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export controls

2 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 2 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Mar 5, 2025 by Dan Hendrycks · across every show →

Everything said about export controls, oldest first

Mar 5, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hendrycks: Extreme AI export controls make a Taiwan invasion more likely
“If you turn the pain dial all the way up for China in export controls and if AI chips are the currency of economic power in the future, then this increases the probability that they want to invade Taiwan.”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 9:18 No Priors Ep. 105 | With Director of the Center of AI Safety Dan Hendrycks
Mar 5, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hendrycks: China will steal model weights even if chip controls succeed
“Even so, I still think if you really tighten the export controls, you made it so that China can't get any of those chips at all, and this is your, one of your biggest priorities, they're just going to steal the weights anyway.”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 27:43 No Priors Ep. 105 | With Director of the Center of AI Safety Dan Hendrycks
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