Dave Kellogg

Executive in Residence, Balderton Capital · 5 appearances on the record.

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executiveoperatorauthorinvestorhost@kellblog ↗LinkedIn ↗kellblog.com ↗

Dave Kellogg is an enterprise software executive who previously served as CEO of Host Analytics and MarkLogic, and CMO of Business Objects. He advises high-growth SaaS startups and publishes widely read analysis on go-to-market strategy and metrics on his site, Kellblog.

111statements → 16claims → 4claims resolved → 50%fully supported → 3.99/5average certainty → 2.35/5average debate potential → 12said about them ↓

2 supported 2 partly supported 0 contradicted 7 not checkable as stated how the 16 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

1 prediction · 15 assertions · 10 opinions · 85 insights · every statement was checked. The prediction and assertions are the 16 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 9 are resolved, and 7 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Dave argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Kellogg: ASC 606 flattens price ramping into straight-line GAAP revenue
“It will drive on an ARR basis, epic net dollar retention, but on a revenue basis, ASC. So six will flatten it out. It will see right through this trick and you will just end up with a 120 K per year in gap revenue.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 46:41 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
Kellogg: Net Dollar Retention Shows Almost Zero Correlation With SaaS Multiples
“The R squared is only .O six between net dollar retention and enterprise value to next 12 months revenue.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 42:41 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Dave Kellogg on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Dave Kellogg said on the Official SaaStr Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Opinion
Kellogg: The SaaS IPO Bar Has Risen to $500M ARR
“The IPO bar is just spectacularly high right now. I think it's around five hundred million in ARR by my math.”
Dave Kellogg Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 3:25 What Really Matters in SaaS in 2025 with Jason Lemkin and Dave Kellogg
Insight
Kellogg: PE Firms Want SaaS Companies Fixed Before Acquiring Them
“The biggest thing I've learned about working with PE is I thought they were fixer upper people... And I don't actually think many of them like to do that. They want it fixed first.”
Dave Kellogg Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 5:08 What Really Matters in SaaS in 2025 with Jason Lemkin and Dave Kellogg
Insight
Kellogg: Private Equity Can Turn Most Stagnant SaaS Companies to 20%+ EBITDA
“A lot of times founders think it's not possible and give that company to a PE person. And I guarantee you they're going to have 20% EBITDA, maybe 30% EBITDA in a couple of years. It can be done.”
Dave Kellogg Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 37:44 What Really Matters in SaaS in 2025 with Jason Lemkin and Dave Kellogg
Insight
Kellogg: Executive infighting is a direct reflection of a weak CEO
“Another friend of mine has this expression from Machiavelli that warring princes means one thing, a weak king. And if you're CEO of the company, you cannot allow warring princes in your company. Everybody sees it. The whole company knows if two E staffers are …”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 9:38 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Benioff dismissed early Zendesk threats to Salesforce to avoid fear-based leadership
“I did a year at Salesforce in the middle of all that, and I was mentioning Zendesk. I was like, hey, there's these guys called Zendesk, and they might be a problem for, like, our customer service business and I got the kind of uh-oh moment where, like, oh, and…”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 16:28 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
Insight
Kellogg: Companies must be vision-driven publicly, customer-driven culturally, competitor-driven strategically
“Avoid this fake either or framing, which is you need to speak like you're vision driven. So when you're talking to customers and analysts, the markets, talk about the desired end state. Talk about the vision. Don't talk about competition. When you're building …”
Dave Kellogg Sep 3, 2023 ▶ 17:53 "The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Classic
Insight
Kellogg: 80% quarterly rep quota attainment in enterprise SaaS is nearly impossible
“First, you did not have on a quarterly basis in an enterprise company, 80% of your reps every quarter. You might have had 80% every year. You might, right? 80% at a hundred percent of quota on an annual basis is very good. On a quarterly basis, it's almost imp…”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 20:35 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
Insight
Kellogg: Startups Scaling Past $10M ARR Should Redeploy Early Leaders
“I've worked with many startups where the figure it out sales VP had to leave when we hit ten million. And I always feel bad about that, because I don't actually think they have to leave. I think they should be redeployed. Like, my answer is, what do you do wit…”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 25:39 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
Opinion
Kellogg: Enterprise SaaS startups should wait until $100M+ ARR for second product
“In terms of second product, I talked about Jason Lemkin's work before, but he's done a series of tweets and blogs, and from his research to me, for most companies, it's probably a hundred million plus in ARR, and maybe multiple, for the companies I work with, …”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 30:45 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
Insight
Kellogg: SaaS Startups Should Charge Above Market for Services to Enable Partners
“Create your own agency or your own services org. Charge for it. Charge market rates. Maybe even a little more than market rates. Actually, not maybe. Charge more than market rates, and then build a partner network.”
Dave Kellogg Jul 20, 2022 ▶ 45:36 5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
Opinion
Kellogg: Most marketers lack rigorous thinking and confuse executives with jargon
“You're confused by ill-defined terminology and process, most marketers are not that rigorous in their thinking and you're drawn into conflict between sales and marketing, right?”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 4:48 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
Insight
Kellogg: CMOs should quarterback overall pipeline coverage across all sources
“Now to me, the best practice here is that marketing should be the quarterback of the pipeline, because if you think about those four funnels, the only person they all report to is the CEO. So either you're going to be the quarterback of the pipeline, or you're…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 6, 2022 ▶ 18:36 A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
Insight
Kellogg: ARR is a fact while churn rates are an opinion
“There's a semi-famous quote that but cash is a fact, profit is an opinion. I feel the same way about ARR and churn, that ARR is a fact churn, And churn rates are an opinion.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 30:29 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
Assertion Contradicted
Kellogg: Net Dollar Retention Shows Almost Zero Correlation With SaaS Multiples
“The R squared is only .O six between net dollar retention and enterprise value to next 12 months revenue.”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 42:41 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
Insight
Kellogg: NDR Is a Financing Enabler, Not a Valuation Driver
“So it's not a valuation driver. I now think of it as a financing enabler, right? Okay. So a higher one isn't necessarily by itself going to drive a higher valuation, but I could tell you if you don't have a high enough one, you're not going to be able to raise…”
Dave Kellogg Jan 10, 2021 ▶ 42:48 Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community
Insight
Horizontal SaaS startups facing heavily funded rivals must out-raise them or pivot
“If you're in some horizontal platform category, people may throw hundreds of millions, maybe even billions, of VC at the category. And you don't get to not play. So, if you find yourself in this situation, it's probably a sign that you're in a really good cate…”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 11:37 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
Insight
CEOs must proactively assign board members work or risk unhelpful meddling
“If I'm not keeping the board busy, Helping me drive the company, they are going to come in with ideas and ways to help that I may not find helpful.”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 20:21 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
Insight
Startups must be publicly vision-driven, culturally customer-driven, and strategically competitor-driven
“Avoid this fake either or framing, which is you need to speak like you're vision driven. So when you're talking to customers and analysts, the markets, talk about the desired end state. Talk about the vision. Don't talk about competition. When you're building …”
Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 ▶ 23:05 The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg
Insight
Kellogg: Customer Success Should Not Report to Sales or the CRO
“By the way, for whatever it's worth, I don't actually think customer success should report to sales. I think that's a stress reaction to save money. I think the company hits a downturn. There's too much sales expense, which customer success is usually classifi…”
Dave Kellogg Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 30:30 What Really Matters in SaaS in 2025 with Jason Lemkin and Dave Kellogg
Insight
Kellogg: Startups Should Copy Standard Pricing Models Unless Disrupting
“Unless your business plan is predicated on price model disruption, do what everybody else does.”
Dave Kellogg Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 41:00 What Really Matters in SaaS in 2025 with Jason Lemkin and Dave Kellogg
Insight
Kellogg: Enterprise software manages pricing friction via consistency or complexity
“There's two ways to solve that problem. One is to have super consistent pricing, which in my experience in enterprise is very difficult. The other is to have very complicated pricing. So it's very hard for them to figure out who got the better deal.”
Dave Kellogg Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 51:03 What Really Matters in SaaS in 2025 with Jason Lemkin and Dave Kellogg
Insight
Kellogg: VCs trust founders' CAC while PE firms recalculate it themselves
“Because the VCs tend to be trusting and say, what's your CAC and tell me how you calculate it. And isn't that interesting? Whereas the PE people just said to say, give me all your data. I'll tell you what your CAC is fundamentally. Especially in the context of…”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 9:19 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
Opinion
Kellogg: VCs bludgeon founders by expecting best-in-class metrics across every single category
“You know, a VC will look across their portfolio and think of the best CAC payback period, the best LTV to CAC, the best rule of 40, and ask you to do, you know, beat them on all four, right? It's inherently unfair. It's a form of bludgeoning, right?”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 16:39 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg
Opinion
Kellogg: Upgrading SaaS metrics often requires replacing non-strategic RevOps and FP&A staff
“The change management is hard. It may require staff upgrades, particularly key analytics roles like RevOps, FP&A. Sometimes those people are not that strategic. They're not that fast, right? That they're good at making a budget and they're good at getting comp…”
Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 26:04 15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg

Show 24statements(87 left)

The other half of the tape: Dave Kellogg's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 12 times in 5 episodes on the Official SaaStr Podcast. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Scott Beechuk 4Jason Lemkin 4Bill Binch 2Sophie Chesters 1Doug Song 1

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
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024202020212022episodes it came up in
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Appearances (5)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
What Really Matters in SaaS in 2025 with Jason Lemkin and Dave Kellogg Nov 4, 2024 20m
15 Signs You Have A SaaS Metrics Problem (and How to Fix it) with Dave Kellogg Dec 13, 2023 28m
"The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With Dave Kellogg, ex-CEO Host Analytics": SaaStr Sep 3, 2023 20m
5 Scale-Up Mistakes for Startups with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community Jul 20, 2022 46m
A CEO's Guide to Marketing with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Community Jan 6, 2022 26m

Played on the show (2)

Episodes where a recording of Dave Kellogg was played rather than Dave taking part, or where the tape carries an address with nobody putting questions to them. Listed because the words are on the record, kept out of every score on this page because they were not said on this show. We read this off the tape: who was spoken to, who was asked something, who answered whom.

EpisodeDateOn tapeWhat it is
Churn is dead. Long live Net Dollar Retention Rate with Dave Kellogg | SaaStr Software Com Jan 10, 2021 44m aired address
The Top 5 Questions Every CEO Wrestles With - Lessons From Dave Kellogg May 22, 2019 24m aired address
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