Jain: Semiconductor barriers to entry are declining as China ramps capacity
“Semiconductor industry, the barriers to entry are getting lower, not higher. Chinese are coming in a very aggressive way, including into semi-cap site, equipment site, memory site, the ramping up capacity. That's a far lower barrier to entry business than what…”
Kim: The semiconductor supply chain holds six to nine months of helium
“This is a risk, but there is probably like six months, six to nine months of inventory in the channel.”
Patel: 15 to 20 countries could single-handedly shut down semiconductor manufacturing
“I would say there's like 15 or 20 countries that can shut down the entire semiconductor industry.”
Shadbolt: PsiQuantum's million-qubit bet relies entirely on existing semiconductor fabs
“The only reason that we could afford to make that really extreme bet that we're going to go straight to a million qubits. The only reason that we felt that was plausible is that our technology fits into the fabs and the OSATs and the contract contract manufact…”
Shadbolt: Semiconductor industry and PsiQuantum use almost no AI in chip design
“We basically don't use AI at all inside the company to design chips. And I think if you go and look at people who are building millions of chips in industry, there's a very small amount of AI, if any, that's being involved in the actual design of those chips t…”
Patel: China subsidizes its semiconductor industry by up to $200B annually
“They're subsidizing the semiconductor industry to the tune of like, 152 hundred billion dollars a year through SOEs, through CapEx that's not generating revenue, et cetera.”
Manickam: High pay will eventually draw US workers into semiconductor manufacturing
“You know, and, you know, money-wise, right, obviously, you know, a semiconductor pays really well. So I'm sure, you know, being a very capitalist society, people will eventually get into it. It's going to take a, take some time to do it.”
Manickam: Supporting foreign chip GCCs is not true semiconductor sovereignty
“I think, you know, the problem that I see for India could be that because of the GCCs and, you know, because we did a lot of software, IT and all that, right? For foreign companies, right? I hope the semiconductor doesn't take that path, right? Of, you know, j…”
Manickam: Indian Investors Struggle With High Semiconductor Tool and Salary Costs
“I personally have given a lot of talks to the financials committee And they're, you know, starting to open up their purse. They're a little bit you know, not used to this, right? Because most of the funding goes towards salaries or to tools, right? In our busi…”
Gilbert: $100B fab costs give semiconductor manufacturing natural monopoly characteristics
“Eventually it will cost 40,000,000,080 billion, a hundred billion. How many players are really going to be left standing with the ability to deploy a hundred billion dollars to build a building with some machines in it? This market has natural monopoly charact…”
Early transistors in 1951 relied on germanium instead of silicon
“To give you a sense, silicon is years away. Transistors are probably just getting going. We're not in the integrated circuit yet, and it's all being done in germanium, not silicon.”
Tepper: Semiconductor valuations are unattractive relative to fundamentals
“And the valuations today are certainly not at all attractive relative to the fundamentals in many cases.”
Gelsinger: CHIPS Act is the turning point shaping semiconductors for 50 years
“I believe that you know, the industry as a result, we'll look back on what we do in the last year and say that was the turning point for the entirety of the semiconductor industry. And we will be living on that for the next five decades.”
Dave Morin: US CHIPS Act subsidies are a drop in the bucket
“These guys are already planned, you know, many years out in terms of their fab construction, right? To like be moving along these fab timelines, right? Like the semiconductor industry is one of the most competitive, fastest moving, absolute most execution orie…”
Goldberg: China spent $100B to $200B on semiconductor subsidies over ten years
“And they have spent a hundred billion dollars, two hundred billion dollars over the last 10 years subsidizing the growth of their semiconductor industry.”
Goldberg: New regional semiconductor plants build legacy nodes, not leading-edge chips
“If you dig into the details of what's actually getting built, it's not a leading edge plant. It's not, you know, it's not a three nanometer plant like TSMC is building on. It's a 180 nanometer plant, which is what? 15 years old, 20 years old. And you know, we …”
Evans: Building leading-edge chip fabs costs tens of billions of dollars
“And so now making, building a plant to make cutting edge generation chips is tens of billions of dollars. And so that's driven kind of a huge amount of consolidation.”
Bathgate: Moore's Law will continue spiritually for 10 to 15 years
“I think just like for the spirit of Moore's law, we still have, we have visibility probably for the next. 10 to 15 years.”
Andreessen: Traditional single-chip semiconductor scaling has reached fundamental atomic limits
“So the bad news is that that in, in that form seems to be coming to something of an end which is we have, we're too good at it. We've hit basically, we being the semiconductor industry broadly, the tech industry have kind of hit the limits of fundamental physi…”
Markoff predicts semiconductor scaling will permanently stop at 5 nanometers
“I believe, you know, based on talking to all the wise men I've been able to talk to in Silicon Valley, that there are three more turns of the crank. We go from 14 to 10 to seven to five. The industry can see its way to five.”