U.S.

also referred to as: the u.s.

58 statements across 41 episodes · 16 bullish · 11 bearish · 35 people on the record · first statement Jan 24, 2022 by Rebecca Dell · across every show →

Everything said about U.S., oldest first

Jan 24, 2022 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Dell: Only 4% of US Post-Consumer Plastic Is Actually Recycled
“Here in the U.S., The EPA estimates that only eight or nine percent of plastic is collected for recycling at the end of its life, and then only about half of that actually gets recycled, and the thing and the product that we get at, out of the end, at the end …”
Rebecca Dell Jan 24, 2022 ▶ 58:00 The many pathways to decarbonizing chemicals
Apr 14, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Specht: Plant-based meat is 1.5% of US meat, plant milk is 16%
“Right now in the U.S., which is where we have the best the best market share data, plant-based meats are at somewhere around 1.5% of the total meat market, but plant-based milks are closer to 16 or so percent of the total fluid milk market.”
Liz Specht Apr 14, 2022 ▶ 5:57 Alternative protein: it’s what’s for dinner
Jul 1, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kann: The US will not build much more pumped hydro storage
“Well much as I love pumped hydro storage I just realistically don't think we're gonna add a whole lot more of it, certainly here in the U.S., so I'm not gonna put any of my money into that solution, though it is probably the most mature and maybe the cheapest,…”
Shayle Kann Jul 1, 2022 ▶ 40:41 How to Save a Planet: Spark Tank! How Do We Solve the Energy Storage Problem?
Aug 11, 2022 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Bowe: EV Share of New Car Sales Is ~30% in Europe, 5-6% in US
“You know, we're almost up to thirty-ish percent of New vehicle sales in Europe are EVs. We're more kind of five, six percent in the U.S.”
Cassie Bowe Aug 11, 2022 ▶ 4:29 Will charging infrastructure be a bottleneck for electric vehicles?
Sep 22, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Yergin: Europe is entering recession and US will likely follow
“And so I think certainly Europe's going into recession, and a pretty high expectation that the U.S. Will be in a recession, and that's now permeating the oil price”
Dr. Daniel Yergin Sep 22, 2022 ▶ 33:56 Columbia Energy Exchange: Will Putin’s Energy Strategy Backfire?
Sep 22, 2022 bearish
Insight
Yergin: WTO consensus is over, replaced by US-China competition
“Well, that's gone. That is gone. It is now the era of great power competition, and that's the U.S. Versus China.”
Dr. Daniel Yergin Sep 22, 2022 ▶ 26:50 Columbia Energy Exchange: Will Putin’s Energy Strategy Backfire?
Sep 22, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Yergin: US copper production has declined by half
“I mean, U.S. Copper production has gone down by half.”
Dr. Daniel Yergin Sep 22, 2022 ▶ 51:02 Columbia Energy Exchange: Will Putin’s Energy Strategy Backfire?
Oct 13, 2022 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Peterson: The United States holds the world's largest exclusive economic zone
“The U.S. Has the largest EEZ in the world”
Alyssa Peterson Oct 13, 2022 ▶ 7:57 What climatetech can learn from the oceans
Oct 27, 2022 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2037
Steele: Nigeria's Population Will Surpass the US in the Next 15 Years
“In the next 15 years, Nigeria's population is going to pass the U.S., So it'll be the third most populous country in the world.”
Kate Steele Oct 27, 2022 ▶ 46:21 Climatetech for developing economies
Oct 27, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Steele: Electric transit may scale faster in East Africa than the US
“Electric motorbikes and electric public transit, I think is going to happen possibly faster in places like East Africa than in May in the U.S.”
Kate Steele Oct 27, 2022 ▶ 39:04 Climatetech for developing economies
Nov 3, 2022
Assertion Supported
Reed: FERC has held federal gas pipeline siting authority for over 80 years
“For natural gas infrastructure in the U.S., that happens at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. They've had this authority for more than 80 years that pipelines used in interstate commerce are cited at the federal level”
Liza Reed Nov 3, 2022 ▶ 53:32 Getting more energy on the wires
Nov 10, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lubershain: Heat pumps comprise 40% of new US heating and cooling installations
“Overall, across the U.S., it's around 40%, but that's predominantly because of another sort of magical property of heat pumps, which is that the same system can be used bidirectionally if it's designed appropriately, which means that you can use one heat pump …”
Andy Lubershane Nov 10, 2022 ▶ 22:20 Unleashing the magic of heat pumps
Dec 1, 2022 negative
Opinion
Chase: Current home battery software cannot economically optimize dispatch
“Batteries for residential solar systems are becoming standard offers in Europe and in the U.S., Frankly, some of the sales proposals are of indifferent veracity, and the current software isn't up to economically optimizing when batteries charge and discharge.”
Jenny Chase Dec 1, 2022 ▶ 35:19 Unpopular solar opinions, 2022 edition
Dec 1, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kann: US home batteries lack economic value; rely on resiliency pitch
“When residential batteries emerged as a market in the U.S., you know, it was true in most places initially, and even through to today in most parts of the country, there's not really an economic value proposition there. For a behind the meter battery, it's the…”
Shayle Kann Dec 1, 2022 ▶ 37:20 Unpopular solar opinions, 2022 edition
Dec 1, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kann: US Congress almost never repeals existing tax credits early
“One is, in the U.S., we have a great track record of never, basically never pulling back on existing tax credits once they exist. We sometimes don't extend them, but it'd be very difficult to point to a situation in which there has been a tax credit in place s…”
Shayle Kann Dec 1, 2022 ▶ 30:39 Unpopular solar opinions, 2022 edition
Jan 5, 2023 bearish
Prediction Held up
Friedmann: Global ammonia trade will rely on ships, not pipelines
“There are not going to be huge amounts of ammonia pipelines going around the world. Like, we're not going to see that. The way that we use ammonia pipelines in the U.S. Today is sort of very unusual and bespoke for our purpose, but that's not the way that we'r…”
Julio Friedmann Jan 5, 2023 ▶ 39:50 Ammonia: the beer of decarbonization
Feb 23, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Kann: China's renewable energy generation surpasses the US and Europe combined
“Renewable energy generation in China has now surpassed all of Europe put together. It has also surpassed U.S. Renewable energy generation. It's growing across all places, but it is growing by far the fastest in China.”
Shayle Kann Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 17:33 2023 trends: biomass, ESG, batteries and more
Mar 16, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Davidson: US agricultural N2O emissions have remained flat over recent decades
“In the last few decades in the U.S., for example, nitrous oxide emissions from agriculture have been sort of flat. They've maybe gone up a little bit in the last few years, but they haven't gone up much, and that's because we are making some improvements in ef…”
Eric Davidson Mar 16, 2023 ▶ 39:37 The greenhouse gas you don’t know about
Apr 6, 2023
Assertion Supported
Jaffe: Freyr, Northvolt, and Volkswagen shifted European plant plans to US
“We've actually seen a shift, in some cases, a shift of battery plants that were planned for Europe where they said, we're gonna stop developing this and instead turn to building a plant in the U.S., Fryer did that, Northvolt did that, and a couple others have,…”
Sam Jaffe Apr 6, 2023 ▶ 7:16 What the new Treasury rules mean for EV supply chains
Apr 20, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Schneider: Historic US Rivers Were Naturally Filled With Beaver Dams and Logjams
“In the U.S., if you were to rewind the clock several hundred years, what you would have found in the U.S. Is a landscape full of rivers, full of obstructions, but those obstructions were things like naturally occurring log jams and beaver dams, and they could …”
Gia Schneider Apr 20, 2023 ▶ 14:13 How to build more hydropower
Jun 1, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
China consumes roughly half of the world's annual copper supply
“So roughly China consumes 12 to 15 to thirteen million tons of copper per year. The U.S. Around one point into two million tons. And then Germany, Japan, and developed nations consume roughly a million tons per year.”
Cristobal Undurraga Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 19:15 Keeping copper from limiting the energy transition
Jun 1, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Chile's Escondida mine produces as much copper as the entire US
“So Escondida, which is the largest copper mine in the world, produces all by itself a million tons of copper, a little bit more than one million ton of copper tons per year. That is roughly all the production of the U.S. Just produced by one asset.”
Cristobal Undurraga Jun 1, 2023 ▶ 12:48 Keeping copper from limiting the energy transition
Jun 22, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Zindler: 80% to 85% of US Solar Equipment Came From Four Southeast Asian Countries
“About 80, 85% of All the equipment that was being installed in the U.S. Was coming from those four countries, and given that we don't make much stuff in the U.S., imports are massively important”
Ethan Zindler Jun 22, 2023 ▶ 19:32 Building out a U.S. solar supply chain
Jun 22, 2023 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Kann: US solar installations will top 100 GW annually by 2030
“We'll do maybe 30 to 35 gigawatts of solar total this year, and according to the repeat project, we may hit almost 50 gigawatts by twenty-twenty-five or twenty-twenty-six. By the end of the decade, we'll be doing over a hundred gigawatts a year, potentially we…”
Shayle Kann Jun 22, 2023 ▶ 2:46 Building out a U.S. solar supply chain
Aug 4, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
AES acquired the 2-gigawatt Bellefield project, America's largest solar-plus-storage site
“I think you recently acquired the two gigawatt Bellfield solar plus storage project, which is under construction in California. It's set to be the largest solar plus storage project in the U.S. Once it's complete.”
Brad Langley Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 16:54 With Great Power: What other industries can teach utilities about innovation
Aug 17, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lubbershane: U.S. battery factories in development will consume over 1% of national power
“We've added up Roughly speaking about a terawatt hour's worth of new battery manufacturing capacity that's really credible and under development in the U.S. Today. And by that, I mean a terawatt hour's worth of battery capacity of annual battery production... …”
Andy Lubershane Aug 17, 2023 ▶ 16:36 Navigating the electricity gauntlet
Aug 17, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Kann: The US Has Only One Domestic Manufacturer of Transformer Electrical Steel
“Transformers require in the U.S. This, like, particular kind of steel, electrical steel, and there's only one domestic supplier of that kind of seal.”
Shayle Kann Aug 17, 2023 ▶ 36:10 Navigating the electricity gauntlet
Aug 17, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lubbershane: 50 GW of US Coal Capacity Set to Retire by 2030
“There's still another 50 gigawatts of coal-fired power generation capacity in the U.S. That is basically on track, already well planned to be retired by the end of the decade.”
Andy Lubershane Aug 17, 2023 ▶ 28:44 Navigating the electricity gauntlet
Aug 17, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kann: Electricity accounts for around 20% of US final energy consumption
“Electricity in the U.S. Today is somewhere around 20% of final energy consumption which means there's an 80% of the prize, even assuming no growth in overall energy consumption, 80% of the prize is open to electricity.”
Shayle Kann Aug 17, 2023 ▶ 9:09 Navigating the electricity gauntlet
Oct 12, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Houser: U.S. wind investment and capacity announcements declined over past two years
“So the pretty troubling one is wind, where investment and announcements in new wind capacity have been declining for the past two years.”
Trevor Houser Oct 12, 2023 ▶ 42:53 How is U.S. industrial policy affecting actual climatetech investment?
Nov 16, 2023 bullish
Assertion Supported
Lovering: China Has 22 Nuclear Reactors Under Construction, Will Surpass France
“China's, has the most nuclear under construction of any country. It has about, ah, I think, 22 reactors under construction right now. When those are Complete. Actually, just when a few more come online, they will surpass France as having the largest fleet of n…”
Jessica Lovering Nov 16, 2023 ▶ 17:00 The cost of nuclear
Nov 16, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lovering: China Builds Nuclear Power at Roughly $2,500 per Kilowatt
“We can say China's probably building at about 2500 dollars per kilowatt, so not quite as cheap as South Korea, but, you know, nowhere near the U.S., and again, that's probably because they're building a lot of the same design.”
Jessica Lovering Nov 16, 2023 ▶ 18:02 The cost of nuclear
Dec 7, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
US battery plants must verify equipment control software is not Chinese-made
“So, so my company, Adionics, is building a factory in the U.S., and we need to use, we need to purchase Japanese and Korean equipment, but interestingly, there's specific language in here about control software that, for that equipment that the control softwar…”
Sam Jaffe Dec 7, 2023 ▶ 17:17 Update: What the new Treasury rules mean for EV supply chains
Feb 1, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Cantor: US is second in EV volume behind China; major European markets hit 25-30% share
“Because the U.S. In terms of absolute market Sales was second after China, which is awesome. But if you look at Europe, you're seeing more in that 25% to 30% for UK, Germany, France, the major markets in Europe.”
Corey Cantor Feb 1, 2024 ▶ 9:28 What’s really happening in the U.S. EV market?
Feb 1, 2024 bullish
Assertion Supported
Cantor: US EV market share rose from 2% in 2019 to 9.5% in 2023
“The EV share of sale in the U.S. Was about two percent, and that was back in 2019, so about four years ago, if you look at the full four years. In 2020, it was finally starting to show some signs of growth, because in 2021, you had EV share of sales at about f…”
Corey Cantor Feb 1, 2024 ▶ 8:12 What’s really happening in the U.S. EV market?
Feb 15, 2024
Assertion Supported
Bullard: Europe holds 84% of global sustainable assets under management
“Europe is 84% of the almost three trillion dollars of assets under management, sustainable assets under management at the end of last year, and the U.S. Is 11%.”
Nat Bullard Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 11:38 More 2024 trends: ESG, carbon certifications, curtailment, and AI
Mar 21, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Thomas: US climate rules target financial impact while EU requires double materiality
“Everything in the U.S., even California, it's all about financial impacts. In the EU, it's much more comprehensive to understand where the impacts outside as well as what's the impact financially to your company.”
Mallory Thomas Mar 21, 2024 ▶ 6:12 Digging into the SEC climate disclosure rules
May 8, 2024 neutral
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Lacey: 27% of US geologists will retire by 2029
“By 2030, the U.S. Will face a labor gap of a 130,000 full-time employees in this profession. Roughly 27% of the existing workforce in the U.S. Will be retiring by twenty-twenty-nine, and there aren't enough people to take their places.”
Stephen Lacey May 8, 2024 ▶ 35:48 The news quiz episode!
May 8, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Lacey: US heat pump sales topped gas furnaces by 21% in 2023
“For the second year in a row, heat pumps outsold gas furnaces in the U.S. By, in 23, by a significant margin of 21%.”
Stephen Lacey May 8, 2024 ▶ 39:34 The news quiz episode!
May 8, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
NREL: US needs 28 million additional EV chargers by 2030
“This profession is currently responsible for over 192,000 machines in the U.S. NREL estimates we'll need twenty eight million more by 2030.”
Stephen Lacey May 8, 2024 ▶ 34:35 The news quiz episode!
Jun 6, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baglino: US industrial policies like CHIPS Act will rebuild capital project ecosystems
“Things like the CHIPS Act and other stuff that the U.S. Is Industrial policy that's really driving investment in large capital projects will build that ecosystem back, and then it will be easier to get these things done.”
Drew Baglino Jun 6, 2024 ▶ 51:10 Drew Baglino on Tesla’s Master Plan
Oct 10, 2024
Assertion Supported
Frith: Normalized US LFP cell production is 8% costlier than China
“For a LFP cell produced in China, 35 gigawatt hour facility you're looking at around kind of 68 dollars per kilowatt hour. So this isn't kind of optimized for these super low prices that we we're seeing today, but Assumes a kind of LFP material costs of about …”
James Frith Oct 10, 2024 ▶ 25:54 Unpacking China’s cheap battery costs
Oct 17, 2024
Assertion Supported
Ellis: The US imports about 20% of its cement
“We're also importing about 20% of the cement we use, so shipping it from overseas.”
Leah Ellis Oct 17, 2024 ▶ 7:52 The complex path to market for low-carbon cement
Oct 31, 2024
Assertion Supported
Ball: Ammonia transport costs can be double the levelized production costs
“Ammonia, you know, we did a deep dive on what those distribution costs could be, and, you know, you, depending on where you are in, in the U.S., or, and I'll stay U.S. Centered, but this is even more so outside the U.S., Those distribution and transport costs …”
Dr. Melissa Ball Oct 31, 2024 ▶ 31:05 Why climate tech startups get this one thing wrong
Dec 12, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Jaffe: US will reach nearly 300 GWh of battery manufacturing
“The U.S. Will, in the next few years, have close to 300 gigawatt hours.”
Sam Jaffe Dec 12, 2024 ▶ 32:42 What went wrong at Northvolt?
Feb 6, 2025
Assertion Supported
Bullard: US 10-year electricity load growth projections rebounded above 1%
“So by twenty-twenty, the expectation for U.S. Load growth was it was going to be about a half a percent per year. And that has rapidly unwound back to the point where we're now above one percent CAGR tenure CAGR in the power sector in the US.”
Nat Bullard Feb 6, 2025 ▶ 19:09 More 2025 trends: DeepSeek, plug-in hybrids, and curtailment
Feb 6, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Bullard: China exported 6.4 million vehicles in 2024, outpacing global rivals
“China exported 6.4 million vehicles last year five and a half million passenger cars. Two million of those were electric vehicles. This is far above any other country's export capability. You know, it's more than Japan exports. It's more than Germany exports. …”
Nat Bullard Feb 6, 2025 ▶ 33:26 More 2025 trends: DeepSeek, plug-in hybrids, and curtailment
Mar 27, 2025
Assertion Supported
Norris: Roughly half of all US generation and transmission is unused
“And so what that basically means is that in any given hour, On average, approximately half of all generation and transmission infrastructure is unused on average in the U.S., and it's actually worse than that because you're not counting for all the reserve ma…”
Tyler Norris Mar 27, 2025 ▶ 10:40 The potential for flexible data centers
Apr 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Waters: US can gain full battery storage capability in 5-10 years
“If you do that and you partner it up with building the infrastructure like the Japanese did for semis, You can result, you know, in, in five to 10 years from now with the U.S. Having that same capability.”
Jeff Waters Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 2:20 What’s next for the battery storage boom? [partner content]
Apr 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Powin CEO: US 75 GW storage projections through 2028 are conservative
“That, I think, is the only thing that's going to stay in the way of storage getting adopted, and I think the numbers that, that, you know, we've been citing, I think those are conservative. I think they factor in a lot of these artificial barriers that could c…”
Jeff Waters Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 19:07 What’s next for the battery storage boom? [partner content]
Apr 23, 2025 positive
Opinion
Waters: US energy storage success requires partnering with Chinese companies
“The only way we're going to get anywhere in the U.S. Market with storage is by partnering with the Chinese.”
Jeff Waters Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 1:46 What’s next for the battery storage boom? [partner content]
May 9, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Former US coal and industrial sites have sufficient transmission for new nuclear
“In the U.S., we have a pretty robust system where any former coal plant or any former large industrial site We'll typically have the transmission infrastructure necessary for it.”
Chris Colbert May 9, 2025 ▶ 29:54 The U.S. nuclear groundswell
Sep 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kann: US precedent was letting tax credits expire rather than repealing them
“Historically speaking, you know, there's a, there had been a long precedent of the U.S. Never really removing existing tax credits. We would let things expire, but we never really pulled them back. I mean, just look at the ethanol tax credits as an example, ri…”
Shayle Kann Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 21:01 AMA: Geoengineering, nuclear, power prices, and more
Jan 20, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Burton: Foreign businesses are pausing US clean energy investments
“What we're seeing on, on our side is foreign businesses that were Investing in the U.S., buying projects, buying companies, operating companies, and establishing a U.S. Presence are putting those on hold, and they're pulling out.”
Tom Burton Jan 20, 2026 ▶ 15:38 A ‘rain delay’ for the energy transition [partner content]
Mar 26, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Shafer: Yucca Mountain remains the legal US nuclear waste repository
“Yucca Mountain is still actually the law of the land in the U.S. This is what is in the Nuclear Waste Policy Act”
Dr. Jen Shafer (Jen Schaefer) Mar 26, 2026 ▶ 15:40 The state and future of nuclear waste
Mar 30, 2026 negative
Opinion
McAvoy: Sustainability is no longer top priority for US energy buyers
“Like, sustainability was number one on everyone's list. In the U.S., it is not anymore.”
Sean McAvoy Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 24:37 Battery booms and the rise of flexibility [partner content]
Apr 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Paducah was the last site of US commercial-scale uranium enrichment
“Paducah is actually the last place the U.S. Did commercial scale enrichment. It's where we did enrichment that fueled all the U.S. Reactors, and that facility was shut down in 2013”
Scott Nolan Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 30:40 Building a domestic nuclear fuel supply chain
Aug 27, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Wang: Nearly every US aluminum smelter has shut down
“And in the U.S. In particular, almost every single aluminum smelter has shut down. There's, I think, maybe only one left operational in the U.S. These days.”
Richard Wang Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 33:16 The rise of metal fuels
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