Export Controls
topic on 7 shows · 13 statements across 12 episodes
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13 statements about Export Controls, every show
Kratsios: China has achieved no EUV lithography breakthrough since 2019
“They have been trying to essentially figure out how to do EV lithography since, since we put the export controls in 2019, no breakthrough has happened.”
Angelopoulos: Chip export controls risk incentivizing China to build an independent hardware ecosystem
“The downside of export control is that it can incentivize them to build their own ecosystem, and then what do we do?”
Anne Neuberger: Export controls are useless for software on thumb drives
“When a capability is on a thumb drive, export controls are a joke. You can't actually control it in that way.”
Anthropic lobbied heavily for US AI export controls
“And definitely like companies like Anthropic lobbied very hard for it.”
Wang: Export controls will not easily derail China's tech momentum
“A lot of these investments have been in place for 10 years, some for 15 years and there's no easy thing, not export controls
That will derail this tech engine very easily.”
Gerstner: US Export Controls Probably Caused Huawei's Rapid Tech Catch-Up
“The export controls on, on, on, on China probably is what caused Huawei to catch up so quickly.”
Kantrowitz: Current US AI chip export controls are not working
“We know whatever export controls are in place aren't working.”
Gurley: Export controls and chip bans could escalate into a hot war
“But any one of these decisions, and certainly the combination of them, could lead to escalation. It could go as far as leading to a hot war.”
Hendrycks: Extreme AI export controls make a Taiwan invasion more likely
“If you turn the pain dial all the way up for China in export controls and if AI chips are the currency of economic power in the future, then this increases the probability that they want to invade Taiwan.”
Hendrycks: China will steal model weights even if chip controls succeed
“Even so, I still think if you really tighten the export controls, you made it so that China can't get any of those chips at all, and this is your, one of your biggest priorities, they're just going to steal the weights anyway.”
Enjeti: US Will Enforce Much Tighter Export Controls on AI
“So we're going to see literal walls begin to go up, much tighter export control, a recognition that these companies and this technology is vital and of interest.”
Ross: Renting cloud GPUs is the biggest loophole in export controls
“Why would they try and smuggle in GPUs when all they'd have to do is log into any cloud provider and rent GPUs? This is like the biggest gaping hole in the whole way that export control is done. You can literally log in. You can swipe credit card, whatever, an…”