DAOs

topic on 8 shows · 35 statements across 21 episodes

Acquired Founder's Journal No Priors the Startup Ideas Podcast Capital Allocators the a16z Podcast All-In 20VC

35 statements about DAOs, every show

NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Polosukhin: DAOs will be the first place AI managerial agents emerge
“I think DAOs is, and especially what happened with DAOs, there was a lot of people who were really excited about DAOs kind of as a concept. And so they put a lot of time running them, but it's actually a very like not interesting job, right? It's like you onbo…”
Illia Polosukhin Sep 14, 2023 ▶ 9:08 No Priors Ep. 32 | With NEAR’s Illia Polosukhin
a16z Insight
Balaji Srinivasan: DAOs fail when built money-first rather than value-first
“Starting money first is wrong, right? Money comes, it's a superstructure on top of a community. It's a way for the community to represent its debits and credits between each other.”
Balaji Srinivasan Nov 16, 2022 ▶ 1:59:16 The Network State with Balaji Srinivasan
O'Brien: DAOs fail as corporate governance during company crises
“Centralization is good in times of crisis. And like, I think that across decision making authority too. And so when you talk about Dow's, like, I think a lot of the use cases you talked about are interesting in the context of a doubt where you have like you kn…”
Kyle O'Brien Jul 28, 2022 ▶ 21:49 How To Pick Startup Winners With Jason Calacanis
DAOs should function strictly as capital allocators rather than operational managers
“It's just terribly inefficient to have any doubt, like zoom in and make these microscopic decisions about who to hire or like an individual person's salary or stuff like that. It's just crazy to me. Instead, they need to allocate to basically an entrepreneur, …”
Olaf Carlson-Wee Jun 23, 2022 ▶ 48:09 Olaf Carlson-Wee – The Future of Crypto (EP.257, Crypto for Institutions 2 – EP.04)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Forman: Over 98% to 99% of current DAOs will not survive
“I suspect that 98, 99% plus of the blockchain applications, the DAOs that exist today, are not going to be around long term.”
Ben Forman Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 54:07 Ben Forman – Opportunities in DeFi (EP.256, Crypto for Institutions 2, EP.03)
Forman: Human governance in crypto networks is a bug, not a feature
“And in some ways, governance and human involvement is almost a bug. It's not a feature. You want these systems and networks to stand on their own two feet, almost as public utilities.”
Ben Forman Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 54:20 Ben Forman – Opportunities in DeFi (EP.256, Crypto for Institutions 2, EP.03)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Forman: DAOs will probably trade at lower multiples than traditional companies
“So because of that uncertainty, I think DAOs probably trade at lower multiples than companies, at least in the near term.”
Ben Forman Jun 20, 2022 ▶ 59:48 Ben Forman – Opportunities in DeFi (EP.256, Crypto for Institutions 2, EP.03)
McKeon: DAOs collapse governance and voting coordination costs to near zero
“The coordination around governance and voting mechanisms Has been collapsed to almost nothing when you're using these digital environments with provable ownership.”
Stephen McKeon Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 23:58 Stephen McKeon – NFTs and the Consumer in Web3 (EP.255, Crypto for Institutions 2, EP.02)
McKeon: DAOs' Biggest Issue Is Capital Gridlock, Not Theft
“So if anything, I would say the biggest challenges around DAOs today are not that People are absconding with the money, but in fact that the money is not being spent quickly enough.”
Stephen McKeon Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 25:45 Stephen McKeon – NFTs and the Consumer in Web3 (EP.255, Crypto for Institutions 2, EP.02)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
McKeon: Web3 founders often prefer DAO capital over traditional venture firms
“When you talk to founders, many times they prefer to take capital from DAOs as opposed to traditional venture firms.”
Stephen McKeon Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 30:40 Stephen McKeon – NFTs and the Consumer in Web3 (EP.255, Crypto for Institutions 2, EP.02)
20VC Insight
Sanghvi: DAOs require centralized operational structures to run efficiently
“Contrary to what DAO stand for, there's some efficiency in centralized organizations and having centralized operational capabilities, which is kind of similar to venture.”
Ruchi Sanghvi Jun 10, 2022 ▶ 22:59 Ruchi Sanghvi: My Job Interview with Mark Zuckerberg; Deep Dive on DAOs | 20VC #895 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2037
Sanghvi predicts institutional LPs will invest directly into DAOs by 2037
“And one would assume that if these DAOs are to be successful over time, much like companies, institutional investors over time will find direct access to these DAOs. Now it might take like, you know, 10 years, five years, 15 years, but if this is already happe…”
Ruchi Sanghvi Jun 10, 2022 ▶ 30:25 Ruchi Sanghvi: My Job Interview with Mark Zuckerberg; Deep Dive on DAOs | 20VC #895 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ian Lee: Web3 and DAOs Will Power the Future of Venture Capital
“And if you believe that, then the end state likely of this trend that's been happening for more than two decades is likely going to lead to some sort of model and system that will be powered by web three endowed technologies behind them. And that is the bet th…”
Ian Lee Jun 8, 2022 ▶ 9:04 Ian Lee: Why DAOs Will Replace Venture Capital; Biggest Threat to Web3 | 20VC #893 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Ian Lee: DAOs With Explicit Mandates Are Vastly More Successful
“Purposeful DAOs, where they have explicit mandates and very specific ones. Tend to do much better. So if you have, like, a DAO that's just kind of very generic and doesn't really have a clear purpose, those ones have a much harder time sustaining themselves, w…”
Ian Lee Jun 8, 2022 ▶ 11:46 Ian Lee: Why DAOs Will Replace Venture Capital; Biggest Threat to Web3 | 20VC #893 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ian Lee: DAOs Will Spawn Novel Organizational Models Beyond Legacy Structures
“As it relates specifically to DAOs I, we do believe that DAOs are going to lead to fundamentally new organizations that don't easily or don't exist in today's world. A good example of this is like, you know, some of these DAOs that are popping up right now in …”
Ian Lee Jun 8, 2022 ▶ 14:37 Ian Lee: Why DAOs Will Replace Venture Capital; Biggest Threat to Web3 | 20VC #893 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ian Lee: Novel DAO Markets Will Surpass Legacy Entity Transformations
“Over the long run, when we're thinking about 10 to 20 year plus time spans, it's likely that the new to world markets are actually going to outsize the existing ones, and that's absolutely what we think Syndicate is going to do.”
Ian Lee Jun 8, 2022 ▶ 16:47 Ian Lee: Why DAOs Will Replace Venture Capital; Biggest Threat to Web3 | 20VC #893 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Bloom: Large-Scale DAO Governance Fails During Rapid Wartime Decision-Making
“When you are in wartime and having to make dramatic, you know, bold decisions quickly, the idea of going and asking, you know, a hundred million users to vote on something and Trusting that it's going to be the right long-term decision when they're operating w…”
Sahil Bloom May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:01:28 Elon's Twitter Takeover and The Future of Social Media with Sriram Krishnan
20VC Prediction Held up
Garg: DAOs will recreate traditional structures like representative government
“Is I absolutely think we will recreate a lot of the known governance structures in society. We will recreate representative government, for example, where there are experts and you sort of delegate your votes to them and then they go off and make decisions tha…”
Avichal Garg Apr 11, 2022 ▶ 35:13 20VC: Why Crypto is Software Eating Money, Why Crypto Firms Will Outcompete Traditional Venture Firms, How To Price Tokens and When To Have Them, DAOs: How Are They Structured and What Makes One Successful with Avichal Garg, Co-Founder @ Electric Capital
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garg: 10% of DAOs will wildly break expectations of governance
“You'll have millions and millions of doubts created. Many of them will fail. Many of them will look very similar to what we would expect just reasoning through it. And some small percent, 10% of them will wildly break our expectations about what's possible.”
Avichal Garg Apr 11, 2022 ▶ 35:55 20VC: Why Crypto is Software Eating Money, Why Crypto Firms Will Outcompete Traditional Venture Firms, How To Price Tokens and When To Have Them, DAOs: How Are They Structured and What Makes One Successful with Avichal Garg, Co-Founder @ Electric Capital
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garg: Determining durable DAO governance models will take 7 to 10 years
“And I think for us to really know which of these experiments from governance or economic game theory perspective are durable, I think it's going to take seven to 10 years.”
Avichal Garg Apr 11, 2022 ▶ 36:47 20VC: Why Crypto is Software Eating Money, Why Crypto Firms Will Outcompete Traditional Venture Firms, How To Price Tokens and When To Have Them, DAOs: How Are They Structured and What Makes One Successful with Avichal Garg, Co-Founder @ Electric Capital
Demirors: Crypto wealthy prioritize digital assets over traditional luxury status symbols
“Who have made money, but they're not motivated by the same status symbols as prior generations. They don't want to buy yachts. They don't want to buy private jets. They don't want to buy, you know, houses. They want to buy digital rocks. They want to buy Uniso…”
Meltem Demirors Feb 18, 2022 ▶ 7:06 Minting Billionaires and the Religion of Bitcoin | Meltem Demirors, CoinShares
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Isenberg predicts DAO token incentives will cause severe contributor burnout
“I think there's gonna be a subset of people who are gonna be contributing to DAOs who are gonna be unable to basically take a step back and be like, okay, I need to go eat with my family. I need to take a shower, et cetera. And that's scary.”
Greg Isenberg Jan 11, 2022 ▶ 59:31 Forecasting the Future of Tech with Scott Belsky | Where It Happens
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2031
Calacanis predicts DAOs will handle $4 billion capital formations within ten years
“I say DAOs because I believe that they will become legal and global capital formation for the first time on an instant basis will exist, and I believe forty million is the dry run for the Constitution, four hundred million and four billion will happen in the n…”
Jason Calacanis Dec 23, 2021 ▶ 1:15:20 E60: The 2021 Bestie Awards PLUS Jack Dorsey starts the Web3 Wars
STARTUP IDEAS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Isenberg: Web3-native sports leagues and DAO buyouts are more likely than legacy adoption
“I believe that we're probably, like, number three and number two are more likely to happen.”
Greg Isenberg Dec 10, 2021 ▶ 15:47 Buying the X Games with Olympic Icon Apolo Ohno | Where It Happens
ACQUIRED Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCormick: 80% of DAOs will fail, but the top 20% outperform corporations
“I think Eight out of 10 DAOs might totally fail because they have like kind of that leadership issue or like who is the final decision maker issue. But I think those other two are going to do things that like you might not have ever thought to do with a tradit…”
Packy McCormick Dec 3, 2021 ▶ 1:45:37 Not Boring (with Packy McCormick) - Extended Cut · Acquired
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Calacanis: Public demand for DAOs will force changes to accreditation laws
“And I think it's going to force the accreditation laws to change.”
Jason Calacanis Nov 20, 2021 ▶ 8:10 E56: Constitution DAO, Rittenhouse trial coverage, private sector efficiency vs the government
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: The next 500 DAO crowdfunding deals will predominantly be scams
“The next deal will end up being some shitty art piece that's worth a hundred grand as Chamath points out. They'll buy it for ten million, everyone will lose their ass. And the next 500 will look the same.”
David Friedberg Nov 20, 2021 ▶ 12:08 E56: Constitution DAO, Rittenhouse trial coverage, private sector efficiency vs the government
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Failing DAOs will drive U.S. regulators to clamp down
“Structurally what's going to happen is there are going to be more of those things that are going to show up that will rip people off and that will heighten regulatory interest and people will come along and they'll start to clamp down on this stuff.”
David Friedberg Nov 20, 2021 ▶ 19:01 E56: Constitution DAO, Rittenhouse trial coverage, private sector efficiency vs the government
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: DAOs have not yet proven effective as venture fund managers
“We talked about these things as if they already are here, and they're not quite here. I mean, technically, I know they exist, but people haven't really figured out how to Use them to, you know, to be a fund manager, for example.”
David Sacks Nov 6, 2021 ▶ 31:45 E54: Spread trading big tech, capital allocation, Zillow's misfire, Progressives suffer losses
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: DAOs destroying traditional wealth is positive for the world
“So when you add all these three things together, I think to me it's the most incredibly positively disruptive force I have seen. I think it will destroy wealth. I frankly couldn't give a fuck. And I think it's better for the world.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 14, 2021 ▶ 1:06:04 E46: False Ivermectin narratives, regulatory grift, wartime mentality in solving issues & more
Lieberman: DAOs replace executive hierarchies with transparent code and member votes
“DAOs aren't run through a centralized decision maker like one person or a few senior leaders on a leadership team at a company. There is code that defines how the business operates, and it is 100% transparent for anyone, anyone involved in the DAO to see, and …”
Alex Lieberman Aug 6, 2021 ▶ 21:02 Ethereum 101 & How It Could Top Bitcoin in Cryptocurrency
a16z Insight
Milenius: Purely self-centered participation prevents successful DAO coordination
“If everybody comes at this from, like, some kind of hyper-rational, self-centered, I'm only in it for myself, mentality. Then they'll just never coordinate. They'll never cooperate, you know, and they'll never put aside their differences and do the hard work o…”
Andy Milenius Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 46:04 a16z Podcast | All About Stablecoins
a16z Insight
Milenius: DAOs require fluid, contextual leadership rather than no leadership
“Part of our experience of growing up has been to not be afraid of leadership. Leadership is so big. With humans, whether they're coordinating on mass scales, on micro scales, or anything in between, you know, we've really learned that a good leader is worth ev…”
Andy Milenius Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 47:46 a16z Podcast | All About Stablecoins
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chokshi: The rise of DAOs will produce new management literature
“And now as we move into a new wave of DAOs that is just the beginning, we're going to have a whole new body of management leadership.”
Sonal Chokshi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 49:27 a16z Podcast | All About Stablecoins
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Buterin: Safely Building DAOs Will Take a Couple Years
“And so that's an area where I still think that, you know, for obvious reasons, it's going to be a couple of years before we really learn how to do it well and safely, but it's still one of those that I'm Really interested and excited about.”
Vitalik Buterin Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:57 a16z Podcast | Ethereum, App Coins, and Beyond

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