Dmitry Dolgov is co-CEO of Waymo. He discusses the scale of Waymo's autonomous vehicle testing, comparing real-world rider-only miles to simulated miles.
Insight
Dolgov: End-to-end AI models alone cannot achieve full autonomous driving
“You can take, you know, an end-to-end model, go from sensor to, you know, trajectories or actuation. You know, typically you don't build them in one stage, you build them in stages, but, you know, you can do, like, backprop through the whole thing, so, you kno…”
Prediction Held up
Dolgov: Waymo will continue using LiDAR, radar, and cameras together
“So yeah, I think the trend, you know, for us that we'll, you know, using all three modalities just, you know, makes a lot of sense.”
Insight
Dolgov: Distilling huge AI models beats training small models directly
“Where you're much better off training a huge model and then distilling it into a smaller model than just training small models.”
Assertion Supported
Dolgov: Waymo driverless cars cut injury crashes by 3.5x
“And I think 3.5 acts as the reduction in injury. And that's about two X reduction in the police reportable kind of lower severity incidents.”
Assertion Partly supported
Dolgov: Swiss Re study showed zero bodily injury claims for Waymo
“We published a joint study with a Swiss RE. Which is, I think, the largest global reinsurer in the world, and the way they look at it is, you know, who contributed to an event, and there we saw, ah, like the same theme, but the numbers were, ah, very strong, t…”
Disclosure
Dolgov: Waymo is combining autonomous driving AI with vision-language models
“So that, that's what we've been very focused on that Waymo most recently is taking kind of the AI backbone and all of the AI, the Waymo AI that is over the years we've built up that is really proficient at this task of autonomous driving and combining it with …”