Host Analytics and MarkLogic, and CMO of Business Objects. He advises high-growth SaaS startups and publishes widely read analysis on go-to-market strategy and metrics on his site, Kellblog.

3shows
7appearances
161statements
7resolved
3supported
0contradicted
43%fully supported
24said about them ↓

Everything Dave Kellogg said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.

SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: ARR is a fact while churn rates are an opinion
“There's a semi-famous quote that but cash is a fact, profit is an opinion. I feel the same way about ARR and churn, that ARR is a fact churn, And churn rates are an opinion.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 30:29 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Assertion Contradicted
Kellogg: Net Dollar Retention Shows Almost Zero Correlation With SaaS Multiples
“The R squared is only .O six between net dollar retention and enterprise value to next 12 months revenue.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 42:41 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: NDR Is a Financing Enabler, Not a Valuation Driver
“So it's not a valuation driver. I now think of it as a financing enabler, right? Okay. So a higher one isn't necessarily by itself going to drive a higher valuation, but I could tell you if you don't have a high enough one, you're not going to be able to raise…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 42:48 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
SAASTR Insight
Horizontal SaaS startups facing heavily funded rivals must out-raise them or pivot
“If you're in some horizontal platform category, people may throw hundreds of millions, maybe even billions, of VC at the category. And you don't get to not play. So, if you find yourself in this situation, it's probably a sign that you're in a really good cate…”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 11:37 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
CEOs must proactively assign board members work or risk unhelpful meddling
“If I'm not keeping the board busy, Helping me drive the company, they are going to come in with ideas and ways to help that I may not find helpful.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 20:21 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Startups must be publicly vision-driven, culturally customer-driven, and strategically competitor-driven
“Avoid this fake either or framing, which is you need to speak like you're vision driven. So when you're talking to customers and analysts, the markets, talk about the desired end state. Talk about the vision. Don't talk about competition. When you're building …”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 23:05 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Customer Success Should Not Report to Sales or the CRO
“By the way, for whatever it's worth, I don't actually think customer success should report to sales. I think that's a stress reaction to save money. I think the company hits a downturn. There's too much sales expense, which customer success is usually classifi…”
Dave Kellogg Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 30:30 What Really Matters in SaaS in 2025 with Jason Lemkin and Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Startups Should Copy Standard Pricing Models Unless Disrupting
“Unless your business plan is predicated on price model disruption, do what everybody else does.”
Dave Kellogg Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 41:00 What Really Matters in SaaS in 2025 with Jason Lemkin and Dave Kellogg
SAASTR Insight
Kellogg: Enterprise software manages pricing friction via consistency or complexity
“There's two ways to solve that problem. One is to have super consistent pricing, which in my experience in enterprise is very difficult. The other is to have very complicated pricing. So it's very hard for them to figure out who got the better deal.”
Dave Kellogg Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 51:03 What Really Matters in SaaS in 2025 with Jason Lemkin and Dave Kellogg
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Ideal customer profile evolves from aspiration to regression
“An ICP, ideal customer profile. ICP starts out as an aspiration, and over time it becomes a regression, right?”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 4:58 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Good CAC ratio benchmark is 1.5 for enterprise, 1.0 for SMB
“I'd say a 1.5 or less is in enterprise. I mean, here we are back to your question. The bigger the deals, the more permission you have. So an enterprise, I might go one five. In SMB, I might go one O.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 9:34 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: SaaS operators should calculate CAC ratio with new ARR, not net new ARR
“As an operator, I actually just do it on new ARR. My first order CAC is just, it's not net new, because net new introduced churn. You just made my metric more complicated, right? You made it easier to cheat. You took away some of its meaning.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 10:23 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Dave Kellogg: Churn forecasting is easier than new sales forecasting
“Churn forecasting to me is actually easier than new sales forecasting.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 25:31 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: A good sales forecast gently upslopes to actual sales, not quota
“And a good forecast looks like this, gently upsloping to the actual number you sell. Notice I've never talked about quota. Because forecast is not about quota.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 28:45 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Pressuring reps into higher commits ruins sales forecasting accuracy
“Some sales managers use the forecast as a club to kind of push the reps around. Like if I could just in a moment of week is get you commit to one 20, then I can hold it against you for the rest of the quarter. First, I don't think that's great sales management…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 30:07 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Dave Kellogg: Startups should hire sales reps in groups of three
“So I like hiring three at a time but not for the Hunger Games effect, for the controlled experiment effect.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 31:34 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Dave Kellogg: Evaluating enterprise sales reps takes six to twelve months
“I would say somewhere between six and 12 months in enterprise.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 32:37 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Kellogg: CEOs are negligent if not deeply involved in material quarterly deals
“As a CEO founder, I think you just need to look at the materiality of the deal to the quarter. And like, are you What's the word? But negligence in your duties. Like at some level, if the deal is material of the quarter, you better be in it deep.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 36:28 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Sales reps' sole job is forecasting and closing on time
“You don't make the software. So your only job is to sell the software. You're not a technical resource. You don't help customers deploy. So this is kind of the, you had one job argument, right? Like you had one job. And it's like, let's just remember, that's w…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 37:27 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Deal slips are only excusable due to unforeseen acts of God
“The company got acquired on the last day of the quarter, all purchasing got frozen. Okay! Right? That we couldn't have seen coming, right? But it needs to literally be that level of act of God, right, before It's before it's an excusable reason for a slip.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 40:45 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Dave Kellogg: Using customer references as sales negotiating chips is flawed
“I don't love it as a negotiating chip because if I'm doing right by your business and if I'm delivering value and if we have a good relationship, you should do it anyway. And if you're only doing it because of a gun to your head, because you promised you'd do …”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 47:03 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kellogg: Outbound sales worked significantly better four years ago than today
“I think Outbound actually worked better four years ago than it does today, because I think everyone's doing it, and people are getting flooded with it, and they don't like getting called on their cell phone, they're not answering their regular phone, and you c…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 49:35 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Buyers purchase software when they see similar peers using it
“I mean, I can summarize all of Jeffrey Moore in one sentence, which is people buy when they think people like them use your solution, period.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 51:53 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Kellogg: Expanding across verticals or use cases is high-friction for startups
“The other thing, so I imagine this all as a matrix of vertical versus use case, and every time you're hopping a cell, it's danger, right? Like you know how to sell the custom publishing use case to publishers. Can I sell it to airlines? First, the first one is…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 31, 2024 ▶ 59:18 Dave Kellogg: How to Forecast in 2024 & Why CaC Payback is Flawed and CAC Ratio is Better | E1110 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings

Show 24statements(113 left)

The other half of the tape: Dave Kellogg's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 24 times in 11 episodes across the shows. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Harry Stebbings 8Scott Beechuk 4Jason Lemkin 4Nathan Latka 2Bill Binch 2Sophie Chesters 1Doug Song 1

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
0083155201720182019202020212022202320242025episodesmentions
035201720182019202020212022202320242025episodes it came up in
001.52.535201720182019202020212022202320242025episodesmentions per episode

the Official SaaStr Podcast 1220VC 8Top Founders 4

2025 1 mention in 1 episode
2024 7 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode
2022 13 mentions in 5 episodes 3 per episode
2020 1 mention in 1 episode
2017 2 mentions in 1 episode

One line per show, most statements first. The link opens Dave's full record on that show: the calibration, argument clarity, speaking style and every statement made there.

ShowRole thereEpsStatementsRecord
SAASTRLEDGER Executive in Residence, Balderton Capital 5 +2 111 50% 2/4 full record on the Official SaaStr Podcast →
20VCLEDGER Executive in Residence, Balderton Capital 1 40 50% 1/2 full record on 20VC →
TOP FOUNDERSLEDGER Executive in Residence, Balderton Capital 1 10 0% 0/1 full record on Top Founders →
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