inflation
37 statements across 29 episodes · 14 bullish · 14 bearish · 26 people on the record · first statement Aug 14, 2017 by Richard Lawrence · across every show →
Everything said about inflation, oldest first
Aug 14, 2017 positive
Jan 29, 2018 neutral
Major inflationary episodes occur a generation apart as institutional memory fades
“If you look at inflationary episodes, they tend to occur about a generation apart. And I don't think that's a coincidence. I think that inflation is such a huge systemic problem when it happens, and so devastating to both the financial system and also the poli…”
Jan 29, 2018 bearish
Sep 24, 2018 negative
Oct 7, 2019 neutral
Tepper: Inflation lags the economic cycle due to delayed corporate pricing and wage cycles
“On the inflation side, because inflation is so lagging, so if you think of supermarkets don't immediately start raising prices until they're sure the demand is there, they don't start cutting prices until they're sure that it's dropping off, and then wage cycl…”
Oct 14, 2019 bullish
Oct 14, 2019 bullish
Girotto: Farmland historically appreciates 6% annually from inflation and yield gains
“Historically, that has been around six percent. Half of that is inflation. This is a Very good inflation hedge. Soybeans go into like 3000 products, including the pen you're holding right there. I mean, it goes into everything. It is an inflation hedge, tracks…”
May 11, 2020
May 11, 2020 bearish
Jul 8, 2021 bearish
Jul 8, 2021 bearish
Grantham: Wage inflation is not in immediate danger of spiraling
“To work through to wages, where inflation really starts to escalate, it's going to take a long time, because we've had such miserable deflation in the typical average wage for so long that we are not in immediate danger of having them spiral out of control.”
Jul 8, 2021 neutral
Jul 22, 2021 bearish
Ford predicts post-pandemic US inflation will dissipate within a year
“I think it's going to be natural to have some level of inflation here for a period of quarters. If it was a normal, gradual, cyclical recovery, or recovery coming out of a financial crisis like what you have all experienced, I think it's very, very different f…”
Aug 12, 2021 bullish
Jensen: Policymakers will accept inflation over a deflationary market crash
“I think policymakers are much more likely to take inflation than a deflationary crash at this point. And there's so much that can be done in society by distributing the wealth via those mechanisms. So I think you're likely to see that.”
Aug 30, 2021 positive
High-quality compounders are one of the best long-term inflation hedges
“And these businesses typically trade at a premium on the public side. But I do think that given there's a lot of uncertainty around inflation, it's one of the better tools that we have, again, thinking long-term to protect against that.”
Nov 8, 2021 bearish
Visser: Inflation will remain significantly higher than bond yields through 2026
“And the upcoming next five years, it's one thing to have lower for longer yields. It's another thing to have lower for longer yields when some people's benchmarks, meaning inflation or the cost of living are way above those yields. And that's the change that I…”
Nov 24, 2021 bearish
Feb 28, 2022 neutral
Mar 10, 2022 neutral
Geopolitics has overtaken inflation as the primary market driver
“I'm starting to think that as important as that inflation conversation has been, I'm not sure that matters anymore, or at least not to the extent we thought it might three weeks ago, because this is now exclusively about geopolitics.”
Mar 10, 2022 bullish
Apr 18, 2022 bearish
Lenehan: Widespread inflation across corporate operating costs is not temporary
“I was speaking to somebody yesterday who has a public investment, I think, in DoorDash, and he talks to that management team quite often, and the inflation that they're feeling is everywhere. It is in the packaging of the materials. It is in the food costs. It…”
Apr 25, 2022 bearish
Gave: European Buying of US Weapons Will Worsen Domestic Inflation
“Today, European reaction to this, which is in essence, let's buy a bunch of US-made weapons, is going to make domestic inflation worse, and that it deteriorates further the current account balances, which then leads to weaker currency, which leads to greater i…”
May 2, 2022 positive
Jul 25, 2022 bullish
Friedman: The US will avoid a deep recession despite persistent inflation
“I do think the inflation is going to be a little more persistent, but I'm not one who believes that we're going to have a gigantic and deep recession when you're starting with 3.6% unemployment and healthy consumer balance sheets.”
Oct 10, 2022 bearish
Feb 9, 2023 positive
Feb 20, 2023 bearish
Ivascyn: Green transition and geopolitics will drive structural inflation and desynchronized growth
“In the last few years, we've talked about a world where There's going to be less synchronized growth cycles where inflation is going to be more of a challenge going forward, perhaps structurally because of some of the physical investment necessary, particularl…”
Feb 20, 2023 bearish
Ivascyn: Investors should not expect rapid government bailouts in next crisis
“I think with inflation where it is, with debt levels where they are, with political gridlock where it is currently, It's very dangerous to think that a rescue will come relatively quickly the next time we have a crisis type environment.”
May 22, 2023
Falls: Transition to multipolar world will keep inflation sticky
“That's one of the reasons I think inflation is going to be sticky, but I also think that could be valuable to have more international diversification because I think you're going to have different zones of economic activity, and I'm not sure you want to be com…”
Jul 10, 2023 bearish
Sep 11, 2023 bullish
Oct 9, 2023 bullish
Oct 9, 2023 positive
Sawtell-Rickson: Real Assets Preserve Value via Replacement Costs and Indexed Income
“Obviously constrained by the cost of replacement, and as the cost of replacement rises, inflation rises, they can hold value in a way that other things may not, as well as often having inflation linked income streams.”
Jan 29, 2024 neutral
Arndt: Sustained Inflation Will Arrive in Recurring Cyclical Waves
“There's many, many reasons why we think inflation will be sustained. It doesn't mean it will stay double digits or high single digits. It will come back down, then it will go up again, then it will come back down, then it will go up again.”
Aug 19, 2024 neutral
Fenton: Helmsley Targets Five Percent Plus Inflation Return to Maintain Perpetuity
“Because as a foundation, our goal is to last into perpetuity. We have to pay out five percent. That's the IRS mandated payout. So our long-term performance objective is five percent plus inflation. Obviously, inflation had been a hot topic. Our baseline for th…”
Feb 5, 2026 bullish
O'Connor: Deglobalization and sticky inflation are highly bullish for natural resources
“We're in a world with high for longer sticky inflation, certainly a breakdown of the free trade agreements that were happening so easily. Previously, there's a lot of re-onshoring. Unfortunately, we've seen the best of the geopolitical environment from securit…”
Apr 6, 2026 bullish
Gold Benefits Most From Sustained Inflation and Geopolitical Restructuring
“We're in a period now of a total and complete restructuring of the geopolitical equilibrium. We're in a period of sustained higher inflation. There's one asset that fills that gap that's created when things change like that. All that change leads to fear, unce…”