The Ledger, every show
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.
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every show 44 of 44
Dalio: Stablecoins are transaction tools, not stores of wealth
“A stable coin is attached to the fiat currency. So it goes down like the fiat currency goes down, and it doesn't give an interest rate. And they're toying around with whether it gives interest rates or not, but there's not a model that I've seen. So, so far it…”
Dalio: Wealth taxes force asset liquidation and can pop market bubbles
“And if you tax wealth, then people have to sell in order to get the money to pay the taxes. And that creates a dynamic that can pop a bubble.”
Dalio: US stock wealth-to-money ratio matches 1929 and 2000 bubble peaks
“What's the money ratio right now in the United States is about eight and a half to one, and so on, and when you look at it and then also then there's what it's in. The stock market is, is right now about three to one, and that's very high. If you were to go ba…”
Dalio: Beyond basic subsistence, wealth has zero correlation with happiness
“You look at studies of history and you find in studies of history what brings about happiness and health past a certain amount of money. Of basic subsistence life. There's no correlation between the amount of money you have and the amount of healthy happiness …”
Dalio: US COVID stimulus delivered more money than total lost income
“The government wanted to, and actually did, deliver a lot more money to people, companies, than there was a loss of income.”
Dalio: All commodities decline in real terms over long periods
“Commodities, by the way, in real terms, all commodities, every single commodity, in real terms over long decline, long periods of time have declined because of productivity.”
Dalio: Crypto is easily taxed because governments track ownership
“Crypt is very easily taxed. You know, in other words, the government knows where it is, and who's doing what, and so on, and it's also an effective Asset to tax, but it has, you know, benefits too.”
Dalio: I hold Bitcoin as a diversifier, but I am a gold guy
“Yeah, I have some. Not, not nearly as much as gold. I'm, you know, that's kind of my diversifier. I try to find what are the, I have to have some, I'm, but I'm a gold guy much more than I am a Bitcoin guy.”
Dalio: Roughly 70% of U.S. government expenditures cannot be cut
“Roughly, 70% of government expenditures are, you can't cut.”
Dalio: People do not realize that taxes and tariffs act as inflation
“People don't think of taxes as inflation, but taxes are inflation.”
Dalio: Studying 1938 dynamics enabled Bridgewater to profit in 2008
“What happened in 1938, in terms of the depression leading to the wars and so on, and the interest rates hitting zero, is the exact same thing that happened in 2008. It was because I studied that, that I, we were able to make a lot of money in the 2008 financia…”
Dalio: Acts of nature have toppled more empires than anything else
“Acts of nature, in particular droughts, floods, and pandemics, and they killed more people, and they toppled more empires, and changed more world orders than anything”
Ray Dalio: Four 1930s democracies chose to become autocracies
“So, in the thirties, four major democracies, because of that dynamic, chose to be, their parliaments chose to be autocracies. That happened in Germany, Italy, Spain, and Japan.”
Dalio: India has highest potential 10-year growth among top 22 economies
“India has the highest potential growth rate.”
Ray Dalio: China faces a debt and restructuring problem
“They've got a debt problem, they have a debt restructuring problem”
Dalio: Pre-WW1 and WW2 profits made the US the world's richest country
“It was before, on World War II and World War I, the United States became the richest country because of the money it made before it entered the war.”
Dalio: U.S. opportunity and educational gaps are wider than ever
“So if you take all those measures and so on, the gaps in those things are greater than they have ever been.”
Dalio: Educational system teaches people to fear being wrong
“I think the problem of our whole system and our educational system is that it teaches you to be right, and you have a possessiveness to be right, and oh, now it's embarrassing when you're wrong, it's embarrassing when you have a weakness.”
Dalio: Autonomous vehicles will perform significantly worse than humans in novel situations
“And I'm saying, I think in that particular case, that the AI would perform significantly worse than the human.”
Dalio: Overlaying historical data archetypes is key to investment rule-making
“So, in other words, Let's take all of those cases and put them together, and if they're, if they have data associated with them, let's say a bubble, then you just plot the data on top of each other so you could see each one unfold, and then you can then say, w…”
Dalio: 15 uncorrelated bets cut portfolio risk by 80 percent
“The key in embedding, I believe, is to find 15 good, they don't have to be great, Uncorrelated or low-correlated return streams, because if you have, let's say, a 60% correlation between those items that you're about, and you could have a thousand, and you're …”
Dalio: Adults can improve psychological weaknesses by at most one standard deviation
“I've examined that at length, both in terms of our populations, and then I've really enjoyed working with psychologists to try to figure out, they're the pros, and doing that, and generally speaking, with a lot of hard work, you can change by about one standar…”
Ray Dalio: Most people who think they are open-minded are prejudiced
“Most people who think that they're open-minded have formed an opinion. That prejudices them, and that they have to get knocked off on. They're not reaching out with the worry that they might be wrong.”
Dalio: Society will collapse into conflict without shared principles
“If you don't have those principles and those ways of getting through that, we will be at each other's throats.”
Bridgewater anticipated the 2008 financial crisis by studying the 1930s
“The only reason we were able to anticipate it and benefit from it is because it, we felt that it was necessary to understand what had happened in the thirties and what happened before, because the same things happen over and over again.”
Dalio: Major Debt Crises Occur Roughly Once Every 75 Years
“Some things happen once every 75 years, particularly debt crises and those kinds of things.”
Dalio: Best decisions come from consulting three believable experts who disagree
“Go to three highly believable people who are willing to disagree with each other. And hear that disagreement, and interact, and bring out that disagreement, and see where there's agreement, so that you get to the other side, so when you either have agreement, …”
Dalio: In discussions, know if you are student, teacher, or peer
“At the same time, I think it's important for the parties to try to think am I a teacher, student, or peer? Because if I'm speaking with somebody who really knows a lot more about them, something, I want to be asking more questions than I want to be sharing opi…”
Bridgewater records nearly all internal meetings and discussions
“All discussions, meetings are taped and pretty much unless it's an ultra personal matter. We don't do that unless it's something proprietary. We don't do that, but when we're encountering other things most things, we let people see things, and the reason is if…”
External systems will soon know individuals better than their spouses
“Radical transparency is coming at you fast anyway. Because we're now living in a world where the data that you leave about yourself all over the place is meaning that people will, you know, strangers, systems, can now examine you and know you better than peopl…”
Dalio has no attachment to Bridgewater's culture after his departure
“No, no, it's, I would say it's like a family in the next generation, right? It's now up to others to make that choice, to not be attached.”
Dalio: Bridgewater debates decision criteria rather than individual choices
“Rather than thinking about what our decision is, we spent more time thinking about what our criteria for making the decision is.”
Ray Dalio: US spends $7T against $5T revenue, running 40% deficit
“Basically, it's projected to spend about seven trillion dollars, take in about five trillion dollars, so it's running a 40% Deficit, 40% of its spending. It's been running deficits for a long time, so it has a debt that is 600%, six times the amount of money t…”
Dalio: Gold historically yields approximately a 1.2% annualized real return
“Gold is over a period of time, a low returning asset class like cash. It'll produce, it has produced, and for logical reasons, it produces about a 1.2% a year Real return.”
Dalio: Real estate is uniquely practical to tax because it cannot move
“The practical aspect of real estate in terms of taxing Is because the individual owner of real estate can't take it with them. It is a very practical asset asset to tax for the government because they can always tax that and you can't take it with you versus t…”
Dalio predicts investors will use prediction markets to hedge equity portfolios
“Mostly different act events to bet on. And I think events affect companies, but they're two different things. So I would say it'll be something to speculate on. But, and it'd be something that smart people may use as a hedging device against owning an equity. …”
Dalio: Natural disasters and pandemics have killed more people than wars
“Droughts, floods, and pandemics have killed more people than wars and changed more orders.”
Dalio attributes his career success primarily to transcendental meditation
“Meditation has been the biggest source of success that I have. It's given me an equanimity.”
Dalio: The biggest debt crisis red flag is bondholders dumping supply
“The key spot is when the debt service becomes large, and then, like, the real red flag, the biggest red flag, is when there's then the selling of the debt beyond the new supply, but the holders of it sell it, and then you can see it in the market action, becau…”
Dalio: China accounts for 33% of global manufacturing output
“They own 33% of all world manufactured goods, which is more than the combined U.S. German and Japanese manufactured goods, Chinese produce more.”
Ray Dalio: US, China, and India are shifting the global world order
“I think the basic picture in China, ah, the United States, the emergence of India, and so on, is when the world order is going to change in a very profound way.”
Ray Dalio predicts central banks will print money during the next downturn
“So I think you're going to see, in the next downturn, another move to print money.”
Dalio: 22% of Connecticut high schoolers are failing, absent, or dropped out
“22% of the high school students in Connecticut either have dropped out of high school or are failing classes with absentee rates of greater than 25%.”
Dalio: Seeking out smart people who disagree raises the probability of being right
“How do I find the smartest people I know who disagree with me and are willing to disagree with each other but really care about your outcome? You learn a tremendous amount and that raises one's probability of being right.”
Dalio: Documenting decision principles creates clarity for recurring situations
“When you're in a position of making an important decision, if you, maybe just after you do it, you take pause and you reflect, and you write down your criteria or your principles for doing it, you write it down, In your own mind, it creates a clarity, because …”
Ray Dalio: Pause heated disagreements to first agree on procedural protocols
“Whenever you're having a disagreement with somebody, or some difficult time with somebody, pause it, And then go above it and agree. How should you be with each other? What are your protocols? What are the rules? And then once you can agree on that, then you c…”
Dalio: Designed the commodity hedging strategy behind McDonald's Chicken McNugget launch
“I contributed to the economic risk of being able to come out with a Chicken McNugget. Because it came out at a time when there was a lot of commodity price volatility, and McDonald's wanted to come out with a chicken McNugget, but they couldn't lock in a price…”