Intuition
topic on 7 shows · 17 statements across 15 episodes
In Depth
the Knowledge Project
BigDeal
Lenny's Podcast
the Official SaaStr Podcast
the a16z Podcast
20VC
17 statements about Intuition, every show
Perez: Ego manifests as mental clinging, while intuition provides calm physical signals
“Your ego is snappy, and it's loud, and it's more mental. It's like, you know, try, and you can feel that energy of clinging, like, It really wants something, whereas intuition, especially for me, feels much more bodily.”
Jerry Murdock: Autonomous AI agents will not possess intuition anytime soon
“And so the one thing that the autonomous agents aren't going to have is intuition. Not anytime soon.”
MacInnis: Hiring managers with trained intuition should ignore HR and trust guts
“And so I rely a lot on my intuition, which of course HR people say you're not supposed to do. That's complete bullshit. If you have a good intuition, you should absolutely rely on your intuition.”
Clowes: When data clashes with intuition, the data is usually wrong
“If you're looking at a piece of data and the result tells you something that your intuition tells you is like insanely wrong, like that you're probably not right. First believe your intuition and go and prove yourself right. Like don't just take it at first gl…”
Tolkin: Ship on intuition instead of pursuing false statistical precision
“If you're not going to get significance, if there's no other techniques at your disposal, then sometimes you just gotta trust your intuition and ship it. And if that's where, if that's what you believe, then that's what you believe. And you shouldn't spend tim…”
Antin: Product intuition harbors blind spots that researchers must expose
“Intuition is where all of those biases lie. It's where all your blind spots are. And what great insights people do, what great researchers do when you're next to them all the time is they'll expose you.”
Seshan: Analytical expansion yields doubles, but product home runs require intuition
“The analytical approach will get you a lot of, like, doubles and triples. But I think the home runs really come from this, like, intuitive call for, like, how do I think the market is going to work? How do I think the world is going to work? And, like, let me …”
Wodtke: Product intuition is overvalued and requires years of experience
“Ain't none of them old enough to have product sense. I mean, seriously, like a product sentence is intuition. Intuition is compressed experience. Compressed experience comes from having lots of experience, and if you're young and you don't have a lot of experi…”
Konnikova: Humans differentiate correct from incorrect intuitions roughly 50% of time
“We have intuitions all the time, and we are actually horrible, horrible, horrible at being able to tell the correct intuitions from the wrong intuitions. We're about fifty-fifty, and that's a really bad track record. And sometimes our intuitions are spot on, a…”
Konnikova: Intuition should only be trusted when supported by domain expertise
“What correct intuition is, is all of this experience that we've accumulated in something that we don't necessarily have conscious access to the process of acquiring, and so your intuition should only be trusted if you're an expert in this area, if there's a re…”
Srinivasan: Lightning-Speed Decisions In Hyper-Growth Often Require Intuition Over Data
“Intuition is extremely, extremely critical, particularly in a high growth environment when you're having to take almost like lightning speed decisions on in some areas. You don't have the data. Every problem is new.”
Storonsky: Decision-makers must rely on quantitative models over intuition
“When you do, like, you know, five, 10 trades a day based on intuition, sooner or later you realize the world doesn't work on the intuition, so you need somehow to plan it in a better way rather than your intuition.”
Humans distinguish correct from incorrect intuitions at only a 50-50 rate
“Because one of the things I learned in psychology is that, you know, we have intuitions all the time, and we are actually horrible, horrible, horrible at being able to tell the correct intuitions from the wrong intuitions. We're about fifty-fifty, and that's a…”
Intuition should only be trusted in areas of deep accumulated expertise
“Because what correct intuition is, is all of this experience that we've accumulated in something that we don't necessarily have conscious access to the process of acquiring. And so your intuition should only be trusted if you're an expert in this area, if ther…”
Kahneman: Delaying intuition until evaluating separate dimensions produces better decisions
“That when you are making decisions, you should think of options as if they were candidates. So you should break, break it up into dimensions, evaluate each dimension separately, then look at the profile, and the key is, delay your intuition. Don't try to form …”
Nguyen: Human Intuition Functions Like Parameters in a Machine Learning Model
“Well, what we think of as intuition are actually, you can think of as parameters inside a machine learning model.”
Mauboussin: Intuition can only be developed in stable, linear environments
“And I think the general rule is intuition can be developed in realms that are stable and linear. So if there's a repeated pattern and things don't change that much, you can train your intuition. You have to train it, but you can train your intuition. It can be…”