The Ledger, every show
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.
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every show 44 of 44
Dalio: US is financially better off under Trump than Biden
“Yes, I do believe we are in the financial context, because in terms of profitability and the likelihood of cutting, I think the Republicans are probably more likely to make these moves than the Democrats, but you also have to take into consideration the impact…”
Dalio: US is in an internal civil war and international war simultaneously
“We're at a civil war internally, and we're at an international war simultaneously.”
Dalio: U.S. states and global systems face major political fragmentation
“I think we're going to see fragmentation of states from the central government. I think you're going to see big fragmentation in the world, not just in the United States, on the failure to agree on Most things.”
Dalio: The WHO and WTO are obsolete as global conflicts rise
“Things like the World Health Organization, the World Trade Organization, all of those are obsolete, and so we're going to have, again, might is right, and so it's going to be a period of greater conflict.”
Dalio: The profit system alone does not direct resources adequately
“The profit system alone does not direct resources adequately.”
Computers will surpass humans at quality thinking long before intuition
“It'll be a long time before those intuitions and those imaginations are created by computers. Ok, but it won't be a long time before computers produce better quality thinking.”
Ray Dalio: Gold is the second-largest reserve currency held by central banks
“Gold is not a precious metal that's speculated on, like most people have come to think of it as. It is the most established money that, it's the second largest reserve currency that central banks hold.”
Ray Dalio predicts central banks will not buy or hold Bitcoin
“Central banks are not going to want to buy Bitcoin and being able to hold it.”
Ray Dalio: 60% of Americans read below a sixth-grade level
“For example, 60% of all Americans have below a sixth grade reading level.”
Ray Dalio predicts the Federal Reserve will re-expand its balance sheet
“I think that it's likely down the road.”
Ray Dalio predicts Democrats will likely win the House midterm elections
“I think when we have, we're going to have the midterm elections, you're going to go past the midterm elections with probably that Democrats will take the house and be, and maybe, I don't know, it's going to be difficult. And you know what? Nobody can succeed b…”
Ray Dalio warns AI might eat itself by failing to generate profits
“It looks to me like AI basically is eating everything and it might eat itself. And what I mean by that is not produce adequate profits.”
Ray Dalio asserts Chinese AI technology is nearly equal to US tech
“Their technologies are almost as good as ours, because they are, they're not far behind”
Dalio: Gold is the only money without counterparty or confiscation risk
“Gold is the only money That you can have and nobody has to give you anything to have it. Other money, all other money is dependent on somebody giving you something. Okay. Whether they give you, and so it's unique in that it's confiscation risk is less than oth…”
Dalio: Earning interest on gold-linked assets reflects credit risk, not ownership
“So what you're getting paid for is credit risk, right? So it's not gold. It's a promise to get your gold back, right? Then that's what money was. And that's why it would have an interest rate. You have an interest rate that on the promise to get your gold back…”
Dalio: Investors should hold 5% to 15% of their portfolios in gold
“An individual, and most investors should have between five and 15% of their portfolio in a gold or an alternative money.”
Dalio predicts central banks are unlikely to hold Bitcoin as reserve wealth
“Bitcoin is limited in supply, and its perception of money, it is a form of money, it, it's perceived as money, as a storehold of wealth, that is unlikely to be significantly held by central banks, and many others, because of a number of Problems it has.”
Dalio: Current financial markets are in a bubble vulnerable to popping
“So in my opinion, we're in a bubble. Okay. By various measures of it being in a bubble and people feeling very wealthy, but you have that vulnerability.”
Dalio: The post-1945 multilateral rules-based global governance order has ended
“That world order has gone from a world order that it was a multilateral world order, sort of with rules like the United Nations and the World Trade Organization and the World
A health organization, and the world, this is, you know, the world bank, and the worl…”
Dalio: Neutral countries prosper economically in wars while winners and losers suffer
“Because if you look at the history of wars and so on, there are winners of the wars, losers of the wars, and neutral countries. The winners of the wars lose, meaning they still get deeper in debt and they have the consequences of the wars. The losers of the wa…”
Dalio: The winner of the US-China tech war will dominate globally
“I think the technology war is the most important war that almost whoever wins the technology war will win almost everything.”
Dalio: US leads in advanced chips, China leads in AI applications
“The inventiveness of new chips and the most advanced chips the United States is a bit ahead, is, is ahead. And then but the application to use the chips, whatever AI there is, to be able to integrate it into life and making it for the society Most applications…”
Dalio: India has the best fundamentals for highest 10-year economic growth
“India is going to have probably the, has the best fundamentals to have the best growth rate in that, because you're going from not having enough money to having, that has infrastructure.”
Ray Dalio: Sovereign debt is unattractive during supply-demand imbalances
“In either case, you don't want to hold that debt, because either there's a debt service problem, or there's a depreciation, you get paid back with a greater supply and cheaper Money, and that is the dynamics, and that's the mechanism”
Ray Dalio: Gold is the world's third-largest reserve currency
“Gold is the third largest reserve currency, by the way. Dollars euros, gold, and then yen.”
Dalio: China is behind in AI chips but ahead in applications
“Like, I think the Chinese are a bit behind in the chips and But they're ahead in the applications.”
Dalio: Expensive great companies are worse investments than cheap bad companies
“A great company that gets expensive is much worse than a bad company that's really cheap.”
Dalio: AI productivity gains won't arrive fast enough to solve US debt
“I don't think the profit impact and the financial impact on productivity is going to be nearly enough, near enough to deal with the supply demand issue that we now have.”
Dalio predicts a 'hellacious' period of crisis within 10 years
“When you talk about 10 years, there's gonna be a period in that 10 year period where it's going to, it's gonna be hellacious. In that 10 year period where, you know, the coordination of dealing with our problems will be greater and the cooperation for dealing …”
Dalio: Losing the technology war means losing the military war
“You can't lose the technology war because you'll lose the military war.”
Dalio: Global empires cycle over 250 years with 10-20 year transitions
“As you can see, they transpired in overlapping cycles that lasted about 250 years, with 10 to 20 year transition periods between them.”
Dalio: Superpower transitions are typically periods of major conflict
“Typically, these transitions have been periods of great conflict, because leading powers don't decline without a fight.”
Dalio: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is India's Deng Xiaoping
“I think Modi is a Deng Xiaoping.”
Dalio: Neutral nations like India will benefit from US-China conflict
“So as we have this conflict between the United States and China and its allies, Russia, and so on, as we see that line up, countries that are in the middle, like India, are gonna be net beneficiaries of that.”
Dalio: World will experience radical disorder over the next five years
“I think that in the next five years, I think year by year, we're going to go through a time warp. You're going to see radical disorder in the next five years as each one of those things comes to path.”
Dalio: Expect major financial, political, and tech turmoil by early 2025
“We're going to have an interesting two years between where we are now. And let's say, almost a few years, and let's say early, ah 2025, ok? And not just interesting because we're going to have unbelievable elections, and we'll see whether, how power, how we ca…”
Ray Dalio: Life success is due more to meditation than anything else
“Whatever success I've had in life has been more due to meditation, I think, than anything else. Maybe my curiosity, because it gives one an equanimity and a creativity that's really, really great.”
Dalio: Rushing to use black-box algorithms will cause major decision mistakes
“The speed of I'm going to use algorithms to make quick bets on these things will probably at some time make very important decisions, be very major mistakes. And since we're all connected, that scares me.”
Dalio: Diversification provides far more benefit than picking winning assets
“And if you really look at that, the marginal benefit of diversification is much more powerful than the marginal benefit of goodness.”
Dalio: Visionary leaders like Jobs and Musk prioritize mission over feelings
“The one that you're referring to is there's a test call in workplace inventory, which is called concern for others, and it doesn't really mean concern for others. What it means is that when faced with the choice of whether the mission is Or the individual's fe…”
Dalio: The bottom 60 percent of Americans have seen no income growth
“There is the top 40% and the bottom 60%. And if you just carve out and you say, what is the economy and life like of the bottom 60%? There hasn't been income growth, prospects of having a better life than your parents.”
Dalio: Neither autocratic nor democratic decision-making works well in organizations
“The problem that most people have at that point is that either there is an autocratic decision maker or a democratic decision maker. Neither of those work well. The autocratic decision maker is just the guy who's the boss who says, okay, well, now I'm going to…”
Dalio: Coders riding algorithms will displace workers and cause economic bifurcation
“There are going to be people who are riding the algorithms that will replace the people who are doing jobs. And so there's going to be a bifurcation, and I think that learning how to code is like learning how to read and write for the next generation”
Ray Dalio: Half of the $2T US deficit goes to interest payments
“We now have that two trillion dollar deficit. Half of that is interest payments, plus we have to roll over nine trillion dollars of debt That has been accumulated and is maturing.”
Ray Dalio advises investors to hold 5% to 15% in gold
“If you didn't know what gold was likely to do, and you had no view on gold, one should have between five and 15% of their portfolio in gold because of the fact of how it works with the other components.”
Dalio: Systematizing decision criteria and backtesting removes emotion from investing
“The way I learned to invest, ah, was to write down my criteria when I was making a decision. Every time I'd make a decision, I would then think, why am I making that decision? And then I write down the criteria and see how it would have worked in the past.”