The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 111 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pysh: Bitcoin will probably peak between $200,000 and $300,000
“It's going to go straight through that number. It's probably going to go to two to 300,000.”
Preston Pysh Apr 22, 2020 ▶ 1:06:42 Preston Pysh on Bitcoin $200,000, QE at the top, UBI at bottom, $10t+ Fed Balance Sheet?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pompliano: Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by the end of 2021
“I think that from now where we're recording this in April of 2020, I think that by the end of 2021, we'll see Bitcoin hit a 100,000 dollar price point”
Anthony Pompliano Apr 13, 2020 ▶ 52:22 New podcast: Anthony Pompliano on Price of Bitcoin, Gold, Chinese Power, Corporate Bailouts and 3 Places He's Investing
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Singh: Non-BTC/ETH Top 10 Cryptos Will Be Replaced Within Two Years
“So I personally, my belief is that everyone in the top 10 maybe bar ETH and Bitcoin will be switched out in the next 12 to 24 months.”
Jagat Singh Dec 8, 2020 ▶ 9:15 Vid.Camera Sells $20m in Tokens, Converting 100% to Fiat for New Facebook Where Creators Own Upside
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Jeff Booth: Technology Will Prevent Net Global Job Growth
“There's not going to be net global job gain globally. Right. Through, through what's happening with technology.”
Jeff Booth Apr 30, 2020 ▶ 5:30 When Will Poor Revolt Against Rich? Is Unemployment Good? Currency Pegged To Bitcoin with Jeff Booth
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Puri: Blab's audience will be larger than any cable TV network
“And so what we're going to do is we're going to gather the biggest audience we can. And I believe that that will end up being bigger than Any cable TV network out there.”
Shaan Puri Mar 4, 2016 ▶ 9:31 Blab goal is 7% week over week growth. Here's how the Founder will do it with Shaan Puri CEO of Blab Episode 185
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bhattacharya: Involve.ai can reach $20M ARR without raising more capital
“We don't think we would need to raise another round, at least in the near future to keep growing. And we feel we can get to ten million, even twenty million in ARR very quickly without even raising extra capital.”
Gaurav "G" Bhattacharya Aug 25, 2023 ▶ 17:01 Team of 12 Hits $2.5m in ARR, $64m Valuation for Customer Success Tool. Can they beat Gainsight?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
SecurityScorecard: Valuation will triple or quadruple within 18 to 24 months
“We believe that within the next. 18 to 24 months, again, we're going to triple or quadruple evaluation of a company or more.”
Alex Yampolskiy Nov 22, 2021 ▶ 11:37 SecurityScorecard Breaks $71m ARR, 1700 Customers, $200m in Bank to Fuel Product Expansion
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Svizovich: Referizer Will Go Public Within Five Years
“A hundred employees to get a rich financial freedom in five years when you go public.”
Andre Svizovich Sep 1, 2021 ▶ 17:22 Local Marketing SaaS 2x Last 4 Months, Breaks $3m ARR and 1200 Customers
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Holmes: Resonant could reach $100M revenue by 2025 to 2026
“We're thinking that the opportunity set is in the 20, 25, 20, 26 range is where those opportunities will present themselves as the unit volumes continue to expand and the number of devices continue to expand over the course of the next several years.”
George Holmes Jun 19, 2021 ▶ 14:14 $3m in Revenue and $227m Market Cap? How is Resonant thinking about Software?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Programmatic advertising will dominate the recruitment ad market within five years
“Programmatic is going to own that market in five years. And it's companies like ours and ICIMS and others that are going to help customers do that.”
Adam Robinson Dec 25, 2018 ▶ 12:34 1249 Hireology Passes $20m in ARR, Helping 5000+ Businesses Hire Better
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Raanani: Chorus.ai will become a billion-dollar company in 5-7 years
“Is that there's a billion dollar enterprise value company five to seven years from now, that's ours to lose.”
Roy Raanani Jan 30, 2018 ▶ 8:49 920 SaaS: Chorus.ai Enters Sales Call Tracking Wars
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sholom: GameCredits will acquire tens of millions of Indian users in 2017
“And then the marketing efforts that we will run because we're going to acquire Already this year, tens of millions of users in India.”
Sergey Sholom Sep 2, 2017 ▶ 11:13 770: Crypto: He Has Third Largest ICO Ever With $53m Raised
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Le Moal: Payment processing could become free in a few years
“All the rest, you could really imagine that in a few years, the payment itself, the processing itself will be free.”
Laurent Le Moal May 22, 2017 ▶ 3:45 667: PayU Passes $180M Revenue, New Risk Assesment Product To Grow Financial Services Arm with Ex PayPal CEO Laurent Le Moal
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka predicts he will take a company public by age 30
“I, Andrew, I want your listeners to know this. It's recorded. I'm taking company public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 14, 2016 ▶ 25:57 EP 417 SPECIAL: Warner Interviews Latka: Con Artist or Brilliant Genius?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka predicts he will be a billionaire by age 35
“I'll be a billionaire by 35”
Nathan Latka Sep 5, 2016 ▶ 11:37 EP 408: $100M Funds, $30k/mo Real Estate Cashflow, Conference Sales with Cole Hatter of Thrive
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Walch: Apple will never release granular playback drop-off data
“And I don't see Apple ever releasing out the information that we would need to get on that playback and where it leaves.”
Rob Walsh Jun 2, 2016 ▶ 18:58 Why Most Podcasters Lie with Rob Walch of Libsyn, EP 249: Rob Walsh
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kershenbaum predicts Anthropic's Claude will avoid targeting niche month-end accounting workflows
“Can Claude focus on, on that specific use case and try to wage war? Yeah, I think it's highly unlikely though for them to do so.”
Tal Kershenbaum Mar 5, 2026 ▶ 21:05 How Ledge Reached $1M ARR with 24 Customers Paying $3K/Month | Tal Kirschenbaum
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Britton: Suzy will likely IPO in two to three years at around $200M ARR
“So who knows what, when we'd be able to IPO, I would say likely in the next two to three years, but probably closer than we're at two hundred million ARR versus a hundred.”
Matt Britton Dec 20, 2022 ▶ 15:28 He just hit $60m Revenue but burned $25m net last year. Here's how Market Research SaaS Suzy fixed their runway in volatile economy
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sohn predicts Recruiter.com will reach profitability by early 2022
“And so we're trying to do this in a balanced fashion, hit profitability, and we'll, we'll get there early in 22.”
Evan Sohn Nov 4, 2021 ▶ 7:14 Recruiter.com $20m ARR at $40m Market Cap: Most Under-Priced Public SaaS Ever?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Freightos projects an 800% year-over-year increase in gross bookings for 2021
“Yeah, we should grow 800% in the bookings.”
Zvi Schreiber Jun 25, 2021 ▶ 17:47 Freightos Grows GMV 800%, Exits COVID Stronger Than Ever
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Alfonso de la Nuez Predicts UserZoom Will Reach $1B Valuation Soon
“No, I don't, I think we'll get there pretty soon. I'm very confident, and it's very exciting, of course, but no, we're not there yet.”
Alfonso de la Nuez May 3, 2021 ▶ 16:30 Profitable UserZoom Hits $80m Run Rate, 1k Customers, $500m+ Valuation
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dragunov: Batch Products will become a billion-dollar brand in five years
“We're growing a billion dollar company brand in the next five years.”
Ivo Dragunov Mar 30, 2021 ▶ 12:08 Real Estate SaaS Did $2.2m Last Month, 140% Growth, Mostly Affiliate Sales
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Zickerman claims upcoming ISP deal will reach 300,000 businesses next year
“We're about to launch, I can't really talk about the deal, but a major hardware deal that's slated to have us in about 300,000 businesses next year, tier one ISP style.”
Kevin Zickerman Nov 12, 2020 ▶ 18:51 MyWifiNetworks Turned Down $5.4m All Cash Offer Last Month, Despite Loosing 30% Due to COVID
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Keynejad: Veed can reach $10M ARR efficiently within two years
“I see a very comfortable, like I kind of see a decent path for the next couple of years to get to the ten million ARR and I think there's a very good possibility we're going to get there and we're going to get there relatively efficiently.”
Sabba Keynejad Sep 2, 2020 ▶ 13:22 Veed Hits $1.3m Revenue, 5,500 Customers Helping Podcasters Create Videos with Subtitles
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Santens: Post-pandemic job recovery will be worse than the 2008 recession
“So we're gonna, I expect us to see something even worse than we saw the last time this happened when, you know, it took 10 years to create all these jobs that we just lost in a matter of time.”
Scott Santens May 20, 2020 ▶ 59:06 Scott Santens on UBI vs Stimulus Checks
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: Additional stimulus payments will pass before the 2020 election
“I don't think Trump can turn that off between now and the election. I don't think that turns off. I think you see additional stimulus is passed. They're not calling it a UBI. It's in response to the virus, but we cannot turn these things off.”
Nathan Latka May 20, 2020 ▶ 1:10:35 Scott Santens on UBI vs Stimulus Checks
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Saarenvirta: Daisy Intelligence can reach $1B valuation with 50 enterprise customers
“We envision if we get to about 50 to 60 customers, we think we'll be in the, you know, close to a billion dollar valuation, and we're already at, kind of, 17 today, so it doesn't seem like a stretch that over the next three years we could, we can get to that, …”
Gary Saarenvirta Jul 16, 2019 ▶ 11:39 1452 Retail SaaS Solution Pases $4M ARR, Goal to Reduce Poverty Levels
Prediction Didn’t hold up
CEO John Oechsle Predicts SwiftPage Will Reach $100M ARR By Mid-2021
“No, I'd say give me about two, two and a half years.”
John Oechsle Dec 4, 2018 ▶ 16:58 1228 SwiftPage ACT CEO "We're 1-2 Years Away from $100M in ARR"
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lamson predicts JazzHR will hit 25,000 paid customers by 2020
“We have a lofty goal of getting to 25,000 paid customers by the end of twenty-twenty. We're at 3000 now.”
Pete Lamson Dec 13, 2017 ▶ 15:15 The "GiftCard Trick" to $6m in ARR
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bogart: Blockchain Capital Fund 4 will almost certainly be oversubscribed at $250M
“It's almost certainly going to be an oversubscribed, two hundred and fifty million dollar fund.”
Spencer Bogart Oct 4, 2017 ▶ 10:38 802: Crypto VC: After $10m Raised in ICO for Fund 3, Now Demand High for $250m Fund 4
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Herold: The financial markets are at their absolute peak in August 2017
“I think we're at the very, very peak of a market right now.”
Cameron Herold Aug 28, 2017 ▶ 11:50 765: How This Coach Can Charge $80k+ per Year for One Gig
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka predicts he will take The Top Inbox public by 30
“I'm 27 now, and I have identified what I will build and take public. It's called thetopinbox.com. No questions asked. ... I bought the whole business. I will take it public.”
Nathan Latka Dec 10, 2016 ▶ 12:32 EP 504: MailPlaneApp 10,000+ Customers With BetterGmail with CEO Lars Steiger
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build, send later into a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Oct 4, 2016 ▶ 1:18 EP 437: SaaS $10m Raised, $8m+ 2015 Revenue, The Algorithmic Mckinsey with CB Insights CEO Anand Sanwal
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 25, 2016 ▶ 1:14 EP 428: Super Creative Dad of 4 Buys Time By Minimizing Expenses, Launches Drone Info Company with Egbert Oostburg
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build send later and do a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 24, 2016 ▶ 1:17 EP 427: $1m+ Agency to Launch SaaS Product SegMetrics.com with CEO Keith Perhac
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I Will Take Send Later Public by Age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 23, 2016 ▶ 1:14 EP 426: 1500 Customers and Profitable, $5.5M Raised with Pablo Fuentes of Proven.com
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka aims to take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 17, 2016 ▶ 1:14 EP 420: $70k 2015, $100k 2016 Infoproduct for Writers with Jordan Hayles
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka plans to take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build Send Later into a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 8, 2016 ▶ 1:17 EP 411: She Made $1.1M 2015 Performance Arts Center, Now Coaching with Stacy Tuschl
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: Will Take Send Later Public by Age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 7, 2016 ▶ 1:15 EP 410: From Worker to Owner Does $5m in 2015 Franchise Model with Josh Herron of 1800GotJunk
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka predicts he will take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 5, 2016 ▶ 1:15 EP 408: $100M Funds, $30k/mo Real Estate Cashflow, Conference Sales with Cole Hatter of Thrive
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Havenwood predicted in 2016 that the Austin real estate bubble would pop
“You know that the market here to me is about to pop. I come from real estate investing. So to me, I'm like, there's no way I would invest right now in Austin.”
Heather Ann Havenwood Jun 19, 2016 ▶ 13:14 EP 330: She Cranks $1 EPC 3x Per Day with 25,000 List in Dating Niche
Prediction Didn’t hold up
CELLINK projects $4 million in total revenue for 2016
“Total 20 16 revenue, we're going to come up to approximately four four million dollars.”
Erik Gatenholm Apr 18, 2016 ▶ 15:55 He 3D Prints Body Parts And Will Do $4m in 2016 with Erik Gatenholm of CellInk EP 241
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka plans to build and IPO a startup within three years
“I just sold my last company and now I want to basically film and be totally transparent about me building a company from scratch and taking it public within three years.”
Nathan Latka Apr 1, 2016 ▶ 9:12 His Action Marketing Agency did $2.5m Last Year with Fritz Heffinger of OutCold.com EP 217
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ninety will auto-generate org charts and seat-level KPIs within a year
“Well, within Plus or minus a year from now, you can give us that information, and we will immediately give you what a likely organizational chart will look like for you. Not only that, we'll give you the KPIs, not just for your company, but for every single se…”
Mark Abbott Nov 19, 2024 ▶ 10:54 They make $30m per year selling software to the EOS community, Ninety CEO
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chesseri: Dynasty Will Secure South Dakota Trust License in Nine Months
“We're getting licensed in the next nine months. We're working on the application process right now. We're working with the South Dakota legislators. We're building our board in South Dakota and we'll be licensed in about nine months.”
Alessandro Chesseri Aug 22, 2024 ▶ 22:21 The Revocable Living Trust Cheat Code for SaaS Founders (Save millions on taxeS)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Schwartz: Upcoming 2025 regulations will force unprepared banks to lend to SMBs
“There's going to be some regulation coming out next year where banks are going to be forced to go back and start to lend out to the small businesses, but banks are not equipped to underwrite a small bit.”
Alex Schwartz Mar 21, 2024 ▶ 12:53 Miami Based Fintech did $70m in 2023 Revenue - What about Gross Margin?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Yampolskiy: SecurityScorecard topped $100M ARR, expects 50%+ growth in 2023
“We exceeded a hundred million run rate last year, and we're gonna probably grow by at least 50% this year.”
Alex Yampolskiy May 9, 2023 ▶ 5:47 Customer Empathy: The key to 10Xing your company
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Naluichi: Jellify will close $50M in revenue this year
“We are going to close fifty million this year in revenues.”
Fabio Naluichi Apr 3, 2023 ▶ 3:36 $100m All Cash Exit, Bootstrapped. Now $50m in ARR growing 100% YoY
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