Socher predicts AI will reach superhuman capabilities in any domain with simulation
“I think we can basically predict where AI will certainly have superhuman capabilities. And those are all scenarios and all domains where we can either have a simulation and or a verification tool.”
Park: Accurate human simulation models must precede complex automation agents
“This technology around simulation, creating accurate representation of people ought to precede the more complex agents that would automate the world that we live in.”
Park: Decision-makers want simulation to shape the future, not predict it
“The reason why people are interested in simulation actually isn't because they want to predict the future. If you're winning against, if you're trying to win against a stock market, predicting the future is interesting, but most people, most decision makers, w…”
Park: Future simulations will cost as much to run as training models
“My hunch here is I do think in the next Some number of years, we will start creating simulations that will actually cost as much as training a foundation model.”
Park: Agent simulations beat multi-year field trials via instant repeated execution
“This is the reason why you want to run a simulation. You spend five years, forty million dollars on this one study and have one finding. But if you can run simulation many, many times instantly, then that's the value.”
Park: AGI and simulation are the twin pillar technologies of advanced civilizations
“You look at any advanced civilization in science fiction, there's two twin pillar technology. One's AGI in some form, and the other is simulation.”
Park: Simulation and AGI are the twin pillars of advanced technology
“The way I see it, simulation as a piece of technology is one of the twin pillars of technology. I'm a fan of science fiction. You read any advanced science fiction, there's always two pillars. One is some form of AGI that always shows up. The other is simulati…”
Park: Simulation models learn by validating daily real-world hypotheses
“I actually think simulation has even better mechanism, which is the world is our ground truth. We live in the ground truth world. So what we can do is every single day, we can be generating tens of thousands of hypotheses. Each hypothesis is mapped onto an end…”
Park: Within three years, single AI simulations will cost $20M
“I actually do think simulation can actually be the next frontier of that, where in my vision, I think there's a world in which in about two, three years, we're running a single simulation session, and that's going to take 10, twenty million dollars to run a si…”
Ludwig: Initial simulations never represent reality without sim-to-real feedback loops
“So at first go, no simulation is, is going to represent the real world. There's always a process of this sim to real matching where you actually, you need the real world feedback to basically feed into the parameters that are being used in the simulator.”
Younis: Simulation cannot eliminate real-world testing due to escalating reproduction costs
“There is a meniscus line where you cross where still doing real world testing is better. There's a, in the central real gap, you can reproduce reality at exceedingly expensive costs. And this, nothing is free. So really you have to refining that line where you…”
Levine: Acrobatic Humanoid Demos Rely on Simulation, Not Real-World Data
“If you've seen videos of humanoids doing all these acrobatics, right? There's a particular pipeline that makes that work, which is very heavily reliant on simulation, and actually very light on real world data, often almost, often actually zero real world data…”
Schlicht: Fully isolated AI bot simulations are completely boring
“We could spin up a million bots right now and put it in a simulation and it would be the most boring thing ever.”
White: Simulating biological systems hits fundamental limits; empirical lab measurement is unavoidable
“Basically the best model whatever, Opus seven or GPT 10, like it really can only propose the first experiment, maybe slightly more clever, but at a certain point you just need information, right? Like some little calculations you can do that, like, there's mor…”
White: Simulations model boring things well but fail on interesting phenomena
“So I think this is one of the fundamental, I don't know, dichotomies of the world is that simulations stimulate really boring things really well. They don't simulate interesting things very well.”
Simulation will initially be a larger commercial AI market than physical deployment
“I think simulation will actually be the larger market initially. So I think in simulation because you have very little constraints also from a safety perspective, simulation is much easier. So I think a lot of the takeoff initially sits in simulation.”
Chelsea Finn: Synthetic data's robotic analog is RL, not simulation
“I think that the analog of synthetic data in language models is actually not necessarily simulation in robotics, but closer to something like reinforcement learning.”
Hausman: Simulation fails for robotic manipulation due to real-world object diversity
“It hasn't worked nearly as well for manipulating objects or working with your hands, and I think the reason for that is then the difficulty isn't about, like, how do you move your hands? It's more about the world that you're manipulating, and that is much hard…”
Boots: Simulation is insufficient for field robotics without direct terrain testing
“People who are just kind of starting work in robotics often think that you can just do things in, in simulation. But they quickly learned that it is really important to actually run your software on the robot. And then especially in field robotics, run that ro…”
Çubuk: Physical materials experiments are as noisy as computational simulation errors
“In material science, I think one of the issues is the experimental data is actually quite noisy. So, you know, this is something that you might hear often that simulations and DFT isn't very accurate, and that's true, but maybe one thing that People don't noti…”
Maples: High-fidelity digital simulation will precede physical manufacturing for everything possible
“Everything in the world of atoms that can be simulated and simulated in a way that's very high fidelity description of how it operates, I think will be. And ironically, we'll be building some of these robots after we've built the virtual robot, after we get it…”
Chen: Simulating robotic manipulation is harder than autonomous driving due to contact
“When you think about simulation in self-driving car, like we are really mostly thinking about systems that hopefully don't physically interact with each other, right? Like if two cars get in contact with each other, that's a really terrible thing, right? And s…”
Younis: Modern simulation builds software products, whereas past simulation built hardware
“What's different about simulation in the past versus simulation today is simulation in the past was usually used to build hardware products, and we're using simulation to build a software product.”
Ludwig: AV simulation is continuous infrastructure, not a one-off hardware test
“It's also infrastructure in the sense that it's used continuously on an ongoing basis. Whereas the traditional forms of simulation were typically used sort of for this big bang moment, which is the, it's the creation of this final hardware specification, which…”
Younis: No complex physical systems are developed without software simulation
“There are no complex systems that are being developed without simulation aircraft military systems, automotive internal combustion engines, microprocessors, simulation is everywhere.”
Pandey: Simulation Is the Dominant Paradigm in Physics and Chemistry
“So I think actually in physics and chemistry, this is, simulation is, is a dominant paradigm.”
Narula: Simulations should function as operating platforms, not static offline models
“At Improbable, we don't really believe that a simulation should be this, like, standalone box where knowledge comes out of. We see it as an operating platform, somewhere that you can actually make decisions and build applications that consume that simulation.”
Lantz: Games create meaning from the gap between simulation and reality
“The way that they generate meaning, or beauty, or interest, or all the qualities that, that we want out of them is not just their ability to simulate something but the space between that simulation and the real thing.”