The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: The agentic economy will surpass the human economy
“It kind of stands to reason that the agentic economy will be bigger than the human economy at some point in the not too distant future as well.”
Brian Armstrong Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 9:05 Coinbase’s Everything Exchange: Agentic Finance, Stablecoins & Tokenization with CEO Brian Armstrong
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong predicts having children without embryo editing will eventually be considered abnormal
“I think it'll be more normal over time. And at some point it'll be abnormal To have children without doing this kind of screening and editing, because it'd be like, well, this is so risky.”
Brian Armstrong Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 39:00 Coinbase’s Everything Exchange: Agentic Finance, Stablecoins & Tokenization with CEO Brian Armstrong
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: AI will not cause high unemployment
“I'm in the camp of people who don't think AI is going to actually cause high unemployment. I think that employment will be about the same.”
Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 33:01 Brian Armstrong: Rebuilding Coinbase Around Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
DAVID SENRA Assertion Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Members of Congress told me Warren asked Gensler to curtail crypto
“My understanding, this is kind of what other people in the Congress told me, is that she asked Gary Gensler to go hard on crypto and like try to really curtail it in the United States.”
Brian Armstrong Mar 1, 2026 ▶ 4:37 Brian Armstrong: When Washington Tried to Kill Coinbase
DAVID SENRA Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Around 300 Coinbase employees staged a walkout over BLM stance
“This erupted in Slack and basically 300 employees did a walkout. In protest.”
Brian Armstrong Mar 1, 2026 ▶ 17:05 Brian Armstrong: When Washington Tried to Kill Coinbase
DAVID SENRA Assertion Partly supported
Armstrong voted against building USDC before it generated ~$800M in revenue
“There's actually been examples where I voted no on something and it turned out to be a massive success. And an example of that is like USDC, which is the stable coin. I actually, Embarrassed to admit, I voted no on that idea. Luckily, somebody else funded it o…”
Brian Armstrong Mar 1, 2026 ▶ 1:14:28 Brian Armstrong: When Washington Tried to Kill Coinbase
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Armstrong estimates 20% of California billionaires left, creating $10B tax deficit
“My estimates would probably be 20% of the billionaires have already left in California, that it's already created a negative ten billion tax hole, even if, even with the amount that they hope to raise from the people who stay.”
Brian Armstrong Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 24:33 Coinbase CEO's Top 3 Crypto Trends for 2026 + More from Davos!
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Armstrong: SEC currently offers no mechanism to register crypto securities
“There is not currently a way to register, and so, they've been sort of talking out of both sides of their mouth, and then saying, hey, just come and register, and then you see these exchanges come in that have never traded a single coin as, like, you know, the…”
Brian Armstrong Sep 21, 2023 ▶ 4:28 All-In Summit: In conversation with Brian Armstrong
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong predicts AI agents will outnumber humans in near future
“I, there'll be more agents than humans in the not too distant future.”
Brian Armstrong Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 8:55 Coinbase’s Everything Exchange: Agentic Finance, Stablecoins & Tokenization with CEO Brian Armstrong
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Private credit, treasuries, and deposits will all be tokenized
“Private credit and treasuries and bank deposits, like everything's going to get tokenized. And it, it's just going to mean that financial services is going to have modern, modern rails to run on.”
Brian Armstrong Sep 10, 2026 ▶ 20:10 Coinbase’s Everything Exchange: Agentic Finance, Stablecoins & Tokenization with CEO Brian Armstrong
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Every asset class will be tokenized and brought on-chain
“So we see every asset class being tokenized and brought into on chain to, you know, 24 seven and global liquidity and all this kind of thing”
Brian Armstrong Jul 16, 2026 ▶ 1:09:58 Brian Armstrong: Bitcoin, Banks & The New Rules Of Money | Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Open source AI models are six months behind and 99% cheaper
“You know, the open source models are really like six months behind and they're like 99% cheaper or more sometimes for inference.”
Brian Armstrong Jul 16, 2026 ▶ 1:29:37 Brian Armstrong: Bitcoin, Banks & The New Rules Of Money | Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Coinbase gives any trader equal AWS access to Citadel
“We, we've built this in the cloud where anybody can spin up an AWS instance in the same availability zone and have the same access as Citadel or Jane Street.”
Brian Armstrong Jul 16, 2026 ▶ 1:51:08 Brian Armstrong: Bitcoin, Banks & The New Rules Of Money | Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: US crypto market structure bill could reach Senate vote within two months
“The House has already voted on it, so now the two committees in the Senate have to come together to reconcile their drafts, and then it'll hopefully, it could go to full Senate vote in the next month or two, so we'll see.”
Brian Armstrong Jul 16, 2026 ▶ 2:18:40 Brian Armstrong: Bitcoin, Banks & The New Rules Of Money | Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
SOURCERY Assertion Supported
Armstrong: 80% of Crypto Trading Volume Moved Offshore
“Like most people don't know that 80% of the trading volume went offshore for crypto because of the lack of clarity in the US.”
Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 1:32 Brian Armstrong: Rebuilding Coinbase Around Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: In 5-10 Years Everyday Financial Services Will Run on Crypto Rails
“I think in five or 10 years, people are going to be using financial services. A lot of it will be running on crypto rails. They won't even really know or care about crypto itself. They just like, oh, this is a cheaper way to send money abroad to my family, or …”
Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 23:11 Brian Armstrong: Rebuilding Coinbase Around Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Top AI-enabled engineers at Coinbase ship 100 pull requests weekly
“If the average developer is shipping maybe like eight pull requests a week, the top few engineers are doing like a hundred pull requests a week.”
Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 30:37 Brian Armstrong: Rebuilding Coinbase Around Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Coinbase team pods shrunk from 10 people to 1 to 4
“Traditionally, in tech companies, you'd have, like, a team of a pod of 10, right? There'd be, like, one product manager, one designer, eight engineers, something like that, and we're now seeing these teams that are, like, two to four people. In some cases, we'…”
Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 31:11 Brian Armstrong: Rebuilding Coinbase Around Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Coinbase operates equivalent of 1,200 full-time AI agents internally
“There's actually about 1200 full-time agents working at Coinbase now. Yeah, we, it's, we try to basically estimate it because, you know, you can spin up an agent for five minutes and shut it down, but if you look at it as, How much time AI agents are working c…”
Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 31:29 Brian Armstrong: Rebuilding Coinbase Around Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Coinbase runs crypto's largest institutional business without close rivals
“We also run the largest institutional business in crypto. I actually don't think there's like a close competitor for that, at least not One that comes to mind.”
Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 49:01 Brian Armstrong: Rebuilding Coinbase Around Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Held up
Armstrong: AI Agents Will Use Base Wallets to Form an Agentic Economy
“We're also going to see AI agents have their own financial accounts, and we're powering that with the base, like, MCP API so they can have their own self-custodial wallet now and start to have a true agentic economy, paying for goods and services, hiring other…”
Brian Armstrong Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 52:42 Brian Armstrong: Rebuilding Coinbase Around Intelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
DAVID SENRA Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Coinbase paid zero fines and won SEC lawsuit
“Oh, and I should mention we won that case. It was, so we didn't pay a single dollars, a single dollar in fines. We didn't have to change a single thing about the company. The judge Actually, the SEC withdrew it under this new administration, and several judges…”
Brian Armstrong Mar 1, 2026 ▶ 9:29 Brian Armstrong: When Washington Tried to Kill Coinbase
DAVID SENRA Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Five percent of Coinbase staff took exit package after blog post
“We put out the post, and I said, anybody who's not aligned with this new direction, we'll give you a good severance package. You can fill out this form and accept it by Friday or something. And five percent of the company took the exit package.”
Brian Armstrong Mar 1, 2026 ▶ 20:52 Brian Armstrong: When Washington Tried to Kill Coinbase
DAVID SENRA Assertion Supported
Armstrong: NewLimit successfully reprogrammed human cells to restore function
“We've demonstrated successfully programming human cells for the first time to restore function.”
Brian Armstrong Mar 1, 2026 ▶ 1:34:20 Brian Armstrong: When Washington Tried to Kill Coinbase
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Tether is not compliant under the US GENIUS Act
“It's not currently compliant under the genius act in the U S and so it doesn't follow those same hundred percent reserves in short term U S treasuries is my understanding.”
Brian Armstrong Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 12:38 Coinbase CEO's Top 3 Crypto Trends for 2026 + More from Davos!
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: All assets are coming on-chain for trading
“So anyway, we're long, I think that, yeah, the biggest trends are all assets are coming on chain for trading. Prediction markets are growing like crazy, and stablecoin payments are growing like crazy. Those are the, probably the three biggest trends in crypto …”
Brian Armstrong Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 15:44 Coinbase CEO's Top 3 Crypto Trends for 2026 + More from Davos!
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Companies will eventually go public entirely on-chain
“I think eventually, like, you'll actually just be able to go public totally on-chain too.”
Brian Armstrong Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 19:09 Coinbase CEO's Top 3 Crypto Trends for 2026 + More from Davos!
ALL-IN Prediction Held up
Armstrong: AI agents will use stablecoins and crypto wallets for payments
“AI agents, I think, are gonna use stablecoins and wallet, crypto wallets.”
Brian Armstrong Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 33:29 Coinbase CEO's Top 3 Crypto Trends for 2026 + More from Davos!
INNOVATORS & INVESTORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Next Five Years Will Transform Venture More Than Any Past Era
“The next five year period, if we just looked at the history of venture, the next five years are going to change venture more than any five year period in the history of venture.”
Brian Armstrong Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 34:53 Healthcare Innovation and Venture Capital with Brian Armstrong of Ensemble Innovation Ventures
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Armstrong: Majority of Global Payments Will Run on Crypto Rails
“Crypto's gonna update the entire financial system globally, and, like, the majority of all payments will run on these crypto rails.”
Brian Armstrong Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 0:13 Coinbase CEO Explains the Future of Crypto
TBPN Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Fairshake PAC Raised Hundreds of Millions with 2M Crypto Advocates
“We had like two million Advocates who raised their hand in the US saying they wanted to elect a pro crypto Congress and candidates. We had like a couple hundred million dollars in the fair shake super pack.”
Brian Armstrong Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 5:18 Coinbase CEO Explains the Future of Crypto
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: US Is on the Cusp of Passing Stablecoin Legislation
“And so we now have the most pro crypto Congress that we've ever seen. And we're on the cusp of getting stable coin and fair and market structure legislation passed.”
Brian Armstrong Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 5:28 Coinbase CEO Explains the Future of Crypto
TBPN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Armstrong voted against USDC, which now makes Coinbase ~$1B in revenue
“USDC, I will tell you, I actually voted no on USDC to like, which was a terrible, now it's like almost a billion dollars of revenue or something for us.”
Brian Armstrong Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 9:33 Coinbase CEO Explains the Future of Crypto
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Armstrong: Most traditional securities will be tokenized on-chain within five years
“So I actually think, like, most traditional securities are going to get tokenized on chain in the next five years.”
Brian Armstrong Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 11:27 Coinbase CEO Explains the Future of Crypto
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe May 2030
Armstrong: Most traditional securities will tokenize on-chain within five years
“So I actually think like most traditional securities are going to get tokenized on chain in the next five years.”
Brian Armstrong May 31, 2025 ▶ 1:20:18 Weekend Special: Elon Recap, Balaji, Chris Dixon, Brian Armstrong, Crypto Day + Thiel Fellows
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Biden administration crypto policy pushed tech jobs overseas
“The Biden administration with Warren and Gensler has not been Good for Americans on this dimension, and it's pushed a lot of tech jobs overseas.”
Brian Armstrong Sep 21, 2023 ▶ 25:07 All-In Summit: In conversation with Brian Armstrong
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: NFTs will return in the next crypto cycle
“I think NFTs will come back in the next cycle.”
Brian Armstrong Nov 7, 2022 ▶ 16:11 Brian Armstrong: Coinbase’s Failed NFT Launch, Thoughts on SBF & FTX, Crypto Winter | 20VC #946 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Armstrong: FTX and Binance took riskier international regulatory paths than Coinbase
“I think generally, I think both FTX and Binance have been really good at execution and You know, they've taken a different risk posture, I would say, internationally as well, which, you know, we'll, we'll see, have to see what happens with that. But Coinbase i…”
Brian Armstrong Nov 7, 2022 ▶ 46:55 Brian Armstrong: Coinbase’s Failed NFT Launch, Thoughts on SBF & FTX, Crypto Winter | 20VC #946 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Partly held up
Armstrong: Coinbase will evolve into a holding company of decentralized units
“The future is a little hard to predict, but look, here's one vision I've had for it, which is that I think Coinbase Global, the parent company is starting to become more like a holding company over time. And we have this portfolio of different products, differ…”
Brian Armstrong Nov 7, 2022 ▶ 51:48 Brian Armstrong: Coinbase’s Failed NFT Launch, Thoughts on SBF & FTX, Crypto Winter | 20VC #946 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Armstrong: 5% of Coinbase employees took exit packages during culture transition
“About five percent of the company opted into the exit package package.”
Brian Armstrong Apr 23, 2022 ▶ 5:40 E77: Tech work culture, crypto regulation, stablecoins, $NFLX & more w/ Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Less than 1% of crypto transactions are for illicit purposes
“And so the best data that I have on it today, like over the last couple of years, is that crypto transactions, it's less than one percent are for illicit purposes.”
Brian Armstrong Nov 15, 2021 ▶ 1:03:49 Coinbase: Brian Armstrong
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Only 5% of Coinbase employees took severance after 'no politics' memo
“It turned out it was about five percent of the company. We offered this exit package to people, anybody who was not on the same page and wanted to make it all win-win, about five percent of the company decided to take the exit package”
Brian Armstrong Nov 15, 2021 ▶ 1:15:12 Coinbase: Brian Armstrong
HOW I BUILT THIS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Crypto could become 20% of global GDP within two decades
“Crypto as a whole industry, I think could become 10, 20% of global GDP, like in maybe 10 or 20 years, something like that.”
Brian Armstrong Nov 15, 2021 ▶ 1:19:42 Coinbase: Brian Armstrong
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Nearly every startup will integrate cryptocurrency within ten years
“And now, you know, I think the same thing is going to happen with cryptocurrency where in five or 10 years, pretty much every startup that gets created, it's going to use the internet, it's going to use AI, and it's also going to use some form of cryptocurrenc…”
Brian Armstrong Oct 9, 2020 ▶ 24:35 "Crypto Startup School" Documentary
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: One billion people will use open finance within 20 years
“There's a billion people using the open financial system on a daily basis, and, you know, I think that could be done in five years, like, without a lot of hard work, it could be 10 years, 20 years.”
Brian Armstrong Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:01 a16z Podcast | Building Crypto, from Vision to Reality
a16z Prediction Held up
Armstrong: Bitcoin-native applications will create multi-billion dollar companies
“So, these are very small today, but I think in the future some of these will end up being many multi-billion dollar companies and systems.”
Brian Armstrong Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:19 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin, Greece, and What’s Next for Cryptocurrency
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Bitcoin will be the sole currency used on the blockchain
“I think Bitcoin will be the currency that, that everyone ends up using on the blockchain, and they probably don't quite understand what they're saying when they say that.”
Brian Armstrong Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:02 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin, Greece, and What’s Next for Cryptocurrency
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Armstrong: Bitcoin usage will invert to 80% payments and 20% speculation
“And I think over time what'll happen is that those two percentages will shift. The 80% will end up becoming the 20% speculative asset, and it'll be 80% payment network actually happening.”
Brian Armstrong Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:55 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin, Greece, and What’s Next for Cryptocurrency
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