| 50% | “50%” | Topol: Lifestyle modifications can reduce p-tau protein levels up to 80% | Dr. Eric Topol | May 27, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 80% | “80%” | Topol: Lifestyle modifications can reduce p-tau protein levels up to 80% | Dr. Eric Topol | May 27, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 14% | “14%” | Topol: Mass screening detects only 14% of cancers despite massive costs | Dr. Eric Topol | May 27, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 88% | “88%” | Topol: 88% of women will never get breast cancer | Dr. Eric Topol | May 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Acharya: Sovereign AI cluster announcements reach $100B-$250B globally | Anish Acharya | May 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Acharya: ChatGPT has roughly 500 million monthly active users | Anish Acharya | May 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “a percent” | Clark: System trust, not performance, limits enterprise AI value | Scott Clark | May 23, 2025 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Appenzeller: Basic copilots boost enterprise developer productivity by 15 percent | Guido Appenzeller | May 16, 2025 | — |
| 0.01% | “0.01%” | Appenzeller: Novel coding lacking AI training data is only 0.01% of development | Guido Appenzeller | May 16, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | McNally: 40% of DIU Contract Winners Are First-Time DoD Vendors | Liz Young McNally | May 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $200B | “two hundred billion dollars” | Most skilled US defense manufacturing workers are 62 years old | Chris Power | May 1, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1.5M | “half a million” | Hadrian will launch two 500,000-square-foot manufacturing facilities next year | Chris Power | May 1, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Hadrian waited months for Los Angeles power permits after fast construction | Chris Power | May 1, 2025 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Halozyme guides to $1 billion in revenue in coming years | Jonathan Lim | Apr 30, 2025 | Held up |
| 20% | “20%” | Checkpoint inhibitors achieve long-term cures in roughly 20% of patients | Jonathan Lim | Apr 30, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Lim: My Penguin Friend was shot 80% with real penguins | Jonathan Lim | Apr 30, 2025 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Lim: My Penguin Friend was shot 80% with real penguins | Jonathan Lim | Apr 30, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Lim: My Penguin Friend was shot 80% with real penguins | Jonathan Lim | Apr 30, 2025 | — |
| 1K | “A thousand” | Andreessen: Traditional VCs viewed investing like picking items from a sushi boat | Marc Andreessen | Apr 29, 2025 | — |
| 400M | “a three hundred million” | Horowitz: a16z founders took zero management pay from $300M Fund 1 | Ben Horowitz | Apr 29, 2025 | — |
| 65M | “sixty-five million” | Horowitz: a16z invested $65M into Skype in Fund 1 | Ben Horowitz | Apr 29, 2025 | — |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Horowitz: Historically only 15 startups per year reached $100M revenue | Ben Horowitz | Apr 29, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $8B | “eight billion dollars” | Burgum: Over $8B in VC funding has gone into small modular nuclear | Doug Burgum | Apr 23, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 3× | “three times” | Burgum: Offshore wind is three times as expensive as onshore wind | Doug Burgum | Apr 23, 2025 | Supported |
| $300B | “three hundred billion dollars” | Burgum: Top five tech companies spending $300B capex on AI and energy | Doug Burgum | Apr 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Burgum: China controls 85% of global rare earth refining | Doug Burgum | Apr 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Burgum: China added 100 gigawatts of coal power in 12 months | Doug Burgum | Apr 23, 2025 | Open |
| 60% | “60%” | Burgum: China added 100 gigawatts of coal power in 12 months | Doug Burgum | Apr 23, 2025 | Open |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Brose: Defense tech reached billion-dollar milestones faster than expected | Christian Brose | Apr 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Vance: US builds only five commercial ships per year | J.D. Vance | Apr 23, 2025 | Open |
| 94% | “94%” | Vance: Migrant border crossings dropped 94 percent last month | J.D. Vance | Apr 23, 2025 | Supported |
| $1.7T | “1.7 trillion dollars” | Vance: Trump secured $1.7 trillion in new domestic investments | J.D. Vance | Apr 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 96% | “96%” | Sankar: In 1969, 96% of Intel's sales went to defense and Apollo | Shyam Sankar | Apr 23, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 11% | “11%” | Sankar: DoD 5000 acquisition guidelines expanded from seven to over 2,000 pages | Shyam Sankar | Apr 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Sankar: U.S. Navy nuclear safety standards are 100x stricter than civilian standards | Shyam Sankar | Apr 23, 2025 | — |
| 94% | “94%” | Horowitz: Las Vegas leads US with 94% murder clearance rate | Ben Horowitz | Apr 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 75% | “75%” | Horowitz: Las Vegas leads US with 94% murder clearance rate | Ben Horowitz | Apr 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Shortal: Defense tech markets deliver a winner-take-most 90/10 value distribution | Matt Shortal | Apr 21, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Shortal: Defense tech markets deliver a winner-take-most 90/10 value distribution | Matt Shortal | Apr 21, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Yudis: Applied Intuition's defense autonomy code is 90% identical to commercial | Qasar Younis | Apr 14, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Brown: Applied Intuition defense work is split evenly between retrofits and new | Jason Brown | Apr 14, 2025 | — |
| $50M | “fifty million dollars” | Yudis: Applied Intuition spent $750 million building its core simulation software | Qasar Younis | Apr 14, 2025 | — |
| $10B | “ten billion dollars” | Brown: The top 98 VC-backed defense startups capture 1% of DoD budget | Jason Brown | Apr 14, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1% | “one percent” | Brown: The top 98 VC-backed defense startups capture 1% of DoD budget | Jason Brown | Apr 14, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 100% | “100%” | Yudis: 100% of global automotive OEMs are actively developing autonomy solutions | Qasar Younis | Apr 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Bry: Mass AI Drone Swarms Will Outperform Multi-Billion-Dollar Legacy Weapons | Adam Bry | Apr 11, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Bry: Commercial Drone Light Show Technology Is Irrelevant in Modern Warfare | Adam Bry | Apr 11, 2025 | — |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Tan: BPO market will grow from $300B today to $500B by 2030 | Kimberly Tan | Apr 3, 2025 | Held up |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Tan: BPO market will grow from $300B today to $500B by 2030 | Kimberly Tan | Apr 3, 2025 | Held up |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Fanelli: Navy is consolidating 1,000 identity solutions into Naval Identity Service | Justin Fanelli | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Navy CTO: Defense Startup CEOs Must Embed With Users Before Hiring Sales | Justin Fanelli | Apr 2, 2025 | — |
| 21% | “21%” | Miller: U.S. Army Receives 21% of Defense Budget with <50% Flexibility | Alex Miller | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Miller: U.S. Army Receives 21% of Defense Budget with <50% Flexibility | Alex Miller | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Fanelli: Defense Innovation Unit Accounts for Under 1% of Defense Budget | Justin Fanelli | Apr 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Moore: Around 95% of YC startups build using AI development tools | Olivia Moore | Mar 26, 2025 | — |
| 150M | “a hundred fifty million” | Moore: Around 150 million people used Snapchat's MyAI chatbot | Olivia Moore | Mar 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred-x” | Moore: OpenAI Deep Research is 100x better than Know Your Meme | Olivia Moore | Mar 26, 2025 | — |
| 200M | “two hundred million” | Moore: ChatGPT doubled weekly active users to 400M in six months | Olivia Moore | Mar 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 400M | “four hundred million” | Moore: ChatGPT doubled weekly active users to 400M in six months | Olivia Moore | Mar 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Moore: DeepSeek reached #2 AI web product within a week of launch | Olivia Moore | Mar 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Moore: DeepSeek mobile app achieves 7% 30-day retention versus ChatGPT's 9% | Olivia Moore | Mar 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 9% | “nine percent” | Moore: DeepSeek mobile app achieves 7% 30-day retention versus ChatGPT's 9% | Olivia Moore | Mar 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Moore: Top AI mobile apps by usage and revenue only overlap 40% | Olivia Moore | Mar 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 9M | “nine million” | Zeno Rocha's Dracula code theme has reached 9 million users | Zeno Rocha | Mar 21, 2025 | Supported |
| 5× | “five times” | Mensch: Mistral Sabah outperforms Arabic AI models five times its size | Arthur Mensch | Mar 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Mensch: Closed-source AI models are unfit for high-certainty applications | Arthur Mensch | Mar 20, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Batniji: 39% of Medicaid acute care is avoidable, triple commercial rates | Rajaie Batniji | Mar 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 39% | “39%” | Batniji: 39% of Medicaid acute care is avoidable, triple commercial rates | Rajaie Batniji | Mar 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 3× | “three times” | Batniji: 39% of Medicaid acute care is avoidable, triple commercial rates | Rajaie Batniji | Mar 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 23% | “23%” | Batniji: Waymark reduced Medicaid acute care by 23% and hospitalizations by 48% | Rajaie Batniji | Mar 20, 2025 | Supported |
| 48% | “48%” | Batniji: Waymark reduced Medicaid acute care by 23% and hospitalizations by 48% | Rajaie Batniji | Mar 20, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Batniji: Waymark's ML model boosts acute care prediction accuracy to 90% | Rajaie Batniji | Mar 20, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Batniji: Waymark's ML model boosts acute care prediction accuracy to 90% | Rajaie Batniji | Mar 20, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Moore: Up to 25% of recent YC startups build with AI voice | Olivia Moore | Mar 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Moore: AI voice companions offer superior availability and empathy to human friends | Olivia Moore | Mar 18, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Moore: AI voice agents outperform humans on awkward sales upsells | Olivia Moore | Mar 18, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Moore: Businesses expect 70% discount when replacing human agents with AI | Olivia Moore | Mar 18, 2025 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Kumar: Multi-step AI agents need 99% reliability for daily adoption | Ankit Kumar | Mar 15, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “hundred million” | Biilmann: 100 million new AI-assisted developers will emerge within five years | Matt Biilmann | Mar 7, 2025 | — |
| $60M | “sixty million dollars” | Appenzeller: Generating human reasoning traces for AI training would cost $60 million | Guido Appenzeller | Mar 5, 2025 | — |
| $5.5M | “5.5 million dollars” | Appenzeller: DeepSeek spent $5.5 million at market rates to train V3 | Guido Appenzeller | Mar 5, 2025 | Supported |
| $3M | “three million dollars” | Appenzeller: Pre-training Meta's Llama models cost slightly over $3 million | Guido Appenzeller | Mar 5, 2025 | — |
| 20× | “20 times” | Appenzeller: Switching to reasoning models would increase inference compute needs 20x | Guido Appenzeller | Mar 5, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Long: Nearly 90% of cyberattacks still originate through human vectors | Brian C. Long | Feb 28, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 4× | “four X” | Long: Social engineering attacks rose over 4x since ChatGPT launch | Brian C. Long | Feb 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Long: 90% of legacy cybersecurity training content is irrelevant | Brian C. Long | Feb 28, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Webster: DeepSeek performs 20% worse than GPT on jailbreak benchmarks | AI Security Researcher | Feb 28, 2025 | — |
| 85% | “85%” | Webster: DeepSeek hard-censors 85% of politically sensitive topics in Promptfoo benchmark | Ian Webster | Feb 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Ian Webster: OpenAI's GPT refuses ~40% of sensitive Chinese political prompts | Ian Webster | Feb 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Ian Webster: OpenAI's GPT refuses ~40% of sensitive Chinese political prompts | Ian Webster | Feb 28, 2025 | Supported |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Dixon: OpenAI paid Shutterstock $100M for data licensing deal | Chris Dixon | Feb 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10× | “10 times” | George: Waymo autonomous vehicles are 7-10x safer than human drivers | David George | Feb 20, 2025 | Open |
| 137% | “137%” | Sivulka: Hebbia enables firms to screen 137% more deal opportunities | George Sivulka | Feb 14, 2025 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Sivulka: B2B enterprise AI apps are becoming feature-bloated like Salesforce | George Sivulka | Feb 14, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Sivulka: AI agents will contribute over 50% of global GDP within a decade | George Sivulka | Feb 14, 2025 | Open |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Sinofsky: $1T market selloff over DeepSeek was a complete overreaction | Steven Sinofsky | Feb 6, 2025 | — |
| $6M | “six million dollars” | Casado: DeepSeek's $6M reasoning model cost aligns with OpenAI and Anthropic | Martin Casado | Feb 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Sinofsky: Endpoint devices will eventually surpass centralized data center compute capacity | Steven Sinofsky | Feb 6, 2025 | — |
| $40B | “forty billion dollars” | Sinofsky: Microsoft spent $30B to $40B developing Bing | Steven Sinofsky | Feb 6, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 35% | “35%” | Sinofsky: DeepSeek DAUs reached roughly 35% of OpenAI's total | Steven Sinofsky | Feb 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Sinofsky: AI TAM will grow 100x, with revenue captured primarily by applications | Steven Sinofsky | Feb 6, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Schimpf: Selling to the Pentagon is only 30% harder than commercial sales | Brian Schimpf | Jan 28, 2025 | — |
| 5× | “five X” | Schimpf: Selling to the Pentagon is only 30% harder than commercial sales | Brian Schimpf | Jan 28, 2025 | — |
| 2% | “2%” | Schimpf: Defense budget allocates under 0.2% to modern autonomous systems | Brian Schimpf | Jan 28, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Schimpf: Pentagon oversight bureaucrats outnumber accountable leaders 10 to 1 | Brian Schimpf | Jan 28, 2025 | — |
| 2× | “two X” | Strange: AI agents could increase software revenue 10x | Angela Strange | Jan 14, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Strange: AI agents could increase software revenue 10x | Angela Strange | Jan 14, 2025 | — |
| 4.7M | “4.7 million” | Rampell: U.S. nurse wage market exceeds $600B per year | Alex Rampell | Jan 14, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $600B | “six hundred billion dollars” | Rampell: U.S. nurse wage market exceeds $600B per year | Alex Rampell | Jan 14, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $600B | “six hundred billion dollars” | Rampell: Worldwide software market is under $600 billion | Alex Rampell | Jan 14, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 80% | “80%” | Strange: 80% of Toast's revenue comes from financial services | Angela Strange | Jan 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 300B | “a two hundred billion” | Rampell: Salesforce risks losing revenue or 10x-ing depending on AI transition | Alex Rampell | Jan 14, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Rampell: Salesforce risks losing revenue or 10x-ing depending on AI transition | Alex Rampell | Jan 14, 2025 | — |
| 4M | “four million” | Haber: Tenor reduces patient intake admin costs by 90% | David Haber | Jan 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Haber: Tenor reduces patient intake admin costs by 90% | David Haber | Jan 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 2× | “two X” | Strange: Core software replacement in fintech failed from lack of 10x improvement | Angela Strange | Jan 14, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Strange: Core software replacement in fintech failed from lack of 10x improvement | Angela Strange | Jan 14, 2025 | — |
| $200M | “two hundred million dollars” | Midha: ASML EUV lithography machines cost approximately $200 million each | Anjney Midha | Jan 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 11× | “11 X” | Schmidt: a16z invested in 11x as sales automation demand reaches record highs | Joe Schmidt | Dec 23, 2024 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Schmidt: AI automation expands small agency profit margins from 5% to 30% | Joe Schmidt | Dec 23, 2024 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Schmidt: AI automation expands small agency profit margins from 5% to 30% | Joe Schmidt | Dec 23, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Tan: Legacy RPA fails 20% of the time, requiring manual intervention | Kimberly Tan | Dec 20, 2024 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Tan: Legacy RPA fails 20% of the time, requiring manual intervention | Kimberly Tan | Dec 20, 2024 | — |
| 45% | “45%” | Yoo: 45% of U.S. physicians are currently over age 60 | Julie Yoo | Dec 18, 2024 | Contradicted |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Yoo: 7% of active U.S. physicians recently quit clinical practice | Julie Yoo | Dec 18, 2024 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Yoo: Up to 50% of a clinician's job is administrative work | Julie Yoo | Dec 18, 2024 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Yoo: Most hospitals have 10% to 20% open headcount constantly | Julie Yoo | Dec 18, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Yoo: Healthcare spends only 2% to 5% of budget on IT | Julie Yoo | Dec 18, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Yoo: Healthcare spends only 2% to 5% of budget on IT | Julie Yoo | Dec 18, 2024 | Partly supported |
| $500M | “five hundred million dollars” | Amble: A top-20 accounting firm is prepared to spend $500M on software | Seema Amble | Dec 17, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Andrusko: Tax returns and audits require 100% accuracy from AI | Marc Andrusko | Dec 17, 2024 | — |
| $3B | “three billion dollars” | Strange: TD Bank Fined $3 Billion Over Compliance Alert Backlog | Angela Strange | Dec 16, 2024 | Supported |
| 15% | “15%” | Strange: Up to 15% of large bank staff works in compliance | Angela Strange | Dec 16, 2024 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Strange: SBA loans take 90 days due to 1,000-page compliance documentation | Angela Strange | Dec 16, 2024 | Supported |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Horowitz: Onboarding a $1k customer takes similar effort to a $100k customer | Eliot Horowitz | Dec 13, 2024 | — |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Wickramasekara: Benchling has 800 employees and spends $100M annually on R&D | Sajith Wickramasekara | Dec 12, 2024 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Wickramasekara: Benchling has 800 employees and spends $100M annually on R&D | Sajith Wickramasekara | Dec 12, 2024 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Wickramasekara: Bio AI models will 10x therapeutic molecule ideas | Sajith Wickramasekara | Dec 12, 2024 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Wickramasekara: 60% of Benchling customers' laboratory instruments are unconnected | Sajith Wickramasekara | Dec 12, 2024 | — |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Wickramasekara: Scaling Benchling to $1M ARR was 100x harder than scaling further | Sajith Wickramasekara | Dec 12, 2024 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Zapier had 1,000 paying beta users when Y Combinator finally accepted them | Wade Foster | Dec 11, 2024 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Immerman: 10% of consumers name ChatGPT as primary search engine | Alex Immerman | Dec 9, 2024 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Immerman: Perplexity search queries are growing 25% to 30% monthly | Alex Immerman | Dec 9, 2024 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Immerman: Google controls 90% of the search market | Alex Immerman | Dec 9, 2024 | Supported |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Immerman: Google approaches $200B annual search revenue with double-digit growth | Alex Immerman | Dec 9, 2024 | Supported |
| 12B | “twelve billion” | Immerman: Microsoft Bing generates $12B revenue with mid-single-digit market share | Alex Immerman | Dec 9, 2024 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Immerman: 60% of consumers used chatbots for recent purchase decisions | Alex Immerman | Dec 9, 2024 | Contradicted |
| 1B | “a billion” | Immerman: Google AI Overviews has reached 1 billion monthly active users | Alex Immerman | Dec 9, 2024 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Immerman: Meta AI services have reached 500 million monthly active users | Alex Immerman | Dec 9, 2024 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Immerman: Apple could gain 1 billion search users overnight | Alex Immerman | Dec 9, 2024 | — |
| $10B | “ten billion dollars” | a16z's Sima: Gusto is valued at nearly $10B with 300,000 businesses | Seema Amble | Dec 5, 2024 | Supported |
| $500B | “five hundred billion dollars” | Seema Amble: Annual US marketing spend exceeds $500 billion | Seema Amble | Nov 21, 2024 | Supported |
| $1.5B | “a half billion dollars” | Sheriff McMahill: LVMPD operates on $1.5B budget, 90% spent on salaries | Sheriff Kevin McMahill | Nov 18, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Sheriff McMahill: Las Vegas homicides dropped 20% last year to 148 | Sheriff Kevin McMahill | Nov 18, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Horowitz: Hope for Prisoners program achieves sub-10% recidivism rate | Ben Horowitz | Nov 18, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Sheriff McMahill: 75% to 80% of Las Vegas crime occurs in 10 hotspots | Sheriff Kevin McMahill | Nov 18, 2024 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Chief Gennaro: LVMPD 911 center reached 100% staffing, sub-10-second response times | Chief Mike Gennaro | Nov 18, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Chief Gennaro: Some US police departments have homicide closure rates near 30% | Chief Mike Gennaro | Nov 18, 2024 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Chief Gennaro: Some US police departments have homicide closure rates near 30% | Chief Mike Gennaro | Nov 18, 2024 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Chief Gennaro: Some career criminals spend 80% of their adult life incarcerated | Chief Mike Gennaro | Nov 18, 2024 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Sheriff McMahill: Southern Nevada meth labs dropped from nearly 1,000 to one | Sheriff Kevin McMahill | Nov 18, 2024 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 40% | “40%” | Beckman: 40% of Thatch users roll over unspent healthcare dollars monthly | Adam Beckman | Nov 14, 2024 | — |
| 0.4% | “0.4%” | Andreessen: Less than 0.4% of CHIPS Act funding has been disbursed | Marc Andreessen | Nov 12, 2024 | Supported |
| $5M | “five million dollars” | Marc Andreessen: AI bot Truth Terminal holds $5M in Goat Coin | Marc Andreessen | Nov 5, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Andreessen: Only 6% of Americans Share Ideology Built Into Social Media | Marc Andreessen | Nov 5, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Andreessen: US-China competition is Cold War II and century's defining conflict | Marc Andreessen | Nov 5, 2024 | — |
| 1,400% | “1400%” | Balasubramaniyan: Deepfakes surged 1,400% in the first half of 2024 | Vijay Balasubramaniyan | Oct 30, 2024 | Partly supported |
| $1.5B | “half a billion dollars” | Balasubramaniyan: Japanese 'Ori Ori Sagi' scam cost citizens $500M | Vijay Balasubramaniyan | Oct 30, 2024 | Supported |
| 99% | “99%” | Balasubramaniyan: Pindrop detects voice deepfakes with 99% accuracy, 1% false positives | Vijay Balasubramaniyan | Oct 30, 2024 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Balasubramaniyan: Pindrop detects voice deepfakes with 99% accuracy, 1% false positives | Vijay Balasubramaniyan | Oct 30, 2024 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Balasubramaniyan: Biden robocall watermark test yielded only 2% recovery | Vijay Balasubramaniyan | Oct 30, 2024 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Balasubramaniyan: AI deepfake detection is 100x cheaper than generation | Vijay Balasubramaniyan | Oct 30, 2024 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Horowitz: U.S. AI policy focuses on software instead of robotics hardware | Ben Horowitz | Oct 29, 2024 | — |
| $300M | “three hundred million dollars” | Andreessen: Valueless meme coin grew to $300M market cap in four days | Marc Andreessen | Oct 22, 2024 | Supported |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Truth Terminal paid its creator $1,000 to integrate an image generator | Marc Andreessen | Oct 22, 2024 | Partly supported |
| $300M | “three hundred million dollars” | Andreessen: Current regulations permit launching valueless $300M meme coins | Marc Andreessen | Oct 22, 2024 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Lisa Su: AMD held 1% server market share at Zen launch | Lisa Su | Oct 17, 2024 | Supported |
| 2.8B | “2.8 billion” | Ganguli: ESM-3 model trained on 2.8 billion amino acid sequences | Surya Ganguli | Oct 3, 2024 | Supported |
| $2.5B | “2.5 billion dollars” | Ganguli: Bringing a drug to market costs $2.5B and takes 10–15 years | Surya Ganguli | Oct 3, 2024 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Ganguli: 90% of drug candidates fail to achieve FDA approval | Surya Ganguli | Oct 3, 2024 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Pande: 80% of late-stage drug failures stem from flawed biology | Vijay Pande | Oct 3, 2024 | Open |
| 4B | “four billion” | Ganguli: Evolutionary robustness proves low-dimensional structure controls biological function | Surya Ganguli | Oct 3, 2024 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Ganguli: 80% of clinical trials fail to meet enrollment targets | Surya Ganguli | Oct 3, 2024 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Schmidt: Zeroth-Order Optimization Requires 1,000x More Computation Than Backpropagation | Jeff Schmidt | Oct 1, 2024 | — |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Schmidt: Zeroth-Order Optimization Requires 1,000x More Computation Than Backpropagation | Jeff Schmidt | Oct 1, 2024 | — |
| 30B | “thirty billion” | Wang: Big Tech CEOs face existential risk if they miss AI leadership | Alexandr Wang | Sep 24, 2024 | — |
| 5× | “five X” | Wang: Scale AI grew revenue 6x while keeping headcount flat | Alexandr Wang | Sep 24, 2024 | — |
| 6× | “six X” | Wang: Scale AI grew revenue 6x while keeping headcount flat | Alexandr Wang | Sep 24, 2024 | — |
| 61M | “a sixty million” | Justin Johnson: AlexNet trained for six days on two consumer GPUs | Justin Johnson | Sep 20, 2024 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Yoo: Labor Accounts for 60% of Healthcare Budgets, IT Only 10% | Julie Yoo | Sep 5, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Yoo: Labor Accounts for 60% of Healthcare Budgets, IT Only 10% | Julie Yoo | Sep 5, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Vijay Pande: Compute costs will fall a million-fold over 20 years | Vijay Pande | Sep 5, 2024 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Vijay Pande: Compute costs will fall a million-fold over 20 years | Vijay Pande | Sep 5, 2024 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Pande: Healthcare AI needs a 10x improvement threshold to overcome stigma | Vijay Pande | Sep 5, 2024 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Pande: Healthcare AI needs a 10x improvement threshold to overcome stigma | Vijay Pande | Sep 5, 2024 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Yoo: 30 to 40% of hospital inbound calls only require basic lookups | Julie Yoo | Sep 5, 2024 | — |
| 15M | “fifteen million” | Waymo has completed over 15 million fully autonomous rider-only miles | Dmitry Dolgov | Aug 5, 2024 | — |
| 2× | “two X” | Dolgov: Waymo driverless cars cut injury crashes by 3.5x | Dmitry Dolgov | Aug 5, 2024 | Supported |
| 76% | “76%” | Dolgov: Swiss Re study showed zero bodily injury claims for Waymo | Dmitry Dolgov | Aug 5, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Dolgov: Swiss Re study showed zero bodily injury claims for Waymo | Dmitry Dolgov | Aug 5, 2024 | Partly supported |
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