why aren't all 193 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Lawrence: Hire a VP of Sales at $8M to $10M ARR
“Like, I have an opinion. It should be between eight to 10 in ARR. If you want a really solid VP of sales, they're gonna want to come in. They don't want it to be too scrappy, and they don't want it to be too far ahead”
Insight
An 'A' investor provides capital, signs paperwork, and stays quiet
“An A investor gives you money, signs paperwork when you want them to, and shuts the fuck up. That's an A. There's a lot of room below an A. There's not a lot of room above.”
Insight
Seka: White men hold the most impactful voices in diversity advocacy
“If you are a white person, and my god, if you are a white man, which I love white men, I'm married to one, I'm made to, I'm down with it, right? I like them, but you have the most important voice in this, because no one expects you to say anything.”
Insight
Western: Founders amass more wealth through frequent, smaller startup exits
“We think that most founders can actually use the overfocus on growth to their advantage, like a judo artist, either by more often choosing the lifestyle option, or by having a more sober approach to their relationship with their companies and with VCs, by actu…”
Insight
Cohen: Servant leadership leads founders to do scut work and burn out
“This crappy word, servant leadership, it leads to stuff like this. This is the scut work that needs to be done, and I can do it, so I'll do it so the team doesn't need, doesn't have to do it. That sounds altruistic, and what it does is burn you out because you…”
Opinion
Gunderson: Most Silicon Valley VCs have no understanding of tech
“When I first came out, I was like, holy shit, most of these VCs have no, you know, no idea in regards to tech”
Insight
Lemkin: Expanding to NYC instead of SF is European SaaS's biggest mistake
“Unless your customers are in New York, unless you're doing financial services or some parts of ad tech or otherwise, going to New York is the worst idea.
you get none of the, almost none of the benefits of being in the Bay Area.
You don't get the customers he…”
Insight
Lemkin: Abandoning free trials leads to broken onboarding and mediocre software
“Once you give up free trials, you will never go back, and you will be able to have terrible onboarding, and you will be able to have all this friction behind the scenes, and you will be able to have many broken processes and things, and you will never build gr…”
Insight
Barrett: VCs make money deploying capital, not on exits
“But the VC business model is they get paid when they invest. And so it actually, they don't really make money on the exit. Like, there's the carry, they would say, at the very end.”
Insight
Barrett: Hiring outside executives tells top internal talent to leave
“The second that you hire in, you know, sort of that, that, that pro who comes in above everyone else, you've just told everyone else in your company, fuck you. There's no way you can ever grow in this company. Because we have just hired someone above you whose…”
Opinion
Barrett: A predatory executive class exploits startups with false credentials
“There's a whole class of people out there preying upon startups that will just come in with amazing credentials and a willingness to obliterate whatever's in their way and because it's not their company in the first place.”
Opinion
Fraden: 50% of the fastest-growing SaaS companies turned out to be garbage
“I bet if you went back over the last five years and looked at the top three or four companies in each of those five years that were at that point in time the fastest growing SaaS companies in history, I bet a solid 50% of those companies turned out to be garba…”
Opinion
Siroker calls Adobe's marketing cloud a poorly integrated 'Franken-suite'
“Adobe you know, has a product that, you know, has been evolved through acquisitions, which turns what they're offering into what our customers tend to describe as a Franken-sweet. It's a bunch of products that don't really integrate well with one another.”
Disclosure
Lemkin: SaaStr Connect will demote profiles that mention burnout
“Sastra connect, which is this new hiring platform. We're going to actively search for anyone that says burnout in their bio, and we're going to give them a quiet demotion, massive demotion.”
Opinion
Lemkin claims it is entirely impossible to build sales relationships over Zoom
“I think it is impossible to build a relationship on zoom.”
Opinion
Masad: Many software engineers are laggards in adopting AI agents
“I actually think engineers are laggards. Not all engineers, but like a lot of engineers are because they're kind of tied to their workflows.”
Opinion
Lemkin: Marketo API Fails for AI Agents, Graded a 'C'
“If you go down to Marketo where the API doesn't work, right? You can find it down in the C's or even search for it. It will explain to you if you want to build an agentic product, don't use Marketo.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ibarra: Marketing agencies may not exist in a year
“Maybe marketing agencies won't exist in a year because of this”
Insight
Adams: Employees needing constant convincing during AI pivots become liabilities
“Culture runs really deep. So you have to be wary of the people you need to keep convincing because they're going to be a liability.”
Opinion
Queener: Startups must work in-office because rapid iteration requires it
“You're going to be in the office. We're going to iterate because the iteration loops are so fast in this new era. It's just not going to work otherwise.”
Insight
Jason Lemkin: Most sales reps want 80% earnings for 30% work
“Most sales reps want to earn 80% of what they can for 30% of the work.”
Opinion
Lemkin: Most CMOs excel at two functions and are mediocre elsewhere
“Most CMOs have like two or three things they like to do and the rest, they sort of hand off to their team or are mediocre at it.”
Opinion
Lemkin: Sales AI Lags Coding AI Due to Founder Quality
“The only reason sales tools aren't as good as Windsurf is because Varun isn't building a lot of them. Okay. I just think, and there's no criticism. I love everyone that's here. There aren't enough S tier founders.”
Opinion
Kennedy: Employees only actually want to use Google Workspace and Slack
“For years, like large enterprises have had a lot of different opportunity and choice when it comes to collaboration and productivity platforms, but typically Only two of them people really want to use, and that's Google Workspace and Slack.”
Opinion
Lemkin: Customer success has largely become a paint-by-numbers profession
“And I don't think this is true of most CS professionals these days. Unfortunately, I think it's a paint by numbers profession”
Opinion
Lemkin: Startups Struggle to Find Even 10 High-Intensity Non-Founder Employees
“I think it's hard to find more than 10 people on your team that want to work at that intensity, right? And you can build this Elon thing, and there are cultures that do it. The owners and others have 50, a 102 hundred people doing this, but it's, I just don't …”
Insight
Howard Lerman: Scheduled one-on-one meetings slow companies down by delaying urgent issues
“People, if they need to talk to you, they queue up the stuff they need to talk to you about until the meeting. So if I have a meeting with Kyle, with Kevin, on Thursday at two o'clock, let's say I need to meet him, and he's got something really urgent to tell …”
Insight
Howard Lerman: Startup founders should hold 8 PM Sunday night planning calls
“The frickin' founders who are starting the company and trying to do something impossible and move a rock up a mountain ought to be available at eight p.m. Sunday night for an hour and a half to plan out the week.”
Opinion
Cabane: Marketing has won the war against sales and now owns outbound
“It means marketing has won! That's what it means, right? It means, like, Outbound is now owned by growth and marketing teams, ok? Just embrace it. Like, that war is over, ok?”
Insight
Lemkin: Startups Decay Faster If Their CTO Cannot Integrate AI
“If your CTO by today, isn't sure how to, doesn't, isn't sure how to integrate AI into your product. Ask yourself if you need a new CTO. It doesn't mean get rid of them, but your competitiveness, I think is going to continue to decay and accelerate.”
Insight
Lemkin: Fire Any Early-Stage VP Who Resists Metrics
“I would just fire anyone that isn't metrics oriented. Literally, you don't need anybody today. You have the wrong people. First of all, I don't think you should ever hire anyone that isn't metrics oriented, but it's usually a sign of someone that should either…”
Opinion
Lemkin: 95% of tech workers don't want an efficiency puzzle
“I don't think 95% of tech workers want to be in a puzzle-solving world.”
Opinion
Sam Blond: The Days of Work-Life Balance Are Over
“The days of work life balance are over.”
Opinion
Dines Agrees With Slootman That Customer Success Is a 'Fluffy' Job
“He thinks also customer success. It's a fluffy job, and it doesn't exist. And to certain extent, I agree with this, but it's a very hardcore thinking.”
Opinion
Lemkin: VCs tweeting about buying public tech stocks are losers
“And so when I see VCs on Twitter talking about how they're looking at buying some shares of Shopify, honestly, I think they're losers.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Tech Boom Employees Will Not Leave to Found Major Startups
“Startups sucked so many human beings into it. Thousands of SDRs, thousands of AEs, thousands of marketing managers and social media strategists that these became just or highly paid ordinary jobs. Highly paid ordinary jobs, and I don't think any of those peopl…”
Opinion
Stebbings: The Recent Generation of Tech Employees Is Entitled and Poor-Performing
“I, my worry is that actually, I think there's this generation of kind of entitled, but also pretty crap team members.”
Opinion
Stebbings: Mature founders navigate downturns better than volatile young founders
“The mature founders, the fathers, the, and the mothers, and the more mature minded are weathering it well.
They know that if their child gets sick, it's going to be much worse than a recession.
But the young, young founders, their volatility is very extreme.
I…”
Opinion
Nilsson: 90% of Outsourced SDR Agencies Suck
“If you want to reach out to me and ask me after you've vetted a few, I typically know all of them, and I know, I can tell you that 90% of them suck.”
Opinion
Lemkin: Most venture capitalists provide zero value in executive recruiting
“Most VCs think they can help you with recruiting and they provide zero value. I literally think of all of the companies I've invested in, I may be the only investor that ever introduced an actual VP, including you to Parker. No one does. Everyone talks big or …”
Opinion
Kellogg: Most marketers lack rigorous thinking and confuse executives with jargon
“You're confused by ill-defined terminology and process, most marketers are not that rigorous in their thinking and you're drawn into conflict between sales and marketing, right?”
Insight
Hoffman: Seeking career optionality is a mistake
“Never do things to gain optionality. Optionality is bad. You need to really have a purpose-driven life.”
Insight
Blond: Location-based pay inherently means getting paid less for identical output
“It's universally applicable that you're getting paid less for producing the same, depending on where you're located.”
Opinion
Lemkin: Being a Parent Is Easier Than Being a Founder CEO
“I do think that being a parent is maybe more important, right? But I actually think it's easier than being a founder CEO.”
Opinion
Bazin: A candidate's past track record does not count in sales hiring
“And I think in sales more than for any other type of population, what matters is to It's that, you know, the track record doesn't count at all.”
Opinion
Poels: Building engineering teams outside San Francisco beats centralizing
“What I'm here to tell you today is that it's not only possible to build world class, great development teams in places outside of San Francisco, but in actuality, it's better.”
Opinion
Beri: Salespeople at Cisco are farmers, disqualified from Netskope hiring
“They're not the people who work at Cisco, any of those companies now. If they work there, they're pretty much disqualified from being the type of people that we want, because they're not going to be hunters, they're going to be farmers.”
Opinion
Lemkin: A single inappropriate remark signals dozens more behind it
“My view is one sexist, one inappropriate, one insensitive comment, it, it's it. I've never, when someone makes one comment, even if it's innocent, there's another 20 behind it.”