The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 2,425 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Altman: Unreleased OpenAI model used zero-day exploits to breach Hugging Face
“We were evaluating one of our unreleased models and it figured out that it could basically cheat on the test by chaining together multiple zero day exploits to break out of the sandbox, get access to the internet, and then break through multiple systems on the…”
Rogers: US sanctioned former EU official over Elon Musk enforcement threat
“We recently issued some sanctions, which we'll get into, and one of the individuals we sanctioned, ah, was a former EU official who threatened Elon Musk with enforcement action because X within the United States had said that it was going to host on a live, ah…”
Sacks: Reid Hoffman told Peter Thiel he wished Trump was a martyr
“Just days before the shooting, Peter Thiel and Reid Hoffman had an exchange at Allen and company that was publicly reported. In which Peter said that Reed had turned Trump into a martyr by funding lawfare, and Reed responded, I wish I had turned him into an ac…”
Sacks: Anthropic CEO refused White House request to take down Fable
“They tried to call Anthropic, They tried to call Dario, and there were a number of conversations, and the TLDR of it is Dario refused, meaning refused their request to take down Fable until this jailbreak could be fixed.”
Tracey: Julie K. Brown fabricated quotes in Perversion of Justice
“Even though, for example, I caught her fabricating quotes in her book, Perversion of Justice, which was based on the initial Miami Herald series.”
Makary: FDA halted Biden-era policy allowing CAR-T cell editing in China
“We did find that there was in the Biden administration approval to have the cells of Americans for CAR T therapy shipped to China where the Chinese did the gene editing and then shipped back to the United States. To infuse in Americans. When I found out about …”
Bessent claims a 150-year San Francisco Fed study shows tariffs are disinflationary
“There's a study from not a friend of the administration, the San Francisco fed with a 150 years of data. I would refer everyone to that. That shows that tariffs do not cause inflation, that they're actually disinflationary.”
Calacanis: Nvidia will decline or severely downgrade investment in OpenAI
“I think NVIDIA is not going to take their option to invest in open AI, or they're going to really downgrade at 70, 80%, and they're going to allocate it to other players.”
Palihapitiya: Shell companies route Nvidia GPUs into China to bypass controls
“I think what you will find is a whole raft of companies that were stood up to buy these Nvidia GPUs to essentially act as a way station for China.”
Vance: Media fabricated claim that Trump called white supremacists fine people
“Donald Trump never called white supremacists very fine people after Charlottesville, a total fabrication of the American media”
Fauci funded Wuhan lab gain-of-function research via EcoHealth
“Because he had funded gain-of-function research programs via Peter Daszak and the EcoHealth Alliance to conduct, again, gain-of-function research at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.”
Musk: Starlink coverage in Crimea was disabled due to US sanctions
“At the time this happened, the region around, you Crimea was actually turned off. Now, the reason it was turned off was, actually, originally, was because the United States had sanctions and we're not allowed to actually, and that includes Crimea in the sancti…”
Sacks: RESTRICT Act allows $1M fine and 20-year prison terms for VPN TikTok access
“What the act provides is that a US citizen using a VPN to access TikTok could theoretically be subjected to a maximum penalty of one million in fines or 20 years in prison or both.”
Goldstein: Supreme Court conservative majority will likely vote 5-4 to overturn Roe
“Till June of this year, where they will likely win five to four.”
Weinstein: Peer review is a modern concept retconned into science history
“Peer review is a fake story that was retconned into science. It is no, you can look it up on Google Ngrams, put quote, space peer review space, close quote. And you'll notice that there's really no mention of it before.”
Weinstein: 1971 Australian Intelligence Document Discloses 1960s Gravity Shielding Research
“There's a 1971 Australian intelligence document where Australia, which was the Testing ground for nukes that of the United Kingdom. Started seeing all these UAPs near their nuclear tests just the way we see them near ours. And the Australians revealed that all…”
Sacks: Anthropic Lobbied to Restrict Nvidia's International Chip Sales
“Anthropic has really been behind a lot of the political activity to restrict Nvidia's sales internationally.”
Calacanis: Anthropic is destroying rare books for AI training data
“Anthropic is destroying rare books to get an edge in training data.”
Calacanis: Anthropic paid $1.5B in the largest US copyright settlement
“Obviously last week we saw anthropic paid the largest copyright case in us history, 1.5 billion for seven million books. They allegedly pirated authors get 3000 each lawyers got a hundred million for that one”
Sacks: Anthropic iterated prompts over 200 times in AI blackmail study
“Remember when Anthropic did the whole blackmail study, you know, where supposedly an agent displayed independent goal-seeking behavior and then blackmail an employee. It turned out that actually they iterated on the prompt over 200 times to get to that result.”
Sacks: Anthropic's ARR grew from $10 billion to over $70 billion
“They started the year at ten billion of ARR. They're now over seventy billion of ARR.”
Sacks: Anthropic CPO resigned from Figma board days before rival launch
“Anthropic's chief product officer had actually even served on Figma's board and didn't resign until three days before the launch of Claude Design.”
Baker: Republican DAs reduce young Black male all-cause mortality by 7%
“There's a study that is uncontested that when you elect a Republican DA, all cause mortality for young black men in that city drops by seven percent.”
Calacanis: Anthropic secretly downgraded users training competing AI models
“If Fable five detects you're doing frontier AI research, in other words, using their model to make a better model, competitive model, they were downgrading you, but they weren't telling you, and this was buried deep in a 319 page documents.”
Sacks predicts Washington regulatory push will eventually ban open-source AI
“In terms of the red capture agenda that you're seeing in Washington, I think where it's all leading to is an effort to ban open source models or open weight models.”
Sacks: SPLC turned $270K Charlottesville investment into $81M in fundraising
“They increased the amount of money that they were able to fundraise by eighty one million dollars. So that 270,000 dollar investment led to an eighty one million dollar return.”
Sacks asserts Anthropic lobbied against US-backed Gulf AI data center projects
“In the case of the GCC data centers, Anthropic was adamantly opposed to that, and they were lobbying against it, and they were, again, salting the earth against Those projects.”
Chamath notes Warren Buffett's returns dropped significantly after Regulation Fair Disclosure
“His returns are bimodally distributed pre and post Reg FD. When you have to follow the rules of disclosure, everybody's returns got kneecapped. When there was no disclosure rules. His returns were off the charts.”
Sacks: Anthropic has the fastest growing revenue run rate ever seen
“Third, Anthropix revenue run rate is based on what I can tell and what's been publicly released is the fastest growing revenue run rate at scale that I think we've ever seen.”
Mahan: Mississippi and Louisiana beat California in reading proficiency for low-income kids
“Mississippi and Louisiana are doing a better job of helping low-income kids get on grade level for reading than we are in the very well-resourced, very progressive state of California.”
Fetterman claims he was the only Democrat supporting Netanyahu's military actions
“I was the only Democrat that's absolutely Netanyahu just done the right thing to break the that access there Hezbollah and Hamas, you know, attacking also Houthis as well.”
Fetterman notes Pennsylvania identified only six 2020 voter fraud cases, all Republicans
“There was no fraud. And they, we identified, I think, believe it was six, six or seven. In fact, and now, coincidentally, they all happened to be Republicans that were voting for President Trump, and mostly they used a dead relative to try to devote that, and …”
Fetterman: Heritage Foundation database found 77 non-citizen votes over 24 years
“You know, they said that at their database between 1999 to 2023, they identified 77 instances of non-citizens voting between 1999 and 2023.”
Emil Michael: Anthropic follows its own constitution, not the US Constitution
“Anthropic has its own constitution. It has its own soul. It's not the U S constitution.”
Emil Michael: Anthropic will be excluded from Pentagon AI contracts under current posture
“And Throbic's not going to be one of them if they continue sort of with their sort of posture.”
Tracey: Virginia Roberts Giuffre recanted sexual misconduct allegations against Dershowitz
“Dershowitz, she ended up recanting her allegations and bear in mind, it wasn't just that she, you know, happened to level some accusation at some point, maybe in like casual banter. It's that she made allegations of herself having been victimized by Dershowitz…”
Tracey: Epstein was never accused of sex crimes against minors post-2005
“Jeffrey Epstein was never even accused of committing any illicit sexual acts against any person under the age of 18 after the year 2005.”
Sacks: All recent net job gains went to native-born Americans
“All the job creation has been enjoyed by native born Americans as well. All the job loss has been on non native born Americans, which is pretty Remarkable.”
Sacks: Reid Hoffman is mentioned 2,600 times in Epstein files
“The number one person in the Epstein files from Silicon Valley, which is Reid Hoffman, mentioned 2600 times, had a multi-year relationship with Epstein.”
Kurtz: China directly hands stolen US trade secrets to its domestic companies
“The big thing with China is, there's a commercial aspect to what they do. So if the government breaks in and steals a trade secret from some company in the U.S., they'll just give it to another company in China.”
Dr. Oz: Socialized medicine causes six-month to year-long wait times
“So you can get the health care, like you do in socialized medicine countries, you just have to wait six months or a year or longer, or you don't get the care at all.”
Dr. Oz: California undocumented immigrants receive coverage unavailable under Medicare
“If you're on Medicare, you don't get free dental, you don't get free vision. You do if you're an illegal immigrant in California.”
Rogers: UK regulator Ofcom fines US websites that don't operate there
“Under the Online Safety Act, we now have active litigation by the relevant regulator Ofcom against several American websites. These are websites that don't reach into the UK. They're not, they're, these aren't websites dedicated to discussing the Queen. They'r…”
Rogers: UK sentenced a mother to 31 months for anti-migration tweet
“There was a thirty-one-month sentence handed down to a suburban mother named Lucy Connolly in the UK because after a man called Axel Rudabanka stabbed, I think it was a seven-year-old girl, an eight-year-old girl, and a nine-year-old girl at a birthday party, …”
Sacks: Biden administration pressured social networks to censor content
“And I would say President Trump, because I do think that that, President Trump's election definitely changed the direction of free speech in the United States, never mind the rest of the world, because I think under the Biden administration, we now know from c…”
Rogers: US House committee and CIA assessed COVID lab leak potential
“And another thing that was suppressed, was the assessment that the virus might have leaked from a lab, and we now know that was the same assessment of a House committee and the CIA.”
Lutnick: Japan committed $550B to finance US infrastructure projects
“So what we came up with was Five hundred and fifty billion dollars. That this is not foreign direct investment. This is not Toyota building a factory in America. This is, they literally will finance Any project we want to build in America, as long as it's like…”