Social Security

topic on 17 shows · 33 statements across 28 episodes · said 190 times in 69 episodes since 2018

All-In 137 BigDeal 14 Sourcery 10 Capital Allocators 7 WTF is with Nikhil Kamath 5 American Optimist 3 the a16z Podcast 3 the Green Blueprint 2 Big Technology 2 TBPN 2 BG2 Pod 1 Innovators & Investors 1 My First Million 1 the Neon Show 1 20VC 1 Masters of Scale No Priors

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All-In 137BigDeal 14Sourcery 10Capital Allocators 7WTF is with Nikhil Kamath 5the a16z Podcast 3American Optimist 3the Green Blueprint 27 more shows

2026 41 mentions in 12 episodes 3 per episode
2025 59 mentions in 19 episodes 3 per episode
2024 28 mentions in 11 episodes 3 per episode
2023 44 mentions in 16 episodes 3 per episode
2022 6 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode
2021 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2020 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode
2019 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode
2018 5 mentions in 2 episodes 3 per episode

every mention on every show, scene by scene, with the transcript →

33 statements about Social Security, every show

ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2032
Friedberg: Social Security and state defaults will force bailouts by 2032
“Then the next big thing is going to happen around 2030 to 20 32. And that's really where social security doesn't have any money to pay anymore. And I think during that era is also when a lot of the states are going to become bankrupt. We're not going to be abl…”
David Friedberg Aug 29, 2026 ▶ 51:27 Nvidia's Historic Quarter, SaaS Comeback, Bessent vs Druck, America's Debt Crisis, Cancer Vaccine
SOURCERY Insight
Friedberg: Social Security should be replaced with equity-invested 401(k) accounts
“Like, every American, instead of having a social security account, they should have the equivalent of a four or one K where they own stocks, and when they retire, they get all those stocks.”
David Friedberg Jul 22, 2026 ▶ 19:24 David Friedberg Explains America's Economic Crisis in 60 Minutes · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg: CBO Projects Social Security Runs Out of Money in Five Years
“We have five years till Social Security is bankrupt. That's not my assessment. That's the CBO score. Like, that's what the CBO says is gonna happen. Congressional Budget Office. When you look at how much is going to get paid out and what the pay in rate is, so…”
David Friedberg Jul 22, 2026 ▶ 31:31 David Friedberg Explains America's Economic Crisis in 60 Minutes · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
BIGDEAL Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2031
Hammer: Social Security Faces a 25% Cut Within Five Years
“Social security about to get a 25% cut in literally five years.”
Caleb Hammer Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 1:04:40 The #1 Money Habit That Separates Winners from Losers | Caleb Hammer
ALL-IN Opinion
Gerstner: Trump Accounts are biggest US social contract change since 1935
“It's the largest change to our social contract since 1935 and social security.”
Brad Gerstner Jul 11, 2026 ▶ 1:23:12 OpenAI vs Anthropic IPOs, Anthropic $3T, Zuck's Price War, China Ends Open Source?, Trump Accounts
BIGDEAL Assertion Supported
Galloway: Older Generation Receives $1.3T Annually in Social Security
“The wealthiest generation in the history of the planet gets 1.3 trillion dollars a year in the form of Social Security.”
Scott Galloway Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 2:23 Scott Galloway: The ONLY Savings Strategy You Need
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Calacanis: COBOL code runs 95% of US ATMs and Social Security payments
“It runs 95% of ATMs in the US, and it powers Social Security payments.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 28, 2026 ▶ 2:24 Software Stocks Implode, Claude's Hit List, State of the Union Reactions, Trump's Tariff Pivot
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Partly supported
Galloway: $40B child tax credit was stripped while $120B Social Security COLA passed
“Forty billion dollar child tax credit that would benefit young families stripped out of the infrastructure bill, but the hundred and twenty billion dollar cost of living adjustment for Social Security flies right through.”
Scott Galloway Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 24:23 Scott Galloway: Why I'm selling my American stocks
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sununu predicts a US fiscal car crash within eight to nine years
“We have eight, I think we have eight or nine years here, but there will be a, I think a fiscal car crash, so to say, where social security, Medicare the debt, you know, the interest, what interest hit over a trillion this year.”
Chris Sununu Dec 30, 2025 ▶ 12:31 These Jobs Will Skyrocket in the AI Economy · Joe Lonsdale
NO PRIORS Assertion Contradicted
Kushner: Antonio Gracias saved over $10B annually on Social Security
“I know Antonio Gracios has done amazing work helping figure out how to get, you know, make sure we're only paying social security. I think he saved over ten billion a year so far from that.”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 51:10 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Paul: Social Security cannot survive without raising the retirement age to 70
“But it's not going to be around unless you raise the age to 70. That's the only way it sticks around.”
Rand Paul Sep 5, 2025 ▶ 24:59 Senator Rand Paul: Tariffs, Debt, China, and a Warning for America
ALL-IN Insight
Paul: Raising retirement age alone will no longer save Social Security
“The age doesn't fix Social Security anymore. You gotta means test it.”
Rand Paul Sep 5, 2025 ▶ 29:38 Senator Rand Paul: Tariffs, Debt, China, and a Warning for America
20VC Assertion Supported
Galloway: Young Americans transfer $1.3T yearly to seniors via Social Security
“Every year, young people transfer 1.3 trillion dollars in the form of Social Security payments to the wealthiest generation in the history of the planet, seniors.”
Scott Galloway Jul 7, 2025 ▶ 13:47 Scott Galloway on Billionaire Happiness, Money & Self-Worth | Why We Should Drink More & Not WFH · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2032
Friedberg: US Social Security will be functionally bankrupt by 2032
“We have until 2032 when social security will be functionally bankrupt and everyone's going to get overtaxed and kids are going to end up having to pay through inflation for the benefits of the retirees of the last generation.”
David Friedberg May 31, 2025 ▶ 1:26:30 AI Doom vs Boom, EA Cult Returns, BBB Upside, US Steel and Golden Votes
ALL-IN Disclosure
DOGE publicly released Social Security website metrics after improving performance
“You know, we were, as an example, at Social Security, we were criticized for the web setup time. Well, turns out web setup time has been better since we got there than after, imagine we have engineers. And we've now published the metrics on the website publicl…”
Antonio Gracias May 21, 2025 ▶ 7:26 Antonio Gracias: DOGE updates, Voter fraud, Finding 'Big Balls' | All-In Live from Miami
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis compares Australia's $3 trillion superannuation fund to US Social Security
“The Australian superannuation, they've got 30 managers, and they have as much in their on their balance sheet today in their fund than Social Security does, about three trillion dollars, and they have seven percent of our population.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 56:04 The Shocking Truth About DC Spending & Corruption - Scott Bessent
GREEN BLUEPRINT Assertion Supported
Shah: DOGE cannot reach $2T cuts without defense, Social Security, or healthcare
“The only places that matter if you're going to get to two trillion is defense, social security, and Medicaid, and Medicare. That's the only places that matter. Like, the discretionary part of the budget is so small that it just doesn't matter. You could zero i…”
Jigar Shah Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 42:48 Open Circuit: Jigar, Katherine, and Stephen are back
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2033
Friedberg: Social Security will be functionally bankrupt in eight years
“Social Security's functionally going to be bankrupt in eight years.”
David Friedberg Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 1:00:58 DOGE vs USAID, Crypto Framework, Google's $75B AI Spend, US Sovereign Wealth Fund, GLP-1s
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: DOGE cannot make major budget cuts without touching entitlement and defense
“No, I think Doge is going to reduce the size of certain things, but unless you were to do Social Security and do the military, those two things, I think, are the bulk of our budget, and so you really have to take those away in a significant way, and that's jus…”
Jason Calacanis Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 2:32:35 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Washington politicians privately agree Social Security breaks by 2030–2032
“But behind closed doors, everyone says, 2030, 2032 is when it's gonna break, and so that's when everyone's kind of lining up, or thinking about, so no one even wants to deal with it.”
David Friedberg Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 2:35:56 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
ALL-IN Disclosure
Emmer: Trump administration promised not to touch Social Security, Medicare, or Medicaid
“We've said we're not going to touch Social Security. Medicare and Medicaid. That was the president who said that.”
Tom Emmer Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 15:18 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
NEON SHOW Opinion
Khalid: US Government Cannot Cut Medicare, Social Security, or Defense
“No matter what Elon Musk or anybody else says you simply cannot cut Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security defense spending or thing.”
Matein Khalid Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 21:11 Global Investor Matein Khalid On World Economy | The Neon Show
BIGDEAL Assertion Supported
Galloway: Older Americans receive $1.3T annually from Social Security
“And the wealthiest generation in the history of the planet gets 1.3 trillion dollars a year in the form of Social Security.”
Scott Galloway Oct 30, 2024 ▶ 1:52 How the US is SABOTAGING Young People’s Future | Scott Galloway
Langone: Receiving $3,600 monthly Social Security checks proves system is flawed
“I have a charming life with everything I could imagine a human being could want. And I get a check from the government every month for 3600 dollars. Something's wrong with that system.”
Ken Langone Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 39:05 How Founder Ken Langone Turned Home Depot Into A $400 Billion Empire · Joe Lonsdale
ALL-IN Disclosure
Christie advocates raising Social Security retirement age and means testing
“On the entitlement side, I think I'm the only person who's been talking about this and saying out loud, we've got to consider raising retirement age and we've got to consider means testing and eligibility for social security.”
Chris Christie Sep 8, 2023 ▶ 6:49 In conversation with Chris Christie
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Poll shows 82% of US voters oppose Social Security cuts for under-50s
“A poll was done. And on that poll, 82% of voters oppose the push to cut Social Security for Americans under 50.”
David Friedberg Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 53:24 E140: LK-99, Sclerotic establishments, Fitch downgrades US debt, Trump indicted... again
ALL-IN Opinion
Sacks: Social Security reform cannot succeed without bipartisan support
“You cannot touch social security as a single party effort. It has to be bipartisan.”
David Sacks Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 54:18 E140: LK-99, Sclerotic establishments, Fitch downgrades US debt, Trump indicted... again
ALL-IN Insight
Palihapitiya: Campaigning on entitlement cuts is a political non-starter
“I think that if you start to go and talk about austerity and cutting social security and healthcare benefits, it's literally a non-starter. People close their eyes, they plug their ears and you get nowhere.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 26, 2023 ▶ 43:00 E130: DeSantis's Twitter Spaces, debt ceiling, Nvidia rips, state of VC, startup failure & more
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Social Security is projected to go bankrupt by 2035
“Right now it's projected social security will go bankrupt in 2035, 20 34, around that range.”
David Friedberg May 5, 2023 ▶ 23:55 In conversation with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
ALL-IN Disclosure
RFK Jr.: Altering Social Security, Medicaid, or Medicare is a red line
“I would say it's a red line for me to touch Social Security or Medicaid or Medicare.”
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. May 5, 2023 ▶ 26:04 In conversation with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
GREEN BLUEPRINT Assertion Supported
Major US social programs passed before the CBO existed in 1974
“Basically every major piece of social legislation, Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, minimum wage laws, they were passed without the CBO.”
Stephen Lacey Jun 1, 2022 ▶ 7:45 The obscure federal agency hindering climate legislation
Obama: Major US social programs typically launch smaller than needed and expand
“Most big social programs in America, like Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, as is true in other countries, typically start off smaller than they probably should in terms of overall need. That's why I call this starter house, and then you build from it, b…”
Barack Obama Jun 11, 2021 ▶ 25:44 President Barack Obama: How to adapt to changing rules, part 2
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Delaying Social Security to age 70 increases lifetime benefits by 76%
“It's actually 76% higher. Every day, for the rest of your life, inflation-protected, Benefits, Social Security, if you wait.”
Charlie Ellis Jul 30, 2018 ▶ 44:35 Charley Ellis - Indexing and Its Alternatives (EP.62)

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