People, every show

Jason Calacanis

Founder & CEO, LAUNCH. On 6 shows, 433 appearances, plus 2 compilation re-airs not counted. The Shows tab opens the full record on each.

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Jason Calacanis is an early-stage technology investor who backed companies such as Uber, Robinhood, Calm, and Wealthfront, managing investments through his firm LAUNCH and angel syndicate. He authored the book Angel: How to Invest in Technology Startups and hosts This Week in Startups while moderating the All-In podcast.

6shows
433appearances
1,425statements
555resolved
363supported
58contradicted
65%fully supported
303said about them ↓

Everything Jason Calacanis said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.

ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis predicts OpenAI will lose its lead and become fourth-ranked AI player
“My most contrarian belief was OpenAI loses its lead, loses its nonprofit to for-profit transition and becomes the number four player in AI. The total collapse of OpenAI is my most contrarian prediction for .”
Jason Calacanis Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 1:11:34 2025 Predictions: Tech, Business, Media, Politics!
ALL-IN Prediction Held up
Calacanis: Nvidia will decline or severely downgrade investment in OpenAI
“I think NVIDIA is not going to take their option to invest in open AI, or they're going to really downgrade at 70, 80%, and they're going to allocate it to other players.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 6, 2025 ▶ 18:35 OpenAI's Code Red, Sacks vs New York Times, New Poverty Line?
ALL-IN Opinion
Calacanis: Mark Zuckerberg is the greatest censor in human history
“His action was to be the greatest censor in the history of humanity. There's no human being who censored more humans than him.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 11, 2025 ▶ 1:08:44 LA's Wildfire Disaster, Zuck Flips on Free Speech, Why Trump Wants Greenland
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Calacanis: Democrats will replace Joe Biden with Gavin Newsom after first debate
“This is why I think Biden's getting hot swapped this month. You heard it here first. He's got, no, Gavin is going to be running for president. It's going to be Trump and Gavin. They are hot-swapping Biden after this first debate. Biden is going to get demolish…”
Jason Calacanis Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 28:25 DOJ targets Nvidia, Meme stock comeback, Trump fundraiser in SF, Apple/OpenAI, Texas stock market
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Trump will attempt to overturn the government again if given the chance
“Guy has no morality, and he would have overturned the government if he had the chance. And he will do it again.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 1:18:57 E140: LK-99, Sclerotic establishments, Fitch downgrades US debt, Trump indicted... again
ALL-IN Opinion
Calacanis: FTC Chair Lina Khan is punishing tech for being successful
“I think she is absolutely doing Biden's bidding. With an anti-tech, anti-wealth creation, anti-capitalism, frankly, pro-union punishment. I think this is punishment for tech being too successful.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 14, 2023 ▶ 48:05 E137: Inflation cools, market rips, Ripple/MSFT beat regulators, NATO summit, cocktails of youth
ALL-IN Prediction Partly held up
Calacanis: Microsoft will release an OpenAI search engine impacting Google
“Microsoft, I think is going to release a and there's a prediction as well, a search engine with Open AI, that has a significant impact on Google's franchise.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 29:33 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
ACQUIRED Opinion
Calacanis: Andreessen Horowitz is a soulless index fund of venture capital
“I think they're just an index adventure. I find it quite soulless, if I'm being honest. Like, I feel like it's a giant index on venture, and I don't think that their hearts are super into it.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 4, 2022 ▶ 2:01:13 ACQ Sessions: Jason Calacanis · Acquired
Calacanis: VCs paid high legal fees specifically to dump tokens
“You set up these structures, you paid all this legal money because you knew you were going to dump. You knew you were going to clear these positions and you knew it was going to be lucrative. That's why you went through the expense instead of just raising mone…”
Jason Calacanis Jul 28, 2022 ▶ 10:33 How To Pick Startup Winners With Jason Calacanis
ALL-IN Opinion
Calacanis: Andreessen Horowitz engaged most in VC token sale flips
“That seems like the firm that did this the most is Andreessen Horowitz.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 24, 2022 ▶ 59:35 E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Calacanis: Musk will buy Twitter at a lower price by year-end
“My prediction is the Board tries to fight it. Stock collapses. Nobody thinks it's going to get done. Elon lowers his offer, and he wins it by the end of the year, and gives him a lower offer.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 16, 2022 ▶ 55:26 E76: Elon vs. Twitter
ALL-IN Opinion
Calacanis calls the fatal Capitol shooting of Ashli Babbitt a clean shooting
“Coming from a law enforcement family, I can tell you that's a clean shooting.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 8, 2021 ▶ 39:37 E16: Reflecting on the riots at the US Capitol, plus: Georgia runoffs, vaccine distribution & more
Calacanis: Tim Cook should not be CEO of Apple anymore
“If a company is storing a bunch of capital and paying you a dividend, that signals to us that you are not a bold and ambitious founder, and this is one of the big problems I have with Apple and Tim Cook, which, who I don't think should be CEO of that company a…”
Jason Calacanis Apr 14, 2020 ▶ 44:59 #81 Jason Calacanis: Intelligent Risk
20VC Opinion
Calacanis: Y Combinator teaches startup founders to be 'bullshit artists'
“What's happened now is the YC companies have a reputation of kind of being bullshit artists and that the program kind of teaches them to be bullshit artists, right?”
Jason Calacanis Aug 14, 2017 ▶ 27:36 20VC: Jason Calacanis on The 4 Questions Investors Must Ask Founders, Whether YC Have Scaled Their Process Successfully & Why Early Founder Liquidity Is Good Not Bad
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot will be the world's best-selling product
“Optimist will be the best selling. I think product.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 29, 2026 ▶ 6:41 Nvidia's Historic Quarter, SaaS Comeback, Bessent vs Druck, America's Debt Crisis, Cancer Vaccine
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Calacanis: Major enterprise customers will abandon OpenAI and Anthropic for open-source
“And I'll make this prediction here, that you're going to see some of the major customers Of Anthropic and major customers of OpenAI. I'm talking about the eight and nine figure customers, people spending fifty million, a hundred million a year. They're leaving…”
Jason Calacanis Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 45:09 Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Anthropic is destroying rare books for AI training data
“Anthropic is destroying rare books to get an edge in training data.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 1:01:17 Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Anthropic paid $1.5B in the largest US copyright settlement
“Obviously last week we saw anthropic paid the largest copyright case in us history, 1.5 billion for seven million books. They allegedly pirated authors get 3000 each lawyers got a hundred million for that one”
Jason Calacanis Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 1:01:59 Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Margin compression will derail OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs
“I believe that this is going to derail their IPOs. I'm taking it from the top. It's going to derail their IPOs. It's going to be headwinds against it because I think that they're going to have massive margin compression.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 24, 2026 ▶ 35:08 The Fight Over Open Source AI, Anthropic's $1.5B Payout, NYC Socialists: Evictions = Violence?
ALL-IN Opinion
Calacanis: AI companies should pool 10% of revenue to pay content owners
“All the AI companies should get together, take 10% of your revenue, put it in a pool, and keep paying the people and getting permission from them, so you can get updates on the content”
Jason Calacanis Jul 24, 2026 ▶ 1:00:55 The Fight Over Open Source AI, Anthropic's $1.5B Payout, NYC Socialists: Evictions = Violence?
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Frontier AI platforms will absorb their startup partners' businesses
“If you partner with any of these people, they will slit your throat and take your business wholesale.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 20:22 AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2036
Calacanis: Humans will no longer sort or deliver packages in 10 years
“What Optimus is going to do when Bezos and Andy Jassy unleash Optimus inside of the Amazon factories is it's going to get rid of every, let me state this very clearly, every single package sorting, every single package delivery will not be done by humans in 10…”
Jason Calacanis Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 47:35 AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Anthropic secretly downgraded users training competing AI models
“If Fable five detects you're doing frontier AI research, in other words, using their model to make a better model, competitive model, they were downgrading you, but they weren't telling you, and this was buried deep in a 319 page documents.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 1:34 Anthropic's Fable Backlash, Nationalizing AI, Inflation Heats Up & California’s Broken Elections
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe May 2036
Calacanis: All cab, truck, and package sorting jobs eliminated within 10 years
“Every cab driver's losing their job. Every truck driver's losing their job in the next 10 years. Anybody sorting packages is losing a job.”
Jason Calacanis May 29, 2026 ▶ 1:12:11 Anthropic's Digital God, Pope vs AI, Job Loss Narrative Flips, Open Source Crackdown Coming?

Show 24statements(1,401 left)

The other half of the tape: Jason Calacanis's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 266 times in 82 episodes across the shows. 37 statements on the record name them. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Harry Stebbings 57John Coogan 30David Friedberg 24David Rosenthal 17Jordi Hays 16Brad Gerstner 15Sagar Enjeti 8Kevin Hartz 8

Statements about Jason Calacanis, by other people (37)

20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: AI Startups Will Eventually Re-Bloat to Historic Headcounts
“And so even, and so our startups that we're excited about, I think ultimately they will achieve the same historic level of bloat, maybe half the size, but they will get as bloated as they can because they will have much larger, broader product lines.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 58:55 Anthropic Files to Go Public | Cognition Raises $1BN at $26BN Valuation | The 996 Work Ethic · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Companies will choose spending on AI tokens over humans by year-end
“I really do think by the end of the year, we're going to choose tokens over humans.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 42:33 Anthropic Files to Go Public | Cognition Raises $1BN at $26BN Valuation | The 996 Work Ethic · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Enterprise AI Buyer Demand Will Drop to 5% Within 24 Months
“They got the price of the vendor right, but the soft costs, the training, the onboarding, the business process change were the highest it's ever been in their lifetimes. They're not going to do that every year. And so we may go back to five percent being in ma…”
Jason Lemkin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 25:56 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2026
Calacanis: AI companies built models by stealing all my copyrighted content
“Just like in the beginning to get these off the ground, we had to trample copyrights and destroy everyone's IP rights. All of my IP is stolen. Everything I've written, all my videos were taken without my consent.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:17:07 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Critics like Calacanis only changed their tune after Anduril became successful
“And Jason, like many influential people, some of them even in this room, who have treated me like shit for years, suddenly changed their tune as soon as Andrew was on the upswing.”
Palmer Luckey Jun 23, 2022 ▶ 24:17 #AIS: Palmer Luckey on Anduril
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Media commentators like Jason Calacanis caused Luckey's firing from Oculus
“Jason and the people like him are the reason I was fired from my, from Oculus, my own company.”
Palmer Luckey Jun 23, 2022 ▶ 25:27 #AIS: Palmer Luckey on Anduril
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Jason Calacanis: Cursor will maim Figma and SaaS incumbents by lowering NRR
“I think the bigger risk for so many vendors is that it maims Figma... HubSpot and box and even anthropic using it, they don't leave, they renew, they don't buy as many seats, right? Because the team is also using cursor, but of course they don't churn. The log…”
Jason Lemkin Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 47:15 Will Cursor Kill Figma? Lightspeed Raises $9B & OpenAI’s $1B from Disney & #1 App in App Store · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Opinion
Buttigieg says NYC and California tax proposals go further than he would
“I don't know the details of the state and local proposals you just mentioned, but those sound on their face like they're further than I would go.”
Pete Buttigieg Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 7:53 Pete Buttigieg: The Left's Identity Crisis, Wealth Tax, 2024 Mistakes, Plans for 2028
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Enterprise Buying Window for AI Tools Will Soon Disappear
“They're not going to be in market every year for an AI tool. This will be a window that will disappear.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 19:49 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Calacanis: Present VC market is the easiest ever for investing
“Yeah, because there's because there's so many entrepreneurs. There's so much change. Change is when you make money, right? Change is when you make money in venture. There's so much change. There's so many great entrepreneurs, and we don't have to worry about g…”
Jason Lemkin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:12:16 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
TBPN Opinion
Hays: Jason Calacanis is a bully who ducks charity fight challenges
“Yeah, but he, you know, he is a bully. And it's interesting that as soon as the bully is actually getting invited, saying, step into the ring. He's saying, oh, I, you know, it's, I don't want to do this.”
Jordi Hays Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 49:32 What's Happening at SONOS (Total Disaster)
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: COVID economic recovery will likely be U-shaped or L-shaped
“Jason, I would describe U as a V. I think Chamath is closer to the U, which is the most pessimistic. Sorry, the L is the most pessimistic, and then the U is sort of somewhere in between. And I sort of swing between the U and the L but I also understand the cas…”
David Sacks Apr 11, 2020 ▶ 6:20 E2: Rebooting economy, understanding corporate debt, avoiding a depression & more with David Sacks
20VC Opinion
Calacanis: Developers would quit if denied their choice of AI model
“I would quit as a developer if you told me I could not use the model of my choice. I would quit.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 42:02 Anthropic Files to Go Public | Cognition Raises $1BN at $26BN Valuation | The 996 Work Ethic · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Enterprise and developer buyers of frontier AI models are not price-sensitive
“People are not that, no matter what anybody says, we're not that price sensitive today.”
Jason Lemkin Mar 5, 2026 ▶ 1:15:42 Anthropic vs The Pentagon: Who Wins? | OpenAI's $110BN Mega Round | Cursor Hits $2BN in ARR · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: AI apps will consume 1,000x more compute via continuous inference
“Smart folks are going to figure out already how to use a thousand times more inference and compute than we're using today. Because instead of running a little one-off thing, right, or even using lovable for an hour, and then letting the servers with no load go…”
Jason Lemkin Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 59:54 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
TBPN Opinion
Coogan: Calacanis misses Mount Rushmore of Kleiner, Thiel, Valentine, and Rock
“My Mount Rushmore is, is are those four guys and sorry, Jason you don't make the cut.”
John Coogan Dec 2, 2024 ▶ 3:06:20 How BILLIONAIRES dress for XMAS (ep17)
TBPN Opinion
Hays: Calacanis deserves a spot on angel investing's Mount Rushmore
“If there was a Mount Rushmore of angel investors, he certainly would be on it with the Uber.”
Jordi Hays Dec 2, 2024 ▶ 3:04:41 How BILLIONAIRES dress for XMAS (ep17)
STARTUP IDEAS Assertion Contradicted
Jason Calacanis invested in three Swell AI competitors that will all fail
“Jason Calacanis has invested in like three companies that are like exact competitors of us. And we're just laughing because I was like how many tap bats can you get with this? It's not going to work.”
Cody Schneider May 10, 2024 ▶ 26:00 A few $30k+/month startup ideas from the most manic/genius founder you've never heard of
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Stebbings: Jason Calacanis bet $100K that IPO market returns H2 2024
“And he's got a hundred K bet with me on it being the back half for next year. One a week for the back half for next year.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 11:14 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Opinion
David Sacks claims co-hosts are the stars and Jason Calacanis merely moderates
“We're the stars of the podcast, you're just the moderator.”
David Sacks Jul 2, 2021 ▶ 1:57 Leaked tapes: Sacks vs. Jason origins | All-In After Party on Callin
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Sacks: Epstein asked Jason Calacanis for intros to Bitcoin founders in 2011
“What happened was that Jason hosted an episode of This Week in Startups, roughly, I think, in 2011 with a couple of the Bitcoin core founders, and then Epstein reached out to him for an introduction to those people.”
David Sacks Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 4:14 Epstein Deep Dive: Prince Andrew Arrested, Global Network, Mythology, Reid Hoffman Files
20VC Assertion Supported
Calacanis: UiPath NRR dropped from 140% at IPO to 107%
“Come, 1.8 billion in ARR, but he's got 98% GRR and a 107% NRR. Okay. So mathematically one problem is his NRR has fallen from the 140% peak at the IPO because people aren't buying that much more for UiPath, but he's got 98% GRR, 98% retention.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 52:48 Will Cursor Kill Figma? Lightspeed Raises $9B & OpenAI’s $1B from Disney & #1 App in App Store · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Calacanis: One-year equity cliffs hinder poaching talent in competitive markets
“And so on the one hand, it seems like a dumb idea, like you're creating mercenaries and perhaps you are, but in the age and you're asking someone that's 18 months into somebody else to leave and wait 12 months to make a dollar. That can be a tough sell in, in,…”
Jason Lemkin Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 21:18 Will Cursor Kill Figma? Lightspeed Raises $9B & OpenAI’s $1B from Disney & #1 App in App Store · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Sam Altman and Jason Calacanis sourced Stripe and Uber for Sequoia
“You helped us with the investment in Uber. Sam Altman was in that group as well. He helped with an investment in a little company called Stripe.”
Roelof Botha Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 2:51 Sequoia’s Roelof Botha: Why Venture Capital is Broken & How Great Companies Are Built

Show 13statements(13 left)

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
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01020201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
002.510520201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode

20VC 109TBPN 66All-In 60Acquired 20the Startup Ideas Podcast 10the Knowledge Project 1

2026 47 mentions in 13 episodes 4 per episode
2025 56 mentions in 15 episodes 4 per episode
2024 64 mentions in 16 episodes 4 per episode
2023 29 mentions in 6 episodes 5 per episode
2022 26 mentions in 9 episodes 3 per episode
2021 1 mention in 1 episode
2020 5 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode
2018 10 mentions in 3 episodes 3 per episode
2017 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode
2016 8 mentions in 7 episodes 1 per episode
2015 18 mentions in 7 episodes 3 per episode

One line per show, most statements first. The link opens Jason's full record on that show: the calibration, argument clarity, speaking style and every statement made there.

ShowRole thereEpsStatementsRecord
ALL-INLEDGER Founder & CEO, LAUNCHhost 428 1,301 65% 349/536 full record on All-In →
20VCLEDGER Founder & CEO, LAUNCH 2 51 75% 6/8 full record on 20VC →
KNOWLEDGE PROJECTLEDGER Founder & CEO, LAUNCH 1 30 60% 3/5 full record on the Knowledge Project →
ACQUIREDLEDGER Founder & CEO, LAUNCH 1 24 80% 4/5 full record on Acquired →
STARTUP IDEASLEDGER Founder & CEO, LAUNCH 1 18 100% 1/1 full record on the Startup Ideas Podcast →
TBPNLEDGER Founder & CEO, LAUNCH 0 +2 1 full record on TBPN →
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