semiconductor industry

3 statements across 3 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Jan 2, 2019 by John Markoff · across every show →

Everything said about semiconductor industry, oldest first

Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Markoff predicts semiconductor scaling will permanently stop at 5 nanometers
“I believe, you know, based on talking to all the wise men I've been able to talk to in Silicon Valley, that there are three more turns of the crank. We go from 14 to 10 to seven to five. The industry can see its way to five.”
John Markoff Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:12 a16z Podcast | Talking Humans and Machines with NYT’s John Markoff
Dec 12, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Traditional single-chip semiconductor scaling has reached fundamental atomic limits
“So the bad news is that that in, in that form seems to be coming to something of an end which is we have, we're too good at it. We've hit basically, we being the semiconductor industry broadly, the tech industry have kind of hit the limits of fundamental physi…”
Marc Andreessen Dec 12, 2019 ▶ 16:06 Why You Should Be Optimistic About the Future
Aug 18, 2025
Assertion Contradicted
Patel: China subsidizes its semiconductor industry by up to $200B annually
“They're subsidizing the semiconductor industry to the tune of like, 152 hundred billion dollars a year through SOEs, through CapEx that's not generating revenue, et cetera.”
Dylan Patel Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 39:57 Dylan Patel on GPT-5’s Router Moment, GPUs vs TPUs, Monetization
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