Calacanis: Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot will be the world's best-selling product
“Optimist will be the best selling. I think product.”
Calacanis: Tesla's Optimus is superior to Figure's humanoid robot
“I can tell you Optimus is better than what Figure's doing.”
Hays: Tesla is transitioning Fremont to produce 1M Optimus robots yearly
“Elon and Tesla are transitioning their Fremont Facility to make Optimus. And they plan to scale that facility up to be able to make a million of these things a year on a relatively near term time horizon.”
Wright: Space Data Centers Are Inevitable to Power Lunar and Martian Bases
“This is actually a debate that we have in terms of how soon it's going to happen, but it's definitely going to happen. Data centers in space is coming, and it makes sense, right? If you think about and you know, a lot of this is public, but what SpaceX is talk…”
Calacanis: Tesla will produce 1B Optimus robots and won't be remembered for cars
“I can tell you now, nobody will remember that Tesla ever made a car. They will only remember the Optimus and that he is going to make a billion of those.”
Gil: Tesla and Chinese Companies Will Win the Robotics Race
“It feels to me like Optimus or some form of like Tesla robot will be one of the winners, most likely, right? High probability... The most likely global winners in robotics will be some subset of China plus Tesla plus something else, right?”
xAI will provide the intelligence module for Tesla's Optimus humanoid robots
“XAI, Will be the intelligence module for Optimus made by Tesla with Tesla vision has its, you know, perception system.”
Musk: Tesla hopes to start Optimus scale production by summer 2026
“And then we're going to be making this robot Optimus, which is, you know, starting production hopefully summer next year at scale.”
Emanuel: Elon Musk showed me Optimus robots throwing punches and kicks
“And what the hand could do beyond, I mean, it's, it does what you and I do. And then he showed me a couple of them that could fight and throw punches and kicks and the balance and the pushing. Unbelievable.”
Levi Predicts Tesla's Optimus Robot Will Be 10x More Capable Next Year
“Like, Optimus is already pretty incredible. A year from now, it'll be 10 times more incredible.”
Musk spends more mental cycles on Optimus than any other project
“It might be more of my mental cycles than anything, anything else, any other single thing on Optimus.”
Musk: Optimus will be the biggest product ever if successful
“I think it is accurate to say that if successful, Optimus will be the biggest product ever.”
Musk: Optimus production cost will be ~$20k at 1M units annually
“I think the marginal cost of production once you hit a million units per year is probably around the 20,000 dollar range.”
Maslin: Humanoid robotics reaching planned volumes could 10x global rare earth magnet demand
“If we hit the volumes that companies like Optimus or Figure AI are discussing, that could 10 X the global demand for rare earth magnets by themselves, not even touching on the other industries that are going exponential, like drones or cars”
Calacanis: In-home humanoid robots are the next giant consumer market
“That seems like that's obviously the next giant consumer market is having optimists or figure in your house.”
Baglino: Tesla Optimus Progress Leverages Automotive Simulation and AI Stack
“When you look at, like, Optimus as an example, which is the robot program at Tesla, like, why is Optimus going quickly at Tesla? It's because, you know, hey, we're, there's a lot of reuse of platform technologies, whether it's, like, how do you opt, like, a si…”
Tesla Optimus made incredible progress after initial smoke and mirrors, says Vance
“Optimus, you know, to be honest, like when I first saw Optimus, I thought it was like very heavy on the smoke and mirrors and like they've made incredible progress as well.”
Morin: Tesla Optimus is marketed to consumers but is military technology
“They're pitching it as a consumer thing, but it's very clearly military technology.”
Jessica Lessin: Tesla stock dropped because Optimus robots were not autonomous
“The non-automated robotics that tanks the stock price because they weren't working.”
Sam Lessin: Tesla's We, Robot demos were deceptive social media stunts
“Elon paints a very picture that's very exciting, but like, I mean, it's pretty deceptive, right? You kind of are like doing it for what looks like a great. Clip for X or for Instagram, but it's not real.”
Musk: Tesla Optimus could reach 1M units annually in 5-6 years
“It's probably on the order of five, five years. Maybe, maybe six to get to a million units a year.”
Karpathy: Tesla is fundamentally a robotics-at-scale company, not a carmaker
“Basically everything transfers and I don't think people appreciate it. Cars are robots and Tesla, I don't think is a car company. I think this is misleading. This is a robotics company, robotics at scale company, because I would say at scale is also like a who…”
Karpathy: Early Tesla Optimus ran car neural networks and vehicle computers
“In terms of the transfer from cars to humanoids, it was not, not that much work at all. And in fact, like the early versions of Optimus the robot it thought it was a car, like, because it had the exact same computer. It had the exact same cameras. It was reall…”
Karpathy: Humanoid robots will scale internally first, then B2B, then consumer
“I think B to C should be the right Start point, because I don't think we can have a robot, like, crush grandma, is how I put it, sort of. I think it's like too much legal liability. It's just like, I don't think that's the right approach... So I think the best…”
Calacanis predicts humanoid robots like Optimus will cost only $20,000
“I think there's going to be some incredible gains with Optimus and some of the other robots that are occurring, and those things are only going to cost 20 grand.”
Horowitz: Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot hasn't worked yet
“The Optimus Prime thing that, that Tesla's building hasn't really worked actually yet.”
Tesla is investing $10 billion annually across AI, Dojo, and robotics
“You're investing ten billion dollars a year. That's what he's investing in. Dojo, the chip, and Optimus The humanoid robot and robo taxi.”
Friedberg says Tesla Optimus has highest upside but highest risk
“I think the Optimus has the highest alpha, but the highest beta. So, you know, more upside than anything else, just unclear how you get there, what the path is and the capital requirements.”
Calacanis: Optimus robot will dwarf all other Tesla businesses
“I think Optimus will dwarf the entire entirety of Tesla's other businesses.”