intuition

6 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Jan 23, 2018 by Michael Mauboussin · across every show →

Everything said about intuition, oldest first

Jan 23, 2018
Insight
Mauboussin: Intuition can only be developed in stable, linear environments
“And I think the general rule is intuition can be developed in realms that are stable and linear. So if there's a repeated pattern and things don't change that much, you can train your intuition. You have to train it, but you can train your intuition. It can be…”
Michael Mauboussin Jan 23, 2018 ▶ 17:51 #28 Michael Mauboussin: A Decision Making Jedi
Oct 15, 2019 positive
Insight
Kahneman: Delaying intuition until evaluating separate dimensions produces better decisions
“That when you are making decisions, you should think of options as if they were candidates. So you should break, break it up into dimensions, evaluate each dimension separately, then look at the profile, and the key is, delay your intuition. Don't try to form …”
Daniel Kahneman Oct 15, 2019 ▶ 30:45 #68 Daniel Kahneman: Putting Your Intuition on Ice
Aug 4, 2020 neutral
Insight
Intuition should only be trusted in areas of deep accumulated expertise
“Because what correct intuition is, is all of this experience that we've accumulated in something that we don't necessarily have conscious access to the process of acquiring. And so your intuition should only be trusted if you're an expert in this area, if ther…”
Maria Konnikova Aug 4, 2020 ▶ 45:21 #89 Maria Konnikova: Less Certainty, More Inquiry
Aug 4, 2020 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Humans distinguish correct from incorrect intuitions at only a 50-50 rate
“Because one of the things I learned in psychology is that, you know, we have intuitions all the time, and we are actually horrible, horrible, horrible at being able to tell the correct intuitions from the wrong intuitions. We're about fifty-fifty, and that's a…”
Maria Konnikova Aug 4, 2020 ▶ 44:37 #89 Maria Konnikova: Less Certainty, More Inquiry
Oct 25, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Konnikova: Humans differentiate correct from incorrect intuitions roughly 50% of time
“We have intuitions all the time, and we are actually horrible, horrible, horrible at being able to tell the correct intuitions from the wrong intuitions. We're about fifty-fifty, and that's a really bad track record. And sometimes our intuitions are spot on, a…”
Maria Konnikova Oct 25, 2022 ▶ 31:02 TKP Insights: Making (Even) Better Decisions
Oct 25, 2022
Insight
Konnikova: Intuition should only be trusted when supported by domain expertise
“What correct intuition is, is all of this experience that we've accumulated in something that we don't necessarily have conscious access to the process of acquiring, and so your intuition should only be trusted if you're an expert in this area, if there's a re…”
Maria Konnikova Oct 25, 2022 ▶ 31:47 TKP Insights: Making (Even) Better Decisions
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