why aren't all 21 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Koppelman: Decentralized platforms will replace Uber, Airbnb, and eBay
“We assume that every platform that exists today, Uber, Airbnb, eBay, Will be replaced eventually by decentralized platforms and gnosis is a platform decentralized platform for prediction markets”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Greenberg: Algopix is the only provider of multi-marketplace transactional market share data
“We're actually the only ones who provide market share insights into sales that occur on amazon.com as well as Walmart, eBay, Google Shopping, etc. There are other players that do only one of these platforms, usually it's Amazon, and they're basing their data o…”
Opinion
The Amazon-to-eBay retail arbitrage market is heavily saturated and exhausted
“Amazon to eBay, it's definitely kind of exhausted. There's a lot of sellers doing it.”
Disclosure
Zinc bought cheap eBay items to acquire dropshipper phone numbers
“So for a while you're actually just buying stuff from eBay from almost every seller. And we would, you know, our office was basically filled with junk. We threw a couple office parties where we just gave away lots of stuff and it would be like the cheapest thi…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zinc holds under 15% of the Amazon-to-eBay arbitrage software market
“In terms of the market, we probably have less than 15% of it in terms of Amazon to eBay.”
Insight
Kilkka: Power tools created the best arbitrage opportunity due to model consistency
“So with tower tools, you've got great model numbers. It's very consistent. You have like dozens of very high quality sellers on eBay. You have customers who typically are more like power buyers, you know, they, it's not their first power tool they've ever owne…”
Insight
Scaling ad spend within the eBay seller niche will degrade CAC
“We are laser focused on making the lights of eBay seller much easier, but you know, there's an X amount of eBay sellers out there. So yeah, Even if you want to pour in more money, we will lose the focus in terms of conversion. I mean, our CAC will go up. So we…”
Assertion Contradicted
Latka: PayPal began as an online community for eBay sellers
“Look at PayPal started as a community for eBay sellers. I mean, every big business start off as a, like a forum or community of somehow, some kind.”
Assertion Supported
Joost de Valk: Consulted on SEO for eBay, Facebook, and The Guardian
“I was working for some of the biggest brands on the planet. I've done SEO for eBay, the guardian, Facebook. So I let the migration from guardian co UK to the guardian.com.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Carruthers: Voxpopme's client base is 45% brands, 45% agencies, 10% partnerships
“Our clients really break down into three cohorts. The first being like major brands. So people like Microsoft, eBay, Verizon using this technology extensively. Then we power a lot of the market research agencies. So people like Kantar and Nielsen and the big r…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kilkka: Power tool arbitrage generated over $1M in sales over three years
“Definitely more than a million in sales.
Okay.
Dollar sales.”
Opinion
Kilkka: Programmatic cross-marketplace arbitrage opportunities still exist across the board
“But I think there are still opportunities like that across the board if you know how to look for them, especially if you're able to programmatically look for them.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sun sold $3M in servers on eBay during Beanie Baby era
“Sun Microsystems was our biggest seller. So we said, wow, that's amazing. And they had sold like three million dollars worth of servers on eBay. This is when eBay was largely beanie babies.”
Disclosure
Crazy Lister will prove non-eBay traction before raising small round
“So what we decided to do is to first prove traction beyond eBay, and then raise raise not that big of a round from smaller investors to sustain this growth.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
eBay and Flipkart are among Frrole's enterprise customers
“Take a retailer, for example, you know eBay Flipkart, et cetera, our customers.”
Disclosure
Invesp charges a minimum $8,000 monthly retainer for optimization services
“I can't speak specifically, but let's say like one of our regular customers eBay, for example, I mean, the minimum we charge is around 8000 dollars and goes up from there based on the complexity of the project.”
Disclosure
Kilkka: Arbitrage System Initially Required at Least a $5 Price Spread
“We set certain parameters, like we needed at least a five dollar price difference to make it even worthwhile. And then we increased that over time.”
Assertion Supported
Eyeview pivoted to adtech because on-site video personalization lacked revenue potential
“In the beginning we went to clients like eBay and said, Hey, why don't we make a video for every type of a product you have? So we sold this personalization in their website. But then we realized there's not a lot of money there, and actually our clients said,…”
Disclosure
Prusz: WPP bids through Rubicon Project for Wall Street Journal, Spotify, and eBay
“So you have WPP, which is the world's largest agency holding company bidding on behalf of thousands of advertisers. They'll bid through our platform on publishers such as Wall Street Journal, eBay, Spotify, NBC even the most premium brands in the business.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Le Moal: PayPal's entire European team was three people in 2004
“PayPal literally, you know, in 2004, it was three people in a corner office in Richmond south of London, and they were looking for someone to do a market study about the potential for PayPal outside of eBay.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Larsson generated $50,000 to $100,000 monthly as an early eBay PowerSeller
“I was a platinum power seller, so we were doing between, you know, 50,000 and a 100,000 dollars a month back in, back then”