The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

3open predictions
0due for another look
1closed calls →
1570days to next prediction date
Everyone Andy Lubershane (10)Shayle Kann (9)Sam Jaffe (6)Jesse Jenkins (6)Michael Dunne (4)Kurt Kelty (4)Jeff Waters (4)Varun Sivaram (3)Tim Hade (3)Richard Wang (3)Matthew Sachs (3)Julian Dumoulin-Smith (3)
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today 202720282029 FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep 3 calls beyond 2029 →

Next up (3)

1570 days left 2030-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Sachs: US DER grid services will surpass 100 GW by 2030
“We believe that grid services will more than triple by 2030 to well north of a hundred gigawatts in, in North America, really the U.S.”
Matthew Sachs Jan 26, 2023 ▶ 39:06 The journey to monetizing DERs
1570 days left 2030-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Sachs: EVs will provide up to 25% of grid services by 2030
“We expect by 2030 that EVs will make up somewhere between a fifth and a quarter to that contribution.”
Matthew Sachs Jan 26, 2023 ▶ 39:26 The journey to monetizing DERs
2327 days left 2033-01-26
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2033
Sachs: Classic behind-the-meter demand response will dominate DERs for 5-10 years
“I think if you looked forward five, 10 years, you might start to see that, that split start to break down, although kind of going back to what I said before, I think until we really work out this injection piece, that, that demand response, classic demand resp…”
Matthew Sachs Jan 26, 2023 ▶ 34:48 The journey to monetizing DERs

Closed calls (1) the full record →

Prediction Held up
Sachs: NYISO will likely lead initial FERC 2222 megawatts over CAISO
“I would say New York will likely lead in, in megawatts initially, and this is more because New York has assets participating in, in programs that will be directly transferred in, namely their DSASP or their ancillary service markets.”
Matthew Sachs Jan 26, 2023 ▶ 31:33 The journey to monetizing DERs
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