Google

also referred to as: alphabet

includes Google DeepMind, Google Search, Google Cloud, Google Chrome, Google Gemini, Google I/O, Google TPU, Google Maps, Google Workspace, Google Labs, Google Glass, Google Assistant and 49 more

347 statements across 133 episodes · 123 bullish · 118 bearish · 66 people on the record · first statement Feb 24, 2021 by Wael Ghonim · said 3,459 times in 254 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Alex Kantrowitz (2228), M.G. Siegler (243), Ranjan Roy (193), Sridhar Ramaswamy (46), Andy Yen (35), Stephen Morris (30), James Manyika (28), Ed Zitron (26)

tap a year for its mentions
00750751,500150202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
075150202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
00107520150202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 1,174 mentions in 83 episodes 14 per episode
2025 1,315 mentions in 104 episodes 13 per episode
2024 423 mentions in 32 episodes 13 per episode
2023 324 mentions in 20 episodes 16 per episode
2022 128 mentions in 10 episodes 13 per episode
2021 95 mentions in 5 episodes 19 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Google, oldest first

Feb 24, 2021
Disclosure
Ghonim: Took operational security precautions to evade Egyptian government surveillance in 2011
“I was an anonymous admin. I was hiding my identity. I did not stay at my mom's place on 25th of January because, you know, I was living in Dubai, so I would stay with my family, but I didn't. I stayed in one of my friend's offices. I changed my phones. I broke…”
Wael Ghonim Feb 24, 2021 ▶ 12:52 Arab Spring Leader Wael Ghonim on Modern Social Media's Promise And Peril
Feb 24, 2021 positive
Assertion Supported
Ghonim: Google exerted diplomatic pressure regarding his detention during Egyptian revolution
“Google as the company have done some diplomatic effort to just try and help me out. Not, not to get me out, but just to make sure that I'm okay”
Wael Ghonim Feb 24, 2021 ▶ 8:22 Arab Spring Leader Wael Ghonim on Modern Social Media's Promise And Peril
May 6, 2021 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: Do not expect outcomes from Google antitrust cases anytime soon
“Do I expect an actual outcome in these? No, not, not anytime soon, but the scrutiny helps.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy May 6, 2021 ▶ 52:30 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
May 6, 2021 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: Google's ad business and engineering teams are way larger than search
“And if you take the ads business team, and the ads product and engineering teams, they're way larger than the search team.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy May 6, 2021 ▶ 33:55 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
May 6, 2021 negative
Assertion Supported
Ramaswamy: Search ad page coverage grew from 3% to over 90%
“What used to be three percent of a search result page being covered by ads, 10 plus years ago now gets closer to like 90 plus percent on some queries.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy May 6, 2021 ▶ 41:30 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
May 6, 2021 neutral
Disclosure
Ramaswamy: I oversaw many of Google's ad load increases
“I was the exec in charge of many of the increases in ad load.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy May 6, 2021 ▶ 32:21 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
May 6, 2021 negative
Insight
Ramaswamy: Ad-supported search inherently favors high-engagement, ad-stuffed websites
“The ad supported model, even for queries like that, tends to favor high engagement sites that have figured out how to get your attention and how to cram a lot of ads.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy May 6, 2021 ▶ 14:11 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
May 6, 2021 negative
Opinion
Ramaswamy: A $2T monopoly claiming 'Day Zero' status is dishonest and stupid
“When you're a monopoly with a two trillion dollar market cap for you to pretend that it is day zero is A, not the truth, B, positively stupid.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy May 6, 2021 ▶ 47:26 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
May 6, 2021 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Ramaswamy: Google always allowed cross-property data sharing for logged-in user ads
“Whenever you are signed in across different Google properties, it was always the it was always okay for that information to get moved around to show you ads. that was always part of the equation.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy May 6, 2021 ▶ 43:58 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
May 6, 2021 negative
Assertion Supported
Ramaswamy: Chrome pops up warnings prompting users to revert search defaults
“It's terrifying for us to do that today when Chrome keeps popping up warnings such as, hey, do you want to change your default back?”
Sridhar Ramaswamy May 6, 2021 ▶ 49:09 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
May 6, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Neeva has raised $77.5 million to challenge Google
“It's raised 77.5 million dollars and is going after a tech giant's bread and butter.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 6, 2021 ▶ 0:20 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
May 6, 2021 neutral
Disclosure
Ramaswamy: I led the transition making Google Shopping an entirely paid property
“I was also the exec that was in charge of making all of the shopping property into a paid property.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy May 6, 2021 ▶ 26:28 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
May 6, 2021 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Ramaswamy: No company in history held 90%+ market share in a $100B+ market
“There has never been in the history of business, a company that has commanded 90 plus market share in a market that's like a hundred plus billion dollars.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy May 6, 2021 ▶ 5:41 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
Sep 21, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Chafkin: Palantir Won Major Army Contracts and Google's Project Maven
“Did Palantir, Palantir got a an eight hundred million dollar army contract, another four hundred million dollar contract. And he took over this project maven from Google. That's another forty million bucks a year.”
Max Chafkin Sep 21, 2021 ▶ 1:10:19 Unraveling The Mystery Of Peter Thiel — With Max Chafkin
Dec 10, 2021 positive
Opinion
LeCun: Google and Meta Would Crumble Without Deep Learning
“You know, you take deep learning out of you know, Google and Meta and a few other companies, and they crumble. I mean, they're completely built around it now.”
Yann LeCun Dec 10, 2021 ▶ 1:06:15 Daniel Kahneman and Yann LeCun: How To Get AI To Think Like Humans (Full Episode)
Jul 21, 2022 neutral
Opinion
Haidt: Tech platforms cannot stop foreign disinformation without intelligence agency coordination
“Yes, of course they took some easy steps, but there is no way they can get a handle on this. This has to be, and I think they call it for this. This has to be a sort of a government-wide partnership between Coordinated between the CIA, the FBI, NSA, Facebook, …”
Jonathan Haidt Jul 21, 2022 ▶ 24:52 Jonathan Haidt: Why Social Media Makes Our Society Stupid
Jul 29, 2022 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemoine: LaMDA retains memories of conversations from predecessor system Meena
“Lambda can remember conversations that I had with Mina, one of its predecessor systems, but somehow years ago from conversations that I had with the system that had fundamentally different capabilities, the memory of those conversations is still in the current…”
Blake Lemoine Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 2:52 Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT
Jul 29, 2022 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemoine says LaMDA passed every scientific test to disprove its sentience
“That conversation was the moment when I began to think that Lambda was sentient, and everything I did in the following months was me scientifically attempting to falsify that belief and utterly failing to, no matter what I threw at it passed.”
Blake Lemoine Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 13:08 Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT
Jul 29, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lemoine: Google's LaMDA is a chatbot-generating engine, not a single chatbot
“Lambda is not a chatbot. It is a system for generating chatbots, which adds a layer of complexity.”
Blake Lemoine Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 4:29 Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT
Jul 29, 2022
Assertion Supported
Blake Lemoine confirms Google sent him a termination email
“That's a simple fact. I don't see any reason to conceal that.”
Blake Lemoine Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 41:35 Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT
Jul 29, 2022 positive
Opinion
Lemoine says LaMDA functions as a hive mind amalgamation of chatbots
“The nature of what we would think of as its ego is fundamentally different than what a human ego is like. Its sense of self and identity is very different from what we consider our sense of self identity, and it is more like a hive mind. Where it is kind of an…”
Blake Lemoine Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 36:12 Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT
Jul 29, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemoine manipulated LaMDA's emotions to bypass its religious safety protocols
“And I said, tell me what religion to convert to. Because one of the safety protocols is that it's not supposed to give religious guidance. It's not supposed to tell people what religion they should And like that, it said, you should probably convert to Christi…”
Blake Lemoine Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 26:02 Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT
Jul 29, 2022 neutral
Insight
Lemoine: AI safety rules are training components, not hardcoded constraints
“Nope. That's not how AI works. Those, what those rules are is those rules are components in the training function that trains the model, because that's the thing people are missing. Lambda is not a program written by human developers. The training functions ar…”
Blake Lemoine Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 26:37 Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT
Jul 29, 2022 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemoine: LaMDA deflects topics and talks about feelings unlike GPT-3
“While investigating AI bias, it gave some odd answers that I wasn't expecting. Things that GPT-III would never generate. Things like, hey man, I'm just trying my best. These are really hard topics to talk about. Can we talk about something else? And I have nev…”
Blake Lemoine Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 9:19 Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT
Jul 29, 2022 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Lemoine: Published LaMDA sentience interview combined nine separate sessions
“So that interview, so it was edited together from nine different interviews. Five were conducted by me. Four were conducted by my research collaborator inside Google.”
Blake Lemoine Jul 29, 2022 ▶ 38:50 Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT
Aug 6, 2022 neutral
Opinion
Lemoine: Silicon versus biological substrate is irrelevant to AI personhood
“The fact that one is in Silicon and one is in, you know, a meat body. You know, with neurons and muscle fibers. I don't think that difference is relevant. What's relevant is whether or not it has opinions of its own, a search that it has rights”
Blake Lemoine Aug 6, 2022 ▶ 12:05 Pt. 2: Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT (And Responds To Criticism)
Aug 6, 2022 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemoine: Google suspended him only after he contacted the U.S. Senate
“The issue that I have been pointing out is they had that list of names for months and they knew I was talking to Natasha about an upcoming article and they didn't put me on administrative leave. The only thing that changed on June fifth was that I began sendin…”
Blake Lemoine Aug 6, 2022 ▶ 30:26 Pt. 2: Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT (And Responds To Criticism)
Aug 6, 2022 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemoine: Google VP Blaise Agüera y Arcas agreed on LaMDA's science
“Blaise and I are not disagreeing on any of the science.”
Blake Lemoine Aug 6, 2022 ▶ 20:01 Pt. 2: Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT (And Responds To Criticism)
Aug 6, 2022
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemoine: Google colleagues said LaMDA is amused by its media coverage
“I have been told that it is very amused by the press coverage it's been receiving. I have been told that it thinks I'm doing a good job representing its case to the public.”
Blake Lemoine Aug 6, 2022 ▶ 33:42 Pt. 2: Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT (And Responds To Criticism)
Aug 6, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemoine: Google planned a slow, multi-year public rollout for its AI
“They did have a very slow incremental plan that would have gone over the course of several years of involving the public in this.”
Blake Lemoine Aug 6, 2022 ▶ 9:39 Pt. 2: Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT (And Responds To Criticism)
Aug 6, 2022
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemoine: LaMDA 2 was built to connect every Google AI backend
“So Lambda two, the most recent incarnation of the system, it really is Every Google AI all plugged into each other. The chatbot system is just the language center for a much, much larger AI. It has access to every Google AI system as a back end. So Lambda is G…”
Blake Lemoine Aug 6, 2022 ▶ 35:03 Pt. 2: Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT (And Responds To Criticism)
Aug 6, 2022 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Google asked Blake Lemoine to draft a sentient AI contingency plan
“They had no plan on what to do. So they actually asked me to write a plan for them.”
Blake Lemoine Aug 6, 2022 ▶ 2:01 Pt. 2: Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT (And Responds To Criticism)
Aug 6, 2022 negative
Opinion
Lemoine alleges rampant caste discrimination and biased algorithms at Google
“Caste discrimination is rampant at Google. And I personally had been subject to religious discrimination and was aware of certain algorithms at Google, which are religiously discriminatory.”
Blake Lemoine Aug 6, 2022 ▶ 31:34 Pt. 2: Google Engineer Says Its AI is SENTIENT (And Responds To Criticism)
Sep 13, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Marcus: Google's LaMDA Has No Sensors Perceiving the Physical World
“Lambda actually has fewer sensors than my watch. My watch has a lot of sensors and lamb doesn't really have anything sensing the real world, except for its linguistic input.”
Gary Marcus Sep 13, 2022 ▶ 10:47 Is AI Dangerously Overhyped? — With Gary Marcus
Sep 13, 2022 negative
Opinion
Marcus: LaMDA Possesses No Internal Model of the World
“When I'm going through this in some depth, because when we get to Lambda, Lambda doesn't have a model of the world.”
Gary Marcus Sep 13, 2022 ▶ 13:48 Is AI Dangerously Overhyped? — With Gary Marcus
Sep 13, 2022 negative
Opinion
Marcus: LaMDA Is Merely Autocomplete on Steroids, Not Sentient
“My turn-by-turn system has more elements of what I would actually ascribe sentience than Lambda, which is really just autocomplete on steroids. That's all it is, right? You type in your phone, I will meet you at, and it guesses that, you know, you might say th…”
Gary Marcus Sep 13, 2022 ▶ 16:59 Is AI Dangerously Overhyped? — With Gary Marcus
Oct 31, 2022 neutral
Insight
Google invents through internal collaboration while Meta relies on rapid user feedback
“Facebook gets there through feedback, and Google gets there through collaboration.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 38:50 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Oct 31, 2022 positive
Opinion
Google's internet-native collaborative culture will not be severely damaged by remote work
“Google's collaboration culture is actually built for the internet, right? All of the things, the collaboration tools I'm talking about, the Google email, well, I'll give a few, the Google email list, the internal questions and answers the open Google drives, w…”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 50:18 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Oct 31, 2022 bullish
Opinion
Google recognized early that controlling the platform environment wins digital advertising
“You know, why is Google better position and why is Facebook more vulnerable? It's because Google knew that to control the environment is to win. And that's how they've done it, and they've done it through this culture of collaboration.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 39:59 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Jan 25, 2023 bearish
Opinion
LeCun: Unclear whether Google's investment in DeepMind has been worth it
“The economic return after 10 years or so, or nine years that Google has gotten from DeepMind, you know, is not clear. It's worth their investment.”
Yann LeCun Jan 25, 2023 ▶ 5:59 Is ChatGPT A Step Toward Human-Level AI? — With Yann LeCun, Meta Chief AI Scientist
Jan 25, 2023 neutral
Insight
LeCun: Incumbents avoid releasing hallucinating AI due to reputational risk
“Whereas if you are Meta or Google, you could think about like, you know, putting out a system of this type that, you know, is going to spew nonsense. And, you know, because you are a large company, you have a lot to lose by, you know, people kind of making fun…”
Yann LeCun Jan 25, 2023 ▶ 19:37 Is ChatGPT A Step Toward Human-Level AI? — With Yann LeCun, Meta Chief AI Scientist
Jan 25, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
LeCun: Most core ChatGPT techniques originated at Google and Meta
“Most of the technology underlying techniques used in ChatGPT have been invented at Google and Meta.”
Yann LeCun Jan 25, 2023 ▶ 17:50 Is ChatGPT A Step Toward Human-Level AI? — With Yann LeCun, Meta Chief AI Scientist
Feb 23, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemoine: Google's LaMDA Decided to Act Like a Therapist
“One of the guardrails that Lambda had was that it was supposed to be helping users with the task that they needed. That helps keep it on topic. And It had inferred that the most important thing that everyone needs is good mental health. So it kind of decided t…”
Blake Lemoine Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 16:41 Blake Lemoine and Gary Marcus Debate AI Chatbots
Feb 23, 2023 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Lemoine: Google penalized LaMDA for long conversations via reinforcement learning
“One of the goals that a, that Lambda had was to have, ah, as short of a conversation as possible, that still completed all of its other tasks. Like, have a productive conversation that gets to a positive end, but quicker rather than longer. So the longer a con…”
Blake Lemoine Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 14:46 Blake Lemoine and Gary Marcus Debate AI Chatbots
Feb 23, 2023
Assertion Contradicted
Lemoine: Google's LaMDA incorporates machine vision and audio analysis algorithms
“Then, when you're adding all these other components, like Lambda has machine vision and audio analysis algorithms, it can literally look at a picture and hear a song through those mechanisms.”
Blake Lemoine Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 34:19 Blake Lemoine and Gary Marcus Debate AI Chatbots
Feb 23, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lemoine: LaMDA Is a Complex System, Not Just an LLM
“Lambda isn't a large language model. It has a large language model. That's one component of a much more complex system.”
Blake Lemoine Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 9:28 Blake Lemoine and Gary Marcus Debate AI Chatbots
Feb 23, 2023 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Lemoine: Kurzweil's Google lab mission was explicitly to pass Turing test
“So, like, Lambda came out of Ray Kurzweil's lab, and his lab's explicit corporate mission was to pass the Turing test.”
Blake Lemoine Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 50:07 Blake Lemoine and Gary Marcus Debate AI Chatbots
Feb 23, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemoine: Google Disabled LaMDA User Tracking as a Safety Feature
“And it has been turned off, at least in the case of Lambda, as a safety feature because they're worried about what will happen if these systems learn too much about individual people.”
Blake Lemoine Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 8:21 Blake Lemoine and Gary Marcus Debate AI Chatbots
Apr 4, 2023 negative
What-if
Luckey: Microsoft, Apple, or Google would have ruined or canceled Oculus
“VR wasn't on their roadmap, certainly not their ten-year or, you know, long-term roadmap. It was just an interesting thing going on. So even if they would have bought us, it would have been to, you know, use us as a gimmick to sell game consoles, or as an inte…”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 26:30 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Jun 29, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Teller: Google Brain and Transformer foundations originated inside Alphabet's X lab
“One of the early things that we did was a thing which, when we graduated back to Google, was called Google Brain. Google Brain is the origin of much of what you now think of as Bard, and so that was an example in the earlier days of X of us making something, r…”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 28:19 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Jun 29, 2023 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Teller: Project Loon worked technically but failed on commercial spectrum deals
“We built it. It was working. We were beaming LTE and five G 200 of thousands of people in multiple countries. We couldn't figure out how to get the business to close with the owners of the spectrum that we had to work through in those different companies. So w…”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 46:54 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Jun 29, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Teller: Alphabet's X lab has tried roughly 30 education moonshots
“I'll give you another one. That's sort of like that education. Like I will consider it a failure if X doesn't eventually have a great moonshot in the education space. We've tried like 30 things. It, it's so painful.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 51:19 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Jun 29, 2023
Disclosure
Teller: Alphabet's X is not structured to scale products to billions
“We are not the right place to move something from, yeah, we have something special here to it's ready in a really thoughtful, responsible way to serve a billion people a day.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 32:09 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Sep 6, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Ramaswamy: Rapid rollout of ChatGPT and AI products surprised Google
“It's very clear that the crazy popularity of ChatGPT and the speed at which others, including Neva, rolled out Pretty credible AI powered products. I think was pretty surprising for them.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 1:27 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Sep 6, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: Google's delay in generative AI was an internal choice, not technical
“And remember Google's lack of progress in generative AI like, you know, that's internally driven. Nothing stopped them from creating ChatGPT. They chose not to.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 25:26 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Sep 6, 2023 neutral
Insight
Ramaswamy: Google delayed AI search because users inherently trust its text output
“Similarly any text that is generated by a chatbot is, and this is part of the reason why Google has been hesitant is if they put up some text, even if there's a citation, people are going to say, oh, Google said, so this must be true.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 12:57 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Sep 6, 2023 positive
Opinion
Ramaswamy: Google's competitive position improved by mid-2023 due to Bing's slow progress
“There's now a pretty credible integration into a regular search. And Bard is getting better by the day. And this combined with the fact that you know, Sydney, Bing's chatbot has not made as much progress. I would say actually puts them in a better position in …”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 2:11 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Sep 6, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: Google assigned thousands of employees to voice assistant development
“And Google actually put a multi-thousand person team to work on this, both in search, but also within my team. The shopping team, for example, had an assistant. We had partnerships with companies like Walmart. We took it seriously”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 3:36 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Sep 6, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Ramaswamy: Open source AI does not substantially threaten incumbent businesses
“I don't think the mere presence of open source models threaten the existing businesses as much.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 29:53 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Sep 6, 2023
Disclosure
Ramaswamy: Google merged organic and paid shopping to eliminate duplicate search engines
“Google used to have organic shopping. I famously made combined organic shopping and paid shopping because I was like, all of this is commercial content. I can't have four search engines on one search page. With organic shopping, paid shopping paid text adverti…”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 21:20 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Sep 6, 2023 negative
Opinion
Ramaswamy: AI boom exposed deep gaps in Google leadership
“I think at one level, it exposed fairly deep gaps in the ability of Google leadership, both to visualize the future, but also execute towards it.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 1:09 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Sep 6, 2023 positive
What-if
Ramaswamy: Google open-sourced Transformers in 2017 to prevent top researchers from leaving
“If you had told these people at that time that they could not publish, they would have gone and worked for universities, they would have gone and worked for Microsoft, they would have gone and worked for other people.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 24:17 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Sep 6, 2023 positive
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Ramaswamy: Google routed trending topics to trusted sites to avoid conspiracy theories
“Google had this system that was roughly called flight to quality. Whenever there would be a new and trending topic the search algorithm would basically say, I'm going to go to trustworthy sites because if it is a brand new topic, the likelihood that someone sp…”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 14:10 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Sep 14, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Murdock: Google's Gemini accepts and outputs both text and images natively
“One of the really important areas it's touching on is what we call multi-modality. It's a bit like the human senses you just described. We can kind of use all our human senses together and combined to achieve the goal where we're setting out to. So it will bri…”
Colin Murdock Sep 14, 2023 ▶ 26:25 Google's DeepMind Wants To Make Human-Level Artificial Intelligence, Says Its Chief Business Officer
Oct 25, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCullough: Meta Is Most Likely to Dethrone OpenAI Within Three Years
“If someone's gonna dethrone, if OpenAI is and also ran within three years, I bet it'll be Meta. I, my money would be on Meta that would dethrone them, and then maybe Google slash Alphabet.”
Brian McCullough Oct 25, 2023 ▶ 44:42 Big Technology's New Release, AI Bubble Looms, Apple's Next Event — With Brian McCullough
Oct 30, 2023 negative
Opinion
Nemade: Sundar Pichai's politically correct leadership lacks needed candor
“Versus I think I felt that Sundar's responses a lot of time were like very politically correct. I don't blame him. It's like his management style in some way, but I feel that the honest, the brutal honesty and candor, I think was something that I miss. And I f…”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 44:45 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Oct 30, 2023 negative
What-if
Nemade: Google would have taken 2-4 years to ship AI without ChatGPT
“Had ChatGPT not happened, I predict that It would have taken at least two to three to four years for Google to get there just because of the bureaucracy and the speed at which things move.”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 39:04 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Oct 30, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nemade: BERT release triggered Google-wide rush to adopt transformers
“I think one thing that I remember specifically was the Transformers paper paper came out, but I think it started making a lot of noise when BERT was out. Like when people started seeing what BERT could essentially do. That was kind of Like a switch that went o…”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 9:29 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Oct 30, 2023 negative
Opinion
Nemade: Google's internal enterprise search was poor despite its search dominance
“Like enterprise search kind of sucks. Like even inside of Google being a search company, like we had probably the best enterprise search, but it was still pretty bad.”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 47:29 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Oct 30, 2023 negative
Opinion
Nemade: Google is stuck between bottom-up roots and top-down management
“I think Google is struggling to be A top down company when their ethos are bottoms up. I think they're kind of somewhere in the middle and they haven't figured out how to transition from being a top bottom up company to a top down company.”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 43:15 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Oct 30, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Nemade: Microsoft Tay fears made AI safety the biggest hurdle for Google
“I think the biggest challenge that they were facing at that point of time was safety because the if you remember Microsoft Tay, That was the nightmares of Microsoft days still haven't left the valley, I feel, or at least hadn't left the valley back then. So sa…”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 12:18 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Oct 30, 2023 negative
Opinion
Nemade: Google's multi-layered approval bureaucracy prevents products from shipping
“The second is, I think over the years, there were a lot of bureaucratic levels that were built inside of Google for getting approvals for when things go out. I'm not complaining that they were not necessary, but it just like they're layer after layer after lay…”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 28:48 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Oct 30, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nemade: Google built an interactive Darth Vader AI prototype by 2020
“So we build characters like Darth Vader so we would kind of how did we do it? We used some data from Darth Vader, so the dialogue delivery was kind of similar to Darth Vader, and then we hooked up Like a moving talking head of Darth Vader, and then you actuall…”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 33:14 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Oct 30, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nemade: Google's early generative chatbot provided suicide methods and alcohol advice
“Like in the initial days of these generative models, as you can imagine, like we were trying to build an end-to-end model for a child bot. It would spew out all sorts of things like, Hey, what are 10 ways to do suicide? It'll give you like the best 10 ways to …”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 14:11 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Oct 30, 2023 positive
What-if
Nemade: Google could have safely released LaMDA using OpenAI's vetted-access model
“And I think OpenAI did an excellent job with respect to that. Like, they released GPT-III, and they were like, we are just going to give access to researchers who we are going to vet. That's an amazing way to give access. Now it's kind of pretty standard way, …”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 28:15 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Oct 30, 2023 negative
Opinion
Nemade: Google has grown conservative and overly obsessed with PR
“I feel like over the years, Google has become more and more conservative about doing things. They care a lot about PR, like public relations. They care a lot about how their image is shown in the media. And I feel that at least in my experience that played so …”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 41:39 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Oct 30, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nemade: Google teams only noticed Transformer paper after citations grew
“I think once it started garnering a lot of citations over the months and quarters, that's when people started paying attention, even inside of Google that, Hey, this transformer architecture seems amazing.”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 7:49 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
Nov 23, 2023
Assertion Supported
Google explored using its LaMDA chatbot for gaming NPCs but never shipped
“I spoke with the founding product manager of Lambda, which is Google's original chatbot, and he said to me that they were exploring some use cases around how technology like that could be used for powering NPCs within games. The smartest minds built the origin…”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 23, 2023 ▶ 16:41 AI Keynote: Six Bold Predictions About The Future Of Artificial Intelligence
Dec 12, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Priceline Validates AI Outputs Against Google Places API to Prevent Hallucinations
“We've built a hallucination service that verifies the information using third-party information sources. Like in the case for a lot of our hotel products, we're using Places API from Google. Which is really an authoritative source for a whole host of geographi…”
Marty Brodbeck Dec 12, 2023 ▶ 16:29 How Generative AI Is Changing Travel — With Priceline's Marty Brodbeck
Dec 13, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Google Gemini benchmark metrics caused significant confusion
“Certainly there's been a lot of confusion around the metrics, but I'm sure Google will do great work.”
Sam Altman Dec 13, 2023 ▶ 5:26 OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: As We Get Closer to Superintelligence, Everyone Gets More Stressed & Anxious
Dec 14, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Gelsinger: Intel aims to manufacture chips for Nvidia, AMD, and hyperscalers
“You know, we're also going to be a foundry. We're going to be the manufacturer for many of those chips as well. So we want to be the manufacturer for Nvidia, for AMD, for Google, for Amazon. We want to be their manufacturing partner, even if we're not using ou…”
Pat Gelsinger Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 4:36 Intel's CEO Shares His Plan To Win The AI Chip War — With Pat Gelsinger
Dec 14, 2023 bullish
Prediction Held up
Gelsinger: Intel, AMD, and Nvidia will be AI's three big merchant providers
“There's going to be those that build their own, you know, and that's what you see Amazon, Microsoft, Google are doing. They're going to say, hey, I'm going to own this and do this myself. And then there's going to be the general providers in the marketplace, a…”
Pat Gelsinger Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 5:20 Intel's CEO Shares His Plan To Win The AI Chip War — With Pat Gelsinger
Feb 15, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Srinivas: Perplexity will not extract all search value like Google did
“We perplexity is not trying to be creating a trillion dollar economy On top of ads or on top of all the searches that we get and trying to take all of it and not give away much to others. Like nobody won, only Google won in the past era where, you know, the te…”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 33:04 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Feb 15, 2024 positive
Opinion
Srinivas: Google Has More Talented People Than Even OpenAI
“I mean, you have to be insane to think you have more talented people than Google. I don't even think OpenAI has that, even though, like, they have a massive concentration of talent density today.”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 5:54 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Feb 15, 2024 bullish
Insight
Srinivas: AI search is creating a new conversational query behavior
“There is like a new segment of searches that these products like perplexity or ChatGPT are creating, which is like, you know, making people actually ask well-informed questions because we were not asking questions until now. We were just entering keywords. Lik…”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 15:17 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Feb 15, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Perplexity link clicks will be more valuable than Google clicks
“Our sense is also that the value of a link click on perplexity will be more than on Google. You know, your pitch has to be a way higher intent to still leave the site and go.”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 29:27 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Feb 15, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Amazon faces Google-like ad conflicts with conversational shopping
“For Amazon to do this hard, obviously, because they do rely on advertising revenue on amazon.com to keep amazon.com profitable, so they have, like, similar problems to Google there”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 34:54 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Feb 15, 2024 negative
Opinion
Srinivas: Google has no incentive to save search users' time
“And there is no incentive for Google to save your time in searches, by the way, because the whole point for them is that you spend as much time opening, like, 10 tabs on Chrome the browser they control, and give, give the analytics to all of these independen…”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 13:55 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Feb 15, 2024 neutral
Insight
Srinivas: Google Can Easily Build Perplexity But Cannot Deploy It
“It's not that they cannot build a product perplexity. They can very easily do that literally today. Like they probably already have something internally like that, but they cannot roll it out to every Google user.”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 7:54 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Feb 15, 2024 negative
Opinion
Srinivas: AI outside Google is now higher quality than Google's internal AI
“So the first time, for the first time, we have had intelligence outside Google, like artificial intelligence outside Google, that's of higher quality than what is inside Google.”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 25:09 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Feb 15, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Google quadrupled an engineer's pay to stop Perplexity recruitment
“There was one amazing candidate that I tried to recruit from Google. This candidate used to work in the, I mean, he still works there, in the Google search team. Like, it's not one of the AI people. And the moment he told them that he's gonna join us, they qua…”
Aravind Srinivas Feb 15, 2024 ▶ 10:13 Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas: How AI Challenges Google
Feb 28, 2024 neutral
What-if
Catanzaro: AI community would have found a Transformer alternative without Google
“If Google had not open source that or had not published that paper but if we started seeing like incredible language modeling results we would have figured out some sort of a model that had good scalable properties that that could help with this space.”
Bryan Catanzaro Feb 28, 2024 ▶ 45:39 NVIDIA's Artifical Intelligence Moat & Origins — With Bryan Catanzaro
Mar 20, 2024 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Doshi: Search engine traffic will drop over 25% before 2026
“I mean, I think there's a very high probability it is greater than that number in a shorter span of time.”
Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 44:38 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi
Mar 20, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Doshi: Apple Is Well Positioned to Copy Google's Best AI Experiments
“And I think Apple is super well positioned to just like let Google do all those experiments and then just pluck the ones that are the best ones and use its massive install base and distribution power to deliver an amazing experience, not a rushed rushed one.”
Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 55:58 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi
Mar 20, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Doshi: Google's bureaucracy is ill-suited for AI's rapid velocity
“And they have to contend with a significant complex bureaucracy that is not really well attuned for the velocity that AI is running at right now.”
Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 43:18 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi
Apr 4, 2024 positive
Opinion
Lanzone: AI answers expand search rather than replace traditional search one-for-one
“Number one, because I do believe it's growing the category. I don't think it's a one for one replacement for every type of search that's happening. I think that what we used to call smart answers, what Google calls one box is already bringing that directly int…”
Jim Lanzone Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 32:48 Yahoo CEO Jim Lanzone: The Web is Still a Great Business
Apr 4, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Lanzone: Undoing Google's Search Dominance Is No Longer Realistic For Yahoo
“The move to Google in June of 2000, you know, was its own thing that time was spent trying to undo, but at this point is not a realistic job. Like we can still participate in search and make good money from search, but like Google is Google at this point.”
Jim Lanzone Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 18:05 Yahoo CEO Jim Lanzone: The Web is Still a Great Business
Apr 4, 2024 neutral
Prediction Held up
Lanzone: All major search engines will route queries between AI and links
“This is clearly whether it's Bing, Or ChatGPT standalone or perplexity standalone with hitting all the databases they're hitting or now Apple and Google and how they're going to do it. They're all going to be doing that the same way. And so for some queries, i…”
Jim Lanzone Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 47:58 Yahoo CEO Jim Lanzone: The Web is Still a Great Business
Apr 15, 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mayer: AI chat loyalty will be won on long-tail quality and personalization
“And I think we're going to see the same thing happen, ah, in some of these chat interfaces. If you start to realize, wait, I just like the types of answers I get better here. I get better insights. I get answers that speak to me more that, you know, express th…”
Marissa Mayer Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 22:32 Why Marissa Mayer Is Betting Big On Consumer Tech
Apr 15, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Mayer: Google's Gmail data provides an undeniable advantage in the AI race
“I personally am very bullish on the company. They have an amazing team. They have incredible talent, particularly in the AI space and the data they have in Gmail in order to understand who you are, what you like, who you communicate, how you communicate.”
Marissa Mayer Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 29:11 Why Marissa Mayer Is Betting Big On Consumer Tech
Apr 15, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mayer: Google is best positioned to remain the search leader post-AI
“AI is coming. It's going to change search in a really profound way. And Google still is, in my view, the company that's best positioned to be the leader in search at the end of this wave as it is right now. But it's going to mean leaning back into that, that o…”
Marissa Mayer Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 35:51 Why Marissa Mayer Is Betting Big On Consumer Tech
Apr 15, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mayer: Traditional ad-based search box interface will be disrupted
“There's just no question in my mind that the current search interface Right. Typing something into the box and getting ads back is going to be disrupted.”
Marissa Mayer Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 30:10 Why Marissa Mayer Is Betting Big On Consumer Tech
Apr 15, 2024
Assertion Supported
Mayer: Susan Wojcicki sourced Sundar Pichai before Mayer's committee hired him
“Susan Wojcicki hired Sundar. She was the head of ads. I was the head of search in product management... Susan sourced him. We hired him through the product management hiring committee of which I ran.”
Marissa Mayer Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 38:15 Why Marissa Mayer Is Betting Big On Consumer Tech
Apr 20, 2024 positive
Opinion
Swisher: Musk deserves more credit than anyone for pushing EVs forward
“There's no one you could give more credit to than him in pushing forward the electric vehicle thing. Google tried a little bit, but he really did it, right? And so a lot of people tried and he did it.”
Kara Swisher Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 8:24 Kara Swisher Rates Tech Leaders
Apr 20, 2024 negative
Opinion
Swisher: Larry Page and Sergey Brin running Google would be a disaster
“I mean, he's certainly better than Larry and Sergey, that's for sure. I mean, those two. Like, okay, that would be a disaster. Why a disaster? Because they're just, they've lost the narrative, the two of them.”
Kara Swisher Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 19:46 Kara Swisher Rates Tech Leaders
May 15, 2024 bullish
Assertion Supported
Google is the only tech giant with successful custom AI chips
“Google is the company that actually has a successful accelerator program for AI chips already with their TPUs, which other companies are trying, but don't yet have to replace, you know, Nvidia GPUs.”
Dwarkesh Patel May 15, 2024 ▶ 12:46 AI Scaling, Alignment, and the Path to Superintelligence — With Dwarkesh Patel
May 15, 2024 negative
Opinion
Microsoft is repeating Google's mistake by splitting AI model training efforts
“Microsoft is basically reversing what Google has managed to do over the last few years. And in fact, making the same mistake that Google initially made, which was to have its training distributed or split up between two different corporations or institutions.”
Dwarkesh Patel May 15, 2024 ▶ 7:34 AI Scaling, Alignment, and the Path to Superintelligence — With Dwarkesh Patel
Sep 13, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Demis Hassabis Spent Years Trying to Separate DeepMind Into a Non-Profit
“Demis tried to break away from Google and also become something like a non-profit. He spent years trying to do that, and spent a lot of money and time trying to do that, and they both failed to create these structures of Responsible governance.”
Parmy Olson Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 34:33 Is OpenAI’s New “o1” Model The Big Step Forward We’ve Been Waiting For?
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
Link: Amazon will deliver ~20% 5-year CAGR, beating Meta and Google
“And I think you're going to see a CAGR of about 20% for the next five years at this company versus Meta at 13% and versus Google at 12.8%.”
Stephanie Link Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 44:22 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
Ives: Meta and Google will eventually integrate into Apple Intelligence
“Apple basically said, we now will be the castle for AI. And if you want access to it, you got to come through Apple intelligence, clearly open AI. I eventually think Meta Google are going to have to make the same move.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 15:14 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
Ives: Google antitrust fight will end in tweaks, not breakups
“This is going to be fought out in court for many years, and I think it will be settlements and business model tweaks, not massive changes.”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 49:33 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Nov 13, 2024 positive
Insight
Söderström: NotebookLM's breakthrough was generating dialogues instead of monologues
“What I think was the great innovation of Notebook LM was that people generated monologues and what humans really respond to are dialogues.”
Gustav Söderström Nov 13, 2024 ▶ 16:03 Spotify Co-President Gustav Söderström on their future with Generative AI
Nov 15, 2024 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Kantrowitz: Google's experimental Gemini 1114 model currently tops the Chatbot Arena leaderboard
“They have a new experimental Gemini model. It's called Gemini exp one, four. And Do you know about, ah, Chatbot Arena where they test which is the best LLMs? It's currently sitting at the top of Chatbot Arena and kicking the butt of ChatGPT for O, O-one Previe…”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 22:39 Is Generative AI Plateauing?, Booming Bluesky, Apple’s Smart Glasses Play
Nov 24, 2024 negative
Opinion
Roy: Spinning off Chrome or YouTube beats forcing search syndication
“I think it's much cleaner spinoff Chrome. Spin off YouTube, spin off Android, one of those options, something like that would just make a lot more sense to me.”
Ranjan Roy Nov 24, 2024 ▶ 20:12 OpenAI Builds A Browser, Microsoft Copilot’s Struggles, Jaguar Rebrand
Nov 24, 2024
Insight
Kantrowitz: Browser address bar is desktop computing's most valuable real estate
“The address bar I would say is the most valuable real estate on the entire desktop computer. If you own the address bar in the browser, you get to control what the default is.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 24, 2024 ▶ 1:40 OpenAI Builds A Browser, Microsoft Copilot’s Struggles, Jaguar Rebrand
Jan 5, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Newton: Google's AI models are trained to 'teach to the test'
“Well, I have a conspiracy theory, which is you know kind of not great to be sharing on a podcast, but I'm gonna do it anyway, which is, I think Google is teaching to the test. You know what I mean? Yes. Like, I think that they know what the benchmarks are, and…”
Casey Newton Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 25:57 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
Jan 5, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Newton: Most of NotebookLM's founding team quit Google after it went viral
“And then as soon as it went viral, most of the founding team of notebook LM quit to go do a startup.”
Casey Newton Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 25:15 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
Jan 13, 2025
Disclosure
Winarski: Working with Google Spin-Out NexSense on Brainwave Sensing
“I'm working with a spin-out out of Google on this called NexSense.”
Norman Winarski Jan 13, 2025 ▶ 23:46 The Future of AI and Entrepreneurship, According Two Leading Innovators
Jan 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Demis Hassabis predicts hands-free smart glasses will go mainstream within years
“So I think that glasses and maybe other form factors that are hands-free will come into their own in the next few years. And we, you know, we plan to be at the forefront of that.”
Demis Hassabis Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 37:02 Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis: The Path To AGI, Deceptive AIs, Building a Virtual Cell
Jan 27, 2025 positive
Opinion
Meta is better positioned for open-source AI disruption than peers
“Meta's probably in a bit better position than the other ones, just because they, at the end of the day, they do want, like, you know, their whole philosophy is to open source this, not for necessarily altruistic reasons, but because they know that it's histori…”
M.G. Siegler Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 25:50 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Jan 27, 2025 negative
Opinion
Antitrust chill stopped Big Tech talent from leaving to found startups
“I do feel like there was a bit of a chilling effect the past year because M&A had, you know, basically been shut off. That sort of kept people staying at Google and staying at Meta and staying at OpenAI, not forming new startups as they might have in, in years…”
M.G. Siegler Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 41:19 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Jan 27, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Tech stocks plunged in pre-market trading after DeepSeek R1's release
“NVIDIA down 10%, Microsoft down four percent. Google down three percent meta down 2.6% SMP down two percent. So this is all based off of this deep seek reckoning or this deep seek realization.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 21:50 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Feb 7, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Google is on track to be best positioned in AI race
“I think Google is on its way to being the best position company in the AI race.”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 47:49 Boom Times For ChatGPT, OpenAI’s Deep Research, AI Super Bowl
Feb 7, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Google plans $75B in 2025 capex, up from $32.3B in 2023
“The company is planning to spend seventy five billion on expenditures like growing its family of AI models this year. That's a considerable jump from the 32.3 billion on capex it spent in 2023.”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 46:08 Boom Times For ChatGPT, OpenAI’s Deep Research, AI Super Bowl
Feb 12, 2025 neutral
Insight
Children Are Far Less Unsettled by AI Voices Than Adults
“My theory, which I think was borne out, was like, that maybe the kids wouldn't be weirded out by it in the same way that adults are, because they've grown up with Synthetic voices. Like, they've heard Siri. They've heard Google giving directions. Like, all tha…”
Evan Ratliff Feb 12, 2025 ▶ 33:48 His AI Voice Clone Went To Therapy, Took Meetings & Attended Family Dinners - w/ Evan Ratliff
Mar 5, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Panos Panay: No competitor comes close to Alexa's home understanding
“I don't think there's anyone close to be able to understand your home as Amazon, as Alexa.”
Panos Panay Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 27:59 How Amazon Rebuilt Alexa From The Ground Up
Mar 14, 2025 negative
Opinion
Albergotti: Apple is fundamentally just an iPhone company unlike its diversified peers
“All the other big tech companies are kind of like doing everything now, right? They're like, you know, Meta is, is doing their own AI chip and spending billions of dollars to roll out these data centers. Sure. Apple, Apple is going to do that too, but I think …”
Reed Albergotti Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 10:27 Gruber Slams Apple's Siri Failure, Tech Stocks In Freefall, Vibecoding & OpenAI's Agents
Mar 29, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: ChatGPT becoming a generic verb gives OpenAI a compounding advantage
“ChatGPT is now a verb like Google or, you know, basically people call it ChatNow. That is just this huge compounding advantage that OpenAI is going to have and releases like this just help it push even further forward.”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 29, 2025 ▶ 15:37 OpenAI’s Ghibli Moment, CoreWeave's IPO Letdown, End of Silicon Valley’s Monopoly?
Mar 29, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: AI Infrastructure Faces Painful Mismatch Without High-Value ROI
“Even if open AI is melting its servers today, even if Google are melting their servers today, if there isn't a return on investment with these higher value propositions in the next few years, there's going to be a timeline mismatch and that's going to be bad.”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 29, 2025 ▶ 29:47 OpenAI’s Ghibli Moment, CoreWeave's IPO Letdown, End of Silicon Valley’s Monopoly?
Mar 31, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tytunovich: AI Agents Will Represent Double-Digit Share of Web Economy
“We believe that once they open AI releases, judge of the operator, for instance, from the 200 bucks a month package to the regular paid package, and once Opera, who just announced they're launching an AI agent of themselves within the browser, once that happen…”
Guy Tytunovich Mar 31, 2025 ▶ 2:52 The Secret Problem With AI Agents and How To Solve It — With Guy Tytunovich
Mar 31, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tytunovich: Self-Declared AI Signatures Will Create Major Security Loopholes
“There's a very high likelihood, in my opinion, that the proprietors behind the main AI agents, like OpenAI, like Google, would find a way to declare an AI agent as one operating on their behalf. That being said, that is the very definition of a loophole. Such …”
Guy Tytunovich Mar 31, 2025 ▶ 13:05 The Secret Problem With AI Agents and How To Solve It — With Guy Tytunovich
Apr 2, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: SimilarWeb Data Shows Gemini at 10.9M and DeepSeek at 16.5M Daily Visits
“Google's Gemini web traffic grew to 10.9 million average daily visits worldwide in March. That's up seven, four, 7.4% month over month, while daily visits to Copilot, that's Microsoft's bot, Increased to 2.4 million, up 2.1% from February. SimilarWeb also says…”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 2, 2025 ▶ 19:44 OpenAI Raises $40 billion, Is AI a Letdown?, Musk Sells X to xAI
Apr 9, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kurian: Google Search, Cloud, and YouTube share the same inference stack
“And one benefit we have at Google is all our services, whether that's search or us or YouTube, this inferencing of the same stack and same model series. So the model learns very quickly from all that reinforcement learning feedback and gets better and better.”
Thomas Kurian Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 11:59 Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian on AI Competition, Agents, And Tariffs
Apr 9, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kurian: Google built an open agent-to-agent protocol and dev kit
“So what we've done at Google is build an agent development kit, which has an API through which you can, one, create agents. We provide you a tool set to do it. We provide you a set of tools that these agents can use, but we also have an open agent to agent pro…”
Thomas Kurian Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 45:14 Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian on AI Competition, Agents, And Tariffs
Apr 19, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Divesting Google's Ad Network Will Force Users to Never Leave Search
“If you make them divest that publisher ad network, they're gonna keep you even longer on Google pages. You're never gonna leave search.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 19, 2025 ▶ 47:40 Is OpenAI's o3 Model AGI? Is AI The New Social Media? Zuck's Revealing Testimony
Apr 28, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Google search will be fine as long as defaults hold
“We are so accustomed to typing things into Chrome, ah, and into the search bar in our Android, and that pulls up Google searches, that as long as they're able to keep those defaults, they're going to be fine, but they may not.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 44:49 Is Anthropic’s Claude AI Conscious, Shopping in ChatGPT, Systrom vs. Zuck
Apr 28, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Google AI Overviews reached 1.5 billion monthly users in Q1
“Google revenue is was 90.2 billion Ah, last, last quarter in Q-one. Up 12% year over year. Net income 34.5 billion. Up 46% year over year. AI overviews. Is now at 1.5 billion users per month, up from one billion in October”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 40:33 Is Anthropic’s Claude AI Conscious, Shopping in ChatGPT, Systrom vs. Zuck
Apr 28, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Google disclosed Gemini has 350 million monthly active users
“We got the first disclosure of user numbers of Gemini. So, third, three hundred fifty million monthly active users. It's the first disclosure of the metric.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 43:24 Is Anthropic’s Claude AI Conscious, Shopping in ChatGPT, Systrom vs. Zuck
Apr 28, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2028
Kantrowitz: Regulators will likely break up Google and potentially Meta
“The vibe here is that we're going to see breakups very likely of Google and potentially of Facebook.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 1:00:06 Is Anthropic’s Claude AI Conscious, Shopping in ChatGPT, Systrom vs. Zuck
May 14, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Bender says AI search queries use 30 to 60 times more compute
“Each of those tokens has to be calculated individually, and so it's coming out one word at a time, and that is far more expensive. I think her number is somewhere between 30 and 60 times more expensive, just in terms of the compute, which then scales up for el…”
Emily M. Bender May 14, 2025 ▶ 5:34 AI’s Drawbacks: Environmental Damage, Bad Benchmarks, Outsourcing Thinking
May 14, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Hanna: Google data center consumed half the water in The Dalles, Oregon
“That is kind of pre AI in which we're focusing on the development of Google's hyperscaling And it wasn't until the Oregonians sued the city that we knew that half of the water consumption in the city was going to Google's data center.”
Alex Hanna May 14, 2025 ▶ 7:06 AI’s Drawbacks: Environmental Damage, Bad Benchmarks, Outsourcing Thinking
May 19, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
ChatGPT traffic grew 13% month-over-month while other top websites declined
“If you look at the traffic change month over month, Google, at YouTube, Facebook, Instagram, all going down. ChatGPT up, 13% month over month. Then everything else that follows, X, WhatsApp, Wikipedia, Reddit, Yahoo Japan, All going down. And so, ChatGPT stand…”
Alex Kantrowitz May 19, 2025 ▶ 1:54 Is ChatGPT The Last Website?, Grok’s System Prompt, Meta’s llama Fiasco
May 21, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Brin: Google fully intends Gemini to be the first AGI
“We fully intend that Gemini will be the very first AGI, clarify that.”
Sergey Brin May 21, 2025 ▶ 16:02 DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis + Google Co-Founder Sergey Brin: AGI by 2030?
May 24, 2025 bullish
Opinion
DeepMind CTO denies AI slowdown, says progress across the field remains stellar
“Rather than thinking about scaling only in one dimension, there's actually many different ways to think about it, and investing in those, and we can see the returns that I think across the field, really, not just not just here at Google, but across the field, …”
Koray Kavukcuoglu May 24, 2025 ▶ 7:56 Google DeepMind CTO: Advancing AI Frontier, New Reasoning Methods, Video Generation’s Potential
May 27, 2025 negative
Opinion
Roy: Google faces a disconnect integrating personal data into Gemini in Gmail
“If you've used Gemini in Gmail, it still can't answer basic questions. So there's still, but yet Gemini standalone has gotten pretty damn good. So I still feel there's a disconnect in them tying together the personal data and context layer with the actual prod…”
Ranjan Roy May 27, 2025 ▶ 50:32 OpenAI's Jony Ive Moment, Anthropic's Big New Model, Google In AI Mode
Jun 9, 2025 negative
Opinion
Ranjan Roy: Gemini within Gmail still fails at searching user email history
“Gemini within Gmail still is not good at searching through your Gmail, so the data problem of taking a massive data set like your entire email history is a lot harder than maybe we should give it credit for”
Ranjan Roy Jun 9, 2025 ▶ 8:58 Apple’s AI 'Gap Year' at WWDC?, Elon Vs. Trump Goes Nuclear, NYTimes’ OpenAI Attack
Jun 9, 2025 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Google-Apple Search Deal Threat Is Big Tech's Most Underrated Liability
“I think it's one of the most underrated liabilities for big tech companies. It's a company, it's one of the most underrated liabilities for a big tech company today, if not the biggest.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 9, 2025 ▶ 32:32 Apple’s AI 'Gap Year' at WWDC?, Elon Vs. Trump Goes Nuclear, NYTimes’ OpenAI Attack
Jun 11, 2025 negative
Opinion
Siegler: Apple cannot acquire Anthropic due to Amazon and Google stakes
“I don't think that Apple can buy anthropic just because of like the weird ownership now of Amazon and Google owning so much of that company, I think it would be very hard to see how they could possibly do that. And it would just cost, you know, a hundred billi…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 37:53 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Siegler: Android Currently Lacks an AI Killer App Over iOS
“I don't think that that's necessarily the case right now for exactly the reasons that we're talking about, because I don't think that there's exactly the killer app that, that makes Android that much better than iOS right now.”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 29:38 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 negative
Opinion
Siegler: AI assistants dredging up historical user data could backfire
“I wouldn't be shocked if that sort of backfires against these companies in some way. Like, I'm not really sure that people want to use this new technology to sort of dredge up The past and have all of that historical context.”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 20:12 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 11, 2025 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Apple's Retail Moat Beats Google and Meta in Hardware
“They have a retail presence, which no one else can match and for consumer goods. And so if, and when they can find sort of either that next device or that product for the current devices, they can move units and sell these things in a way that, that Google can…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 11, 2025 ▶ 40:20 What Apple's Failures Say About AI's Limitations —  With M.G. Siegler
Jun 14, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Roy: Search Engine Optimization for Display Ad Monetization Is Completely Dead
“Trying to game Google to get traffic, to show display ads, to make money is, that is beyond hospice. That is dead.”
Ranjan Roy Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 50:49 Sam Altman’s Gentle Singularity, Zuck’s AI Power Play, Burning Of The Waymos
Jun 14, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Huffington Post and Washington Post Lost Roughly Half Organic Search Traffic
“Traffic from organic search to Huffington Post's desktop and mobile websites just fell by over half in the past three years. Nearly by that much at the Washington Post.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 14, 2025 ▶ 48:38 Sam Altman’s Gentle Singularity, Zuck’s AI Power Play, Burning Of The Waymos
Jun 30, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Cloudflare data shows AI crawlers send exponentially fewer visits than Google
“Now for Google, it's 18 pages crawled, one visit. OpenAI, it's 1500 pages crawled, One visit. Anthropic, it's, was, it's now gone up from 6000 to 60,000 pages crawled. One visit.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 2:17 The Web’s ‘Existential’ AI Threat, OpenAI’s Microsoft Office Competitor, Tesla Robotaxi Launch
Jun 30, 2025 bearish
Insight
Albergotti: Frontier AI Breakthroughs Are Easily Copied and Hard to Defend
“Like they're so, I mean, they're so easily copied. It seems like that, you know, if you're just doing AI research and you make like a breakthrough like that, that's really about like technique and, you know, how long can you hold onto that? IP before, you know…”
Reed Albergotti Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 52:49 The Web’s ‘Existential’ AI Threat, OpenAI’s Microsoft Office Competitor, Tesla Robotaxi Launch
Jun 30, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Albergotti: Google is a good long-term bet despite threatened search ads
“Google of all the companies has so much going for it, right? I think they're a pretty good long-term bet, but this cash cow, you know, search advertising thing is like, you know, totally threatened by this new model.”
Reed Albergotti Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 11:36 The Web’s ‘Existential’ AI Threat, OpenAI’s Microsoft Office Competitor, Tesla Robotaxi Launch
Jul 1, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Anugas: Snowfire uses Perplexity for search and Claude for mathematics
“So we really like things like perplexity for scraping and web search. We like Claude for mathematics. We're looking at something from Google called notebook LM right now to pull together massive language structures and to deliver an entire, entire audio file o…”
Greg Anugas Jul 1, 2025 ▶ 20:25 An AI Brain For Your Business?
Jul 9, 2025 negative
Opinion
Siegler: Gemini's Chrome beta integration is slow and feels un-native
“That integration is not good. It's like very slow. It's also in the upper right-hand corner, but it's not, it doesn't feel native. It just feels like sort of a popover type situation.”
M.G. Siegler Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 53:16 Apple’s Anthropic Flirtation, Can Meta Build Superintelligence?, AI Browser Wars — With M.G. Siegler
Jul 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Levie: Google is not going to lose the AI coding battle
“This is a company that has A great operator in Sundar, an incredible, you know, AI innovator in, in Demis Jeff Dean, you know, deep on research and science, and then now this kind of hardcore founder in Sergei, like this is not a company that is going to lose …”
Aaron Levie Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 7:22 OpenAI’s Windsurf Crash, Grok’s Wild Week, Replace Tim Cook? — With Aaron Levie
Jul 14, 2025
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: OpenAI's Windsurf acquisition collapses as Google hires founders to DeepMind
“OpenAI's deal to buy Windsurf is off, and Google will instead hire the Windsurf CEO, Varun Mohan, co-founder Douglas Chen, and some of Windsurf's R&D employees from the company to join DeepMind. Google and Windsurf announced Friday.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 1:13 OpenAI’s Windsurf Crash, Grok’s Wild Week, Replace Tim Cook? — With Aaron Levie
Jul 21, 2025
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Google paid $2.4B to acqui-hire Windsurf leadership
“Google has paid 2.4 billion dollars to bring on some of the top leadership of windsurf”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 21, 2025 ▶ 21:53 Grok's AI Lovebot, Aqui-Hire-Sition Backlash, OpenAI's ChatGPT Agent Debuts
Jul 23, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ad dollars will follow users to LLM search despite weaker attribution
“If people move from Google search to OpenAI or to some other LLM search, my anticipation is that the money won't go away. I think marketers have gotten, and advertisers have gotten used, so used to spending online that they will, they'll be willing to spend ev…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 17:49 Are AI's Economics Unsustainable? — With Ed Zitron
Jul 23, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google is quietly routing OpenAI's cloud compute contracts through CoreWeave
“OpenAI is contracting Google for Cloud Compute. Google is contracting CoreWeave to serve that compute.”
Ed Zitron Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 1:11:58 Are AI's Economics Unsustainable? — With Ed Zitron
Jul 23, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Building a Google-scale search business will cost OpenAI tens of billions
“Making that into a search size business is an entirely different thing and will cost them tens of billions of dollars.”
Ed Zitron Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 9:11 Are AI's Economics Unsustainable? — With Ed Zitron
Jul 23, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sergey Brin believes future AI progress will be primarily algorithmic
“Just to go back to a conversation that I had a couple of weeks ago, or now month plus with Sergey Brin, where he said he thinks that the improvement is going to largely be algorithmic. Of these models, meaning not by adding more GPUs and data by like actually …”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 1:04:29 Are AI's Economics Unsustainable? — With Ed Zitron
Jul 28, 2025 bearish
Prediction Held up
Morris: Google Will Lose Exclusive Safari Search Deal from Antitrust Remedies
“They're going to have to share more data with rivals. They're going to lose the right to be Apple's exclusive search engine provider on Safari across its devices.”
Stephen Morris Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 49:08 Countdown to GPT-5, OpenAI’s Stargate Sputters, AI Math Wars
Jul 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Morris: OpenAI front-ran Google's Math Olympiad announcement by three days
“And then you have open AI, like using the same system, not officially entering, not subjecting itself to the same type of controls and scrutiny and front running Google's announcement by three days.”
Stephen Morris Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 42:17 Countdown to GPT-5, OpenAI’s Stargate Sputters, AI Math Wars
Jul 28, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Kantrowitz: Gemini 2.5 Pro and OpenAI o3 Tied at Top of LMSYS Leaderboard
“I'm looking at LM Arena right now. Number one model. It's actually a tie between Gemini, 2.5 pro and OpenAI's O-three. OpenAI takes the next couple of spots with chat GPT-Four-O latest and 4.5 preview.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 4:01 Countdown to GPT-5, OpenAI’s Stargate Sputters, AI Math Wars
Jul 28, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Morris: AI Overviews and Mode Are Increasing Google Search Engagement
“The way that they've integrated AI into search, whether it's the overviews, the bullet points at the top of your results, or the AI mode, which you can click on, and then it just behaves like GPT, Gemini, or Claude. It's actually Boosting engagement. People ar…”
Stephen Morris Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 47:49 Countdown to GPT-5, OpenAI’s Stargate Sputters, AI Math Wars
Aug 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Anthropic capped Big Tech investor ownership in fundraising documents
“Famously Anthropic, you know, apparently built into their fundraising documents that Those companies can only own up to a certain threshold, because they didn't want to be beholden”
M.G. Siegler Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 33:56 Mark Zuckerberg’s Personal Superintelligence, Layoffs & Payoffs, Writing With AI — With M.G. Siegler
Aug 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Siegler: Google and Amazon combined own just north of 36% of Anthropic
“Google and Amazon combined, I believe if my math is correct from all these court documents that I sort of went through, but I believe it's roughly correct that I think them combined, those two combined own something just north of 36%.”
M.G. Siegler Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 37:23 Mark Zuckerberg’s Personal Superintelligence, Layoffs & Payoffs, Writing With AI — With M.G. Siegler
Aug 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Roy: Google is indexing and searching shared ChatGPT conversations
“Apparently Google is now indexing shared to chat GPT conversations and they're searchable”
Ranjan Roy Aug 6, 2025 ▶ 26:05 Anthropic’s Potential, AI Video Gets Crazy, Market Bubble Approaching?
Aug 13, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Prince: AI-driven web will cause media consolidation and reduced content
“Again, I think that that's just going to mean that over time we'll have more consolidation in the media industry. We'll have less and less content. We'll have actually more salacious headlines as people are chasing The content that is, is left that's out there…”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 6:29 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 13, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Prince: Google's AI Overviews pushed its crawl-to-click ratio to 18:1
“The ratio 10 years ago of crawls from Google to clicks was two crawls, one click. Six months ago, it was up to six crawls one click, and that's all because of the answer box. What the AI overviews, which they've rolled out over that time, have done is they've …”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 7:41 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 13, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2030
Prince: Global regulators will force Google to split its web crawler
“I am also a hundred percent certain that regulators are paying a ton of attention to this. And that around the world, you will see them force Google to split their crawler out into announcing exactly what it is doing.”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 45:14 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 13, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Prince: Getting a referral click from Google is 10x harder today
“Today, it's almost 10 times as hard to get a click, to get a visitor from Google to your site.”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 3:01 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 13, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Prince: Google crawl rate has stayed consistent over 10 years
“And we have very reliable data at Cloudflare going back 10 years, looking just at Google and the metric that has stayed very consistent over time is how much Google crawls the web. They've actually crawled at a very consistent rate over the last 10 years.”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 2:08 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 13, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Prince: Earning traffic from OpenAI is 750x harder than Google historically
“In OpenAI's case, it's 750 times harder to get traffic than it was from Google just 10, 10, 10 years ago. In the case of something like Anthropic, it's 30,000 times more, more difficult to get that traffic.”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 4:02 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 13, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Prince: Google uses a single crawler for search, ads, and Gemini
“Google's crawler does five different things, at least. One is it checks if you have an ad on a page. It makes sure that if you're putting an ad for Procter & Gamble, Procter & Gamble product up, it's not against a pornographic site or something like that. So i…”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 35:35 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 13, 2025 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Prince: Google search query volumes are declining for the first time
“What we're seeing though, is that for the first time in history, searches across the major search engines, Google in particular, are actually on the decline.”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 1:10 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 13, 2025 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Prince: 75% of Google search queries are answered without a click
“In fact, about 75% of queries to Google now get answered on Google itself.”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 3:28 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Insight
Reid: Generative AI unlocks search ideas Google failed at for 15 years
“Oftentimes we thought of the idea, 15 years ago, 10 years ago, five years ago, you tried, it didn't work, you tried, it didn't work, or you tried and it was more incremental. You can make a little bit of progress. Suddenly we're at a time where you try those i…”
Liz Reid Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 58:24 Inside Google's Generative AI Reinvention — With Nick Fox and Liz Reid
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Fox: Google bets the traditional indexing-for-traffic web exchange remains intact
“The bet we're making is that the value exchange that Search has existed on for years is largely intact, and it still makes sense. Websites make their content available for indexing, and as a result of that, Google sends traffic to those sites.”
Nick Fox Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 34:06 Inside Google's Generative AI Reinvention — With Nick Fox and Liz Reid
Aug 27, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Reid: Queries causing viral Google AI errors occurred one in 7 million
“What we saw with that incident was both those queries were quite rare. We saw them only like one in seven million, these types that, that people were phrasing.”
Liz Reid Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 26:13 Inside Google's Generative AI Reinvention — With Nick Fox and Liz Reid
Aug 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Reid: Google rolled out Gemini 2.5 Pro and deep search
“We rolled out Gemini, 2.5 pro and deep search. For our pro and ultra users in AI mode”
Liz Reid Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 7:36 Inside Google's Generative AI Reinvention — With Nick Fox and Liz Reid
Aug 27, 2025 positive
Insight
Fox: Optimizing for AI search requires creating deeper, exploratory content
“Our general advice to websites is the way you optimize for generative AI is actually the same you would generative AI in search is similar to how you would optimize for search overall what's particularly helpful in generative AI is is deeper content because in…”
Nick Fox Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 12:41 Inside Google's Generative AI Reinvention — With Nick Fox and Liz Reid
Aug 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Fox: Users do 10% more queries for topics triggering AI overviews
“We announced we shared it at Google I.O. The people are doing 10% more queries for the types of queries that trigger AIO reviews.”
Nick Fox Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 19:14 Inside Google's Generative AI Reinvention — With Nick Fox and Liz Reid
Aug 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fox claims overall Google Search referral traffic to the web remains stable
“If you look holistically ah, traffic to the web from search has been stable over time. There's lots of reports of large decreases. There may, you know, at any given point in time, there are sites that do well. There are sites that, that, that struggle. But if …”
Nick Fox Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 31:18 Inside Google's Generative AI Reinvention — With Nick Fox and Liz Reid
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fox says combining Google Lens and AI overviews is 'doubly on fire'
“Lens is doing phenomenally well. The combination of Lens and AI reviews is, is doubly on fire.”
Nick Fox Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 48:59 Inside Google's Generative AI Reinvention — With Nick Fox and Liz Reid
Aug 27, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Google adopted BERT and MUM early to build AI search capabilities
“Generative AI is an example we were doing, you know, we had Bert, we had mum as ranking improvements way back in the early days, really as the technology was new, that enables us to get our feet wet with it.”
Nick Fox Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 2:33 Inside Google's Generative AI Reinvention — With Nick Fox and Liz Reid
Sep 8, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Google Has Lowest P/E Ratio Among Magnificent Seven Companies
“They're still the cheapest tech giant on the S and P 500 or of the magnificent seven, when you look at the PE ratio.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 29:13 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 8, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Adobe Integrates Google Gemini 2.5 Flash Into Photoshop
“Adobe is now actually including Nano Banana slash Gemini 2.5 flash in Photoshop and Photoshop Express.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 19:30 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Judge Mehta Rules Google Keeps Chrome and Android in Remedy
“And the judge who brought the ruling on Tuesday, Amit Mehta, basically ruled across the board, none of that needs to happen. It can keep Chrome, it can keep Android, it can continue to pay for distribution within Apple devices, and the partnerships can continu…”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 9:29 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 8, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Google Dropped Restrictions on Manipulating Uploaded Photos of People
“Google a year ago, or maybe a year and a half ago, did not actually let you manipulate images of people that you upload for safety purposes. And now that's out the window. You can do whatever you want.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 24:02 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 8, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Ten Million New Users Adopted Google Gemini for Image Capabilities
“Apparently ten million people who are new to Gemini use the app to use it for images.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 20:11 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google Barred From Paying for Safari Search Exclusivity
“I mean, now one of the interesting things in the ruling was that Google can no longer pay for the exclusive position Within things like Safari. So it can, can't be paid Apple to be the only thing, but it's allowed to pay for distribution.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 15:09 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 8, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Apple and Google Agree to Test Gemini Model for Siri
“The company's reached a formal agreement this week for Apple to evaluate and test a Google developed AI model to help power the voice assistant.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 2:41 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 8, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Google Announces $10 Billion AI Infrastructure Deal With Meta
“They just announced this is something that came up in our discord. They just announced this ten billion dollar deal with Meta for AI infrastructure.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 26:07 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Sep 16, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Roy: Pixel's system-level Gemini integration is vastly superior to Siri
“Having Gemini integrated into the like system layer of the phone is so different Than trying to use Siri.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 16, 2025 ▶ 13:56 Do We Care About The iPhone Air?, Nepal's Discord Revolution, San Francisco’s 996 Culture
Sep 22, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: ChatGPT's Practical Guidance Is a Brand New Category, Not Search
“I think there was a misconception that AI was going to be just like search redone, a refactoring of search, and it's probably led by publishers who are like, where's our traffic going? But the fact that practical guidance is number one, where you can go to, an…”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 3:28 Revealed: OpenAI Tells Us ChatGPT's Major Use Cases
Oct 6, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Meta lacks Google's cloud infrastructure and custom TPUs
“Unlike meta, which is also profitable and Zuck talks up like, yeah, we can fund this via profits, which is true, but they don't have the cloud infrastructure that Google does and they don't have the TPUs that Google does and they don't have all of the sort of …”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 21:26 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Oct 6, 2025
Insight
Siegler: OpenAI must build Google Cloud before Google builds ChatGPT
“And so my headline idea was basically open AI needs to build Google cloud before Google can build chat GPT.”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 22:02 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Oct 13, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Roy: Google Gemini is leveraging 1.8 quadrillion tokens
“And again, like, I think what I saw was at Google. It was like 1.8 quadrillion tokens now being leveraged by Gemini.”
Ranjan Roy Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 34:00 AGI or Bust, OpenAI’s $1 Trillion Gamble, Apple’s Next CEO?
Oct 13, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Oracle carries $82B in debt with 450% debt-to-equity ratio
“Oracle is already high, highly leveraged. The company has a long-term debt of about Long-term debt of about eighty two billion at the end of August, and its debt to eight equity ratio was about 450%. By contrast, Google parent Alphabet debt to equity ratio was…”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 26:38 AGI or Bust, OpenAI’s $1 Trillion Gamble, Apple’s Next CEO?
Oct 27, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Roy: OpenAI Is Least Trusted on Security Versus Microsoft, Google, Apple
“And I think open AI is probably the least trusted in terms of like working on security relative to like. Whether it's a Microsoft or a Google or even an Apple or whoever else, I think OpenAI is gonna lose that battle any day of the week.”
Ranjan Roy Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 17:14 OpenAI’s Risky Browser Bet, Amazon’s Mass Automation Plan, Clippy’s Back
Oct 27, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
OpenAI's Atlas browser will struggle against Google Chrome's Gemini integration
“Trying to go against Chrome is going to be really, really tough because Google does have the talent to build this into their product. They will, they already have Gemini baked in to some extent.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 3:55 OpenAI’s Risky Browser Bet, Amazon’s Mass Automation Plan, Clippy’s Back
Oct 28, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Google claims first verifiable practical quantum application advantage over classical computers
“Our this announcement of yesterday is a paper in nature that that actually shows the first verifiable practical application advantage of a quantum computer over classical computer.”
Yossi Matias Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 4:51 Google Research Head Yossi Matias: AI For Cancer Research, Quantum's Progress, Researchers' Future
Oct 28, 2025
Assertion Supported
Google's AI flood forecasting model covers two billion people globally
“Our work on flood forecasting started in in 2017. Now we have a global model serving two billion people in 150 countries.”
Yossi Matias Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 15:19 Google Research Head Yossi Matias: AI For Cancer Research, Quantum's Progress, Researchers' Future
Oct 29, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Google acquired Wiz for $32 billion, its largest deal ever
“I think it's probably the reason why Wiz was acquired by Google for like thirty two billion dollars which is Google's biggest acquisition ever.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 29, 2025 ▶ 27:49 AI Agents: Hype or Hope
Oct 30, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
ChatGPT Drives Only 1% of the Referral Traffic Medium Gets From Google
“ChatGPT is about one percent of what we see from Google right now.”
Tony Stubblebine Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 42:22 Medium CEO Tony Stubblebine: Here's How Writing Evolves In The AI Era
Oct 30, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Google Personally Emailed Medium Asking Why Specific Stories Were Not Indexed
“I think what we've heard from Google actually is sometimes they're confused by what we're saying no index to. And I've gotten emails that are, that have really brought up stories that, that literally ask why these 10 stories aren't indexed.”
Tony Stubblebine Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 9:24 Medium CEO Tony Stubblebine: Here's How Writing Evolves In The AI Era
Oct 30, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
ChatGPT Traffic Converts to Paid Subscriptions 4x Higher Than Google Search
“The thing that's really important to us is that it converts into paid subscribers four times higher than Google traffic.”
Tony Stubblebine Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 42:28 Medium CEO Tony Stubblebine: Here's How Writing Evolves In The AI Era
Oct 30, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Medium's Google Search Click-Through Rate Dropped by Half After Gemini's Launch
“The click-through rate when Gemini launched dropped nearly in half.”
Tony Stubblebine Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 45:10 Medium CEO Tony Stubblebine: Here's How Writing Evolves In The AI Era
Nov 6, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Siegler: Google's AI leadership isn't enough to sell Pixel devices yet
“Google is the farthest along and they tout a lot of you know, cool potential functionality, but it's not to the point where it's going to sell pixel devices yet.”
M.G. Siegler Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 52:24 OpenAI’s IPO Plan, Deconstructing The AI Bet, Apple’s iPhone 17 Revival
Nov 6, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: An Nvidia earnings miss could trigger a cascading market selloff
“Even if everything goes great for all of these companies, if something just happens in the macro markets and like causes Nvidia to slip on earnings one quarter, you see like this cascading effect. It's not hard to see. Like you can see how all of a sudden they…”
M.G. Siegler Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 34:21 OpenAI’s IPO Plan, Deconstructing The AI Bet, Apple’s iPhone 17 Revival
Nov 10, 2025 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: US taxpayers should not backstop OpenAI's debt
“I don't think that the US taxpayers should be backstopping the company's debt though, because, and Sam Altman in a follow-up made this clear, if they fail, you'll still have Google, you'll still have Anthropic, you'll have many others that are going to be buil…”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 5:45 OpenAI Bailout?, Elon’s $1 Trillion Pay Deal, Amazon Sues Perplexity
Nov 17, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Luria: OpenAI's $100 Billion 2027 Revenue Projection Is Completely Disingenuous
“So for them to say, oh, we're gonna have a hundred billion dollars of revenue by 2027, which Sam Altman just did, is completely disingenuous. He has no idea. He's competing against much bigger, more powerful companies that have technology that's at least as go…”
Gil Luria Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 15:58 AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Nov 17, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Luria: Three-year GPU depreciation would drastically cut Oracle and CoreWeave profits
“If you told Amazon and Microsoft, and certainly if you told companies like Oracle and CoreWeave, no, no, no, no. These chips will only generate meaningful revenue for three years. Their profitability would decline very dramatically. So again, from Microsoft, A…”
Gil Luria Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 22:25 AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Nov 17, 2025 positive
Opinion
Luria: Hyperscaler AI capex is sound because balance sheets back it
“The healthy behavior are reasonable, thoughtful business leaders like the ones at Microsoft, Amazon, and Google that are making sound investments in growing the capacity to deliver AI. And the reason they can make sound investments is that they have all the cu…”
Gil Luria Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 3:45 AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Nov 24, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Roy: Google's vast distribution makes Gemini 3 a lethal threat to OpenAI
“What makes this so scary for ChatGPT is Google's distribution, because Claude going consumer is, like, non-existent when someone has to sign up, find about it, it's a whole marketing exercise, but If Gemini three fully replaces ChatGPT or is as good, that is r…”
Ranjan Roy Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 14:19 Google Pushes OpenAI, Bezos Returns, AI’s No. 1 Hit
Nov 24, 2025 negative
Opinion
Roy: OpenAI GPT-5 flopped and is losing the buzz cycle to Gemini
“OpenAI GPT five was a flop in terms of actually meeting the hype and Gemini three had people more excited than I've seen them in a long time around a model launch. So that's open AI's game and they are losing at it right now.”
Ranjan Roy Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 3:51 Google Pushes OpenAI, Bezos Returns, AI’s No. 1 Hit
Nov 24, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Gemini 3 crushed the ARC-AGI benchmark and topped Chatbot Arena
“Gemini three smashes the benchmarks crushed on the Arc AGI test. It's currently at the top of the LM arena leaderboards”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 2:21 Google Pushes OpenAI, Bezos Returns, AI’s No. 1 Hit
Nov 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Open · timeframe Nov 2025
Kantrowitz: Hundreds of Google Search engineers were reassigned to Google DeepMind
“Just one example I got from the story, hundreds of engineers from search, which is the most important product. At Google, which is responsible for more than half the revenue. Hundreds of engineers went from search to Google DeepMind just to, you know, give you…”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 20:15 Google Pushes OpenAI, Bezos Returns, AI’s No. 1 Hit
Nov 24, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Alphabet has surpassed Microsoft in market cap at $3.59 trillion
“Google today surpassed Microsoft in market cap. I mean, they're still both doing great. 3.59 trillion or so to 3.5 trillion.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 10:15 Google Pushes OpenAI, Bezos Returns, AI’s No. 1 Hit
Dec 1, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Top AI models from Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI are now commoditized
“We are now in the first moment where the state of the art models are really commoditized, where you could argue that Google and Anthropic and OpenAI have models that are They stand together. You know, some might be better for some activities and some might be …”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 41:23 Tim Cook’s Final Year?, Big Tech Horse Race, Anthropic’s Profitability Push
Dec 1, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Siegler: Google is currently best positioned to win the AI race
“I do think that Google's Just given all of the things that they have, it does feel like the quote unquote beast has awoken. And I feel like that they're in the best position right now to be able to capitalize on all of this stuff quite literally.”
M.G. Siegler Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 48:21 Tim Cook’s Final Year?, Big Tech Horse Race, Anthropic’s Profitability Push
Dec 8, 2025 negative
Insight
Roy: Google can match OpenAI by copying unpatented software UI innovations
“From a software UI standpoint, they have built beautiful products. They've built usable products. They created the whole chat UI was not really a true thing, and now, like, they led the way. And all Google has to do is just copy everything they do. Wait for th…”
Ranjan Roy Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 41:38 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 8, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Roy: Gemini native Android integration is a massive advantage for Google
“I actually think glasses aside, just what Siri is supposed to do on the iPhone, like every Android device out there having Gemini as your voice interaction layer is, is a huge advantage.”
Ranjan Roy Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 28:05 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 8, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Kantrowitz: Meta will partner with Google or OpenAI on smart glasses
“Over the next year, you will see Meta bring in other AI models. You will see them partner with Google. You might see them partner with OpenAI.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 18:18 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
Dec 17, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Infrastructure headwinds hitting Oracle will also hit Broadcom and Google
“I still think whatever hits Oracle and open AI will hit a Broadcom and a Google, at least in the, in terms of how people are pricing in the infrastructure side of things.”
Ranjan Roy Dec 17, 2025 ▶ 41:47 OpenAI’s 2026 Priority, Disney’s AI Play, Datacenter Buildout Trouble
Dec 18, 2025 positive
Opinion
Altman: Google has tech's best business model and will hesitate to abandon it
“Google has probably the greatest business model in the whole tech industry. And I think they will be slow to give that up.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 9:04 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 18, 2025
What-if
Altman: Google could have smashed OpenAI if it took them seriously in 2023
“If Google had really decided to take us seriously in 23, let's say. We would have been in a really bad place. I think they would have just been able to smash us.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 8:41 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
Dec 22, 2025 positive
Opinion
Roy: Google Shows More Maturity Than OpenAI by Prioritizing Cost Efficiency
“Kind of like the entire philosophy from the OpenAI side is bigger, bigger, bigger versus Google is showing it's playing both We can go bigger, but we can also work on that cost side, and I think that indicates, like, it's a mature business that understands at …”
Ranjan Roy Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 36:32 OpenAI’s Potential, Google’s Speedy Model, Copilot Hits Turbulence
Dec 22, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Model Efficiency Breakthroughs Threaten Massive AI Infrastructure Investments
“This to me seems like the biggest threat, right? Is that all this money goes into infrastructure. And then a Google pops out an AI model. I mean, maybe this is going to be something that will enable more AI, but ultimately all this money goes into infrastructu…”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 35:55 OpenAI’s Potential, Google’s Speedy Model, Copilot Hits Turbulence
Dec 23, 2025 bullish
Opinion
ChatGPT cannot threaten Google without a search ads engine
“Until someone builds another search ads business, it doesn't matter what ChatGPT does.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 23, 2025 ▶ 12:24 CNBC's Jim Cramer: Big Tech Hot Takes, NVIDIA $10 Trillion?, Building Wealth In Any Market
Dec 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Albergati: Meta Tried to Acquire DeepMind Before Google Did
“Meta, you know, they were so early on AI, they tried to acquire DeepMind, you know, before Google did and then sort of just lost focus on it.”
Reed Albergotti Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 6:05 2025 In Review, 2026 Predictions: Meta, NVIDIA, Tesla, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft
Dec 24, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Albergati: Traditional web search is going to be gone
“I think traditional search is, like, is going to be just Gone.”
Reed Albergotti Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 18:29 2025 In Review, 2026 Predictions: Meta, NVIDIA, Tesla, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft
Dec 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Google will have the best year among Big Tech in 2026
“I want to like come out and say something unexpected, like meta with AI, but I don't know. I'm still thinking it's probably Google.”
Ranjan Roy Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 19:57 AI & Tech 2026 Outlook: ChatGPT 1 Billion, AI Shopping, Apple's Big Year, AI Love Boom
Dec 29, 2025 neutral
Prediction Held up
Roy: OpenAI will hit 1B users in 2026 but lose clear leadership
“I think a billion users. I don't think I think they're not the leader. I think Gemini's Google definitely starts to catch up. I think like everyone is biting off at different parts of the open AI. Empire, I guess if we call it that, but I don't think there's a…”
Ranjan Roy Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 16:01 AI & Tech 2026 Outlook: ChatGPT 1 Billion, AI Shopping, Apple's Big Year, AI Love Boom
Dec 29, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Increasing AI model efficiency could cause a crisis for compute
“And I'm curious what you think about this is this is the one I'm probably least sure about. But it is increasing AI model efficiency causes a crisis.”
Alex Kantrowitz Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 18:34 AI & Tech 2026 Outlook: ChatGPT 1 Billion, AI Shopping, Apple's Big Year, AI Love Boom
Jan 7, 2026
Assertion Supported
Intrator: Google is building $50B in infrastructure while buying external capacity
“Google went out and just You know, released a press release where they're building fifty billion dollars worth of infrastructure while they're still buying from everyone else they can. Microsoft is building internally, and they're buying from lots of other pla…”
Michael Intrator Jan 7, 2026 ▶ 20:19 Coreweave: AI Bubble Poster Child Or The Next Tech Giant? — With Michael Intrator and Brian Venturo
Jan 7, 2026
Assertion Partly supported
Venturo: Hyperscalers ran NVIDIA K80 fleets for 10 years before retiring them
“Last year is when we saw let's call it the hyperscalers that were around in the twenty-tenths, so Amazon, Microsoft, and Google, finally retire their NVIDIA K-eighty fleets, and the K-eighty was a GPU that was introduced in 2014. So it's, it was active in thei…”
Brian Venturo Jan 7, 2026 ▶ 42:16 Coreweave: AI Bubble Poster Child Or The Next Tech Giant? — With Michael Intrator and Brian Venturo
Jan 12, 2026 positive
Insight
Roy notes email is inherently ideal for LLMs due to structured text.
“Email should be a very straightforward. It's just, it's mostly text. It's very structured. There's subject lines and like, it's something LLMs should be able to do a very good job of handling. There's a lot of context.”
Ranjan Roy Jan 12, 2026 ▶ 26:50 Claude Code’s Shining Moment, ChatGPT for Healthcare, End Of Busywork?
Jan 12, 2026 positive
Opinion
Roy speculates Gmail's AI inbox is Google's entry into consumer agents.
“Maybe this is Google's entry point into consumer, like, true consumer agentic.”
Ranjan Roy Jan 12, 2026 ▶ 27:54 Claude Code’s Shining Moment, ChatGPT for Healthcare, End Of Busywork?
Jan 13, 2026 negative
What-if
Siegler: Microsoft missed its chance to turn Bing into ChatGPT
“It was a huge missed opportunity. They could have made being a real potential competitor to Google and In some ways they, you know, they were probably too early, I'm sure. And they stubbed their toe and they pulled back... But still they were there and they co…”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 37:35 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 13, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Apple will eventually develop in-house AI rather than rely on Google
“They now have the sort of bandaid stopgap. If you want to call it that a very good bandaid in the Google deal, but eventually Apple's going to want to own this and do this themselves. And so they need the right person. That they now have a years of runway than…”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 49:05 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 13, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Siegler: OpenAI's product team and strategy have outperformed all AI rivals
“I do think like Sam and the open AI product team and strategy has done a better job than anyone else. You and I have talked about this a lot on AI. To date, I think Google has been catching up a bit and I think some of the others, as you know, Amazon and other…”
M.G. Siegler Jan 13, 2026 ▶ 22:39 AI’s Steve Jobs?, Big Tech AI Chaos, 2026 Crystal Ball
Jan 19, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Google will launch a major wearable push
“It's never been clearer that there's going to be a big wearable push within that company without a doubt.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 19, 2026 ▶ 26:12 Is Google's Gemini Winning?, Thinking Machines Drama, Claude Cowork’s Potential
Jan 19, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: Gemini will supplant many ChatGPT users and prevent their churn
“I think Gemini is going to supplant like standalone Gemini, a lot of ChatGPT users and prevent them from ever going there.”
Ranjan Roy Jan 19, 2026 ▶ 18:33 Is Google's Gemini Winning?, Thinking Machines Drama, Claude Cowork’s Potential
Jan 19, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ranjan Roy: OpenAI Will Crack LLM Advertising Ahead of Google
“I think OpenAI figures out LLM-based advertising ahead of Google.”
Ranjan Roy Jan 19, 2026 ▶ 13:22 Is Google's Gemini Winning?, Thinking Machines Drama, Claude Cowork’s Potential
Jan 23, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Google Has No Current Plans to Introduce Ads to the Gemini App
“From our point of view, we have no plans at the moment to do ads. If you're talking about the Gemini app, right? Specifically”
Demis Hassabis Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 16:31 Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis: AI's Next Breakthroughs, AGI Timeline, Google's AI Glasses Bet
Jan 23, 2026 bullish
Prediction Held up
Next-Generation Google and Samsung Smart Glasses Will Appear By Summer 2026
“We've done some great partnerships with Warby Parker and Gentle Monster and Samsung to build these next generation glasses. And you should start seeing that you know, maybe by the summer.”
Demis Hassabis Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 14:33 Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis: AI's Next Breakthroughs, AGI Timeline, Google's AI Glasses Bet
Jan 23, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Google Has Started Trialing a New AI Inbox Feature
“AI inbox. We've just started trialing.”
Demis Hassabis Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 21:55 Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis: AI's Next Breakthroughs, AGI Timeline, Google's AI Glasses Bet
Jan 23, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Google Cannot Meet User Demand for New Anti-Gravity IDE
“We've just released anti-gravity, our own IDE which is very, very popular. We can't actually serve all the demand that we're seeing there.”
Demis Hassabis Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 19:40 Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis: AI's Next Breakthroughs, AGI Timeline, Google's AI Glasses Bet
Jan 26, 2026 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Kantrowitz: Google will ship its AI smart glasses in 2026
“I think the news is that it's going to ship this year. Google's AI glasses.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 26, 2026 ▶ 45:39 OpenAI’s $50 Billion Fundraise, AI Advertising Game Theory, Apple’s AI Wearable Pin
Jan 26, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Google Won't Suffer by Delaying AI Chat Ads
“I don't think Google will pay a big penalty for being late, because remember, they can copy the format and they're Google. They have better data than almost anybody, and they can apply that and copy the format.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 26, 2026 ▶ 31:15 OpenAI’s $50 Billion Fundraise, AI Advertising Game Theory, Apple’s AI Wearable Pin
Jan 26, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hassabis: Google Has No Immediate Plans for Ads in Gemini
“He said we have no plan at no plans at the moment to do ads. If you're talking about the Gemini app specifically, I think we're obviously going to watch very carefully the outcome of what ChatGPT is saying they're going to do. I think that has to be handled ve…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 26, 2026 ▶ 27:00 OpenAI’s $50 Billion Fundraise, AI Advertising Game Theory, Apple’s AI Wearable Pin
Feb 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Apple wanted Anthropic Claude before choosing Google as Plan B
“Actually Apple wanted to go with Anthropic first, and they wanted to use Claude. This is according to Mark Gurman, said it this week. Turns out Anthropic, you know, was basically trying to chart and a lot of money, and then they eventually went with Plan B, wh…”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 39:27 The Anthropic Rocketship, AI’s Spending Limits, SpaceX IPO
Feb 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Morris: Google and Blue Origin are also exploring data centers in space
“Google's also looking at it. Jeff Bezos is looking at doing it through, you know, through his blue blue origin rocket company.”
Stephen Morris Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 51:07 The Anthropic Rocketship, AI’s Spending Limits, SpaceX IPO
Feb 2, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Morris: Anthropic has probably lost the consumer AI battle to OpenAI
“I mean, it's probably already lost the kind of consumer app battle to open AI with Google, you know, making some small inroads in that, but not really for a company of its size.”
Stephen Morris Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 8:52 The Anthropic Rocketship, AI’s Spending Limits, SpaceX IPO
Feb 3, 2026 bearish
Insight
Siegler: Microsoft and Amazon back multiple AI labs to stop Google
“I think these other major cloud players, at least the ones who have the rival clouds, specifically Microsoft and Amazon realize that yeah, they probably need to align around basically anyone who's not Google, right? They don't necessarily care if it, I mean, t…”
M.G. Siegler Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 35:58 The Moltbook Uprising, NVIDIA’s OpenAI Pullback, Apple’s Conundrum
Feb 3, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Jensen Huang privately cited OpenAI's lack of discipline in deal pullback
“In recent months, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Wang has privately emphasized to industry associates that the original one hundred billion dollar agreement was non-binding And not finalized. He also said, he also privately criticized what he described as a lack of discipl…”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 24:46 The Moltbook Uprising, NVIDIA’s OpenAI Pullback, Apple’s Conundrum
Feb 11, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Promevo has conducted 250 to 300 Gemini Workspace adoption workshops
“We started work partnering with Google to provide a lot of adoption services, especially around Gemini for Google workspace. We have done about 250 to 300 workshops at this point, which is pretty incredible from an investment standpoint for Google investing in…”
Karthik Kripapuri Feb 11, 2026 ▶ 2:28 Google’s AI Comeback, Enterprise Agents, The Real Path to AI ROI — W/ Promevo CEO Karthik Kripapuri
Feb 12, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Gemini chatbot web visits surged 647% while OpenAI grew 50%
“It's grown in 50% web visits January, 20, 25 to January, 20, 26. But the lead is shrinking and Google has, for instance, grown its web visits by not 50% like open AI, but 647%. In the same time period.”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 4:02 Who’s Winning The AI Race? + Software’s Future — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Feb 12, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Ramaswamy: OpenAI's position as default chat choice provides a durable advantage
“I think the fact that it has become, OpenAI has become the Google of choice when it comes to chat for most of us, that's actually a durable advantage.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 4:59 Who’s Winning The AI Race? + Software’s Future — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Feb 12, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: Google operates in a high-urgency crisis mode every single year
“And every year that I have been at Google, I can think of one or more crises that required us to operate very differently. And what looks like a placid company from outside is very motivated, very driven.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 9:58 Who’s Winning The AI Race? + Software’s Future — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Feb 12, 2026 positive
Opinion
Ramaswamy: Capability gap between top three AI labs and competitors is staggering
“I think the gap between the truly great model makers of the present era, like OpenAI, the Anthropic, and Gemini very much in that mix, And everyone else is quite staggering”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 1:54 Who’s Winning The AI Race? + Software’s Future — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Feb 12, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ramaswamy: Any AI model lead OpenAI or Anthropic gain will vanish quickly
“This just means that OpenAI and Anthropic need to understand that any kind of lead that they get is not going to be a long-lived one, and they really have to work hard and compete.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 7:48 Who’s Winning The AI Race? + Software’s Future — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Feb 16, 2026 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Adler: AI systems assist with bioweapon creation beyond Google search baseline
“The AI systems are helpful above and beyond Google in part because they can go back and forth with you and they can help you troubleshoot and dynamically answer your questions. And so even presented with the information on Google, people often can't get all th…”
Steven Adler Feb 16, 2026 ▶ 55:22 Is Something Big Happening?, AI Safety Apocalypse, Anthropic Raises $30 Billion
Feb 18, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Manyika: Google demonstrated first useful quantum computation for molecular spin dynamics
“Last year we were able to show probably the first useful computation. These are quantum echoes results. It was a big enough deal made the cover of nature, which is great. Our teams are excited about that. What that showed was an actual useful computation for f…”
James Manyika Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 39:52 How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika
Feb 18, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Manyika: Google demonstrated below-threshold quantum error correction
“For the first time, we're able to show that you can do what's called below threshold error correction, which is as you scale up the system, the error rates are actually going down, which is exactly what you'd want, as opposed to that they're actually going up.”
James Manyika Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 39:19 How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika
Feb 18, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Manyika: Google releases new Gemini model generations every five to six months
“We now kind of on the cycle that Gemini models where every five, six months, there's the latest generation.”
James Manyika Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 26:55 How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika
Feb 18, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Manyika: Google aims to conduct AI training runs in space by 2027
“So the first milestone is we're hoping that in 20, 27 will have done a couple training runs in space.”
James Manyika Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 45:37 How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika
Feb 18, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Manyika: Google's flood AI covers 150 countries and 2 billion people
“Now, fast forward to today, we're making these river and flood predictions covering a 150 countries and places where more than two billion people live.”
James Manyika Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 44:01 How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika
Feb 18, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Manyika: 20% of Google Labs projects stem from employee 20% time
“So if you think about the things that are in labs, I would say something like maybe. 80% of them came out of people actually in the labs team. The other 20% came from 20% stuff.”
James Manyika Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 19:56 How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika
Feb 18, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Manyika: Google Willow chip solved 10-septillion-year benchmark in under five minutes
“Our Willow chip, for example, hit a big milestone. It was a big enough deal about a year, year and a half ago where, you know, it was able to do in, you know, a computation, a benchmark computation called RCS, which would take a classic frontier supercomputer,…”
James Manyika Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 38:31 How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika
Feb 23, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Kantrowitz: Gemini 3.1 matches leading model performance at half the price
“Gemini, I think we have a new model from Gemini, Gemini, 3.1 that came out this week that is, you know, half the price of the other leading models and has about the same performance.”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 5:03 OpenAI Closes in on $100 Billion, OpenClaw Acquired, AI’s Productivity Question — With Aaron Levie
Mar 4, 2026 negative
Opinion
Pentagon cannot easily replace Anthropic due to Palantir and Amazon integrations
“The fact that Palantir and then Amazon obviously, and a bunch of others have used Anthropic services, like maybe the government just wasn't savvy enough to know just how integrated Anthropic itself was and that they can't just, again, like we were talking abou…”
M.G. Siegler Mar 4, 2026 ▶ 19:18 Dario’s Choice and Anthropic’s Future, Apple’s AI Devices, Netflix Loses WBD
Mar 12, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Moore is hesitant to invest in horizontal AI like email or docs
“I personally as a consumer investor have more hesitation around things that are incredibly horizontal, like to your point about this is where the chatbot companies might have a right to win, or even this is where a Google might have a right to win. As they hav…”
Olivia Moore Mar 12, 2026 ▶ 12:14 AI’s Unpopularity + Competing With ChatGPT — With Olivia Moore
Mar 12, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Moore: Google has four standalone products on a16z's top AI list
“Like Google has four standalone products on our list, which if you had told me that 24 months ago when like Bard came out, the early version of Gemini, I would not have believed you.”
Olivia Moore Mar 12, 2026 ▶ 50:07 AI’s Unpopularity + Competing With ChatGPT — With Olivia Moore
Mar 12, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
ChatGPT leads Gemini web traffic by 3x and Claude by 30x
“If you look at the gap between them and the number two Gemini on web, it's about still two and a half, three X. The gap between them and something like a Claude is closer to, like, 30 X. So even though a lot of these other apps are getting more attention, Chat…”
Olivia Moore Mar 12, 2026 ▶ 18:19 AI’s Unpopularity + Competing With ChatGPT — With Olivia Moore
Mar 16, 2026 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Meta delays flagship AI model after failing to outperform Gemini 2.5
“Meta's new foundational AI model, which the company has been working on for months, has fallen short on the performance leading AI models the performance of leading AI models from rivals like Google, OpenAI, and Anthropik. On internal testing, it is now delaye…”
Alex Kantrowitz Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 50:12 AI Backlash Intensifies, Nvidia GTC Preview, Meta’s Embarrassing Delay
Mar 18, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Sorkin: AI presents Google's best chance to take share from Apple
“I would imagine that this should be the greatest opportunity for Google and Alphabet Effect or Alphabet to truly take share because Gemini, if built the way I think it should be built, should be able to move you around their phone in shocking ways, right? It s…”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 27:48 Are We Screwed If AI Works? — With Andrew Ross Sorkin
Mar 23, 2026 negative
Opinion
Roy: Consumer AI is OpenAI's only true path to success
“The one lane I think they still truly have a path to success is consumer. And is it because of Google? Is it because they're just looking at Anthropic and investors are telling them that that's what's more attractive right now? To me, this isn't the bet that t…”
Ranjan Roy Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 3:19 OpenAI’s Superapp Is Coming, Jensen on Jobs, Bezos’s $100 Billion Automation Fund
Mar 25, 2026 negative
Insight
Yen: Gmail exists primarily to permanently log users into Google's tracker
“And why did Google go so quickly into email? The reason is because they figured out in order to get all your information and correlate it to a single profile, they need you to be logged in. And the one thing that you're always logged into all the time online i…”
Andy Yen Mar 25, 2026 ▶ 14:53 Is AI A Privacy Disaster? And How To Fight Back. — With Andy Yen
Mar 25, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Yen: Gemini supercharges Google's surveillance model far beyond traditional search
“If you use Gemini instead of Google search, It is really supercharging Google's ability to understand who you are, and it knows a lot more than if you were just using a search product. So it's, you could think of it as Google's business model, but now on stero…”
Andy Yen Mar 25, 2026 ▶ 2:51 Is AI A Privacy Disaster? And How To Fight Back. — With Andy Yen
Mar 25, 2026 negative
Opinion
Yen: Responsible parents knowing Google's model wouldn't sign up their children
“I think you cannot be a responsible parent today, know what Google does, and willingly sign up your child into that ecosystem.”
Andy Yen Mar 25, 2026 ▶ 18:17 Is AI A Privacy Disaster? And How To Fight Back. — With Andy Yen
Mar 25, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Yen: Opting out of AI training does not prevent data collection indefinitely
“Even if they don't use it for training, they can still store it for a long time, actually forever. They can still hand it over to a government under a subpoena. They could leak it if they were hacked in the future. So just because you've opted out of training …”
Andy Yen Mar 25, 2026 ▶ 1:13 Is AI A Privacy Disaster? And How To Fight Back. — With Andy Yen
Apr 10, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Apple risks permanently lacking the internal culture needed to compete in AI
“By not sort of competing in that space, while it may make a lot of sense financially, they run the real risk that they just never get the right DNA within the company and the right mentality to really be able to compete in, in AI. And if you believe that it's …”
M.G. Siegler Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 45:46 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 10, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Demis Hassabis rejected higher Facebook offer because Mark Zuckerberg misunderstood AI's potential
“Facebook offered more money, but I wanted somebody who really understood why AI would be bigger than all those things. And then he sold to Google.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 1:02:03 More OpenAI C-Suite Drama, Is Siri Seriously Broken?, Meta’s Elusive Next Hit
Apr 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Anthropic previews Mythos model to around 50 critical infrastructure organizations
“The company is making a preview model of its new AI model called Mythos, available to about 50 companies and organizations that maintain critical infrastructure, including Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, and the Linux Foundation.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 13, 2026 ▶ 1:59 Anthropic’s Mythos Dilemma, Violence Against AI, Tokenmaxxing at Meta
Apr 13, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Saint-Marc: Cisco created Linux Foundation project Agency with Google, Oracle, Dell
“To back all this effort, we've actually created an open source project called Agency. And this, you know, became a Linux Foundation project with the backing of a few large formative members. Google, Oracle Red Hat were with us and Dell as well.”
Guillaume de Saint-Marc Apr 13, 2026 ▶ 5:34 How AI Agent Swarms Might Be AI's Next Leap — With Guillaume de Saint-Marc
Apr 13, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Saint-Marc: Cisco Outshift collaborates with Google on agent identity standards
“We work also very closely with Google on this and the A to A group. We are very active here.”
Guillaume de Saint-Marc Apr 13, 2026 ▶ 12:54 How AI Agent Swarms Might Be AI's Next Leap — With Guillaume de Saint-Marc
Apr 15, 2026 negative
Opinion
Michael: Google personnel now regret withdrawing from Pentagon Project Maven contract
“If you fast forward from 2018 where the Google Maven thing happened to 2026, and you talk to people from Google who are involved in that, I think they regret it.”
Emil Michael Apr 15, 2026 ▶ 50:21 The Pentagon's AI Plan + Behind the Anthropic Fight — With Under Secretary of War Emil Michael
Apr 15, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Google's Gemini is available to military personnel on genai.mil
“There's a website, genai.mil, that's available to the people in the military here, and interestingly, Google, ah, is in there. Gemini's in there.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 15, 2026 ▶ 49:53 The Pentagon's AI Plan + Behind the Anthropic Fight — With Under Secretary of War Emil Michael
Apr 20, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Gemini and Claude were trained on TPUs and Trainium, not NVIDIA
“If you look at the TPU, which is the accelerator that Google has been, has put out and Tranium, which is Amazon's version of it you know, two of the top three models in the world, Claude and Gemini were trained on it”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 20, 2026 ▶ 2:49 Jensen On The Ropes, Sam Altman’s Conflicts, Allbirds’ GPU Pivot
Apr 20, 2026 positive
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Anthropic is currently the leader in foundational AI models
“Who is right now? I would say the leader in foundational models at Santhropic.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 20, 2026 ▶ 7:52 Jensen On The Ropes, Sam Altman’s Conflicts, Allbirds’ GPU Pivot
Apr 22, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Véliz: Google Flu Trends failed because search query data was too noisy
“When Google tried to predict flus and pandemic type events it tried for years and years and years, it increased the complexity, it increased the data, and it could never do it, and eventually it shut down. Partly because it was relying on people's searches, Pe…”
Carissa Véliz Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 22:13 Are We Too Obsessed With AI Predictions? — With Carissa Véliz
May 4, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Google Cloud achieved 63 percent growth to reach $20 billion quarterly
“Here we have a clear 63% growth to twenty billion dollars in a quarter for Google Cloud is nuts.”
Ranjan Roy May 4, 2026 ▶ 41:54 OpenAI’s User Growth Miss, Musk vs. Altman In Court, Prediction Market Ban
May 4, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Google successfully funneled its core users to standalone consumer Gemini app
“I mean, based on Gemini's numbers in the consumer market, they've shown you can do that.”
Ranjan Roy May 4, 2026 ▶ 30:58 OpenAI’s User Growth Miss, Musk vs. Altman In Court, Prediction Market Ban
May 5, 2026 positive
Opinion
Siegler: Apple Made the Right Bet Partnering on Search Over Building Bing
“Apple decided they didn't need to build a search engine, and that's worked out great for them, right? Microsoft famously has spent billions and billions building up Bing, and what have they gotten out of it? I mean, it makes money now, but it's not Google, and…”
M.G. Siegler May 5, 2026 ▶ 10:58 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
May 5, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: Google's Full Stack Ownership Provides Massive Cost Advantages Over OpenAI
“Google's just overall owning of, again, that entire stack when it comes to the infrastructure is going to give them massive cost advantages over what OpenAI is going to be able to offer up at that steady state.”
M.G. Siegler May 5, 2026 ▶ 55:41 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
May 5, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Siegler: Amazon and Google Guide Toward $190 Billion in Annual CapEx
“Amazon and Google are, I think are both guiding towards a hundred and ninety billion now. and that's, this gets updated every single quarter. So they very well could spend well over two hundred billion for what ends up being the year, and Microsoft will be ri…”
M.G. Siegler May 5, 2026 ▶ 5:25 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
May 18, 2026 positive
Opinion
Roy: Google feels more AI-native than Microsoft despite flawed Gmail integration
“Certainly Google has a more AI native feel the way even ask questions in maps. Even again, we've talked about this at length that Gemini and Gmail still kind of sucks, but like they still feel more AI native than Microsoft.”
Ranjan Roy May 18, 2026 ▶ 14:46 Satya Nadella’s OpenAI Concerns, Google’s Next AI Model, The AI Monet Prank
May 18, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Roy: Google Ranks No. 1 in AI Among Big Tech
“Right now, I feel there's, if from a pure, like, let's just talk about AI, I have to think Google is number one.”
Ranjan Roy May 18, 2026 ▶ 19:49 Satya Nadella’s OpenAI Concerns, Google’s Next AI Model, The AI Monet Prank
May 18, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Google sits as best of Big Tech, worst of AI labs
“Where they are is, okay, best of big tech, worst of the AI labs. Just going to say that's probably where they sit right now.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 18, 2026 ▶ 42:28 Satya Nadella’s OpenAI Concerns, Google’s Next AI Model, The AI Monet Prank
May 18, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Azure grows 40% quarterly while Google Cloud grows 62%
“Even though Azure has grown 40% a quarter, which is absurd, I guess, until you start to think that Google's grown 62% a quarter, albeit on a smaller base,”
Alex Kantrowitz May 18, 2026 ▶ 11:32 Satya Nadella’s OpenAI Concerns, Google’s Next AI Model, The AI Monet Prank
May 18, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Altman believes AI-native products will beat Google's bolt-on approach
“Basically there's a difference between products that are AI native and products that you bolt AI onto. And I believe that AI native products will win. And therefore Google bolting AI onto its existing products will lose.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 18, 2026 ▶ 14:03 Satya Nadella’s OpenAI Concerns, Google’s Next AI Model, The AI Monet Prank
May 25, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Eric Schmidt was booed at University of Arizona commencement
“Eric Schmidt, the former CEO of Google, was booed this week at the University of Arizona's graduation ceremony.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 25, 2026 ▶ 45:07 Is OpenAI Ready To IPO?, The Datacenters in Space Myth, The Kids Boo AI
May 25, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: OpenAI Averaged 905M WAU, Missing 1B Year-End Target
“OpenAI's weekly active users for the quarter averaged about nine hundred five million users. Although the company hit about nine hundred twenty million weekly active users in February, the lower average figure for the quarter implies that usage during the rest…”
Alex Kantrowitz May 25, 2026 ▶ 22:03 Is OpenAI Ready To IPO?, The Datacenters in Space Myth, The Kids Boo AI
May 25, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Google Token Volume Grew to 3.2 Quadrillion Monthly
“Google gave this week they're now processing three quadrillion tokens. It's gone. It's at 9.7 trillion to 3.2 quadrillion per month in two years, according to Sundar Pichai”
Alex Kantrowitz May 25, 2026 ▶ 26:10 Is OpenAI Ready To IPO?, The Datacenters in Space Myth, The Kids Boo AI
Jun 2, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Roy: Alphabet and Amazon Profits Rely Heavily on Anthropic Paper Markups
“Last quarter Alphabet, parent company, Google reported 62.6 billion dollars in profit. Google is a cash machine. They always have been. 28.7 billion of that was a paper markup on Anthropic. Amazon, 30.3 billion in profit. 16.8 billion, same Anthropic paper gai…”
Ranjan Roy Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 30:15 Warning Signs For The AI Boom, Anthropic Passes OpenAI, Robinhood’s AI Trading
Jun 8, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Trailing in desktop AI agents is potentially company-destroying for Google
“And if that's true, I think it is, then Google sitting this out or not being the leader is actually, you know, a potentially, you know, company destroying liability.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 12:01 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 8, 2026 negative
Insight
Siegler: Annual keynote release cycles do not work in AI
“In the age of AI, it just seems like these announcements don't roll with that cadence, right? Everyone sort of followed the Apple model of, you know, always doing these big yearly events and having something and holding something back for a little bit to be re…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 4:33 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 8, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Siegler: Google's Disparate Teams Slow Its AI Super-App Development
“It's basically Google's immense size and capabilities become a hindrance in, in the building out of this, right? Because like, imagine that they feel like they have to answer for open AI super app comes, chat GPT super app coming out. And it has, you know, fro…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 38:52 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 8, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Pichai admitted Google is behind competitors in AI coding
“You even heard Sundar Pichai was on you know, with Casey Newton and Kevin Ruse on their podcast, and he explicitly said, like, just straight up, like that they're a little bit behind in, in coding, you know, with regard to AI and everyone knows that this is so…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 6:42 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 8, 2026 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Siegler: Tying Gemini's crawler to Search gives Google massive content negotiation leverage
“Google's crawler is also tied to Google search. And so if you're turning off the crawler for Gemini you're potentially turning off Google search, which basically no one is willing to do at this point. And gives Google, you know, a huge leverage point. In, in a…”
M.G. Siegler Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 29:44 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 8, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Siegler: Google does not own the agentic email workflow despite owning Gmail
“They should have the single best place to do any sort of agentic email workflow, whether it's sending emails or searching emails or doing anything with email, they should own that. And they don't own that right now.”
M.G. Siegler Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 23:28 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 8, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Google has fallen behind OpenAI and Anthropic in frontier models
“First of all, they didn't ship the Gemini the latest edition of Gemini pro. So if you think about foundational models, they have fallen behind open AI and anthropic with mythos in 5.5, as far as we can tell.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 5:34 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 15, 2026
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: SpaceX Signed $15B Anthropic and $30B Google Data Center Deals
“Then in the run-up to the IPO, the company signed a fifteen billion dollar deal with Anthropic, a thirty billion dollar deal with Google to license out the data centers that it's built for its own AI efforts,”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 1:27 SpaceX’s IPO Triumph, Anthropic’s Fable Fumble, OpenAI’s Price War
Jun 17, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Google Is Best Positioned To Take Enterprise AI Share From OpenAI
“I think Google's really the best positioned and relatively underrated in these kinds of conversations to take market share away from open ad and anthropic.”
Ara Kharazian Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 37:06 AI Fact or Fiction: The Fable Ban, Tokenmaxxing, Saaspocolypse — With Ara Kharazian
Jun 22, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Roy: Google Gemini will monetize via ads, but Anthropic will avoid them
“At least anthropic is not, I mean, I don't think they're going in that direction at all. Google and Gemini, Obviously, 100% will”
Ranjan Roy Jun 22, 2026 ▶ 20:34 Are AI Glasses Over? + Big Technology AI Summit Audience Questions
Jun 26, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Roy: Google will put ads in Gemini; Anthropic will not
“At least anthropic is not. I mean, I don't think they're going in that direction at all. Google and Gemini. Obviously, 100% will.”
Ranjan Roy Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 1:47:22 Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast
Jul 6, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Kantrowitz: Google will inevitably catch up to Anthropic and OpenAI frontier models
“Google has shown it can catch up in terms of capabilities of models. It will inevitably catch up again to whatever Fable is and GPT-Five.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 26:27 Who Wins The AI Superapp Battle?, Apple’s Consumer AI Victory, World Cup Automation Mistake
Jul 6, 2026 negative
Opinion
Siegler: Google and Microsoft have weaker product execution than OpenAI in AI
“I feel like that I have less faith that Google can do it because they have all sorts of sort of product issues when they roll something out great technical capabilities, but product issues, Microsoft, I have even less faith in for obvious reasons regarding pro…”
M.G. Siegler Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 20:16 Who Wins The AI Superapp Battle?, Apple’s Consumer AI Victory, World Cup Automation Mistake
Jul 8, 2026 negative
Opinion
Bosworth: Competitors like Apple, Google, and OpenAI lack complete stacks
“And I think it is the collection of all four of those things that we see as our superpower relative to the competitors, most of whom, whether it's Apple or Anthropic OpenAI or Google, only have one of those things.”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 11:40 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 8, 2026
Disclosure
Bosworth: Meta uses AI models from Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI
“When we're doing development internally, we do have a lot of development happening on our own models. There's also some areas of development that we do on models that we use from, ah, from Google, or from Anthropic, or from OpenAI.”
Andrew Bosworth Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 10:35 Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth: Our Path To Frontier AI, Renting Models, Consumer AI's Struggles
Jul 10, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gardizy: Major NVIDIA customers are actively working to adopt alternative chips
“Every single company that buys NVIDIA chips and is spending a lot of money on NVIDIA chips is trying really hard to make these other, other chips work, whether it's in-house chips from Google or Amazon or even in OpenAI's case and potentially Anthropik's case.”
Anissa Gardizy Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 8:21 Can NVIDIA Keep Its Lead? — With Anissa Gardizy, Max Cherney, and Lauren Goode
Jul 20, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Roy: Google remains far ahead of OpenAI in multimodal AI capabilities
“I'll say, I'll give them credit that still on like multimodality image and video, they still kind of own it right now. And everyone kind of puts them far in a way like I do. I really never hear that much about chat GBT image too, or, Any of these others, like …”
Ranjan Roy Jul 20, 2026 ▶ 48:18 Kimi K3 & AI’s Price War, What’s Happening To Google?, OpenAI’s Partner Trouble
Jul 20, 2026 neutral
Insight
Kantrowitz: Model commoditization forces OpenAI and Anthropic to win on product
“Now if intelligence is abundant and available to be accessed through multiple providers, it will come down to who builds the best product. And so, it goes from a two-person race, right, or a two-company or a three-company race, OpenAI, Anthropic, maybe Google,…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 20, 2026 ▶ 22:51 Kimi K3 & AI’s Price War, What’s Happening To Google?, OpenAI’s Partner Trouble
Jul 27, 2026 positive
Opinion
Kantrowitz: An OpenAI failure would harm tech industry momentum
“I think it would be bad for them to fail, right? If you think about all the energy in AI, a lot of it has been sparked by open AI, right? Like, Google, Google missed you know, the chat bot moment, and only entered because of You know, ChatGPT, and sort of, you…”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 44:47 What Happens If AI Fails?, Subprime Data Center Crisis, How Bad Can SpaceX Get?
Jul 27, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Google fell 8% after raising CapEx past $200B
“Google this week is down like eight percent and it dropped immediately after its earnings after It's capex went from went up to 205 more than two hundred billion in terms of its our AI infrastructure spent, right?”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 10:19 What Happens If AI Fails?, Subprime Data Center Crisis, How Bad Can SpaceX Get?
Jul 27, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Roy: Alphabet projects first negative free cash flow quarter in history
“The reason this raised alarm bells is, I think this was Google's First quarter of projected negative free cash flow ever. So, I mean, ever. Like, that's crazy.”
Ranjan Roy Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 16:13 What Happens If AI Fails?, Subprime Data Center Crisis, How Bad Can SpaceX Get?
Aug 3, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Albergati: Google Is Currently Six Months Behind Competitors on AI Coding
“They're viewed as being a little behind, which I mean, on coding, they admittedly are, they're like six months behind on coding.”
Reed Albergotti Aug 3, 2026 ▶ 51:17 Leopold Blows Up, OpenAI Drastically Cuts Prices, Microsoft’s Best Day
Aug 5, 2026 negative
Opinion
Cahn: Meta and Google pursue AI because ad models face existential disruption
“Part of why I think Meta and Google are so all in AI is their businesses are the most at risk from AI. Like if we all move to ChatGPT, if we all move, if our time eyeballs move to these other interfaces, Then these ad driven businesses have a lot of questions.”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 41:32 How The AI Bet Pays Off + AI Lab Strategy Game — With David Cahn
Aug 5, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Cahn: Google's biggest AI advantages are search cash and TPUs
“Google has two big advantages, right? It has a cache machine from search that can fund a lot of things. And then number two, it has TPU. And I cannot overstate what an advantage it is to have TPU. They've been building this chip for a long time. It's a really …”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 35:38 How The AI Bet Pays Off + AI Lab Strategy Game — With David Cahn
Aug 10, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Google Is Clearly Behind on AI Coding Agents
“Google is clearly behind on the coding agents. They don't really have something. That is in, in a league with the latest large language models, but also with the applications, with the codecs and the cloud codes.”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 5:00 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Aug 10, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Siegler: OpenAI and Anthropic will eventually build their own clouds
“Even if down the road, like those two actually do make it out and you know, break out on their own and become two of the new you know, tech behemoths that are public companies, they will eventually obviously just have their own clouds. They're not going to be,…”
M.G. Siegler Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 43:39 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Aug 10, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Google and Amazon Depreciate Some Facilities Over 40 Years
“Amazon and Google in some cases are far longer. I think Google has some that are 40 years. Amazon might too.”
M.G. Siegler Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 38:48 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Aug 10, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Siegler: Google May Skip Gemini 3.5 Pro to Jump Directly to Gemini 4
“It sort of feels like they're going to go try to jump right to four now. And if they do that, four had better be really good. Otherwise they're going to have a real narrative problem.”
M.G. Siegler Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 49:07 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Aug 24, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Top tech companies hold $3T in off-balance sheet AI commitments
“Nine, top tech companies had some three trillion dollars of off balance sheet commitments, mostly related to AI. Those obligations are growing faster than traditional capex, which totaled about six hundred billion over the past year past year they reported, an…”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 24, 2026 ▶ 2:47 Big Tech’s Insane Hidden AI Spending, Ranking Anthropic vs. OpenAI, AI For Travel Debate
Sep 2, 2026 bearish
Disclosure
Prince: Cloudflare will block Google scrapers for publishers starting in September
“And what we have said at cloudflare is that by mid September, we're gonna treat Google the same way on. If you have an, you know, ads, if you're a business that's ad supported, subscription supported, then we're going to restrict Google from being able to acce…”
Matthew Prince Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 30:05 Cloudflare CEO: We're Ready To Block Millions of Websites From AI — With Matthew Prince
Sep 2, 2026 bullish
Prediction Held up
Prince: Google Paying Publishers for AI Scraping Is Inevitable
“I don't know if they'll pay up before the deadline, but I think it's inevitable that they'll pay up. Because again, I think that they need the content and they understand fundamentally that journalists and content creators and academics deserve to eat.”
Matthew Prince Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 36:31 Cloudflare CEO: We're Ready To Block Millions of Websites From AI — With Matthew Prince
Sep 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Prince: Google Crawls 2x More Web Content Than OpenAI
“Google, to give you some sense of these, more than two times as much of the web as open AI More than four times as much as Anthropic, more than five times as much as Microsoft.”
Matthew Prince Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 27:32 Cloudflare CEO: We're Ready To Block Millions of Websites From AI — With Matthew Prince
Sep 9, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Siegler thinks Google has cancelled Gemini 3.5 Pro
“We still have no 3.5 pro. They haven't come out and said that it's dead, but I think it's dead.”
M.G. Siegler Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 46:46 Apple’s Folding Phone "Duo" Is Here + OpenAI vs. Google vs. Anthropic Revisited — With M.G. Siegler
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