“Our Willow chip, for example, hit a big milestone. It was a big enough deal about a year, year and a half ago where, you know, it was able to do in, you know, a computation, a benchmark computation called RCS, which would take a classic frontier supercomputer, 10 subtillion years to do. And that's like, you know, one of, like, 25 zeros. It's a big number. It was able to do another five minutes.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
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More from James Manyika
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Manyika: Useful quantum computing applications will emerge within five years
“So I actually think we're going to start to see useful applications in the next five or so years from quantum computing.”
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PredictionOpen · timeframe Dec 2027
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“So the first milestone is we're hoping that in 20, 27 will have done a couple training runs in space.”
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AssertionSupported
Manyika: Google demonstrated below-threshold quantum error correction
“For the first time, we're able to show that you can do what's called below threshold error correction, which is as you scale up the system, the error rates are actually going down, which is exactly what you'd want, as opposed to that they're actually going up.”
James ManyikaFeb 18, 2026▶ 39:19How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika
AssertionSupported
Manyika: Google demonstrated first useful quantum computation for molecular spin dynamics
“Last year we were able to show probably the first useful computation. These are quantum echoes results. It was a big enough deal made the cover of nature, which is great. Our teams are excited about that. What that showed was an actual useful computation for f…”
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AssertionNot checkable as stated
Manyika: 20% of Google Labs projects stem from employee 20% time
“So if you think about the things that are in labs, I would say something like maybe. 80% of them came out of people actually in the labs team. The other 20% came from 20% stuff.”
James ManyikaFeb 18, 2026▶ 19:56How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika
AssertionSupported
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“Now, fast forward to today, we're making these river and flood predictions covering a 150 countries and places where more than two billion people live.”
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