U.S.

also referred to as: the u.s.

50 statements across 38 episodes · 17 bullish · 14 bearish · 35 people on the record · first statement May 7, 2018 by Paul Black · across every show →

Everything said about U.S., oldest first

May 7, 2018 positive
Opinion
Black: Balanced Executive Pay Outside the U.S. Benefits Shareholders
“I think it's great that outside the U.S., you don't see guys making 30 or forty million dollars while their CFO makes 500,000. You just don't see that. You see a lot more reasonable equity payouts and or salary payouts in those companies, which I like a lot, b…”
Paul Black May 7, 2018 ▶ 42:28 Paul Black - Gratitude, Fun, and Growth Stocks (Capital Allocators, EP.51)
Sep 3, 2018 neutral
Assertion Supported
Williamson: Only 27.5% of US public companies issue quarterly earnings guidance
“The first is, it's not a phenomenon in most countries. It's a U.S. Phenomenon, but even in this country, it's down to about 27 and a half percent of companies actually issue quarterly guidance, so it's a minority practice.”
Sarah Williamson Sep 3, 2018 ▶ 21:08 Sarah Williamson – Focusing Capital on the Long-Term (Capital Allocators, EP.67)
Feb 17, 2020 neutral
Opinion
Cheap LBO opportunities exist in Europe and Asia, but not the US
“Now, I think in Europe or in Asia, I think there are still cheap LBO opportunities, right? So a firm like Bain or Blackstone, they're still seeing opportunities to do really attractive buyouts ex-U.S. But within the U.S., you can't.”
Dan Rasmussen Feb 17, 2020 ▶ 23:55 Dan Rasmussen – Private Equity Risk and Public Equity Opportunity at Verdad Advisers (First Meeting, EP.15)
Mar 30, 2020 neutral
Assertion Supported
Inker: Profitability gap between mega-caps and peers widened most in US
“There is no question the gap between the biggest companies and everybody else in their industries, the gap in profitability has widened very significantly, and that widening has been much more pronounced in the U.S. Than it has been elsewhere.”
Ben Inker Mar 30, 2020 ▶ 35:45 Ben Inker – Value Investing at GMO (First Meeting, EP.17)
Jun 25, 2020 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lawrence: Carbon Disclosure Project succeeded in the West but failed in Asia
“We support CDP. We're pushing all our companies to undertake CDP work, which is formerly known as Carbon Disclosure Project. It's been very successful in Europe and the U.S., been very unsuccessful in Asia.”
Richard Lawrence Jun 25, 2020 ▶ 28:00 Sustainable Investing 6: Richard Lawrence - ESG Integration at Overlook (Capital Allocators, EP.144)
Aug 27, 2020 neutral
Assertion Supported
Markowska: China held a 15-point manufacturing cost advantage in early 2000s
“It was roughly 15 percentage points cheaper to produce in China versus the U.S. Back in the early 2000.”
Aneta Markowska Aug 27, 2020 ▶ 7:36 SPECIAL EPISODE – Introducing Invisible Forces Podcast
Aug 27, 2020 neutral
Assertion Supported
Markowska: China's manufacturing cost edge was largely fully eroded by 2016
“When you fast forward to 2015 and 16 and look at the cost gap between the U.S. And China, what you'll find is that China's competitive advantage was pretty much fully eroded by then, so it was no longer You know, that compelling to just simply produce in China…”
Aneta Markowska Aug 27, 2020 ▶ 8:17 SPECIAL EPISODE – Introducing Invisible Forces Podcast
Oct 26, 2020 bullish
Insight
Papic: U.S.-China rivalry creates prime opportunities for African frontier markets
“I think that this great power competition between China and the U.S. And potentially other countries mixed in creates a really interesting environment for frontier markets like Africa, maybe some of the less developed countries in Latin America and Asia as wel…”
Marko Papic Oct 26, 2020 ▶ 50:04 Marko Papic – Geopolitical Alpha at Clocktower Group (Capital Allocators, EP.161)
Oct 26, 2020 bearish
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Papic: Iran Will Not Negotiate With the US if Trump Wins Re-Election
“And so I think if Trump wins again, they see the writing on the wall, and I don't think they're gonna reach out by thinking of, oh, let's negotiate with the U.S.”
Marko Papic Oct 26, 2020 ▶ 38:17 Marko Papic – Geopolitical Alpha at Clocktower Group (Capital Allocators, EP.161)
Feb 8, 2021 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baran: Most cheap Japanese companies listed for legacy, not capital
“Unlike in the U.S. Or in Europe where I'm listing because I need a liquidity event or I need to raise cash, that's generally not the case for the large majority of the cheap companies. They're listed as some kind of legacy.”
David Baran Feb 8, 2021 ▶ 23:49 David Baran and Kazuhiko Shibata – Friendly Activism in Japan at Symphony (Capital Allocators, EP.176)
Feb 22, 2021 positive
Insight
Climate stress testing requires international regulatory consistency over domestic US metrics
“Although we have different particular metrics with which we stress test institutions for traditional financial stress in the U.S., Those would be relevant, but the more important thing would be to make sure that we coordinate and do it on a consistent basis in…”
Rostin Behnam Feb 22, 2021 ▶ 55:49 Acting Chairman Rostin Behnam – CFTC Regulatory Perspectives on Crypto and Climate (Capital Allocators, EP.178)
Jun 14, 2021
Assertion Supported
Milkman: 40% of premature US deaths stem from modifiable behaviors
“And it was a graph showing the percentage of premature deaths in the U.S. That are due to different causes, and the largest wedge in that graph was 40% due to behaviors that we could change. So decisions about things like eating drinking, smoking, vehicle safe…”
Katy Milkman Jun 14, 2021 ▶ 7:31 Katy Milkman – How to Change (Capital Allocators, EP.199)
Jul 8, 2021 negative
Assertion Supported
Grantham: China has 300,000 electric buses while the U.S. has 400
“They have 300,000 electric buses, and the U.S. Has 400.”
Jeremy Grantham Jul 8, 2021 ▶ 28:23 Jeremy Grantham – GMO (Manager Meetings, EP.01)
Sep 30, 2021 neutral
Insight
Graña: Emerging Market Success Stories Often Start as U.S. Business Model Copies
“Many of our emerging market Success stories started off as carbon copies of successful business models in the U.S., and then we evolved and changed depending on local conditions.”
Daniel Graña Sep 30, 2021 ▶ 33:07 Daniel Graña – Janus Henderson Investors Emerging Markets Equity (Manager Meetings, EP.13)
Jan 20, 2022 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
High-Growth Brazilian Stocks Trade at Half the US Revenue Multiple
“What I would say is that Brazil is cheaper in terms of price to growth. So when you look at the price to growth, most of these compounds are trading at .8.75. So compared to the U.S., they're relatively cheap. And the high growers, let's say the really high gr…”
Florian Bartunek Jan 20, 2022 ▶ 39:04 Florian Bartunek – Equities in Brazil at Constellation Asset Management (Manager Meetings, EP.27)
Feb 28, 2022 bearish
Opinion
Papic: US cannot counter China effectively because allies will defect commercially
“For U.S., the constraint is that they can't build a coalition of the willing against China. If every country in the world is going to cheat, if France is going to sell airbuses, if America pulls back on Boeings, if that's what's going to happen, then there is …”
Marko Papic Feb 28, 2022 ▶ 38:01 Marko Papic – Geopolitical Shock in a Multi-Polar World (Capital Allocators, EP.237)
Feb 28, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Papic: China's household debt exceeds the US relative to disposable income
“So if you look at household debt as percent of disposable income in China, it's higher than that of the U.S.”
Marko Papic Feb 28, 2022 ▶ 25:48 Marko Papic – Geopolitical Shock in a Multi-Polar World (Capital Allocators, EP.237)
Apr 25, 2022 negative
Insight
Gave: Applying US banking crisis models to China is fundamentally flawed
“And the reality is you're comparing, it's not that you're comparing apples and oranges. You're comparing apples to tennis balls. They're not, it's not even the same fruit. It's not the same system. It's not. And so all the rules that you think, you know, you c…”
Louis-Vincent Gave Apr 25, 2022 ▶ 47:43 Louis-Vincent Gave – Macro Consequences of Government Sanctions (Capital Allocators, EP.247)
Sep 15, 2022 positive
Assertion Supported
KKR has 25 active broad-based employee ownership programs across US portfolio
“We started that about 12 years ago. Extended that across our entire industrials portfolio over a period of time, so we've done it maybe 12 times with manufacturing businesses, and then in total today have 25 live cases of this across all of our different verti…”
Pete Stavros Sep 15, 2022 ▶ 35:30 SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENT: Private Equity Deals Podcast
Oct 10, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gave: Market positioning is globally crowded into US assets
“Right now, when you look at how people are positioned, everybody's positioned for option one. The U.S. Is the only place to be.”
Louis-Vincent Gave Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 37:50 Louis-Vincent Gave – The Case for Emerging Markets (Capital Allocators, EP.275)
Oct 10, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Gave: The US has experienced $15 trillion in capital destruction
“Meanwhile, we've just had 15 trillion of capital destruction in the U.S. Alone.”
Louis-Vincent Gave Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 24:47 Louis-Vincent Gave – The Case for Emerging Markets (Capital Allocators, EP.275)
Oct 17, 2022
Insight
Griffith: Macro drivers cannot be separated from corporate investing in Europe
“Europe, you have not been able to strip the macro from the micro because the macro has been driving the micro for much of the last two decades. In the U.S. It's been much less so.”
Reade Griffith Oct 17, 2022 ▶ 25:29 Reade Griffith – Managing Assets and Partnerships at Tetragon (Capital Allocators, EP.276)
Nov 7, 2022 bearish
Assertion Supported
Smith: African equity markets underperformed the rest of the world from 2015 to 2019
“The African markets didn't perform particularly well really since 2015, 20 15 through 19. The African markets in general underperformed the rest of the world and in particular the U.S.”
Colin Smith Nov 7, 2022 ▶ 27:55 Colin Smith and Farouk Miah - Empty Rooms: Investing in Africa (Capital Allocators, EP. 279)
Feb 9, 2023
Assertion Supported
Philpot: 60 to 70 US ag co-ops cannot lend outside their geographic areas
“So there are between 60 and 70 of these co-ops scattered around the U.S. Those co-ops cannot lend outside of their geographic area.”
Brian Philpot Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 8:19 Brian Philpot – Financing Farmers at AgAmerica (Capital Allocators, EP. 296)
May 15, 2023 neutral
Insight
Marc Lasry targets 500 bps spread for Asia credit, 200-300 bps for Europe
“For investing in Asia. I always think it should be 500 basis points more. Europe should be two to 300 basis points more. Right? US is just more liquid.”
Marc Lasry May 15, 2023 ▶ 38:28 Marc Lasry – Avenues of Opportunity (Capital Allocators, EP.315)
May 15, 2023 positive
Opinion
Marc Lasry: The UK legal system is stronger for creditors than the US
“I would say to you, that's true, unless you're investing in the U.K. Because the U.K., the legal system there, is actually stronger than it is in the U.S.”
Marc Lasry May 15, 2023 ▶ 39:07 Marc Lasry – Avenues of Opportunity (Capital Allocators, EP.315)
Jun 19, 2023 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Resnick: US travel spending has grown 7% annually since 1960
“Since 1960, travel and leisure spending in the U.S. Has grown by about seven percent per year, more than double that of GDP.”
Eric Resnick Jun 19, 2023 ▶ 19:34 Eric Resnick – Ski, Golf, and Vacation Investing at KSL (EP.322)
Sep 18, 2023 positive
Insight
Muthiah: Indian venture capital is evolving toward US-style founder-led funds
“There's been really good evolution in the type of manager in India, in venture, which looks like the U.S. A lot now in terms of the type of person who finds themselves with a venture fund, and it used to be investment bankers, a transaction experience, and it …”
Muthu Muthiah Sep 18, 2023 ▶ 32:23 Muthu Muthiah - Inefficiency and Innovation at CHOA (EP. 339)
Oct 16, 2023 negative
Opinion
Corre: UK CMA was doing US bidding on Activision deal before reversing
“I think in hindsight, we recognize now that there was more dialogue between the U.S. And the U.K. Than we had appreciated, and they were probably doing the U.S.'s bidding in a certain way, which is Surprising, but then they really reversed course when the U.S.…”
Isaac Corre Oct 16, 2023 ▶ 41:38 Isaac Corre – Event-Driven Investing at Governors Lane (EP.344)
Oct 26, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
NAV lending is established in Europe and just emerging in the US
“That's pretty big today in Europe, and it's just catching on here in the U.S.”
Tim Lyne Oct 26, 2023 ▶ 30:12 Tim Lyne – Three Decades of Private Credit at Antares (EP.346)
Oct 30, 2023
Disclosure
Ou: GroveStreet targets 80% IT and 60-70% US in venture portfolios
“And in venture, we're typically targeting, I'd say, 80% in information tech, and the rest in healthcare and biotech, and then 60, 70% the U.S., and the rest in proven parts of venture centers around the world.”
Bruce Ou Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 31:22 Bruce Ou – Private Market Investing at GroveStreet (EP.347)
Oct 14, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Miller: Hybridization of everything will be the US vehicle solution
“I actually think the solution set for the U.S. Is going to be hybridization of everything.”
Matt Miller Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 48:13 Matt Miller – Crossing the Energy Divide at Grey Rock (EP.412)
Nov 4, 2024 positive
Opinion
Bessent: 2024 election is last chance to outgrow US debt burden
“And I think we can through deregulation, energy, independence, and dominance in the U.S., and a growth mindset. We can get back to growth. I feel very strongly that this is the last chance to grow our way out of this.”
Scott Bessent Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 59:30 Scott Bessent - Macro Maven (EP.415)
Apr 14, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Gave: China and Europe expand fiscal stimulus as US consolidates
“Now the U.S. Is doing fiscal consolidation just as China and Europe step on the fiscal accelerator.”
Louis-Vincent Gave Apr 14, 2025 ▶ 14:10 Geopolitical Uncertainty – James Aitken, Louis-Vincent Gave, and Marko Papic (EP.440)
Apr 14, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Papic: The U.S. Is Starting to Trade Like an Emerging Market
“What's happening right now in the U.S., and I don't want to be too facetious or critical, but the U.S. Is starting to trade in many ways like an emerging market.”
Marko Papic Apr 14, 2025 ▶ 41:21 Geopolitical Uncertainty – James Aitken, Louis-Vincent Gave, and Marko Papic (EP.440)
Apr 14, 2025 neutral
Insight
Gave: Japan and South Korea will accept any US trade deal
“If you're Japan or Korea, you're dependent on the U.S. Security umbrella, you've got U.S. Troops in your territory, you're always going to do whatever deal the U.S. Puts in front of you.”
Louis-Vincent Gave Apr 14, 2025 ▶ 19:36 Geopolitical Uncertainty – James Aitken, Louis-Vincent Gave, and Marko Papic (EP.440)
Apr 14, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gave: US supply disruptions from tariffs will be as bad as COVID-19
“We saw this kind of discrepancy during COVID, and it took the economies a year to get back on their footing. This time, it's going to be just as bad. I don't see how the economy doesn't grind to a standstill. These strict discrepancies are going to be very uni…”
Louis-Vincent Gave Apr 14, 2025 ▶ 20:32 Geopolitical Uncertainty – James Aitken, Louis-Vincent Gave, and Marko Papic (EP.440)
Apr 14, 2025 bearish
Prediction Held up
Gave: Canadian and European Pensions Will Face Pressure to Repatriate Capital
“You're also going to get political pressure on all the Canadian pension funds that are massive to repatriate capital and to bring back money from the U.S. You're going to get the same pressure on European pension funds.”
Louis-Vincent Gave Apr 14, 2025 ▶ 59:57 Geopolitical Uncertainty – James Aitken, Louis-Vincent Gave, and Marko Papic (EP.440)
Apr 21, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Forman: Strategic Bitcoin Reserves Are Actively Discussed in 31 US States
“We're now discussing a Bitcoin strategic reserve at the federal level in the U.S. And in 31 states.”
Ben Forman Apr 21, 2025 ▶ 46:17 Ben Forman – Unlocking Blockchain's Potential (EP.441)
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Bitar: U.S. restrictions on Venezuelan oil push exports to China
“In the last month or two, there's been a shift in that, more towards restriction of the sale of Venezuelan oil to the U.S., In practice, what it's doing is pushing it to China, which is odd, because that would seem counter to the U.S. Objectives.”
Rodrigo Bitar Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 26:05 Rodrigo Bitar – Overlooked Opportunities in Latin America (EP.442)
Apr 28, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Bitar: U.S. remittances account for 20% of GDP in Central America
“20% of many of these countries' GDP are remittances from the U.S. To the countries.”
Rodrigo Bitar Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 35:46 Rodrigo Bitar – Overlooked Opportunities in Latin America (EP.442)
Apr 28, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bitar: Latin America will align with the U.S. in multipolar world
“And I think, again, like we said at the beginning, this multipolar world, Latin America will certainly be together with the U.S., and that will mean further growth, integration, opportunities.”
Rodrigo Bitar Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 35:35 Rodrigo Bitar – Overlooked Opportunities in Latin America (EP.442)
Apr 28, 2025 positive
Opinion
Bitar: U.S. tariffs will have minimal impact on Latin America
“So the impact, if you look around the world, which are the regions who are going to be more impacted, Latin America falls under the category of minimal impact.”
Rodrigo Bitar Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 8:59 Rodrigo Bitar – Overlooked Opportunities in Latin America (EP.442)
May 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Only roughly 200 evergreen funds existed in the US in late 2024
“Goldman had a report on evergreens in the fall of twenty-twenty-four, and there's really only in the U.S. At the time, there's like 200 evergreen funds. So there's not a lot of choices relative to the thousands of closed-end funds that people can invest in.”
Michael Sidgmore May 5, 2025 ▶ 42:59 Michael Sidgmore – Alternatives Go Mainstream (Private Wealth 1, EP.443)
Jul 17, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Overall U.S. gym membership grows annually despite massive customer turnover
“When you look at the macro dynamics in the U.S., gym membership grows every year.”
Ron Cantowitz Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 42:51 Ron Kantowitz – Direct Lending's Evolution and Invesco's Edge (EP.457)
Oct 27, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ayer: European Retailer Action Will Probably Enter the US Eventually
“They'll probably end up in the U.S. Eventually as well.”
Sanjay Ayer Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 27:25 Mike Trigg and Sanjay Ayer – The Discipline of Getting Better at WCM (EP.467)
Jan 22, 2026 positive
Insight
Western allocators unfairly denigrate the rule of law in emerging markets
“I think that people inaccurately in holding, let's say, the U.S. As the benchmark for rule of law, for sanctity of contract, for this, for that, unfairly denigrate a lot of these other places because there are rules in all of these places. There are laws in al…”
Nick Rohatyn Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 1:10:55 Nick Rohatyn – Emerging Markets Multi-Asset Investing at TRG (EP.482)
Feb 23, 2026 positive
Opinion
Warrington: The best artificial intelligence startup founders generally migrate to the US
“We do think a lot of the startups, if you look at AI, the best AI founders generally find their way to the U.S. Right now.”
Sean Warrington Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 53:23 Ed Grefenstette and Sean Warrington – Venture Market Update (EP.488)
Jun 15, 2026 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Wang: The US has flipped from net importer to exporter of travel
“Up until 2019, the U.S. Was an importer of travel. More people came to the U.S. And stayed in hotels than left the U.S. To stay abroad. We have now become a significant exporter of travel. More people leave the U.S. To go abroad than come in.”
Jonathan Wang Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 54:07 Hotel Investing at EOS – Jonathan Wang (EP.506)
Jul 13, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Moyo: Emerging markets face a very high hurdle to beat U.S. returns.
“I now have come to the realization that it's a hard perch, high hurdle to leave the U.S., take my one marginal dollar and invest in country X in the emerging markets and expect a competitive risk-adjusted return.”
Baroness Dambisa Moyo Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 51:41 Economic Growth, Governance, and Capital Allocation – Dambisa Moyo (EP.510)
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 700 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.