Sahil Bloom

Co-Host, Where It Happens · 34 appearances on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

Sahil Bloom is an entrepreneur and former co-host of the Where It Happens podcast. He shares frameworks on personal annual reviews, reflection, and business strategy.

144statements → 69claims → 37claims resolved → 57%fully supported → 3.81/5average certainty → 2.08/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated → 45said about them ↓

21 supported 10 partly supported 6 contradicted 4 not yet assessed 28 not checkable as stated how the 69 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

17 predictions · 52 assertions · 28 opinions · 30 insights · 17 disclosures · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 69 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 37 are resolved, 4 are not yet assessed, and 28 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Sahil argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Bloom: FTX reached agreement to acquire BlockFi for up to $240M
“FTX is now, you know, under a definitive agreement to acquire block five for like, I don't really care how, you know, the CEO positioned it, you know, with the revolving line of credit, that's not really enterprise value. It's not like buying the equity, but l…”
Sahil Bloom Jul 21, 2022 ▶ 53:36 Betting Big on Web3 with Li Jin

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
Bloom: Twitter's $25B Buyout Debt Carries Massive Interest Obligations
“There's twenty-five billion dollars of debt sitting on the business now, and that debt has interest rates on it that aren't super low. And in an environment where so far the, you know, the baseline rate is rising right now, it's actually going to be a shitload…”
Sahil Bloom May 3, 2022 ▶ 55:25 Elon's Twitter Takeover and The Future of Social Media with Sriram Krishnan

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
83% certainty 3
71% certainty 4
50% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Sahil Bloom on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Sahil Bloom said on the Startup Ideas Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bloom: Terra Luna faces a real risk of a downward market spiral
“There's this swap mechanism where, If suddenly that yield starts to drop or if they're not able to maintain it, if people start selling rather than buying Luna, and if you have a bunch of people swapping It does create this market spiral, right? Like there is …”
Sahil Bloom Apr 7, 2022 ▶ 15:17 Common Traits of Legends with Ndamukong Suh
Opinion
Bloom: STEPN rewards paid from new entrants resemble a Ponzi scheme
“The money is from new people buying into it and you're paying out rewards from new people buying in. That to me, I'm like, that's the definition of a Ponzi scheme when I look at it.”
Sahil Bloom Jun 17, 2022 ▶ 25:31 Predicting the Future of Web3
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bloom: Over 10 Years, I Back Do Kwon and Terra Luna
“I actually don't know where I would land on the bet for one year from now, but 10 years from now, I like I like the Duquan side of it.”
Sahil Bloom Apr 7, 2022 ▶ 23:33 Common Traits of Legends with Ndamukong Suh
Opinion
Bloom: Buying rental properties is mostly vanity and underperforms REITs
“Personally, I think that most people that buy rental properties, maybe this is a hot take, it's like a vanity thing, where they want to be able to flex and say that they own rental properties. Because the vast majority of my friends that have done that, it is …”
Sahil Bloom May 26, 2022 ▶ 1:07:19 $30M by Age 19 — And Where You Should Build Today
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bloom: Fed Will Pivot on Q2 Weakness, Fueling Growth Stock Rally
“My gut tells me that we're going to see like a pretty bad Q two from an economy standpoint. Like I wouldn't be shocked if we actually saw a negative growth and people panic. I think the fed will just like reverse course very quickly. Cause they've shown an unw…”
Sahil Bloom May 3, 2022 ▶ 6:05 Elon's Twitter Takeover and The Future of Social Media with Sriram Krishnan
Opinion
Bloom: Top Creators Generate More Value for Twitter Than Billionaire Shareholders
“I have contributed more value to Twitter and like probably more innovation to Twitter than some random billionaire that owns a hundred million dollars of Twitter stock, like just full stop. I understand the product probably better. I understand the puts and ta…”
Sahil Bloom May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:04:20 Elon's Twitter Takeover and The Future of Social Media with Sriram Krishnan
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bloom: TikTok is de facto controlled by Chinese government
“TikTok, which is Chinese owned, and de facto controlled by the Chinese government, by the way, and owns the data of literally every single teenager in the United States.”
Sahil Bloom Feb 15, 2022 ▶ 17:09 Will Meta Bounce Back? (with Nikita Bier) | Where It Happens | Bonus Episode
Opinion
Bloom: Mobile internet gives Indian youth Ivy League-level opportunity access
“A kid on the streets in India that has access to his phone because of what Reliance Geo has done has a lot of the same opportunities today, and hopefully will continue to have even more as the kid who grew up in Greenwich and went to the Ivy League.”
Sahil Bloom Feb 10, 2022 ▶ 33:59 Forget Zero Sum, Be Positive Sum with Harley Finkelstein | Where It Happens
Opinion
Bloom: Consumers do not care about privacy enough to sacrifice functionality
“One of my like general hot takes is that people don't actually care that much about privacy or like the average person doesn't really care that much about privacy and won't be willing to actually pay for it with worse functionality.”
Sahil Bloom Jan 11, 2022 ▶ 18:17 Forecasting the Future of Tech with Scott Belsky | Where It Happens
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2031
Bloom: Psychedelic criminalization will be substantially reduced by 2031
“I do think in 10 years, it's hard to imagine the level of criminalization around psychedelics as exists today, and so if you were out in front of it and building You should reap outsized rewards for doing that.”
Sahil Bloom Nov 18, 2021 ▶ 21:00 The NSFW Framework & the Magic of Community-Product Fit with Amanda Goetz | Where It Happens
Insight
Bloom: 'Second brain' tools create illusion of progress without actual work
“What I found in my own experience working with some of those things is that you end up moving a whole lot, but not actually making progress on things. You know, you like have this complicated productivity system, but you're not actually you know, creating prog…”
Sahil Bloom Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 8:42 Sahil Bloom Gives You a Plan for 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bloom: Passive DCA into S&P and crypto dramatically beat his active bets
“I actually looked recently at my portfolio and like my five-year returns and the like smart investments I made like things where I thought I had edge or some sort of insight that was going to make it, you know, beat the market have underperformed the dumb doll…”
Sahil Bloom Aug 18, 2022 ▶ 29:33 Investor Psychology & Trading on the Future With Raoul Pal
Opinion
Sahil Bloom: Most 200-page business books could be 2-5 page newsletters
“The entire like nonfiction book industry you know, business books, self-help books, like all of that stuff, the vast majority of those things are like 200 pages, but could have been said in a like two page or five page article or newsletter.”
Sahil Bloom Jul 21, 2022 ▶ 13:29 Betting Big on Web3 with Li Jin
Insight
Bloom: Business school is an easy default for those fearing career uncertainty
“I think like business school is like the it's like the uncertainty pick where like people aren't willing to tolerate the like uncertainty of what comes next at that first pivot point in their career. And business school is like the easy the easy answer.”
Sahil Bloom Jul 21, 2022 ▶ 20:02 Betting Big on Web3 with Li Jin
Assertion Supported
Bloom: FTX reached agreement to acquire BlockFi for up to $240M
“FTX is now, you know, under a definitive agreement to acquire block five for like, I don't really care how, you know, the CEO positioned it, you know, with the revolving line of credit, that's not really enterprise value. It's not like buying the equity, but l…”
Sahil Bloom Jul 21, 2022 ▶ 53:36 Betting Big on Web3 with Li Jin
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bloom: Breakout Web3 games will come from major AAA studios
“Yeah, I think they're going to have to create like a You know, like a separate entity that kind of allows it to be more free ownership and it'll come from one of those big studios. Not a, I actually don't think it'll be a new studio that raises money.”
Sahil Bloom Jul 21, 2022 ▶ 1:07:20 Betting Big on Web3 with Li Jin
Assertion Partly supported
Bloom: US Government Settled Ross Ulbricht's $193M Restitution Debt via Seized Bitcoin
“The U.S. Government has, like, basically secretly signed a deal with him that this one billion dollar bounty that they have found from a hack of the Silk Road, they are crediting towards his debts to the U.S. Government, and so he has now effectively paid back…”
Sahil Bloom May 26, 2022 ▶ 9:30 $30M by Age 19 — And Where You Should Build Today
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bloom: Ross Ulbricht Will Eventually Be Released From Prison
“I think there's, like, a broad case to be made that that he will get out at some point.”
Sahil Bloom May 26, 2022 ▶ 10:02 $30M by Age 19 — And Where You Should Build Today
Opinion
Bloom: Web3 Skews Too Far Toward Selling Over Building Products
“The web three space in general, I think has skewed too far to the cell and not enough to the build. So I think it's like a good call to arms in general to like throw a shot across the bow to the general industry of like, You know, there's so many of these comp…”
Sahil Bloom May 26, 2022 ▶ 16:03 $30M by Age 19 — And Where You Should Build Today
Assertion Supported
Bloom: US real estate depreciation lets multi-millionaires pay zero income tax
“We have friends who are like literally making multiple millions of dollars of cash income a year and paying zero dollars in taxes because they have all this depreciation off their real estate portfolios. It's like a well-known loophole that was created by the …”
Sahil Bloom May 5, 2022 ▶ 6:09 Why You Should Start a Business For Older Adults
Insight
Bloom: Holding excess cash and free time is a call option
“Cause to me, I think of cash as like a call option on future interesting opportunities. I like having more cash than anyone would say makes sense. And the reason I do that, I think of it as the same as free time, by the way, it's like now when something cool c…”
Sahil Bloom May 5, 2022 ▶ 25:34 Why You Should Start a Business For Older Adults
Insight
Bloom: High-revenue businesses with low customer affinity are prime unbundling targets
“Any business where people, there's tons of people and they made 1.7 billion dollars last year in revenue. And like any time that's the case and no one is proud to say they're affiliated with it, that seems like an opportunity just as a mental model.”
Sahil Bloom May 5, 2022 ▶ 1:13:24 Why You Should Start a Business For Older Adults
Opinion
Bloom: Carta's Equity Management Platform Sucks and Is Unintuitive
“Carta has tried to do it, but their platform sucks, man. When you go look at it and try to like manage your options on there, it's really not intuitive and non-educational to me.”
Sahil Bloom May 3, 2022 ▶ 11:35 Elon's Twitter Takeover and The Future of Social Media with Sriram Krishnan
Opinion
Bloom: Pre-Seed and Seed Valuations Will Avoid Massive Changes
“The, like, pre-seed seed market, it's just so long-term, and it's, you know, ten-plus-year horizons that I don't see a massive change in the valuations.”
Sahil Bloom May 3, 2022 ▶ 14:41 Elon's Twitter Takeover and The Future of Social Media with Sriram Krishnan

Show 24statements(120 left)

The other half of the tape: Sahil Bloom's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 40 times in 17 episodes on the Startup Ideas Podcast. 5 statements on the record name them. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Greg Isenberg 27Nick Huber 7Zach Pogrob 2Justin Welsh 1Julien Smith 1Erik Torenberg 1Andrew Wilkinson 1

Statements about Sahil Bloom, by other people (5)

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Isenberg: Top writers like Sahil Bloom make $5M a year
“Like, you used to get paid 50,000 dollars to write, and now the greatest writers, Sahil Blooms and the Nick Hubers, are getting paid five million dollars a year to write.”
Greg Isenberg Nov 16, 2023 ▶ 26:14 How To Make Money As A Creator | Nathan Barry (ConvertKit)
Insight
Traditional publishing functions like VC, requiring massive hits to avoid failure
“I think, you know, he, cause I'm assuming he got a like a publishing deal. Totally different. It's like venture backed versus bootstrap. Totally different set of expectations, right? He, his book needs to sell a million copies or it's a failure, right? Like VC…”
Nicolas Cole Aug 3, 2023 ▶ 51:22 Status Games, Fame, and the Truth about FIRE
Disclosure
Isenberg: Dropped $30,000 monthly podcast ad revenue to zero
“This podcast was making 30,000 dollars of revenue a month. When my co-host and I Sahil Bloom split up, I was like, I don't want to do ads. So I removed all the ads and I went from 30,000 dollars a month to zero.”
Greg Isenberg Apr 27, 2023 ▶ 2:11 Everything I learned this week
Insight
Morenstein: Strongly critical responses signal top fan behavior
“It took me a long time to realize it, but like, that's like one of your top fans. That is the behavior of literally a top fan.”
Harley Morenstein Sep 15, 2022 ▶ 52:50 How To Monetize On YouTube With Harley Morenstein
Assertion Supported
Isenberg: The '100K Club' Twitter chat sparked massive audience growth
“But yeah, we created this group chat. We called it initially the a hundred K club. It was like peak COVID. You know, summer, summer, I think, 2020 spring and summer 2020. And the idea was, how do we how do we build big audiences? We all had 10 to 15,000 Twitte…”
Greg Isenberg Mar 9, 2023 ▶ 4:43 Trung Phan on The Hustle, ChatGPT, and TikTok

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
008415820222023202420252026episodesmentions
04820222023202420252026episodes it came up in
00346820222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 2 mentions in 1 episode
2025 4 mentions in 1 episode
2024 10 mentions in 6 episodes 2 per episode
2023 13 mentions in 7 episodes 2 per episode
2022 11 mentions in 2 episodes 6 per episode

Appearances (34)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Sahil Bloom Gives You a Plan for 2026 Dec 15, 2025 30m
The Laws of Community Building with Natalie Ellis Sep 22, 2022 19m
How To Monetize On YouTube With Harley Morenstein Sep 15, 2022 16m
Winning at Startups and the Future of Culture Aug 25, 2022 28m
Investor Psychology & Trading on the Future With Raoul Pal Aug 18, 2022 13m
Betting Big on Web3 with Li Jin Jul 21, 2022 29m
Bootstrapping Through A Bear Market with Noah Kagan Jul 7, 2022 22m
How to Build a Brand of the Future Jun 23, 2022 19m
Predicting the Future of Web3 Jun 17, 2022 31m
$30M by Age 19 — And Where You Should Build Today May 26, 2022 33m
Why You Need A Digital Detox with Andrew Wilkinson May 19, 2022 25m
Why You Should Start a Business For Older Adults May 5, 2022 30m
Elon's Twitter Takeover and The Future of Social Media with Sriram Krishnan May 3, 2022 28m
From Community Manager to C-Suite | Jiho, Axie Infinity Apr 21, 2022 21m
How to Leverage Nostalgia and Win at Marketing with Danny Trinh Apr 14, 2022 25m
Common Traits of Legends with Ndamukong Suh Apr 7, 2022 26m
How to Engineer Serendipity | Matt Mullenweg, Automattic Mar 24, 2022 29m
How to Get Rich Building Boring Businesses | Codie Sanchez, Contrarian Thinking Mar 17, 2022 25m
Bootstrapping An Eight-Figure Business | Michael Martocci, SwagUp Mar 11, 2022 18m
Anything Is Possible with Dave Friedberg | Where It Happens Mar 3, 2022 15m
Personality-Market Fit | Nuseir Yassin, Nas Daily Feb 22, 2022 31m
Minting Billionaires and the Religion of Bitcoin | Meltem Demirors, CoinShares Feb 18, 2022 14m
Will Meta Bounce Back? (with Nikita Bier) | Where It Happens | Bonus Episode Feb 15, 2022 36m
Forget Zero Sum, Be Positive Sum with Harley Finkelstein | Where It Happens Feb 10, 2022 25m
The Wolf of All Streets, Scott Melker | Where It Happens Jan 27, 2022 21m
Memes Rule The World with Dogecoin Creator Billy Markus | Where It Happens Jan 19, 2022 34m
Forecasting the Future of Tech with Scott Belsky | Where It Happens Jan 11, 2022 29m
NFTs with Gary Vaynerchuk | Where It Happens Jan 6, 2022 10m
The Unlimited Potential of Web3 with Alexis Ohanian | Where It Happens Dec 23, 2021 25m
How to Become a Super Ball with Anthony Scaramucci | Where It Happens Dec 17, 2021 22m
State of the Union: DAOing the X Games | Where It Happens Dec 14, 2021 23m
Buying the X Games with Olympic Icon Apolo Ohno | Where It Happens Dec 10, 2021 34m
Reinventing Home Ownership and Concierge Businesses With Sam Parr | Where It Happens Dec 3, 2021 22m
The NSFW Framework & the Magic of Community-Product Fit with Amanda Goetz | Where It Happe Nov 18, 2021 22m

Played on the show (1)

Episodes where a recording of Sahil Bloom was played rather than Sahil taking part, or where the tape carries an address with nobody putting questions to them. Listed because the words are on the record, kept out of every score on this page because they were not said on this show. We read this off the tape: who was spoken to, who was asked something, who answered whom.

EpisodeDateOn tapeWhat it is
Keeping it Real with Danny Trinh Oct 11, 2022 2m clip played
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