Intuition

topic on 7 shows · 17 statements across 15 episodes

In Depth the Knowledge Project BigDeal Lenny's Podcast the Official SaaStr Podcast the a16z Podcast 20VC

17 statements about Intuition, every show

BIGDEAL Insight
Perez: Ego manifests as mental clinging, while intuition provides calm physical signals
“Your ego is snappy, and it's loud, and it's more mental. It's like, you know, try, and you can feel that energy of clinging, like, It really wants something, whereas intuition, especially for me, feels much more bodily.”
Diego Perez (Yung Pueblo) Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 36:21 5 Habits Constantly Draining Your Energy | Yung Pueblo
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jerry Murdock: Autonomous AI agents will not possess intuition anytime soon
“And so the one thing that the autonomous agents aren't going to have is intuition. Not anytime soon.”
Jerry Murdock Feb 28, 2026 ▶ 36:06 The SaaS Apocalypse: Who Lives & Who Dies | Insight Partners Co-Founder, Jerry Murdock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
MacInnis: Hiring managers with trained intuition should ignore HR and trust guts
“And so I rely a lot on my intuition, which of course HR people say you're not supposed to do. That's complete bullshit. If you have a good intuition, you should absolutely rely on your intuition.”
Matt McGinnis Dec 28, 2025 ▶ 35:07 “I deliberately understaff every project” | Leadership lessons from Rippling’s $16B journey
Clowes: When data clashes with intuition, the data is usually wrong
“If you're looking at a piece of data and the result tells you something that your intuition tells you is like insanely wrong, like that you're probably not right. First believe your intuition and go and prove yourself right. Like don't just take it at first gl…”
Shaun Clowes Dec 29, 2024 ▶ 39:35 Why great AI products are all about the data | Shaun Clowes (CPO at Confluent)
Tolkin: Ship on intuition instead of pursuing false statistical precision
“If you're not going to get significance, if there's no other techniques at your disposal, then sometimes you just gotta trust your intuition and ship it. And if that's where, if that's what you believe, then that's what you believe. And you shouldn't spend tim…”
Brian Tolkin Aug 4, 2024 ▶ 43:43 Lessons from scaling Uber and Opendoor | Brian Tolkin (Head of Product at Opendoor, ex-Uber)
Antin: Product intuition harbors blind spots that researchers must expose
“Intuition is where all of those biases lie. It's where all your blind spots are. And what great insights people do, what great researchers do when you're next to them all the time is they'll expose you.”
Judd Antin Jan 4, 2024 ▶ 27:20 The UX Research reckoning is here | Judd Antin (Airbnb, Meta)
IN DEPTH Insight
Seshan: Analytical expansion yields doubles, but product home runs require intuition
“The analytical approach will get you a lot of, like, doubles and triples. But I think the home runs really come from this, like, intuitive call for, like, how do I think the market is going to work? How do I think the world is going to work? And, like, let me …”
Tara Seshan Jun 22, 2023 ▶ 36:46 Lessons from Stripe on adding new products | Tara Seshan (Watershed, Stripe)
Wodtke: Product intuition is overvalued and requires years of experience
“Ain't none of them old enough to have product sense. I mean, seriously, like a product sentence is intuition. Intuition is compressed experience. Compressed experience comes from having lots of experience, and if you're young and you don't have a lot of experi…”
Christina Wodtke Mar 16, 2023 ▶ 1:02:34 The ultimate guide to OKRs | Christina Wodtke (Stanford)
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Supported
Konnikova: Humans differentiate correct from incorrect intuitions roughly 50% of time
“We have intuitions all the time, and we are actually horrible, horrible, horrible at being able to tell the correct intuitions from the wrong intuitions. We're about fifty-fifty, and that's a really bad track record. And sometimes our intuitions are spot on, a…”
Maria Konnikova Oct 25, 2022 ▶ 31:02 TKP Insights: Making (Even) Better Decisions
Konnikova: Intuition should only be trusted when supported by domain expertise
“What correct intuition is, is all of this experience that we've accumulated in something that we don't necessarily have conscious access to the process of acquiring, and so your intuition should only be trusted if you're an expert in this area, if there's a re…”
Maria Konnikova Oct 25, 2022 ▶ 31:47 TKP Insights: Making (Even) Better Decisions
SAASTR Insight
Srinivasan: Lightning-Speed Decisions In Hyper-Growth Often Require Intuition Over Data
“Intuition is extremely, extremely critical, particularly in a high growth environment when you're having to take almost like lightning speed decisions on in some areas. You don't have the data. Every problem is new.”
Kady Srinivasan Feb 3, 2022 ▶ 17:56 Marketing Hyper-Growth at Scale with Klaviyo’s SVP, Global Head of Marketing, Kady Srinivasan
20VC Insight
Storonsky: Decision-makers must rely on quantitative models over intuition
“When you do, like, you know, five, 10 trades a day based on intuition, sooner or later you realize the world doesn't work on the intuition, so you need somehow to plan it in a better way rather than your intuition.”
Nik Storonsky Apr 12, 2021 ▶ 4:29 20VC: Revolut Founder Nikolay Storonsky on His Leadership Style and Relationship To Ambition, His Biggest Lessons From Scaling Revolut Globally; What Worked, What Did Not & Why Speed of Product Shipment is The Most Important Thing
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Partly supported
Humans distinguish correct from incorrect intuitions at only a 50-50 rate
“Because one of the things I learned in psychology is that, you know, we have intuitions all the time, and we are actually horrible, horrible, horrible at being able to tell the correct intuitions from the wrong intuitions. We're about fifty-fifty, and that's a…”
Maria Konnikova Aug 4, 2020 ▶ 44:37 #89 Maria Konnikova: Less Certainty, More Inquiry
Intuition should only be trusted in areas of deep accumulated expertise
“Because what correct intuition is, is all of this experience that we've accumulated in something that we don't necessarily have conscious access to the process of acquiring. And so your intuition should only be trusted if you're an expert in this area, if ther…”
Maria Konnikova Aug 4, 2020 ▶ 45:21 #89 Maria Konnikova: Less Certainty, More Inquiry
Kahneman: Delaying intuition until evaluating separate dimensions produces better decisions
“That when you are making decisions, you should think of options as if they were candidates. So you should break, break it up into dimensions, evaluate each dimension separately, then look at the profile, and the key is, delay your intuition. Don't try to form …”
Daniel Kahneman Oct 15, 2019 ▶ 30:45 #68 Daniel Kahneman: Putting Your Intuition on Ice
a16z Insight
Nguyen: Human Intuition Functions Like Parameters in a Machine Learning Model
“Well, what we think of as intuition are actually, you can think of as parameters inside a machine learning model.”
Christopher Nguyen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:09 a16z Podcast | Making Sense of Big Data, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning
Mauboussin: Intuition can only be developed in stable, linear environments
“And I think the general rule is intuition can be developed in realms that are stable and linear. So if there's a repeated pattern and things don't change that much, you can train your intuition. You have to train it, but you can train your intuition. It can be…”
Michael Mauboussin Jan 23, 2018 ▶ 17:51 #28 Michael Mauboussin: A Decision Making Jedi

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