why aren't all 111 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pysh: Bitcoin will probably peak between $200,000 and $300,000
“It's going to go straight through that number. It's probably going to go to two to 300,000.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pompliano: Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by the end of 2021
“I think that from now where we're recording this in April of 2020, I think that by the end of 2021, we'll see Bitcoin hit a 100,000 dollar price point”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Singh: Non-BTC/ETH Top 10 Cryptos Will Be Replaced Within Two Years
“So I personally, my belief is that everyone in the top 10 maybe bar ETH and Bitcoin will be switched out in the next 12 to 24 months.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Jeff Booth: Technology Will Prevent Net Global Job Growth
“There's not going to be net global job gain globally. Right. Through, through what's happening with technology.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Puri: Blab's audience will be larger than any cable TV network
“And so what we're going to do is we're going to gather the biggest audience we can. And I believe that that will end up being bigger than Any cable TV network out there.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bhattacharya: Involve.ai can reach $20M ARR without raising more capital
“We don't think we would need to raise another round, at least in the near future to keep growing. And we feel we can get to ten million, even twenty million in ARR very quickly without even raising extra capital.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
SecurityScorecard: Valuation will triple or quadruple within 18 to 24 months
“We believe that within the next. 18 to 24 months, again, we're going to triple or quadruple evaluation of a company or more.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Svizovich: Referizer Will Go Public Within Five Years
“A hundred employees to get a rich financial freedom in five years when you go public.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Holmes: Resonant could reach $100M revenue by 2025 to 2026
“We're thinking that the opportunity set is in the 20, 25, 20, 26 range is where those opportunities will present themselves as the unit volumes continue to expand and the number of devices continue to expand over the course of the next several years.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Programmatic advertising will dominate the recruitment ad market within five years
“Programmatic is going to own that market in five years. And it's companies like ours and ICIMS and others that are going to help customers do that.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Raanani: Chorus.ai will become a billion-dollar company in 5-7 years
“Is that there's a billion dollar enterprise value company five to seven years from now, that's ours to lose.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sholom: GameCredits will acquire tens of millions of Indian users in 2017
“And then the marketing efforts that we will run because we're going to acquire Already this year, tens of millions of users in India.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Le Moal: Payment processing could become free in a few years
“All the rest, you could really imagine that in a few years, the payment itself, the processing itself will be free.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka predicts he will take a company public by age 30
“I, Andrew, I want your listeners to know this. It's recorded. I'm taking company public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka predicts he will be a billionaire by age 35
“I'll be a billionaire by 35”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Walch: Apple will never release granular playback drop-off data
“And I don't see Apple ever releasing out the information that we would need to get on that playback and where it leaves.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kershenbaum predicts Anthropic's Claude will avoid targeting niche month-end accounting workflows
“Can Claude focus on, on that specific use case and try to wage war? Yeah, I think it's highly unlikely though for them to do so.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Britton: Suzy will likely IPO in two to three years at around $200M ARR
“So who knows what, when we'd be able to IPO, I would say likely in the next two to three years, but probably closer than we're at two hundred million ARR versus a hundred.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sohn predicts Recruiter.com will reach profitability by early 2022
“And so we're trying to do this in a balanced fashion, hit profitability, and we'll, we'll get there early in 22.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Freightos projects an 800% year-over-year increase in gross bookings for 2021
“Yeah, we should grow 800% in the bookings.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Alfonso de la Nuez Predicts UserZoom Will Reach $1B Valuation Soon
“No, I don't, I think we'll get there pretty soon. I'm very confident, and it's very exciting, of course, but no, we're not there yet.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dragunov: Batch Products will become a billion-dollar brand in five years
“We're growing a billion dollar company brand in the next five years.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Zickerman claims upcoming ISP deal will reach 300,000 businesses next year
“We're about to launch, I can't really talk about the deal, but a major hardware deal that's slated to have us in about 300,000 businesses next year, tier one ISP style.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Keynejad: Veed can reach $10M ARR efficiently within two years
“I see a very comfortable, like I kind of see a decent path for the next couple of years to get to the ten million ARR and I think there's a very good possibility we're going to get there and we're going to get there relatively efficiently.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Santens: Post-pandemic job recovery will be worse than the 2008 recession
“So we're gonna, I expect us to see something even worse than we saw the last time this happened when, you know, it took 10 years to create all these jobs that we just lost in a matter of time.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: Additional stimulus payments will pass before the 2020 election
“I don't think Trump can turn that off between now and the election. I don't think that turns off. I think you see additional stimulus is passed. They're not calling it a UBI. It's in response to the virus, but we cannot turn these things off.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Saarenvirta: Daisy Intelligence can reach $1B valuation with 50 enterprise customers
“We envision if we get to about 50 to 60 customers, we think we'll be in the, you know, close to a billion dollar valuation, and we're already at, kind of, 17 today, so it doesn't seem like a stretch that over the next three years we could, we can get to that, …”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
CEO John Oechsle Predicts SwiftPage Will Reach $100M ARR By Mid-2021
“No, I'd say give me about two, two and a half years.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lamson predicts JazzHR will hit 25,000 paid customers by 2020
“We have a lofty goal of getting to 25,000 paid customers by the end of twenty-twenty. We're at 3000 now.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bogart: Blockchain Capital Fund 4 will almost certainly be oversubscribed at $250M
“It's almost certainly going to be an oversubscribed, two hundred and fifty million dollar fund.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Herold: The financial markets are at their absolute peak in August 2017
“I think we're at the very, very peak of a market right now.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka predicts he will take The Top Inbox public by 30
“I'm 27 now, and I have identified what I will build and take public. It's called thetopinbox.com. No questions asked. ... I bought the whole business. I will take it public.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build, send later into a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build send later and do a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I Will Take Send Later Public by Age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka aims to take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka plans to take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build Send Later into a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: Will Take Send Later Public by Age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka predicts he will take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Havenwood predicted in 2016 that the Austin real estate bubble would pop
“You know that the market here to me is about to pop. I come from real estate investing. So to me, I'm like, there's no way I would invest right now in Austin.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
CELLINK projects $4 million in total revenue for 2016
“Total 20 16 revenue, we're going to come up to approximately four four million dollars.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka plans to build and IPO a startup within three years
“I just sold my last company and now I want to basically film and be totally transparent about me building a company from scratch and taking it public within three years.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ninety will auto-generate org charts and seat-level KPIs within a year
“Well, within Plus or minus a year from now, you can give us that information, and we will immediately give you what a likely organizational chart will look like for you. Not only that, we'll give you the KPIs, not just for your company, but for every single se…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chesseri: Dynasty Will Secure South Dakota Trust License in Nine Months
“We're getting licensed in the next nine months. We're working on the application process right now. We're working with the South Dakota legislators. We're building our board in South Dakota and we'll be licensed in about nine months.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Schwartz: Upcoming 2025 regulations will force unprepared banks to lend to SMBs
“There's going to be some regulation coming out next year where banks are going to be forced to go back and start to lend out to the small businesses, but banks are not equipped to underwrite a small bit.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Yampolskiy: SecurityScorecard topped $100M ARR, expects 50%+ growth in 2023
“We exceeded a hundred million run rate last year, and we're gonna probably grow by at least 50% this year.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Naluichi: Jellify will close $50M in revenue this year
“We are going to close fifty million this year in revenues.”